Best of our wild blogs: 28 May 09


Chek Jawa intertidal dates for Jul-Sep 09 now online
and registration only by internet from 1 Jun, more on the wild shores of singapore blog

Cyrene Reef
on the teamseagrass blog and wild shores of singapore blog and the psychedelic nature blog

Back to froggy Sekudu
on the wonderful creations blog and Dollars and stars of Sekudu and the discovery blog

Strange behaviour of a pair of Asian Glossy Starlings
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Killing the Ocean
on the Pulau Hantu blog

The Sharing Solution
on the Story of Stuff


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Economic Strategies Committee set up to study long-term growth strategies for Singapore

Pearl Forss, Channel NewsAsia 27 May 09;

SINGAPORE: The government will set up an Economic Strategies Committee to study the long-term economic transformation of Singapore. It will be headed by Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

Singapore has taken decisive measures to tackle the economic crisis, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. But even as Singapore's approach to economic development remains valid, Mr Lee said there is a need to review specific strategies to develop different sectors.

He said: "We have to let the resources shift from the businesses which are shrinking to the businesses which are growing, and gear up for the changed new world, rather than wait in vain for old business to come back."

So the prime minister has tasked the Economic Strategies Committee, which includes members from the public and private sector, to look into growth opportunities abroad.

These include developing new markets in emerging economies such as the Gulf; seeking out niche opportunities - such as manufacturing aerospace components - in developed countries; and exporting Singapore's unique expertise - like its urban planning capabilities - to other Asian cities.

With regard to strengthening local corporate capabilities, Mr Lee said the country can work to attract the next tier of global companies that are smaller than the Fortune 500 multinationals but still large by Singapore standards.

Examples include the Mittelstand sector from Germany, and Berg Propulsion, a leading Swedish manufacturer of marine propellers and thrusters, which is already located here.

He said the Republic can also be the base for Asian MNCs to internationalise because the country is familiar with these Asian companies and at the same time operates by Western business norms.

For example Focus Media, China's leading providing of advertising platforms, has chosen to locate here.

More will also be done to grow local companies. Mr Lee added: "We are trying many ways to do this and we are willing to do more.

"There is no simple answer to this question and I do not believe this can be done by the government simply pouring money in, or one of the favourite quick proposals, setting up 'Temasek II'. The critical factor is not availability of money or capital.

"The critical thing is that you need to build up the entire enterprise ecosystem - the whole environment where you can attract talent, develop entrepreneurship, which means people with bright ideas, the passion, the drive, and the organisational ability to take a spark to a brainwave, to a start up, to a company, to an IPO, and then we hope, a Fortune, and a roaring success.

"They need professional management, they need to invest in technology, they need to develop distinctive brands. It's not an easy thing to do, but it's something which we will work at."

Other priorities attracting top talent from the world are studying resource efficiency and gearing up for climate change. So for example, the government will study the use of underground space to overcome land limitations.

It will also encourage energy conservation, so Singapore can grow more sustainably and be less affected by high prices.

The committee will develop the main recommendations in time for next year's Budget, which usually takes place in February.

According to the Finance Ministry, the list of Economic Strategies Committee members and further details will be released in two weeks. - CNA/vm

Full transcript of the Prime Minister's speech.

5 economic strategies
Straits Times 28 May 09;

PRIME Minister Lee Hsien Loong outlined five strategies in his speech yesterday to give an idea of the issues that an Economic Strategies Committee will study.

1 SEIZING GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

Singapore could make its mark by pursuing more niche business opportunities, such as making aerospace components, in developed nations,

'It's very high technology, precision, needs absolute reliability, quality assurance and cost is less of a consideration,' said Mr Lee, adding that aerospace companies would find Singapore a good place to establish themselves in Asia.

The emerging economies, which are still expanding, are another bright spot in the global crisis. Singapore has a number of projects in the Gulf, which is still investing in infrastructure. Given its growing track record, it can aim for more. It could also exploit its strengths in urban planning and development, which are in demand in fast-growing Asian cities. He cited two latest projects in China: the Singapore-Nanjing Eco High-Tech Island and the Suzhou-Nantong High Tech Park.

Closer to home, it could maximise 'win-win cooperation' with its neighbours. The Iskandar Malaysia economic corridor project in Johor is an example.

2 STRENGTHENING CORPORATE CAPABILITIES

Having wooed top global firms such as Shell and Motorola here, Singapore is eyeing the next tier - those 'after the Fortune 500' companies.

They may be smaller than the international corporate giants, but are large by Singapore standards. These companies want to expand in Asia, but are unfamiliar with the region.

Mr Lee said Singapore has been courting Germany's small and medium-sized enterprises sector for many years, with some success. Also here are European firms like Berg Propulsion, a Swedish manufacturer of marine propellers and thrusters. Asian multinational companies are another target, he said, citing Focus Media, China's leading provider of advertising platforms, whose global headquarters is based here.

The Government will also study how to help Singapore firms go global, a concern raised by many MPs. But Mr Lee said there is no simple answer.

'I don't believe this can be done simply by the Government pouring money in, or, one of the favourite quick proposals, setting up Temasek II,' he said, referring to calls for a set-up like Singapore investment company Temasek Holdings. The critical factor is not the availability of money, but an entire 'enterprise ecosystem' that can attract talent and develop entrepreneurship.

3 GROWING HUMAN AND KNOWLEDGE CAPITAL

Singapore must develop the capabilities of its people, said Mr Lee. 'Our future lies in being a leading global city for talent and our own talent as well as top talent from around the world.' But Singapore has to be a first-class location for talent to want to come and take root here. It means encouraging Singaporeans to welcome and help them integrate into society.

'We have to say, ?Foreigners, come'. Singaporeans first, but we are going to make this place prosper with all the help we can get, and then we will have a bright future,' Mr Lee explained.

Also on the cards: a review of the five-year-old billion-dollar research and development programme, which is making progress and yielding results.

4 CREATING HIGH-VALUE JOBS FOR SINGAPOREANS

Growth must translate to good jobs and higher wages for Singaporeans across the board, he said.

The strategy is to attract industries that will need skilled workers and pay them well. Companies must also upgrade workers, and Singaporeans must acquire skills that are in demand through education and by upgrading.

A fourth university by 2011 and the proposed Singapore Institute of Applied Technology will give this step a boost.

5 MAXIMISING RESOURCES

Singapore's land constraints call for creative solutions: Going underground is expensive 'but some of it can make economic sense', he said. Another way is to build upwards. Height limits for buildings due to air traffic could be eased with better air navigation and air traffic control.

Singapore has to find ways to reduce dependence on its one million foreign workers and grow its economy without indefinitely increasing their numbers.

A third limit is energy, which will become more expensive. Singapore must study how it can encourage energy conservation,

diversify energy sources and reduce dependency on piped natural gas from nearby sources.

It must be prepared to play its part too in any global deal on climate change.

GOH CHIN LIAN


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Genting again rocks the boat at Sentosa Integrated Resort

Move to sell 9% stake means more probity checks prior to licence award
Arthur Sim, Business Times 28 May 09;

(SINGAPORE) With only months to go before the casino at Resorts World at Sentosa opens, Genting Singapore seems prepared to gamble with its casino licence again by making the regulatory probity process more complicated.

In a statement released yesterday, Genting Singapore said that existing shareholders of the company had sold about 850 million shares via a private placing agreement representing a significant stake of about 9 per cent worth over $600 million.

The sale sent the share price plummeting almost 18 per cent to 71 cents, down 15.5 cents from the previous day. Reuters also quoted a term sheet it had seen revealing that the shares were sold for between 72-76 cents per share.

Apart from introducing new shareholders to the fold, there has also been speculation that the Lim family, headed by Lim Kok Thay, may be looking to raise capital for a possible acquisition of MGM Grand Macau. But any new significant shareholders in the company here will be scrutinised by regulators.

In response to an SGX query, Genting Singapore said: 'The respective substantial shareholders will in due course be releasing the relevant Notice of Substantial Shareholder's Change in Interests/Cessa- tion of Interests (as the case may be).'

The sale of shares was done through Golden Hope Ltd and Lakewood Sdn Bhd, vehicles that are understood to be controlled by the Lim family which owns Malaysian gaming firm Genting Bhd, the parent of Genting Singapore.

All significant shareholders of Genting Singapore will be expected to undergo strict probity checks before the gaming licence is awarded to the casino operator here by the Casino Regulatory Authority (CRA). It is understood that the gaming licence has not been awarded yet.

Speculation on the Macau deal was fuelled when it was revealed on Monday that Genting Group had acquired US$100 million in secured notes from MGM Mirage.

The talk of a divestment of MGM Grand Macau was itself sparked when the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement recommended last week that MGM Mirage sever ties with Pansy Ho, its partner for MGM Grand Macau, adding that the daughter of Chinese gaming magnate Stanley Ho is an unsuitable partner.

Bloomberg had quoted Ang Kok Heng, chief investment officer at Phillip Capital Management in Kuala Lumpur, as saying that the Lim family may be raising funds to finance a possible investment in MGM Mirage's Macau casino. But he also added: 'It's not easy for Genting or Resorts World Bhd to take over MGM Mirage's venture in Macau because of their investment in Singapore. There's a likelihood the Singapore government may not agree, so the family has to come in on their own.'

This is not the first time Genting Singapore has raised eyebrows in Singapore by associating itself - perceived or otherwise - with Stanley Ho.

In 2007, after winning the tender to build one of two casino resorts in Singapore, Genting Singapore said it was looking to sell a stake in Star Cruises - which was then its partner in the Sentosa resort - to Stanley Ho. Genting Singapore later had to backtrack on this and subsequently acquired Star Cruises' entire stake in the resort in an apparent bid to pacify the Singapore government.


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More Singapore builders going green

BCA's 2009 awards tally jumps to 151 and its Green Mark scheme draws more interest, says UMA SHANKARI
Business Times 28 May 09;

INTEREST in green building is growing in Singapore. The Building and Construction Authority (BCA) gave out a whopping 151 awards this year - up from 97 last year - reflecting the industry's growing commitment towards building a safe, high-quality, sustainable and friendly built environment.

In particular, BCA's Green Mark certification scheme, which was launched in 2005, attracted more interest. Some 103 buildings were certified 'green' this year, up from 69 last year.

And following keen interest from both public and private sectors in 'greening' their properties, BCA this year expanded the Green Mark scheme to offer certifications in three more categories: infrastructure, office interior, and landed houses. Previously, the Green Mark scheme was only offered to buildings.

The Marina Barrage won a Green Mark Platinum award under the infrastructure category. The development, which spans the mouth of the Marina Channel to create Singapore's 15th reservoir and the first in the city, was praised as a showcase of environmental and water sustainability.

Four office tenants were awarded the Green Mark for Office Interior while two landed homes were given the BCA Green Mark for Landed Houses award.

Analysts said there has been a spike in the number of projects with Green Mark certification, as demand from corporations is motivating developers and construction companies to build green buildings.

'Most multinational corporations have some level of commitment to the environment, whether as a result of mandatory reporting in their home country or through voluntary involvement in corporate social responsibility indices,' said Paul Baxter, Colliers International's director for corporate services in Asia-Pacific.

For these organisations, choosing a Green Mark-certified building helps them achieve their corporate sustainability objectives, he said.

Tenants are also showing an increased willingness to pay more for green space. A survey done by CoreNet Global and Jones Lang LaSalle late last year showed that 60 per cent of Asia-Pacific companies are willing to pay a premium rent to occupy sustainable space - despite the tighter economic environment.

The main obstacle to building green buildings - the higher cost for developers - still remains. However, the cost premium to build a green building has shrunk from as much as 10 per cent to around 4 per cent as construction companies and developers become more comfortable with sustainable design, products and technology, said Colliers' Mr Baxter. Also, maintaining the property once it is built is cheaper, and tenants can reap cost savings of as much as 15-30 per cent as compared to buildings with conventional designs.

Other than the Green Mark scheme, companies last night also received awards under five other categories - including two categories introduced this year.

Under the pre-existing categories, eight projects won the Construction Excellence Award - including the St Regis Hotel and residential developments Icon, Citylights and The Tresor. Another eight projects picked up the Design and Engineering Safety Excellence Award. Developments lauded in this category include The Sail @ Marina Bay and Parc Emily.

Ten projects, including Anchorvale Community Club and Sengkang Sports and Recreation Centre, and VivoCity, won the Universal Design Award.

Two new award categories were introduced this year as the building industry becomes more green.

The inaugural Green and Gracious Builder Award was developed to recognise progressive builders who take the effort to address environmental and public concerns arising from construction works.

Some 14 construction companies - including familiar industry names such as Poh Lian Construction, Tiong Seng Contractors, Woh Hup, Tiong Aik Construction, Lum Chang Building Contractors and Lian Beng Construction - won the award this year.

The other new award, the Built Environment Leadership Award, was launched to recognise outstanding industry firms such as developers, builders, and architectural, structural, and mechanical and electrical consultants that have demonstrated excellence and leadership.

The Platinum award in this category was given to City Developments, and seven Gold Class awards were given out to other outstanding firms such as CapitaLand, RSP Architects Planners & Engineers, Surbana International Consultants, Woh Hup and Tiong Seng Contractors.

Looking ahead, interest in green building is likely to remain strong, analysts said.

CB Richard Ellis, for example, has embarked on a comprehensive study to evaluate the wide range of benefits that sustainability has for commercial real estate holdings. More such studies can be expected as developers and contractors look to 'green' more upcoming projects.

Building sector urged to look at two growth areas

Grace Fu spotlights complex civil engineering works, sustainable development
Uma Shankari, Business Times 28 May 09;

THE building and construction industry here should look at two new growth areas as it forges ahead despite the economic downturn, Senior Minister of State for National Development and Education Grace Fu said yesterday.

She was speaking to developers and contractors at the Building and Construction Authority (BCA)'s annual award ceremony. A total of 151 awards were given out this year, compared with 97 last year, as the industry worked towards building a safe, high-quality and sustainable built environment in Singapore.

In her speech, Ms Fu identified complex civil engineering works and sustainable development as two emerging growth areas.

'Our local builders have the potential to take on complex civil engineering works,' she said. In Singapore's densely built-up environment, civil engineering projects will become more complex, she noted. Infrastructure works such as underground expressways and MRT tunnels also require different skills, expertise and equipment.

'I encourage the industry to capitalise on the potential pipeline of works that includes about $50 billion of civil engineering projects in the next 10 years, to recruit and train staff in the relevant areas of expertise, invest in technology and build capability to take on such complex projects,' Ms Fu said.

Another key emerging growth area is sustainable development, she said.

The recently launched Sustainable Singapore blueprint sets out goals and initiatives for 2030, to improve energy efficiency. One aim is to reduce Singapore's overall energy intensity by 35 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030. To achieve this, BCA aims to 'green' 80 per cent of buildings here by 2030.

The high number of awards given out by BCA this year is mainly due to a spike in the number of buildings certified 'green'. Some 103 buildings were certified under BCA's Green Mark scheme this year, up from 69 last year.

'The significant increase of award winners this year is a very positive indicator of the success, and of the industry's support, of BCA's efforts to create an excellent built environment for Singaporeans,' said BCA chief executive John Keung.

Following interest from the public and private sectors in 'greening' properties, BCA this year expanded the Green Mark scheme to offer certification in three more categories - infrastructure, office interiors and landed houses. Previously, the Green Mark scheme was only offered to buildings.

Singapore's building and construction industry is the only sector that is growing this year against a backdrop of weak external demand and negative economic growth forecasts. The sector grew 24.4 per cent year on year in Q1 2009.

Building firms bag 151 awards
Jessica Cheam, Straits Times 28 May 09;

SINGAPORE'S construction sector, the only bright spot in the economy, is not just growing amid the recession but is also improving its quality and standards.

The Building and Construction Authority (BCA) last night handed out a record 151 awards at its annual event held at Suntec City.

This was a 'reflection of the industry's commitment to improving capabilities and productivity', said Senior Minister of State for National Development Grace Fu.

Against a backdrop of weak external demand and economic contraction, the construction sector grew 24.4 per cent in the first quarter, from the same period last year, she noted.

This growth should be 'sustainable' and the industry needs to continue to invest in manpower development, and build capabilities in new growth areas, she said. 'Our construction firms should be forward-looking, willing to invest in people and in technology, and willing to adopt good practices.'

To encourage this, the BCA yesterday launched a new Built Environment Leadership Award for outstanding firms that have showed excellence and leadership in shaping the cityscape.

Property giant City Developments was awarded the inaugural platinum award - the highest accolade - while seven others, including CapitaLand, RSP Architects, Meinhardt Singapore and Woh Hup, won gold class awards.

Firms are assessed based on their contributions to the built environment through the type and number of BCA awards, and other local and international awards won by the firm.

Ms Fu separately launched three new schemes under BCA's Green Mark initiative: Green Mark for infrastructure, landed houses and office interiors, in addition to its schemes for rating the environmental performance of buildings and parks.

The Green Mark scheme for green buildings has gained momentum, with 103 green building awards recorded this year, up from 69 last year, and a paltry 17 when it was first launched in 2005. BCA recently committed to 'green' 80 per cent of Singapore's buildings by 2030.

Environmental sustainability is another key emerging growth area, said Ms Fu. BCA has pledged $100 million to help existing building owners green their assets. The agency will train some 18,000 'green specialists' over the next 10 years to grow this sector.

Awards were also given for categories such as construction excellence, design and engineering safety excellence, universal design, and the green and gracious builder award.

BCA also celebrated its 10th anniversary at the awards. BCA's chairman, Mr Quek See Tiat, noted the authority's achievements over the past decade and acknowledged the challenges ahead.


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Grooming the next lot of green ambassadors

Trio win Iceland trip to learn about climate change
Amresh Gunasingham, Straits Times 28 May 09;

MR LIM Jun Ying, 21, has been a nature lover as long as he can remember.

When he was 15, he organised more than 30 'expeditions' for friends and peers to the Sungei Buloh and Bukit Timah nature reserves, to share his passion for the diverse species of animals and plants that thrive within these treasured eco-systems.

And during his college days, the former National Junior College student also initiated a project to collect 10kg of can tabs from family and friends, which were subsequently sent to Thailand to be recycled into prosthetic limbs for landmine victims.

He will pursue his passion for nature by reading zoology at Imperial College London in October.

He is among three youth to be selected for a seven-day trip to Iceland in July, to learn about the effects of melting ice glaciers on the environment.

They had won the HSBC/National Youth Achievement Award (NYAA) Council's Youth Environmental Award, a decade- old award which recognises young people who have distinguished themselves through their leadership and commitment to environmental causes.

HSBC sponsored the trip for Mr Lim, together with fellow winners - National University of Singapore (NUS) undergraduate Chen Zhirong, 23, and former Singapore Polytechnic student Daniel Chiam, 25 - to the tune of $9,000.

During the expedition, they will assist scientists in collecting and analysing glacial sediments, as well as learning about the consequences of glacial melting, such as the threat of flooding.

The three winners received a warm send-off from Minister for the Environment and Water Resources, Dr Yaacob Ibrahim, and 175 students from schools and tertiary institutions such as Loyang Secondary, Cedar Girls', Singapore Polytechnic and NUS, at a ceremony held at the Environment Building yesterday.

Mr Guy Harvey-Samuel, chief executive officer of HSBC Singapore, told The Straits Times: 'The two important words here are youth and environment.

'Climate change is not going to be solved by my generation. We need to give the next generation every encouragement to understand the issues and to work with people who have the skills to solve those issues themselves.'

Professor Leo Tan, chairman of the NYAA Council, added: 'In an isolated world, we want to transform our youth into world citizens by equipping them with the skills to help build Singapore as a sustainable city; while helping them realise that what happens in one part of the world, such as the breaking of an iceberg for example, can have an impact on what happens at home.'

Mr Lim is looking forward to the experience.

'I hope to see how scientists gather and interpret data...It is very interesting because they are trained to be objective.'

Fellow participant Mr Chiam, an administration executive, is preparing for the physical challenges of the trip by running three times a week.

'We have been told to be prepared to walk more than 8km every day in extremely cold weather...so I will have to step up my fitness level,' he said.


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UNESCO Designates 22 New Biosphere Reserves

Environmental News Service 27 May 09;

JEJU, South Korea, May 27, 2009 (ENS) - Whole islands, European mountain areas, ancient ruins and tiger reserves are among 22 new sites in 17 countries added to the UNESCO's World Network of Biosphere Reserves Tuesday at the ongoing meeting of the International Coordinating Council of the Man and the Biosphere Programme.

The new sites include the first UNESCO Biosphere Reserves in two countries - Malaysia and Syria and a sacred site in North Korea. There are now 553 UNESCO Biosphere Reserve sites in 107 countries.

Biosphere Reserves are areas designated under UNESCO's Man and the Biosphere Programme to serve as places to test different approaches to integrated management of terrestrial, freshwater, coastal and marine resources and biodiversity.

Biosphere Reserves are sites for experimenting with and learning about sustainable development, particularly during the on-going UN Decade of Education for Sustainable Development - 2005 through 2014.

Launched in the early 1970s, the Man and the Biosphere Programme proposes an interdisciplinary research agenda and capacity building aimed at improving people’s relationship with their environment.

The program targets the ecological, social and economic dimensions of biodiversity loss and the reduction of this loss. It uses its World Network of Biosphere Reserves as vehicles for knowledge sharing, research and monitoring, education and training, and participatory decision-making with local communities.

The new UNESCO Biosphere Reserves are:

Great Sandy, Australia, a terrestrial, coastal, marine area, features the largest rainforest stand on sand in the world. It includes the natural site of Fraser Island with its freshwater dune lakes, which was inscribed on UNESCO’s World Heritage List in 1992. The local community Burnett Mary Regional Group for Natural Resources Management has promoted the designation of the area as a biosphere reserve fostering ecotourism and niche organic agriculture.
The Taubental area of Germany's Bliesgau Biosphere Reserve (Photo © Detlef Reinhard courtesy UNESCO)

Bliesgau, Germany, is applying the concept of the “in-between-city” to link two contrasting landscapes, densely populated and urbanized in the north in the town of St. Ingbert, and sparsely populated and rural in the south. It supports extensive global climate change research on ecological changes in its urban, suburban and rural areas. The range of activities demonstrating sustainable development, including educational and environmental awareness initiatives, is a source of inspiration for the region. A special Biosphere Association has been established for the site.

Swabian Alb, Germany, is located in the Jura mountains, with beech forests and orchards, pine and spruce forests, grasslands and meadows. Close to Stuttgart, it covers a total area of 84,500 hectares and has a population of 150,000. Programs for sustainable development include agriculture and forestry, green businesses and ecotourism, the promotion of local products and cottage industries. There are plans to bolster renewable energy for transportation. The biosphere reserve includes the Münsingen Military Training Area in the Hilly Alb, closed to the public for 110 years, until 2005. It retains the characteristics of 18th and 19th century cultural landscapes and is one of the largest noise-free areas in the state of Baden-Wurttemberg.

Nokrek, India, is a biological hotspot in the state of Meghalaya featuring undisturbed natural ecosystems and landscapes. Inhabited by elephants, tigers, leopards and hollock gibbons, the area is noted for its wild varieties of citrus fruits that provide a genepool for commercially produced citrus.

Pachmarhi, India, in Madhya Pradesh state includes tiger and other wildlife reserves. At the interface of tropical, moist and dry forests as well as sub-tropical hill forests, the area is considered a botanist’s paradise. Local tribes contribute to conservation of the forest while using its resources for nutrition, agriculture and income generation.

Similipal, India, is a tiger reserve in the eastern Indian state of Orissa, which used to be the hunting ground of the Maharajah of Mayurbhanj. This tropical environment is inhabited by elephants, panthers, deer and numerous plant species, making it a living laboratory for environmental scientists. The tribal inhabitants depend on agriculture, hunting and collection of forest products for their livelihoods but need additional sources of income.

Giam Siak Kecil – Bukit Batu, Indonesia, is a peatland area on the island of Sumatra featuring sustainable timber production and two wildlife reserves, inhabited by Sumatran tigers, elephants, tapirs, and sun bears. Researchers are monitoring flagship species and conducting an in-depth study on peatland ecology. Sustainable economic development is possible using plants and animals to increase inhabitants’ economic wellbeing. The site may be used as a carbon dioxide sink in the context of carbon trade mechanisms.
Lebanon's Jabal Moussa Biosphere Reserve (Photo © Association for the protection of Jabal Moussa courtesy UNESCO)

Jabal Moussa, Lebanon, on the western slopes of the northern Mount Lebanon Chain faces the Mediterranean Sea to the west. The 6,500 hectare wild, unspoiled area takes in the historic Adonis Valley with agricultural terraces and trails dating back to Roman times. The valley features rivers and streams, rangeland with landraces, mixed forests with oak, pine and olive groves and many economically important plant species, as well as undisturbed wildlife habitats that are home to wolves, hyenas, hyraxes, birds and reptiles. It is protected by municipal laws that aim to conserve its ecological integrity, natural systems and species.

Tasik Chini, Malaysia, is the country’s first UNESCO designated biosphere reserve. In the southern Malaysian peninsula, the site is the water catchment area of Tasik Chini Lake located in the center of the reserve. The lake is a sanctuary for endemic freshwater species that are subject to intensive research and monitoring by various research institutions. Handicraft and textile production around the lake and its tributary rivers has economic development potential.

Lagunas de Montebello, Mexico, located in the area that connects the Highland region of Chiapas and the Gulf of Mexico coastal plain, is in a hydrological region of high biological diversity and is is critically important for water harvesting and climate regulation. The karst landscape and more than 50 lagoons give the area its scenic beauty. Local communities are involved in the management of the site's ecological resources. They practice a range of agricultural activities increasingly focusing on practices compatible with conservation such as organic coffee production. Reforestation and tourism also support sustainable development of the area.

Flores Island, Portugal, part of the western group of the Azores archipelago, is the surface part of a seamount close to the Mid Atlantic Rift. Created by volcanic activity which started less than 10 million years ago, the biosphere reserve includes the whole emerged area of Flores Island and some adjacent marine areas with landscape, geological, environmental and cultural assets. High cliffs dominate most of the coastline, which is dotted with islets. The area supports traditional fishing and attracts visitors interested in diving, whale and dolphin watching and shore walking.

Geres/Xures is a transboundary biosphere reserve shared by Portugal and Spain based on the biogeographical continuity of the Sierras Galaico-Miñotas mountains and valleys. Subject to both oceanic and Mediterranean climatic influences, the site is rich in forest and peatland ecosystems with a high level of endemic species. Local communities benefit from sustainable development centers in the biosphere reserve, which is governed by a joint Spanish-Portuguese management plan.
Mount Myohyang Biosphere Reserve in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (Photo © MMBR courtesy UNESCO)

Mount Myohyang, North Korea, is a sacred site. According to legend, it was the home of King Tangun, forefather of the Korean people. Rising nearly 2,000 metres above sea level, spectacular rocks and cliffs provide a habitat for 30 plant species unique to the site, 16 plant species that are globally threatened, a wide variety of medicinal herbs and 12 animal species that are endangered.

Shinan Dadohae, South Korea, is an island archipelago in the southwest of the country. It includes terrestrial and marine areas as well as large tidal flats, inhabited by a great diversity of species, which serve as resting places for rare migratory birds. Traditional forms of fishing and salt production are still practiced here.

Altaisky, Russia, is located in the northeastern and eastern Altai along major mountain ranges. Rich in biodiversity and cultural heritage, the site covers 3,532,234 hectares and is home to 15,000 people. The core area is a part of the Golden Mountains of the natural UNESCO World Heritage site of Altai. Involved in the development of green tourism, this site cooperates with the Ubsunurskaya Kotlovina Biosphere Reserve and the Khakassky national reserve. Established as a reserve in 1932, it is among the areas of the world least affected by human intervention. Indigenous peoples living in the biosphere’s transitional area include Tubalars, Chelkants, Telengits, Kumandins and Teleuts.

Vhembe, South Africa, includes the northern part of the Kruger National Park, the Makuleke Wetlands Ramsar Site, the Soutpansberg and Blouberg biodiversity hot spots, as well as the Mapungube Cultural Landscape World Heritage Site and the Makgabeng Plateau with more than 1000 rock art sites. Human activities in the site are agricultural, including production of subtropical fruits and vegetables, cattle and game farming and hunting. The local Venda, Shangaan and Sepedi people practice age-old indigenous skills ranging from wood carving and drum making to traditional healing.

Fuerteventura, Spain, is the second biggest island of the Canaries archipelago, close to the West African Coast, featuring a wide range of ecosystems from desert areas to coastal and marine habitats. Dolphins and cachalots swim in island waters and marine turtles reproduce on its beaches. The local population is focusing on development of sustainable ecotourism, and the island is considered one of the world’s major geopalentological observatories. The island is increasing its wind and solar energy production, and represents itself as one of the models for the implementation of the European Union's Directive on Renewable Energy.

Lajat Biosphere Reserve, Syria, is located in the southernmost point of Syria on the border with Jordan and is the first nomination submitted by Syria. Rich biological diversity and some of the most striking landscapes in the region are featured together with the Lajat archaeological ruins. Ecologically sustainable activities include existing rotation grazing schemes, landscape restoration and excavations.
Alyai local community, Altaisky Biosphere Reserve, Russia (Photo © I. Kalmykov courtesy UNESCO)

Desnianskyi, Ukraine, is situated in Eastern Polesie, along the Desna River. With a total surface of 58,000 hectares, the site takes in forests, rivers, lakes, flood plains and bogs. Scientists monitor rare species such as bears and lynx, while local residents focus on agriculture, forestry, fishery and sport hunting. Sustainable development activities include organic agriculture and green tourism on the Desna River as well the Desnianski Zori ecological camp for schoolchildren. Transfrontier sustainable tourism is being developed with Russia including plans to establish a Transboundary Biosphere Reserve between the two countries.

Delta del Orinoco, Venezuela, is characterized by great biological diversity in both land and aquatic ecosystems. The site supports more than 2,000 plant species and a wide array of land and water animals. Biodiversity is complemented by the cultural wealth of the Warao people, known as the boat people. Promoting productive activities within the site creates opportunities to strengthen the Warao communities, secure their settlements and improve their living conditions.

Cu Lao Cham – Hoi An, Vietnam, is a coastal, island and marine site in the central part of the country known for its marine species - corals, molluscs, crustaceans and seaweed. The biosphere reserve contains Hoi An, a UNESCO cultural World Heritage Site, which is an ancient trading port showing the fusion of Vietnamese and European cultures. Linking cultural assets and natural values in terms of biodiversity, Cu Lao Cham – Hoi An is well positioned for promoting sustainable ecotourism.

Mui Ca Mau, Vietnam, on the southern tip of the country, demonstrates ecological succession systems on new alluvial lands. The boundary between mangrove and melaleuca forests, it is a reproduction and breeding area for marine species. Plans for the sustainable development focus on ecotourism and cultural tourism. Training is planned to improve agriculture and fishing.

The International Coordinating Council of the Man and the Biosphere Programme also approved extensions to four existing biosphere reserves - Mata Atlantica in Brazil; North Karelia in Finland; and Dyfi - now renamed to Biosffer Dyfi Biosphere - in the United Kingdom, and a 14-fold extention to the La Campana-Penuelas reserve in Chile.

The complete list of the UNESCO Biosphere Reserves.


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Turbo-evolution shows cod speeding to extinction

Debora MacKenzie, New Scientist 27 May 09;

Fishing is causing cod to evolve faster than anyone had suspected it could, fisheries scientists in Iceland have discovered. This turbo-evolution may be why the world's biggest cod fishery, the Grand Banks of Newfoundland, crashed in 1992 and has yet to recover.

The Icelandic cod fishery, almost the only large cod fishery left anywhere in the world, is about to go the same way unless urgent conservation measures are applied, the scientists warn.

Einar Árnason's lab at the University of Iceland in Reykjavik is part of MADFish, a network of Nordic scientists studying molecular mechanisms of adaptation in fish. They have discovered a gene in cod, Pan I, that seems to govern the depth at which the fish live.

Cod with the B form of Pan I live deeper down, except when they are on the shallow spawning grounds. Cod with the A form of the gene spend all their time closer to the surface.

As the cod close to the surface are most likely to get caught, survival chances of fish with the A gene are only 8 per cent of those with the B gene. As a result, fish with the A gene are disappearing rapidly.
Rapid change

Fisheries are known to exert selective pressure on fish. In some cases this has led to the evolution of smaller fish.

This was thought to be a slow process. "Previous workers have concluded that evolutionary changes are only observable on a longer timescale, of decades," Árnason says. "The changes we observe are much more rapid."

The A gene is being driven out simply because of where those fish choose to live, says Árnason. Such inadvertent, rapid selective pressure may drive some fisheries to crash.

"Man the hunter has become a mechanised techno-beast," the team writes. "Modern fisheries are uncontrolled experiments in evolution."

Worryingly, the researchers found that cod in the Icelandic fishery are becoming sexually mature while still smaller and younger. Something similar occurred in Newfoundland cod just before that fishery crashed. "We think this too is an evolutionary response to the selective pressure of fisheries," says Árnason.

To relieve the pressure, the team recommends setting aside large marine reserves to be kept off-limits to fishing. Spawn from those areas could then replace fish with A genes lost elsewhere off Iceland.

Journal reference: PLoS ONE, vol 4, e5529


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Fears for rare tigers after South Asia cyclone

Yahoo News 27 May 09;

DHAKA (AFP) – Conservationists in Bangladesh and India on Wednesday launched a search in the world's largest mangrove forest for endangered Bengal tigers following a cyclone that killed at least 180 people.

The storm caused havoc in the Sundarbans mangrove forest, and drove a tidal wave of saltwater inland.

Abani Bhusan Thakur, chief Bangladesh official for the Sundarbans, told AFP the forest had taken the brunt of Cyclone Aila, which hit Bangladesh and the Indian state of West Bengal on Monday.

He said forest workers would now search the 10,000-square-kilometre (4,000-square-mile) belt, where a recent UN survey estimated 650 Bengal Tigers live.

"The entire mangrove forest was flooded by a huge tidal surge. There are some freshwater ponds which the tigers drink from, but now everything is salty," Thakur said.

"We are worried about the fate of the tigers. We need to get fresh drinking water to the area for them."

In India one of the rare tigers swam into a village looking for dry ground, Subrata Mukherjee, the director of the Sunderbans Tiger Reserve, said.

He said it had been tranquilised and put in cage, and would be soon be set free.

"We fear that other Bengal tigers may have been swept away by the giant waves," he added.

At least one tiger died in November 2007 during Cyclone Sidr which killed more than 3,500 people.

The Sundarbans forest, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, lies on the delta of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna rivers, straddling the border between India and Bangladesh.

The IUCN Red List estimates there are less than 2,500 Bengal tigers left in the world.


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Supertower offers glimmer of hope in polluted Chinese city

Pearl River Tower in Guangzhou is being billed as a green beacon amid the pollution of China's construction boom
Jonathan Watts, guardian.co.uk 27 May 09;

You can see the carbon emissions rising by the day over the skyline of Guangzhou, where armies of construction workers are busy throwing up skyscrapers that will soon surpass anything in New York in terms of height and ­energy consumption.

It is the same story all over China where, despite the economic crisis, engineers are completing four more tower blocks every day – almost all fitted with air conditioning, heating, lighting and lifts that will run on coal-powered electricity.

The country is in the middle of the greatest building boom in human history. Six of the world's 10 tallest buildings completed last year were in China, including the 492-metre-tall Shanghai World Financial Centre. Even taller structures are on their way – such as the Shanghai Centre, 632 metres, and at 600 metres, the Goldin Finance 117 in Tianjin.

But among the giants there is one that could hold out hope for a low-carbon future. The Pearl River Tower, now being erected in Guangzhou, the provincial capital of Guangdong province, is being billed as the most energy efficient superskyscraper ever built.

With wind turbines, solar panels, ­sun-shields, smart lighting, water-cooled ceilings and state-of-the-art insulation, the 310-metre tower is designed to use half the energy of most buildings of its size and set a new global benchmark for self-sufficiency among the planet's high rises.

Engineers say the tower could even be enhanced to create surplus electricity if the local power firm relaxes its monopoly over energy generation.

Due for completion in October 2010, the structure currently looks no different from the many other masses of steel and concrete that are reaching for the sky in Guangzhou.

The horizon is rising fast and grey in China's wealthiest province. By the time the Asian games begin next year, the provincial capital will boast a 432-metre-high TV tower, excluding its 150-metre antenna, and the 391-metre Zhongxin Plaza. Both structures will be bigger than any building in New York.

While Dubai and other cities in the Middle East are building a handful of still loftier structures, nowhere can compare with China for the sheer mass of supertowers being planned or under construction.

One management consultancy firm estimates that China will erect up to 50,000 new skyscrapers by 2025. Along with smaller structures, McKinsey ­estimates that buildings will account for 25% of China's energy consumption by then, up from 17% today.

More efficient buildings could drastically reduce this demand, though few are likely to go as far the 71-storey Pearl River Tower, which combines many of the world's leading energy-saving technologies on a scale never seen before.

The most spectacular feature will be the four wind turbines built into the belly of the structure. The building has been shaped to drive air through the cavities at maximum velocity so the ­turbines can generate 1m kilowatt hours of electricity a year. The building will also produce electricity via the photovoltaic cells of the solar shades cooling its east and west facades.

The biggest contribution to energy efficiency will come from the radiant ceiling technology, which uses piped water to keep the internal space cool. Energy will also be extracted from the difference in air temperature between the building's inner and outer walls. Rather than use fans to recirculate old air, fresh air will be delivered to every floor through natural buoyancy.

According to Skidmore, Owings & Merrill, the US architectural firm behind the design, the energy efficiency devices add about $13m (£8m) to the construction costs. But this could be earned back within five years by reduced electricity bills, lower maintenance costs and extra rent from the space not used for air ­conditioning ducts.

Roger Frechette, the firm's chief engineer, estimates the tower will reduce energy consumption by 58% compared with a standard building this size.

Under the initial design for a "zero-emission skyscraper", it could even have generated surplus energy with micro-turbines that could sell electricity back to the grid at night. But this proposal was dropped after opposition from the local utility company, which is cautious about allowing rival sources of power generation.

This may change. Faced by a deteriorating environment, uncertain world energy supplies and pressure to act on climate change, the Chinese government is trying to shift towards a more sustainable model of development. It is experimenting with ecocities and introducing new green building codes.

Guangzhou is following this trend. As the workshop of the world, the city has a reputation as a humid, heavily polluted sprawl. But it is trying to change this by building taller structures as well as improving the infrastructure for service industries.

"We are trying to make our city more energy efficient. In the past, we expanded too fast. That was a mistake we are trying to correct now," said Chen Qing, the deputy director of the city's Urban Planning and Research Centre.

Not everyone, however, is convinced that skyscrapers are the best way to achieve the city's green goals, given that the Pearl River Tower will be built with 26,500 tonnes of steel and more than 40,000 cubic metres of concrete, and that its main tenant will be a tobacco company.

Meng Qinglin, a professor at the ­environment and energy laboratory of the South China University of Technology, says urban planners are following global fashions without paying sufficient attention to whether low emission buildings are what they claim to be.

"There is a misconception that buildings can generate sufficient wind and solar power for themselves. We need to look deeper at how much pollution is caused and how many resources are used in the development and manufacture of those technologies," he said.

"They call it clean energy, but often the burden is simply being shifted to other places, where the silicon is mined and the turbines and solar panels are made."


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Greenland Ice Could Fuel Severe U.S. Sea Level Rise

Deborah Zabarenko, PlanetArk 28 May 09;

WASHINGTON - New York, Boston and other cities on North America's northeast coast could face a rise in sea level this century that would exceed forecasts for the rest of the planet if Greenland's ice sheet keeps melting as fast as it is now, researchers said on Wednesday.

Sea levels off the northeast coast of North America could rise by 12 to 20 inches more than other coastal areas if the Greenland glacier-melt continues to accelerate at its present pace, the researchers reported.

This is because the current rate of ice-melting in Greenland could send so much fresh water into the salty north Atlantic Ocean that it could change the vast ocean circulation pattern sometimes called the conveyor belt. Scientists call this pattern the meridional overturning circulation.

"If the Greenland melt continues to accelerate, we could see significant impacts this century on the northeast U.S. coast from the resulting sea level rise," said Aixie Hu, lead author of an article on the subject in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.

"Major northeastern cities are directly in the path of the greatest rise," said Hu, a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.

This is an even bleaker assessment than an earlier study indicated. A March article in the journal Nature Geoscience said warmer water temperatures could shift ocean currents so as to raise sea levels off the U.S. northeast coast by about 8 inches more than the average global sea level rise.

NOT LIKELY BUT POSSIBLE

However, this earlier research did not include the impact of melting Greenland ice, which would speed changes in ocean circulation and send 4 to 12 more inches of water toward northeastern North America, on top of the average global sea level rise.

That could put residents of New York, Boston and Halifax, Nova Scotia, at risk since these cities and others lie close to sea level now, Hu said in answer to e-mailed questions.

Not only would coastal residents be at direct risk from flooding but drainage systems would suffer as salty ocean water would move back into river deltas, changing the biological environment, Hu wrote in an e-mail.

"In a flooding zone, because the higher sea level may impede the function of the drainage system, the future flood may become more severe," he wrote. If cities are prone to subsidence -- where the ground sinks -- higher sea levels would also make that problem worse, according to Hu.

The ice that covers much of Greenland is melting faster now due to global climate change, raising world sea levels. But sea level does not rise evenly around the globe. Sea level in the North Atlantic is now 28 inches lower than in the North Pacific, because the Atlantic has a dense, compact layer of deep, cold water that the Pacific lacks.

Greenland's ice-melt rate has increased by 7 percent a year since 1996 but Hu said it is unlikely to continue. Still, he and his co-authors ran computer simulations that included this fast-paced melting, along with more moderate scenarios with ice-melt increasing by 3 percent or 1 percent annually.

Hu said it was hard to say whether the 7 percent annual increase could go on for the next 50 years but said it was possible since the current rate of increase in climate-warming carbon dioxide is higher than the high end of projections by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

(Editing by Bill Trott)

Sea’s Rise May Prove the Greater in Northeast
Cornelia Dean, New York Times 27 May 09;

In the debate over global warming, one thing is clear: as the planet gets warmer, sea levels will rise. But how much, where and how soon? Those questions are notoriously hard to answer.

Scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, in Boulder, Colo., are now adding to the complexity with a new prediction. If the melting of Greenland’s ice sheets continues to accelerate, they say, sea levels will rise even more in the northeastern United States and Maritime Canada than in other areas around the world.

The researchers, Aixue Hu and Gerald A. Meehl, based their predictions on runoff data from Greenland and an analysis of ocean circulation patterns.

They said that if Greenland melting continued to accelerate, it would alter ocean currents in a way that sends warmer water toward the northeastern and Maritime coasts. Because water expands as it warms, this influx of warmer water would raise sea levels as much as a foot or two more than in other coastal regions by the end of the century.

The researchers are reporting their findings Friday in Geophysical Research Letters, a publication of the American Geophysical Union. Their report comes two weeks after other researchers predicted that climate-related ice shifts at the South Pole would raise sea levels on the east and west coasts of North America by yet an additional 1.5 feet.

These rises in sea level, if they occur, would be on top of an overall increase of one to two feet predicted by 2100 as a result of global warming. That prediction, by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations body, was rendered in a 2007 report that more or less ignored the question of melting glaciers and ice sheets because the process is so hard to forecast. As a result, many researchers regard the prediction as unrealistically optimistic.

The flooding potential of sea level rise depends in part on coastal topography. In places where the coast slopes gently, a rise of a few feet could send ocean waters 100 feet inland or more.

In recent years, Greenland melt rates have been increasing by 7 percent a year, the researchers said. If that continues, they said, the northeastern and Maritime Canadian coasts can expect almost two feet of additional sea level rise by 2100.

They said it was more likely that the melting would accelerate at a rate of only about 3 percent a year. In that event, they said, the region can expect an additional one foot of sea level rise.

NYC, Boston Could See Higher Sea Level Rise
Andrea Thompson, livescience.com Yahoo News 27 May 09;

New York, Boston, Halifax and other cities in the northeastern United States and Canada could come under greater threat from sea level rise due to melting of the Greenland ice sheet this century, a new study suggests.

Greenland is the world's largest island, covering an area more than three times the size of Texas. Some 81 percent of it has been permanently capped by ice, with many glaciers that slowly move ice out sea.

The new study, detailed in the May 29 issue of the journal Geophysical Research Letters, finds that if Greenland's ice melts at moderate to high rates, ocean circulation by 2100 may shift and cause sea levels off the northeast coast of North America to rise by about 12 to 20 inches (about 30 to 50 centimeters) more than in other coastal areas.

"If the Greenland melt continues to accelerate, we could see significant impacts this century on the northeast U.S. coast from the resulting sea level rise," said study author Aixue Hu, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "Major northeastern cities are directly in the path of the greatest rise."

Other recent studies have also pointed to the peril that sea level rise might hold for North America. A March study in the journal Nature Geoscience warned that warmer water temperatures could shift ocean currents in a way that would raise sea levels off the Northeast by about 8 inches (20 cm) more than the average global sea level rise.

But that study did not include the additional impact of Greenland's ice, which at moderate to high melt rates would further accelerate changes in ocean circulation and drive an additional 4 to 12 inches (about 10 to 30 cm) of water toward heavily populated areas in northeastern North America on top of average global sea level rise. More remote areas in extreme northeastern Canada and Greenland could see even higher sea level rise.

"The oceans will not rise uniformly as the world warms," said study co-author Gerald Meehl, also of NCAR. "Ocean dynamics will push water in certain directions, so some locations will experience sea level rise that is larger than the global average."

The 2007 assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projected that sea levels worldwide could rise by an average of 7 to 23 inches (18 to 59 cm) this century. However, many researchers now think the rise will be greater because of dynamic factors in ice sheets that appear to have accelerated the melting rate in recent years.

To estimate the impact of Greenland ice melt on ocean circulation, Hu and his colleagues used a computer model that simulates global climate. They considered three scenarios: the melt rate continuing to increase by 7 percent per year, as has been the case in recent years, or the melt rate slowing down to an increase of either 1 or 3 percent per year.

They found that the change in sea level rise would be lowest at the 1 percent rate, but would still raise levels more than in the previous Nature Geoscience study. Sea level change would be greatest for the 7 percent scenario, which is not surprising, but Hu cautioned that other modeling studies have indicated that this scenario is unlikely.

The new research was funded by the U.S. Department of Energy and by NCAR's sponsor, the National Science Foundation.


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Permafrost melt poses long-term threat, says study

Yahoo News 27 May 09;

PARIS (AFP) – Melting permafrost could eventually disgorge a billion tonnes a year of greenhouse gas into the atmosphere, accelerating the threat from climate change, scientists said Wednesday.

Their probe sought to shed light on a fiercely-debated but poorly-understood concern: the future of organic matter that today is locked up in the frozen soil of Alaska, Canada, northern Europe and Siberia.

The fear is that, as the land thaws, this material will be converted by microbes into carbon dioxide, which will seep into the atmosphere, adding to the greenhouse effect.

This in turn will stoke warming and cause more permafrost to thaw, which in turn pushes up temperatures, and so on.

But how and when this vicious cycle could be unleashed is unclear.

Indeed, some voices have argued that it will not present a significant threat, as plants will start to grow on the soggy, warmer earth and suck in carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere through photosynthesis, thus blunting the problem.

A team led by University of Florida ecology professor Ted Schuur investigated an area of tundra at Eight Mile Lake in central Alaska, where permafrost thaw has been monitored since 1990 but had begun to start many years before.

Schuur's team used hand-built, automated chambers, which they deployed at three sites that represented minimal, moderate and extensive amounts of thaw.

From 2004 to 2006, the chambers measured how much carbon was escaping from the soil and how much was being absorbed by any vegetation.

In areas that had thawed for the previous 15 years, there was a net uptake of carbon, meaning that the newly-established plants sucked up more CO2 than was lost from the soil.

But in areas that had begun to thaw decades before, the reverse was true.

There was a net loss of CO2, the principal greenhouse gas blamed for global warming, as older stocks of carbon were gradually released to the atmosphere.

"At first, with the plants offsetting the carbon dioxide, it will appear that everything is fine, but this actually conceals the initial destabilisation of permafrost carbon," Schuur said in a press release.

"But it doesn't last, because there is so much carbon in the permafrost that eventually the plants can't keep up."

Most of the 13 million square kilometres (five million square miles) of permafrost remain frozen, but thawing is already under way around the region's southern fringes and is thought likely to expand this century.

In that scenario, the permafrost could release around a billion tonnes a year of carbon, roughly equivalent to the contribution to greenhouse emissions each year by deforestation in the tropics, the paper said.

Even as the Arctic greens, the rising loss of older carbon "could make permafrost a large biospheric carbon source in a warmer world," it said.

Burning fossil fuels adds about 8.5 gigatonnes of emissions each year, but it is a process that can theoretically be controlled.

Permafrost thaw, though, would be self-reinforcing and could be almost impossible to brake.

"It's not an option to be putting insulation on top of the tundra," Schuur said.

"If we address our own emissions either by reducing deforestation or controlling emissions from fossil fuels, that's the key to minimising the changes in the permafrost carbon pool."

Study cites 'slow-motion' threat from permafrost
Seth Borenstein, Associated Press Yahoo News 27 May 09;

WASHINGTON – Global warming's "slow-motion time bomb" of trapped greenhouse gases in the Arctic's thawing tundra may not go off quite as fast as once feared, a new study found.

Even so, it remains a problem that in the long run is still likely to worsen global warming in an uncontrollable way, researchers reported.

The study, published in Thursday's journal Nature, looked at thawing parts of Alaska and found that greenhouse gas releases initially are sucked up by new plants as the Arctic gets warmer and greener. But that helpful effect doesn't last.

Eventually, between 15 and 50 years, those plants "can't keep up" and get overwhelmed, said study lead author Ted Schuur, a University of Florida ecologist.

At that point, a billion tons of carbon a year can be released into an atmosphere that is already warming because of carbon dioxide emissions from power plants, cars, and other industrial activities, Schuur said. That would contribute the same amount to global warming as the deforestation of the tropics, he said.

"I call it a slow-motion time bomb," Schuur said.

Making matters worse is that much of the gas trapped in permafrost is methane, which is more than 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide.

It's a vicious cycle. As the world warms, more permafrost thaws. As more permafrost thaws, more greenhouse gases are released and the world warms even more, scientists say.

For the long-term, the new paper "heightens rather than lessens the concern" about the effects of trapped greenhouse gases in permafrost, said Stanford University ecologist Chris Field, who wasn't part of the study.

Permafrost Meltdown May Bog Down Global Warming--For Awhile
Thawing permafrost may soak up greenhouse gas before it begins to spew it out
Scientific American 27 May 09;

When permafrost thaws, microbes convert ancient organic matter in the frozen soil into climate-warming gases, like carbon dioxide and methane, potentially triggering a positive feedback loop that further melts the Arctic.

But the once-barren soil also spouts new—and larger—shrubs that can act as a carbon sink, and scientists have wondered what the net effect of permafrost thawing would be on atmospheric carbon balance. A new study published this week in Nature suggests that changing landscape can counterbalance the release of permafrost carbon—but only for a little while.

"The greening of the Arctic will not compensate for the huge amount of permafrost carbon that will be released," says lead author Ted Schuur, an ecosystem ecologist at the University of Florida in Gainesville.

Permafrost contains approximately 98 petagrams (98 quadrillion grams, or 108 billion tons) of carbon—or one sixth the total amount currently in the atmosphere. In order to understand how rapidly this carbon would be released into the air, Schuur and his group have been measuring carbon dioxide absorption and emission by plants and soil at the Eight Mile Lake watershed in the northern foothills of the Alaska Range across what they call a "gradient of thaw." Then, they use radiocarbon dating to determine how long the greenhouse gas had been trapped as carbon in the permafrost.

Not surprisingly, the researchers found that more extensively thawed soils emit carbon at a higher rate than recently thawed soils. But when the researchers looked at sites that had been thawing for about 15 years, they found that the increased plant growth more than compensated for their old carbon emissions. After 15 years, however, these soils were losing much more old carbon than the new plants were able to soak up.

"This is the first real study to put numbers on these things," says David Lawrence, an Earth systems scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research who was not involved in the study. "Data like this are critical." He is eager to incorporate the new findings in the Community Land Model used for climate simulations.

Lawrence points out, however, that not all permafrost will thaw in the same way. The study was conducted on a type of ground called thermokarst, which allows water to drain away as it melts. In wetter areas, Lawrence explains, permafrost has the potential to turn into a peat land and remain a long-term carbon sink, but that could also lead to increased methane emissions. "From a global warming perspective," he says, "that could still turn around and be positive feedback."

Schuur agrees with this assessment. "We can't say its going to be 15 years in every place," he says, "but we can say [that] in the initial decade of thaw permafrost will be acting as a carbon sink, and by 30 years it will be a carbon source."


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Too much emphasis on emission targets: Chu

Reuters 26 May 09;

LONDON (Reuters) - Energy Secretary Stephen Chu said on Tuesday that setting exact targets for carbon dioxide emissions had led to an "over-obsession" with numbers, as the United States moved closer to overhauling its energy policy.

The comment came less than a week after a congressional panel approved President Barack Obama's landmark draft bill on climate change, bringing it closer to debate in Congress.

"There was a great deal of discussion on the Kyoto targets, and I'm not really sure which fraction of the countries that took part in that actually met their targets," Chu, a Nobel laureate for physics, said at a conference in London. "In terms of the targets, whether it's 17 percent or 20 or 25 percent, I think there's perhaps ... an over-obsession on these percentages."

The Waxman-Markey Bill calls for cutting U.S. carbon emissions by 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020 -- far short of the European Union's target of bringing emissions to 20 to 30 percent below their 1990 level by the end of next decade.

Developing nations led by China and India are calling for even deeper cuts in rich economies, arguing that 200 years of industrialization made them more responsible for the problem.

At the heart of the global warming debate, these targets will receive special scrutiny in December when world leaders meet in Copenhagen to discuss a new deal on climate change that will replace the Kyoto Protocol, which the U.S. did not sign.

On Sunday, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told Reuters that the emissions target touted in Obama's climate change bill did not go far enough to cut greenhouse gases.

The world could not wait for the United States to set its domestic rules -- the Waxman-Markey bill could move toward a vote in the Congress by August -- before agreeing a deal in December, he added.

Chu said the United States, the world's largest producer of greenhouse gases, would have to "move first" in cutting emissions despite the fact that China and India want rich countries to cut their emissions more deeply than poorer ones.

China and other developing countries have called for the U.S. to cut its emissions by 25-40 percent by 2020 compared with 1990 levels. The United States wants rich and poor countries to share the burden of fighting climate change.

"We cannot use China as a reason not to act, it is no longer a reason not to go forward," he said. "China's leadership knows full well how serious climate change will be for their country."


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World CO2 Up 39 Percent By 2030 Without New Policy: EIA

Timothy Gardner, PlanetArk 28 May 09;

NEW YORK - Global emissions of the main greenhouse gas carbon dioxide will jump more than 39 percent by 2030 without new policies and binding pacts to cut global warming pollution, the top U.S. energy forecast agency said on Wednesday.

Nearly 200 nations are set to meet late this year in Copenhagen to hash out a new agreement to control greenhouse gases as the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012.

U.S. President Barack Obama and leaders in both the House and Senate hope to regulate the gases with a cap and trade market in emissions.

Without new agreements to foster emerging technologies such as solar and wind power and burial of carbon dioxide underground, world emissions of the gas should hit 40.4 billion metric tons by 2030, up from 29 billion metric tons in 2006, said the Energy Information Administration, the independent statistics arm of the Department of Energy.

Many scientists say emissions of greenhouse gases must be cut 80 percent or more by 2050 to avoid heat waves and killer droughts from global warming.

Much of the growth in pollution levels is expected to come from developing countries such as China and India which burn a lot of coal.

"With strong economic growth and continued heavy reliance on fossil fuels expected for most of (the developing) economies, much of the increase in carbon dioxide emission is projected to occur among the developing ... nations," the EIA said in the report, its annual International Energy Outlook.

By 2030, carbon dioxide emissions from developing countries should hit 25.8 billion metric tons, while the pollution from rich countries should be 14.6 billion metric tons, the EIA said.

The United States is the world's second biggest greenhouse gas polluter behind China, but its global warming pollution on a per capita basis is nearly five times higher than China's. Developing countries say the rich countries are responsible for most of the greenhouse pollution since the Industrial Revolution.

(Editing by Jim Marshall)

Global Energy Demand Seen Up 44 Percent By 2030
Tom Doggett and Ayesha Rascoe, PlanetArk 28 May 09;

WASHINGTON - Global energy demand is expected to soar 44 percent over the next two decades with most of the demand coming from developing countries such as China and Russia, the U.S. government's top energy forecasting agency said on Wednesday.

The worldwide economic downturn has hit energy consumption, but an expected recovery next year could respark demand and boost prices, the Energy Information Administration said in its new forecast.

U.S. oil prices are forecast to rise from an average $61 barrel this year to $110 in 2015 and $130 in 2030.

Oil prices "begin to rise in 2010-2011 period as the economy rebounds and global demand once again grows more rapidly than non-OPEC liquid supply," EIA acting administrator Howard Gruenspecht told a news conference.

Global oil demand is expected to rise to 107 million barrels per day over the next two decades from nearly 84 million bpd this year. Oil will account for 32 percent of the world's energy supply by 2030 from about 36 percent in 2006.

Almost 75 percent of the rise in global energy demand through 2030 will occur in developing countries, particularly China, India, Russia and Brazil, the agency said.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will continue to provide 40 percent of the world's oil supplies during the period.

Renewable energy, like wind and solar power, will be the fastest growing energy source, making up 11 percent of global supplies. Biofuels, including ethanol and biodiesel, are expected to reach 5.9 million bpd by 2030.

The EIA said its long-term forecast does not reflect efforts the United States may take to cut greenhouse gas emissions or an expected international agreement to curb greenhouse gases.

Gruenspecht said the agency will analyze the possible impact of climate change legislation approved last week by the U.S. House of Representatives Energy and Commerce Committee.

But he said the bill may not change energy use initially, citing carbon dioxide emission limits and the allowed transfer of carbon cuts to developing countries.

"One could imagine that one could comply at least with the 2020 part of this proposal calling for a 17 percent reduction (from 2005 levels) just using the offsets and not having a significant change in our consumption or the way we use energy at all," Gruenspecht said.

If global climate change laws and policies don't change, world energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will rise by a third to 40 billion metric tons a year, the agency said.

The EIA's report also found that global natural gas demand will increase by almost 50 percent to 153 trillion cubic feet. The agency said that unconventional natural gas production, particularly from gas shale, will make the United States "virtually self sufficient in natural gas supply in 2030."

The EIA's forecast also predicts that in 2030:

* World production of unconventional petroleum resources, including oil sands, extra-heavy oil and coal-to-liquids, will quadruple to 13.4 million bpd, representing 13 percent of total global petroleum supplies.

* Iraq's crude oil production will jump from 2 million bpd to 5 million bpd.

* China's electricity generation from coal-fired power plants will triple.

(Editing by Russell Blinch, Neil Stempleman and David Gregorio)


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Climate Deal Uncertainty Clouds Carbon Market: Survey

PlanetArk 28 May 09;

BARCELONA - Uncertainty that a global climate change deal can be reached at Copenhagen in December has dented confidence in the global greenhouse gas emissions market, a survey released on Wednesday showed.

The Greenhouse Gas Market Sentiment, published by the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA) at a carbon conference in Barcelona, showed that over half of respondents expect a major climate pact to be postponed until further meetings in 2010. Out of 233 companies invited to take part in the survey, only 87 responded. Eighty percent of those were from Europe and the United States. The remainder were from Japan, Latin America, Africa and the rest of Asia.

It is hoped that negotiations in Copenhagen this December will result in a pact to replace the Kyoto Protocol which expires in 2012.

The aim is to get rich nations to sign up to deeper emissions cuts while offering greater assistance to developing countries to help them curb greenhouse gas pollution as well.

Over two fifths of survey respondents expect weak commitments to emerge from the talks and less than 30 percent expect ambitious targets to be set.

"The last 12 months have seen mixed progress on the climate change agenda due in large part to the global economic crisis," IETA said in its report.

World leaders have made tackling the financial crisis a priority, although many countries have included climate change measures in their economic stimulus packages.

Uncertainty over the outcome of Copenhagen has dinted confidence that carbon markets are delivering significant and cost-effective emissions reductions.

Sixty percent of respondents believe this is occurring in developing countries, while 59 percent think it is happening in developed countries. Over 80 percent of respondents saw efficacy in the markets last year.

Despite short-term uncertainty, only 9 percent of respondents expect the recent drops in carbon prices to undermine the long-term viability of emissions markets.

There is more confidence in the third phase of the EU's flagship trading scheme running from 2013-2020. Eighty five percent of respondents expect trade to increase by 50-75 percent in that period.

"(This) indicates confidence in the long-term viability of the trading scheme," IETA said.


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Maersk CEO Wants Climate Deal For Shippers

Karin Jensen, PlanetArk 27 May 09;

COPENHAGEN - The head of shipping and oil group A.P. Moller-Maersk called on Tuesday on governments to reach a global climate deal for the shipping industry when they meet on a new climate treaty in December.

International shipping was not included in the Kyoto Protocol, a replacement for which the world will try to thrash out in Copenhagen in seven months.

"What we hope for is a model that applies to everyone," Nils Smedegaard Andersen, chief executive of the Danish firm, told Reuters on the sidelines of a business climate conference.

Many shippers fear that competition will be distorted if the Copenhagen talks do not result in a global deal, causing some countries and regions to regulate separately.

"The most important thing is that it's the same for everyone. Otherwise you'll get distortions in global shipping competition," the head of the world's biggest container shipper said.

The best way to cap the global shipping industry's greenhouse gas emissions would be a tax on fuel consumption as that would be easiest to control and administrate, Andersen said.

The tax money should be put in a fund for environment friendly measures, he said.

"We of course believe it's easier to argue for a tax if money is actually spent on reducing the strain on the environment, rather than becoming just another source of revenue for governments."

Andersen said he hoped to be able to transfer most additional costs that a climate deal would mean onto customers.

"It'll depend how high the tax would be."


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