Best of our wild blogs: 12 Jan 09


Semakau again for the Semakau Book Project
mangroves and snakes and the amazing avicennia marina and more mangrove stories on the wild shores of singapore blog.

Experienced diver thought he was going to die when trapped in a fishing net
on the wild shores of singapore blog

Tour company boycotts Atlantis until it releases whale shark
on the wild shores of singapore blog

Red-legged Crake: Aborted or experimental sex?
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Monday Morgue: 12th January 2009
on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog

Changi Boardwalk
on the Singapore's Heritage, Museums & Nostalgia Blog


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Dolphins at the Sentosa Integrated Resort: Senator cites Mexico's sad experience with dolphins

Grace Chua, Straits Times 12 Jan 09;

A MEXICAN senator was so dismayed at the plans of Resorts World at Sentosa to import bottlenose dolphins from the Solomon Islands for its marine park that he wrote to National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan about it.
The first seven of the 18 dolphins meant for Resorts World at Sentosa - like these bottlenoses at a Dubai marine park - were shipped from the Solomon Islands to the Philippines last month. Anyone importing dolphins into Singapore requires Cites import and export permits. -- PHOTO: REUTERS

A Solomon Islands newspaper, The Solomon Star, reported on Dec 31 last year that Senator Jorge Legorreta Ordorica, who chairs a committee on the environment in the Mexican Congress, wrote that Mexico's international reputation was dented as a result of its importing 28 Solomon Islands dolphins in 2003.

A dozen of the animals have since died from illnesses, ranging from a muscle disorder to pneumonia, he wrote.

He urged Mr Mah to consider Mexico's experience and 'the disturbing mortality' of the animals when evaluating applications for the permits to import such dolphins.

Resorts World at Sentosa, a complex with hotels, a casino, meetings facilities and visitor attractions, unveiled plans for its Marine Life Park in 2006.

Animal rights groups have criticised its plan to house dolphins and whale sharks there.

Last month, the first seven of its 18 dolphins were shipped from the Solomon Islands to the Philippines.

The Ministry of National Development said it has thanked the senator for his letter.

A ministry spokesman said that as Singapore is a signatory to the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (Cites), anyone importing dolphins here would require Cites import and export permits.

Marine Life Park has said that, in addition to applying for the permits, its dolphin enclosure will 'far exceed' internationally recognised minimum space requirements for the animals.

A pair of dolphins will need a tank of at least 9m by 9m and 1.8m deep, said Mr Chris Davis, who heads the park. He did not say how much space the park would give the dolphins.

To animal activists' calls for the park to keep captive-bred dolphins instead of wild ones, he said captive-bred dolphins were 'impossible to get', as marine parks did not usually sell them.

A park spokesman said it had looked into acquiring dolphins from other aquariums.

Meanwhile, cargo air service UPS, which shipped the seven dolphins to the Philippines, has said it will stop moving this kind of cargo, as the practice violated its environmental principles.

Resorts World at Sentosa said it has not decided how to get the dolphins here from the Philippines.

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No hybrid car plant? He still lands 16 orders

Singaporean picks up US$1.34m in bookings for his yet-to-be-built vehicle
Christopher Tan, The Straits Times 12 Jan 09;

BUDDING entrepreneur Lim Kian Wee, 36, believes he can build a petrol-electric hybrid car that will travel 40km on each litre of petrol - a third of what an average family car needs for the distance.

He has found several strangers who believe he can do it.

With no factory, no funding - other than the US$250,000 (S$370,700) he raised - and no car in sight, the Malaysia-born Singapore citizen already has 16 bookings for his yet-to-be-built vehicle.

The US$1.34 million in orders, picked up at roadshows in the United States late last year, are for 14 cars and two trucks.

They will be plug-in hybrids which, besides running on petrol, have batteries that are recharged by running the engine or via a home electrical socket.

Mr Lim claims his vehicles will be able to cruise for about 100km on battery power alone - four times what current petrol-electric hybrids can offer.

On battery and petrol, he expects the vehicle to have a range of 960km, thrice the range of today's hybrid cars.

The industrial engineering graduate is confident of delivering the first cars from next year, and a fully electric model by 2012. He is so confident that he quit his $200,000 job with Chartered Semiconductor last January, sold his house and staked his savings on his dream.

He said: 'This may sound like Jamaicans taking part in the Winter Olympics, but I believe each of us has something important to do on earth - mine is to help build one of the best and most affordable electric cars in the world.'

With a business associate, he has set up AmpleMotion, which has offices here and in California. AmpleMotion has tied up with Efficient Dynamics Inc, a US firm founded by Mr Andrew Frank, a pioneer of hybrid technology.

Mr Lim claimed his cars will have better technologies than mass-produced hybrids, including a patented highly efficient transmission and a powerful lithium-ion battery pack.

Instead of taking the conventional route - setting up a plant and running up huge overheads - he will produce his cars by contract manufacturing, that is, sub-contracting the building to a third party, likely an established carmaker.

He said: 'There is no need to duplicate resources. During these difficult times, it is the best time to approach the car manufacturers.'

He became sold on contract manufacturing during his years in the electronics industry. At Chartered Semiconductor, he invented processes to improve efficiency and output and has three patents pending in that area.

AmpleMotion is now raising funds. Mr Lim's target is raise over US$40million in two years, but he is looking to get to the US$3 million mark first.

He said some individuals and South-east Asian firms have expressed in-principle interest in backing him.

To whip up interest, he has been conducting test drives in an electric Toyota RAV4.

He said: 'Singapore has a role to play here. We can easily become the global benchmark of transportation evolution. The electronics and semiconductor industries here were once new. Now, we are a benchmark to many.'

Others with electric dreams
Straits Times 12 Jan 09;

SINGAPORE'S quest to go electric dates back several years.

Government and government-linked entities such as the Economic Development Board, National Science and Technology Board, Singapore Power and the Ministry of Trade and Industry's International Advisory Panel have been exploring the feasibility of electric vehicles here since the early 1990s.

Private parties here have also tried to put electric vehicles on the road. They include local battery-maker GP Batteries, which tested a fleet of Suzukis modified to run on batteries in the 1990s, and home-grown Green Fuel Resources, which converted a 19-seater bus to run on batteries in 1998.

A few individuals also had electric dreams. Systems engineer John Kua, 53, left a job at ST Kinetics and sank $250,000 into a project to build a cheap and efficient electric motor in 2005. He has since put the venture on hold and joined the Agency for Science, Technology and Research as a researcher.

Last July, polytechnic graduate Clarence Tan (below), 25, announced he would make the 'world's cheapest electric car'. But he has slapped a price tag of $1.8million or more for the first cars, which will come with shares in his Green Car Co.

The dreams have, thus far, not taken off. Car giants General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor dabbled in electric cars a decade ago, but pulled the plug on their projects because of reliability issues and low demand.

But efforts to build such cars have picked up with new fervour, with oil prices hitting record levels last year. Companies like Nissan, Toyota, Honda and GM have announced that they will roll out electric models from as early as next year.

CHRISTOPHER TAN


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Two Google searches 'produce same CO2 as boiling a kettle'

Making two internet searches through Google produces about the same amount of carbon dioxide as boiling a kettle, it has been estimated.

Jon Swaine, The Telegraph 12 Jan 09;

A typical search through the online giant's website is thought to generate about 7g of carbon dioxide. Boiling a kettle produces about 15g.

The emissions are caused both by the electricity required to power a user's computer and send their request to servers around the world.

The discovery comes amid increasing warnings about the little-known environmental impact of computer and internet use.

According to Gartner, an American research firm, IT now causes about two per cent of global CO2 emissions and its carbon footprint exceeded that of the world's aviation industry for the first time in 2007.

Dr Alex Wissner-Gross, a physicist from Harvard University who is leading research into the subject, has estimated that browsing a basic website generates about 0.02g of CO2 for every second it is viewed.

Websites with complex video can be responsible for up to 0.2 g per second, he believes.

On his website, CO2stats.com, Dr Wissner-Gross wrote: "Websites are provided by servers and are viewed by visitors' computers that are connected via networks.

"These servers, clients and networks all require electricity in order to run, electricity that is largely generated by burning fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas.

"When fossil fuels are burned, carbon dioxide is released into the atmosphere, which contribute to climate change.

Dr Wissner-Gross believes that Google's unique structure - which sees it send searches to multiple servers around the world and give which ever response is returned quickest - causes its searches to produce more emissions than some other sites.

He told a newspaper: "Google operates huge data centres around the world that consume a great deal of power.

"A Google search has a definite environmental impact.

"Google are very efficient but their primary concern is to make searches fast and that means they have a lot of extra capacity that burns energy,"

A separate analysis by John Buckley, of carbonfootprint.com, a British environmental website, put the CO2 emissions of a Google search at between 1g and 10g.

Chris Goodall, the author of Ten Technologies to Save the Planet, said that assuming the user spends 15 minutes on their computer, the carbon emission of a Google is between 7g and 10g.

A spokesman for Google said: "We are among the most efficient of all internet search providers."


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East Kalimantan Has March Deadline on Trawling Regulations

Jakarta Globe 11 Jan 09;

The East Kalimantan provincial government has until March to issue regulations related to the central government’s controversial decision to lift a ban on trawling by commercial fishing vessels, said Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Minister Freddy Numberi on Friday.

“If we don’t see any progress by March, the decision to allow trawling will automatically become void,” Numberi in an interview with the Jakarta Globe.

A total of 1,299 vessels weighing as much as 30 gross tons each will be able to legally start trawling the waters off East Kalimantan Province as soon as the provincial government issues regulations.

A regulatory framework is key to ensuring that the provincial government effectively mitigates the social and environmental impacts of trawling, Numberi said.

Critics fear that trawling could lead to overfishing and hurt the livelihoods of thousands of traditional, small-scale fishermen struggling to make a living off the sea. Trawl nets have also come under fire from environmentalists due to the damage they can cause to the sea floor and the fact that they often snare both marketable and non-marketable fish, with the latter being dumped.

The provincial government needs to convince the ministry that it is legally prepared to protect the environment and safeguard the interests of small-scale fishermen.

The government is concerned that commercial fishing operations in Malaysia will use fishermen in East Kalimantan to secretly trawl in Indonesian waters on their behalf.

“There have been fears that trawling will only benefit vessels based in Malaysia, so we need to see regulations at the regional level to help allay these concerns,” Numberi said.

Numberi said in April that a licensing system was needed to prevent illegal fishing by large Malaysian vessels in Indonesian waters.

“Malaysian vessels have an advantage in fishing our waters because they are equipped with trawl nets for deep-sea fishing, which our vessels lack,” he said.

Suhana, a marine biologist at the Bogor Institute of Agriculture, or IPB, said small-scale fishermen cannot use trawl nets because their boats — which typically weigh a maximum of five gross tons in size — are too small to trawl. Usually, trawling vessels must be at 10 gross tons in size.

This is why the government needs to offer another justification for the lifting of the trawling ban, because trawling will not benefit small-scale fishermen, Suhana said.

“It’s impossible for small fishermen to trawl,” Suhana said. “An individual fishermen would need to spend at least Rp 100 million ($9,200) on average to obtain trawling equipment, which is well beyond the means of traditional fishermen.”

Maritime patrols are also necessary to monitor trawling in East Kalimantan. Aji Sularso, the ministry’s general director on the supervision of maritime resources, said the government provided the ministry with only Rp 73 billion from the 2008 state budget for patrols.

This was only enough to patrol coastal waters for 100 days last year, Aji said, leading to illegal fishing in the Natuna and Maluku regions.

“Ideally, we should be monitoring those waters at least 200 days a year,” he said.


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Cat eradication on remote Macquarie Island causes fails to help native species say scientists

A programme to eradicate cats in order to save birds on the remote Macquarie Island in the Southern Ocean has resulted in an explosion in rabbit numbers and destruction of native plantlife, scientists have warned.

Louise Gray, The Telegraph 11 Jan 09;

Cats were removed by conservationists from the sub-Antarctic island from the 1980s in order to save native burrowing birds.

But a new report has found the resulting problem with rabbits has caused damage to plantlife that will cost £11 million to repair.

The scientists are now warning that measures to control invasive species, such as the programmes to control hedgehogs, rats and grey squirrels in the UK, must carefully consider the effect on other species.

Finch Creek on sub-Antartic Macquarie Island. Rabbits have stripped 40% of the island bare of vegetation, scientists say. Photograph: /Australian Antarctic Division

Cats were brought to Macquarie Island by sailors in the 19th Century, where they lived off rabbits that were also introduced.

But after the virus myxomatosis wiped out the rabbit population in the 1970s, the cats turned to killing native burrowing birds on the island.

Conservationists intervened with a cat eradication programme in the late 1980s to save the endangered bird species on the World Heritage Island.

However a new study by the University of Tasmania and Stellenbosch University found this has led to an explosion in the rabbit population, which is killing native plantlife and will cost more than £11 (A$24) million to repair.

A report in the British Ecological Society's Journal of Applied Ecology warns conservation agencies worldwide must learn important lessons from what happened on Macquarie Island, which lies around halfway between Australia and the Antarctic continent.

Dr Dana Bergstrom of the Australian Antarctic Division, one of the authors of the study, said conservation agencies must learn from the experiences on the island to balance the affects of removing alien species.

She said: "Our study shows that between 2000 and 2007 there has been widespread ecosystem devastation and decades of conservation effort compromised. The lessons for conservation agencies globally is that interventions should be comprehensive, and include risk assessments to explicitly consider and plan for indirect effects, or face substantial subsequent costs."

Macquarie Island faces 'ecosystem meltdown' after conservation efforts backfire
Attempts by conservationists to eradicate cats in order to save birds on the sub-Antarctic island has caused an explosion in the rabbit population and damage to plantlife that will cost £11m to repair, scientists say

David Adam, guardian.co.uk 12 Jan 09;

It is a cautionary tale of recklessness, good intentions and the ecological mayhem that can result when people interfere with the delicate balance of Mother Nature: scientists today catalogued the unfortunate series of biological events caused by human meddling and alien species that has devastated the once pristine sub-Antarctic Macquarie Island.

Lessons must be learnt on all sides, the scientists say, because well-intentioned attempts by conservation experts to fix the island have so far made the situation worse. Life across almost half the island, a World Heritage site, has been affected, and experts are now weighing up a £11m rescue plan.

Dana Bergstrom, of the Australian Antarctic Division said: "The big lesson is to question all assumptions made in managing and removing alien species from special areas, because there could be unintended consequences."

Things began to go wrong on Macquarie Island, halfway between Australia and Antarctica, soon after it was discovered in 1810. The island's fur seals, elephant seals and penguins were killed for fur and blubber, but it was the rats and mice that jumped from the sealing ships that started the problem. Cats were quickly introduced to keep the rodents from precious food stores. Rabbits followed some 60 years later, as part of a tradition to leave the animals on islands to give shipwrecked sailors something to eat.

Given easy prey, cats feasted on the hapless rabbits and feline numbers quickly grew. The island then lost two endemic flightless birds, a rail and a parakeet. Meanwhile, the rabbits bred rapidly and nibbled the island's precious vegetation.

By the 1970s, some 130,000 rabbits were causing so much damage that the notorious disease myxomatosis was the latest foreign body introduced to Macquarie, which took the rabbit population down to under 20,000 within a decade.

"The island's vegetation then began to recover," Bergstrom says.

But what was good for the vegetation proved bad for the island's wildlife. With fewer rabbits around, the established cats turned instead to local burrowing birds. By 1985, conservationists deemed it necessary to shoot the cats.

The last cat was killed in 2000, but the conservationists were horrified to see rabbit populations soar. Myxomatosis failed to keep numbers down, and the newly strong rabbit population quickly reversed decades of vegetation recovery. In 2006, the resurgent rabbits were even blamed for a massive landslip that wiped out much of an important penguin colony.

Writing in the Journal of Applied Ecology, Bergstrom's team describes how the rabbits have now stripped some 40% of the island bare. "When rabbits first move into coastal areas, the lush slopes are often turned into bare earth," she says. "Often a weed grass called Poa annua establishes, and the bare areas then turn into what looks like nicely mowed golf courses, mowed by rabbits."

The scientists say the chain of events at Macquarie is a rare example of a "trophic cascade", the knock-on effects of changes in one species abundance. The next stage could be an "ecosystem meltdown".

The Tasmanian Parks and Wildlife Service intends to fix the island once and for all, and has drawn up plans to eradicate all 130,000 rabbits, along with the estimated 36,000 rats and 103,000 mice that live there.

The move could yet provoke more unexpected side effects, Bergstrom says. "This is the largest island on which this type of eradication program will have been attempted."

Removing species from sub-Antarctic island 'caused disaster'
Yahoo News 12 Jan 09;

PARIS (AFP) – Efforts to remove an invasive species from a sub-Antarctic island that has been named a World Heritage site accidentally triggered an environmental catastrophe, a study to be published on Tuesday says.

The eradication programme on Macquarie Island, lying halfway between Australia and Antarctica, is a cautionary tale about the complex web of ecosystems, its authors say.

In the early 19th century, cats were introduced to Macquarie Island, where they swiftly became feral.

In 1878, rabbits were brought in by seal hunters, according to the paper, which appears on Tuesday in the Journal of Applied Ecology, published by the British Ecological Society.

By the late 1960s, the rabbit population had become so large, and so destructive of vegetation, that the Australian authorities used the Myxoma virus -- which causes the disease myxamotosis among rabbits -- to control their numbers.

As a result, the rabbits dwindled, from a peak of 130,000 in 1978 to 20,000 in the 1980s, and the vegetation recovered.

The downside: the cats, which had been tucking into the rabbits for food, turned to Macquarie's native burrowing birds for sustenance.

Fearing that the birds would get wiped out, the authorities returned to the island in 1985 to launch a cat eradication programme.

The cats were all killed in 2000, but myxamotosis had failed to do the same to the rabbits. Without their feline predators, the rabbit population surged anew and in just half a dozen years has inflicted enormous damage, in some places stripping the ground bare.

In ecologists' terms, this is an example of "trophic cascades" -- when a species' abundance is significantly reduced or increased, the change resonates along the food chain.

"Between 2000 and 2007 there has been widespread ecosystem devastation and decades of conservation effort compromised," said lead author Dana Bergstrom of the Australian Antarctic Division.

"The lessons for conservation agencies globally is that interventions should be comprehensive, and include risk assessments to explicitly consider and plan for indirect effects, or face substantial subsequent costs."

To fix the problems on Macquarie Island will cost around 24 million Australian dollars (17 million dollars, 12.6 million euros), the authors estimate.

Macquarie is a long, narrow island 34 kilometres (21.25 miles) long by five kms (3.1 miles) wide with tundra-like vegetation that grows in its cool, maritime climate, as well as large numbers of birds, seals and penguins. The island was declared a wildlife sanctuary in 1933.

It was named a World Heritage Site in 1997 because it is geologically unique: it is the only place where rocks from Earth's mantle, some six kilometers (3.75 miles) below the ocean floor, are directly exposed above sea level.


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Rainforest loss may have been overstated, scientists

Evidence rainforests regenerate after logging is causing a row in the scientific world with some experts claiming fewer species will go extinct.

Louise Gray, The Telegraph 11 Jan 09;

Satellite data to be debated by top scientists show huge tracts of abandoned tropical forests that were once logged or farmed are regrowing.

Some researchers contend that this process has been inadequately factored into estimates of future species loss – but others maintain that only 50 to 80 per cent of plant species may return to logged or altered forests.

Scientists meeting at the National Museum of Natural History in Washington are debating extinction rates in the tropics.

Conservationists argue that the loss of the rainforests due to logging, climate change and other factors, is fuelling catastrophic rates of extinction – despite the evidence of rainforest regrowth in many places.

However Joseph Wright of the Panama-based Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute has pointed out that the tropics now have more protected land than North America, Europe or Japan.

In a 2006 study he asserted that "large areas of tropical forest cover will remain in 2030 and beyond.... We believe that the area covered by tropical forest will never fall to the exceedingly low levels that are often predicted and that extinction will threaten a smaller proportion of tropical forest species than previously predicted."

Cristian Samper, director of the National Museum of Natural History, who will preside at the event, said: "By bringing together the world's foremost authorities on different aspects of rainforest science, we hope to achieve new insights into a situation with potentially profound implications for all species, ours included."


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Amazon Deforestation: Earth's Heart and Lungs Dismembered

Matthew Cimitile, Michigan State University
LiveScience.com 10 Jan 09;

This Behind the Scenes article was provided to LiveScience in partnership with the National Science Foundation.

Splintered, charred wood litters the outskirts of an expansive ranch that lies on recently cleared land in the Brazilian Amazon. On the newly planted pasture, cattle leisurely graze, occasionally lifting their heads to gaze past heaps of dead trees towards an island of dense vegetation that has thus far been spared. But it too may soon be cut down.

Such scenes are becoming increasingly common as large swaths of the Brazilian Amazon are being bulldozed and burned to accommodate expanding cattle ranches. Deforestation, which is dismembering the Earth's functional heart and lungs, is largely resulting from cattle ranching driven by economic incentives and demand for Brazilian beef, according to the Center for International Forestry Research.

"Probably 80 to 90 percent of all cleared land in the region (the Brazilian Amazon) is attributable to some form of pasture or ranching," said Robert Walker, a geography professor at Michigan State University and an expert on land-use change in the Brazilian Amazon.

Deforestation is accelerating

Brazil has historically had the distinction of serving as the world's leader of deforestation. According to Walker, during the last three decades, an annual average of 6,500 square miles of the Brazilian Amazon - an area that is greater than the size of Connecticut - has been deforested.

Satellite data indicates that the rate of Amazonian deforestation is accelerating; in some areas, the rate increased by 50 percent since last year. And with over 20 million people and 70 million cattle now inhabiting the Amazon, about a 600 percent increase in the last 60 years, more trees are being razed to make room for cattle ranches, said Walker.

Small-scale ranchers - including poor, subsistence farmers - encroach on forests gradually, felling trees and creating modestly sized pastures in a piecemeal fashion. By contrast, larger land owners use tractors and bulldozers to quickly mow down vast tracts of forest, and then burn remaining vegetation to establish huge ranches. Either way, the landscape ends up fragmented and ecologically devastated.

Ground zero for global extinction

As the world's largest tropical rainforest, the Amazon houses the world's largest collection of living species of plants and animals. It also plays a significant role in stabilizing local climate and may provide the raw materials to cures for some of the world's deadliest diseases.

But deforestation has transformed the Amazon into ground zero for global extinction. In addition, burning and rotting trees release carbon dioxide, which contributes greatly to climate change.

"Brazil overall is the fifth or sixth largest emitter of carbon dioxide and by far the most important source is deforestation," said Eugenio Arima, an assistant professor of environmental studies at Hobart and William Smith Colleges and a former conservation and development researcher at the Brazilian nonprofit institute Imazon.

The cattle economy

With support from the National Science Foundation, Walker and Arima are currently researching Brazil's dynamic cattle economy; their research is exposing links between globalization and deforestation.

According to Walker and Arima's research, reduced transportation costs from the construction of highways in the Amazon, together with the rise in beef prices, provided economic incentives to increase cattle grazing in the region. In addition, the devaluation of the Brazilian real decreased the costs of importing beef from Brazil, and efforts to reduce foot-and-mouth disease - a devastating, contagious virus in cattle - helped open new worldwide markets.

"It was like the perfect storm for demand," said Walker. Responding to resulting increases in demand for beef, slaughterhouses proliferated throughout the Brazilian Amazon. These establishments acquire cattle from ranches, process the meat, and in some cases, export the produce directly to international consumers.

Today, Brazil is the world's biggest beef exporter, said Arima. While only 10 percent of Brazil's beef exports were supplied by the Amazon in 2005, that figure doubled by 2006 and is continuing to increase. Major markets for Brazilian beef currently include Latin America, the European Union, Russia, the Middle East and China. (The United States does not import Brazilian beef because it has its own large domestic cattle herds and because it prohibits the importation of beef from countries where foot-and-mouth disease has not been certified free in all sections, said Walker.)

Like the U.S.'s westward expansion

Cattle ranches will continue to replace forests in Brazil's Amazon as long as global demand for Brazilian beef and the profitability of cattle ranching persist. What's more, ongoing increases in global demand for soy and biofuels may convert former pastures to agriculture, pushing ranchers farther into the forest, explained Arima.

The population and cattle migration into the Brazilian Amazon resembles the westward expansion across the United States in the 19th century; "Brazil's Manifest Destiny," said Walker. The Brazilian government has promoted the development of the Amazon by sponsoring economic development programs, population relocation programs and the construction of dams, highways and a natural gas pipeline in the Brazilian Amazon.

Nevertheless, the Brazilian government is also heeding some of the lessons made apparent by America's destruction of its own forests. During the last ten years, the Brazilian government has pursued aggressive policies on the designation of protected areas and on curbing encroachment in the Brazilian Amazon.

These policies have helped protect vast tracts of land that were previously up for grabs to whoever claimed them. In addition, enforcement of protections, particularly in indigenous reserves, has improved, said Arima.

Domestic and global forces will continue to drive both development and conservation in the Brazilian Amazon. Its now a question of how much of each will occur. "It's a two edge sword in that there is this tremendous ecosystem that is largely intact but underneath that ecosystem and within it there are riches that could be of great benefit to individuals and larger groups," explained Walker. "If you are in Brazil long enough you will see it both ways."


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Massive Greenland meltdown? Not so fast, say scientists

Marlowe Hood Yahoo News 11 Jan 09;

PARIS (AFP) – The recent acceleration of glacier melt-off in Greenland, which some scientists fear could dramatically raise sea levels, may only be a temporary phenomenon, according to a study published Sunday.

Researchers in Britain and the United States devised computer models to test three scenarios that could account for rapid -- by the standards applied to glaciers -- loss of mass from the Helheim Glacier, one of Greenland's largest.

Two were based on changes caused directly by global warming: an increase in the amount of water that greases the underbelly of the glacier as it slides toward the sea, and a general thinning due to melting.

If confirmed, either of these explanations would point to a sustained increase in runoff over the coming decades, fueling speculation that sea level could rise faster and higher than once thought.

The stakes are enormous: the rate at which the global ocean water mark rises could have a devastating impact on hundreds of millions of people living in low-lying areas around the world.

But a team led by Andreas Vieli and Faezeh Nick of Durham University in Britain found that neither of these scenarios matched the data.

"They simply don't fit what we have observed," said Vieli in an interview.

By contrast, the third computer model -- which hypothesised that melt-off was triggered by changing conditions in the confined area where the glacier meets the sea -- fit like a glove, he said.

"Whatever happens at the terminus provokes a strong and rapid reaction in the rest of the glacier. The result has been a significant loss of mass" as huge chunks of ice drop into the ocean, a process known as calving, Vieli explained.

These changes are also set in motion by global warming, but are not likely to last, he said.

"You cannot maintain these very high rates of peak mass loss for very long. The glaciers start to retreat and settle into a new an relatively stable state," he said.

The Helheim Glacier, along with several others in Greenland, started to slow down in 2007.

Vieli also noted that the data alarming the scientific community only covers a span of a few years. It may be ill-advised, he suggested, to project a trend on the basis of what may turn out to be a short-term phenomenon.

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted in 2007 that sea levels could creep up by 18 to 59 centimetres (7.2 to 23.2 inches) by 2100 due to thermal expansion driven by global warming.

Such an increase would be enough to wipe out several small island nations and seriously disrupt mega-deltas home in Asia and Africa.

But IPCC failed to take into account recent studies on the observed and potential impact of the melting ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, prompting the Nobel-winning body to later remove the upward bracket from its end-of-century forecast.

A new consensus has formed among experts that levels could rise by a metre or more by 2100, according to Mark Serreze of the National Now and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorodo.

"What has puzzled us is that the changes are even faster than we would have though possible," he said in a recent interview.

Vieli cautioned that his findings, published in Nature Geoscience, are narrowly focused on one glacier, and that sea levels could still rise higher than the IPCC's original projections.

Other Greenland glaciers behave differently, and the dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet are still poorly understood, he noted.

Nor should the new study "be taken out of context to suggest that climate change is not a serious threat -- it is," he added.

The ice sitting atop Greenland could lift oceans by seven metres, though even the gloomiest of climate change projections do not include such a scenario.


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