Best of our wild blogs: 19 Feb 09


Wildfacts updates: Semakau Checklist, nems and more
on the wild shores of singapore blog

Through the fire and the flames
all the links on Singapore bush fires on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog

Common Flameback eating chempedak
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Oriental Dwarf Kingfisher catching a frog
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Why you so like that?
on Ubin.sgkopi

Battle of Pasir Panjang Commemorative Walk 2009 Review
on Toddycats!

Invasion of the Singing Mudskippers
in Penang on the wild shores of singapore blog

Kuamut, our latest rescued sun bear
on the Bornean Sun Bear Conservation blog

Seen on STOMP: more bush fires in Singapore
on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog


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There's method in some messes

Andy Ho, Straits Times 19 Feb 09;

SINGAPORE is a dull city, says Mr William Lim. The architectural theorist says we disvalue our Geylangs and Little Indias. So we tear down the old to build new edifices without recognising the charm of these 'spaces of indeterminacy'. Despite their seeming messiness, 'there is a very unstructured order' about these places, he argues.

Spoken like a fan of complexity theory - the subject of a conference that the Nanyang Technological University co-organised last week. The idea is that in systems made up of interacting parts that can adapt to the results of their interactions - complex adaptive systems, they are called - lower-order interactions following simple rules can result in structured, higher-order patterns.

Like cells, tissues and organs that combine to form life, say. Or the millions who make up cities. Or Balinese rice terraces, which have been flourishing for 1,000 years.

At the conference, University of Arizona anthropologist Stephen Lansing sketched a case study of how self-organising, self-repairing order emerged from unplanned interactions among Balinese rice farmers.

Bali slopes down from several volcanoes in the island's centre. The slopes are dissected by rivers along which, for a millennium, small groups of farmers have held regular meetings in 'water temples' to manage their irrigation systems.

These temples serve to link places and social groups. Water management groups called subaks hold regular meetings in them to integrate irrigation decisions.

Networks of subaks form the 'congregations' of higher level water temples, which together add up to a top level water temple at the watershed level. Every year, representatives make a pilgrimage to the top to bring down holy water to mix into their subak level water sources.

For a millennium, subaks have made decisions collectively, consensually and democratically, with no one asserting top- down oversight. This is amazing considering that Balinese social life is otherwise dominated by a caste structure evident even in the way they speak today.

Contiguous subaks weigh how much water each gets, when to plant, when to flood the fields, and so on. The rituals at these water temples remind everyone of the totality of the whole system.

While each subak cares only about its own farming problems, an overall solution emerges that optimises irrigation flows for all parties. In this way, labour-intensive, complexly connected, irrigated rice cultivation has been sustained in this mountainous island of deep valleys. With little flat arable land, Bali should see dispersed, small scale, highland dry farming instead.

This hydraulic system brings water from the mountain tops down to the padi terraces along the slopes quite equitably, with no overall administrator. How did the subaks self-organise into a yield-enhancing complex adaptive system?

After all, upstream folks have their hands on the spigot. So why be nice to downstreamers? The answer: pest control. If everyone planted at the same time, there would be only one brief window of opportunity for their specific species of pests. Pests were thus starved the rest of the time. If upstreamers refused to open the spigot enough, downstreamers could refuse to synchronise their planting. Then, pests would move upstream to devour their rice crops. Thus the 'generosity'.

Still, how did such order get started if no king had set down the rules aeons ago? Working with complexity scientists at the Santa Fe Institute which co-organised the NTU conference, Prof Lansing built an agent-based model of 172 subaks planting at random times while observing and imitating successful neighbours.

The computer model was run to see if such an approach would increase crop yields. Lo and behold, it self-organised within 10 years into a system that mapped onto the actual one in Bali. In the model, yields were optimised when subaks synchronised what they did with their successful neighbours.

What if there were top-down irrigation management instead? In the 1960s, Western experts recommended five-year development plans for the Third World. The subak system conflicted with such plans. In 1971, the Indonesian government - egged on by Western experts during the Green Revolution - dictated the use of high-yield strains, fertilisers and pesticides as well as planting as often as possible. Within two years, pests had drastically reduced crop yield. Predictably, pesticide use escalated but to no avail.

By the 1980s, the government had ended the 'plant often' idea and reverted to synchronised planting. Pesticides were no longer needed while the traditional approach provided enough nutrients as rain water leached minerals from the rich volcanic soil into rivers and springs. Yields increased again.

A simple rule - 'synchronise your planting' - led to pest control and equitable resource sharing. This indicates that simple rules can lead to the bottom-up emergence of complex adaptive systems. By contrast, the 1971 decision to dictate strains and so on, showed what can happen when self-organising principles are ripped out.

So Mr Lim may well have a point. If we left the seemingly 'messy' parts of Singapore alone, the system could take just 10 years to self-organise into creative ordered disorder.


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Senoko to forge ahead with power plant revamp

This comes even as electricity demand falls for fourth month in a row
Ronnie Lim, Business Times 19 Feb 09;

ELECTRICITY demand continued to shrink in the past two months as the economy slowed further.

But generating company (genco) Senoko Power will stick with its $750 million plan to re-power its plants and also buy some liquefied natural gas (LNG) as fuel.

'Electricity demand growth is normally robust around 4 per cent a year,' Senoko's CEO and president Roy Adair told BT yesterday. 'But in the last quarter of 2008 we started seeing the impact of recession. There has been a significant drop in demand. The bite is quite material.'

Demand in December and January is estimated to have fallen more than 2 per cent year-on-year.

Recent Energy Market Company data showed demand fell 3.2 per cent in October last year and 2.7 per cent in November. This makes it four consecutive months of decline in electricity demand.

Mr Adair said yesterday that despite the cloudy economic outlook, Senoko's new owner - Japanese- French consortium Lion Power - is committed to redeveloping three 30-year- old oil-fired plants into two more efficient gas-fired units.

Lion Power, which comprises four Japanese companies led by Marubeni Corp and French power and water utility giant GDF Suez, announced the plan last October, a month after it bought Senoko Power from Temasek Holdings for about $4 billion.

Mr Adair said Senoko is keeping a close eye on the market situation but 'the re-powering remains a cornerstone of our development plan'.

Once the two new combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants are operational at end-2011, Senoko will have seven such units with total generating capacity of 2,805MW.

Funding is not an issue as Lion Power said last September that it had already secured bank finance for the project.

Mr Adair said Lion Power is in talks with Britain's BG Group - the sole LNG buyer here - on a supply deal.

Senoko Power, near the Causeway, now buys about 230 million standard cu ft of piped gas daily (mscfd) from Malaysia and Indonesia and will need a further 60 mscfd.

Mr Adair said Senoko will be a major user of Singapore's LNG terminal as Lion Power plans to go into LNG trading here once BG's monopoly expires.

This monopoly runs from the second quarter of 2012, when the LNG terminal starts up, until LNG imports build up to three million tonnes a year or 2018, whichever comes first.

BT reported earlier that Tuas Power, now owned by China Huaneng Group, is delaying plans for a $2 billion clean coal/biomass co- generation plant by six to 12 months as potential petrochemical customers on Jurong Island postpone projects.

PowerSeraya, which was bought by Malaysia's YTL Corp, will go ahead with an $800 million co- generation plant project but seems to be holding off on plans for a second desalination plant and a booster plant to extend the reach of its co-generation units to petrochemical customers.


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Haze heading for Singapore

Wahyudi Soeriaatmadja, Straits Times 19 Feb 09;

JAKARTA: Haze from forest fires in Indonesia's Riau islands is blowing towards Singapore, and the number of hot spots is rising although the situation is still far from the worst days of 2006.

There were 59 fires burning in Riau yesterday, up from 35 a day earlier, when the province's main airport was shut for about 1-1/2 hours because of poor visibility and four flights were diverted.

'Today, we are safe as the wind is blowing away the haze,' said an officer at the Sultan Syarif QasimII International Airport in Pekanbaru yesterday.

In Sumatra, there were 160 hot spots yesterday. Most of them - 62 - were in Aceh, a fraction of the 8,000 hot spots recorded in 2006 during Singapore's worst haze period in recent years.

No haze was reported in the seaports of Sumatra yesterday, according to a public relations officer at the Indonesian state port operator PT Pelindo II, which runs seaports in Jambi, Bengkulu, Lampung, Palembang, and Padang.

'We are fine. No disturbance,' said the officer, who declined to be identified.

The fires in Sumatra started after the government lifted a year-long moratorium on the use of peatland forests by palm oil companies, angering environmental groups which say the decision will contribute to global warming.

The Jakarta government will start issuing permits, which have been withheld since December 2007, immediately in areas that meet certain criteria, said Mr Ahmad Manggabarani, Indonesia's director- general of plantation crops at the agriculture ministry.

But the ministry said it has set stricter rules for awarding new permits.

'It will need tight control and monitoring to ensure that plantations on peatlands are well managed,' said Agriculture Minister Anton Apriyantono.

The ministry estimates that two million hectares out of 25 million hectares of peatland are eligible for oil palm plantations.

Indonesia is the third-highest emitter of carbon dioxide in the world, behind China and the United States.

Mr Ahmad said the decision to start re-issuing permits was to increase production of palm oil, which is used for cooking, cosmetics and as a biofuel. Indonesia is the world's top producer of palm oil.

'We are disappointed,' said Mr Bustar Maitar, a Greenpeace South-east Asia forest campaigner. 'We had hoped after a year, the freeze would be permanent.'

With additional information from Associated Press and Reuters


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Two bush fires in two days in same area

Blazing again
Lediati Tan, The New Paper 19 Feb 09;

THE forested area along Bukit Batok West Avenue 3 has once again been affected by bush fires.

The area was hit by a bush fire on Monday afternoon at about 4.30pm.

At about 1pm yesterday, the Singapore Civil Defence Force (SCDF) received a call alerting them to yet another bush fire in the same forested area.

Said Mr Lui Hoong Chen, 58, a technical officer who lives near the forested area: 'It was much bigger and more serious than Monday. Then, it was only a small patch.'

The forested area measures about 400m by 70m. An SCDF spokesman told The New Paper that there were four different sections that were on fire within the area.

When SCDF arrived at the scene, they found two pockets of fire, each covering an area the size of one basketball court.

The work was made trickier by the dense vegetation and the undulating terrain, which consists of an upward slopping area measuring 50 metres in height at its peak.

Due to difficulties in making their way up the slopes, the firemen took 45 minutes to trek to and locate the two hot spots.

About an hour into their work, strong winds blew embers onto another two locations in the area and caused the two spots to catch fire as well.

Firemen took another 45 minutes to trek to and locate the two new fire locations.

The fire there was spread over an area the size of two basketball courts.

Four fire engines, three Red Rhinos, five support vehicles and 70 personnel were dispatched to fight the fire.

SCDF could not confirm whether the fire was the biggest bush fire this year.

The fire was brought under control within 21/2 hours after SCDF's arrival at the scene.

The New Paper on Sunday reported a record number of bush fires in Singapore. A total of 182 bush fires were recorded last month - the highest number for the month of January in the past decade.

For this month, SCDF has already handled 106 cases of bush fires as of last Friday.

They bring the total so far this year to 288, compared to the 426 cases over the whole of last year.

Meanwhile, the weatherman has said that the haze, caused by the bush fires here, may stay till the end of the week.

The record number of fires has been fuelled by the soaring temperatures and dry weather. Also, weak winds can't blow the smoke particles away.

On Sunday, temperatures reached a scorching 35 deg C, the highest recorded for this month.

Singapore Bushfires Hit Nearly Decade High In January
Nopporn Wong-Anan, PlanetArk 19 Feb 09;

SINGAPORE - Island-state Singapore faced the largest number of bushfires in nearly a decade in January, thanks to an unusually long dry spell, the government's anti-fire agency said Wednesday. The tropical nation saw 182 vegetation fires in January, mostly due to the dry spell, which the Singapore Civil Defense Force said was "unprecedented."

"The Jan figures of 182 bush fires responded is the most number of incidents attended to by the force in almost a decade," Lieutenant Colonel N. Subhas said in an email reply to Reuters.

There were already 110 fires in the first 16 days of February, Subhas said.

The agency urged the public to avoid dumping of rubbish and materials on vacant lands to prevent fires.

Singapore's pollutants standards index reached its year high Sunday and the weather agency blamed it on the record number of bush fires, dry weather and weak winds that failed to blow the smoke particles away, the Straits Times newspaper said.

Singapore's climate is divided into two main seasons -- the December-March northeast monsoon and the June-September southwest monsoon, in which February is supposed to be the driest month.

(Editing by Neil Chatterjee and Sanjeev Miglani)


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Peatland conversions in Indonesia conditionally approved

Adianto P. Simamora, The Jakarta Post 19 Feb 09;

The environment minister has approved the conversion of peatlands to oil palm plantations, if an environmental impact analysis (Amdal) is done.

State Minister for the Environment Rachmat Witoelar was responding to Tuesday’s issuance of a decree by Agriculture Minister Anton Apriyantono on the use of peatlands, despite strong criticism from environmentalists that the move could release more CO2 emissions.

“The conversion of peatlands is possible for certain criteria, but should be done very selectively,” Rachmat told The Jakarta Post on Wednesday. “The conversion is strictly forbidden in [peatland] more than 3 meters deep.”

Asked if the Agriculture Ministry had discussed the decree with the commission, Rachmat said, ”No.”

Rachmat, who is also executive chairman of the National Commission for Climate Change, warned the conversion should also take into account the degradation rate in existing peatlands.

The commission was set up by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to coordinate climate change-related policies as efforts to cut emissions, and to help people adopt with the impact of global warming.

Indonesia has more than 20 million hectares of peatland, most of it in Sumatra, Kalimantan and Papua islands.

The deforestation rate of very deep peatlands reached 398,000 hectares per year in Sumatra between 2000 and 2005, data from WWF Indonesia shows.

In Central Kalimantan, peatland degradation is occurring in both shallow and deep areas at the rate of 20,000 to 25,000 hectares per year.

As of 2000, about 2.5 million hectares, or 12 percent of the country’s total land area, was managed as forestry production concessions (HPH), 2.1 million hectares or 10 percent as industrial timber plantations (HTI) and 2.8 million hectares as oil palm plantations.

“More than a third of peatlands are already managed, of which 3 million hectares are degraded,” said Fitrian Ardiansyah, WWF Indonesia’s program director for climate and energy.

He added the government should focus on using idle land for the expansion of oil palm plantations.

Opening up peatlands risks releasing huge amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere.

In 2007, the Agriculture Ministry issued a letter asking governors to stop the conversion peatlands into oil palm plantations.

On Wednesday, Greenpeace activists rallied at the Agriculture Ministry and called on President Yudhoyono to take action to stop forest and peatland conversions.

The call was made as Yudhoyono was slated to meet with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Thursday to discuss, among other issues, climate change.

Greenpeace Southeast Asia forest campaigner Bustar Maitar said allowing peatland conversion would make the President unable to meet his pledge to cut CO2 emissions from the forestry sector.

“Allowing the destruction of more peatlands is a disaster for the fight against climate change, and will only confirm Indonesia’s status as the world’s third biggest polluter,” Bustar said.

“With the general elections coming up, the Agriculture Ministry’s plan is fishy, because it seems like an attempt to satisfy the country’s powerful paper and palm oil industries at the expense of the environment.”


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Higher prices for sea turtle eggs in Malaysia

The Star 19 Feb 09;

KUALA TERENGGANU: The Terengganu Fishery Department is offering licensed turtle egg collectors higher prices in a bid to save the reptile from extinction.

The new price for leatherback eggs is RM5 each, and for eggs of other species RM4, Turtle Sanc­tuary Advisory Board chairman Datuk Mokthar Nong said.

The price was previously set at RM3 (leatherback) and RM2 (other species).

Mokhtar, who is also the state secretary, said the price revision was to encourage the collectors to sell the eggs to the department.


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Coral growing near Dubai's The Palm, say scientists

Derek Baldwin, Xpress News 17 Feb 09;

The jury is still out on whether Dubai’s offshore reclamation projects are a sound ecological addition to the Gulf, say world experts studying new artificial reefs at the mega-billion dollar developments.However, in interviews on Tuesday near the trunk of the Jebel Ali Palm, marine scientists said early data is promising - new coral is growing on the windward outer reaches of breakwaters erected around Nakheel’s Palm Trilogy and The World.

The comments from experts with the United Nations University International Network on Water, Environment and Health (UNU-INWEH) came as a two-day coastal monitoring workshop wrapped up in Dubai.

United Nations experts and Nakheel have teamed up in a partnership formed in 2007 to monitor the effects of mega reclamation on the environment.

“I think in 20 years you will have a rocky reef with some very large fish living on it,” said Dr. Peter Sale, Assistant Director of UNU-INWEG, in an interview, “hammour, the very big ones particularly, if protective fishing is put in place.”

Since a Nakheel-supported team of 11 scientists started collecting on-site data from dredged artificial reefs off Dubai shores in mid-2008, Sale said as many as 100 species of fish and 15 to 20 species of coral have been observed on site.

New colonies of phytoplankton, oysters, and invertebrates are also establishing their presence on the stepped-underwater foundations of the Nakheel breakwaters, he said.

The “richness of fish and coral is greater on the breakwaters than it is on the natural reefs,” said Sale, a 40-year Canadian marine ecologist.

The breakwaters protrude above the sandy Gulf bottom providing a solid substrate for new aquatic life, he said.

Studying the new manmade reclamation projects will be important, Sale said, for a world that has been modifying its earthly terrain for 8,000 years and is only relatively of late beginning to create new marine-based environments such as the Palm Jumeirah, Palm Deira and Palm Jebel Ali.

Accepting that such mega projects will become more common, Sale said “it’s more important that we are able to manage it and mitigate the changes…The fact is we’re not doing a good job of management.”

Fellow Canadian and marine biologist Dr. Ken Drouillard said “there is still a cautionary tale how these systems are managed in the future.”

Drouillard is head of the Organic Analytical Laboratory of the Great Lakes Institute for Environmental Research and Associate Professor of Biological Sciences, University of Windsor, Canada.

He said he was aware of problems arising out of manmade structures that by their sheer size and presence interfere with the natural ebb and flow of the water around them.

European studies, for example, have revealed that manmade structures off Dubai have greatly changed wave patterns and, accordingly, shoreline erosion along the emirate’s 70 kilometres of natural coastline.

The addition of manmade islands has created more than 1,000 kilometres of new coastline for Dubai developers.

Other studies have suggested that calm waters inside the Nakheel breakwaters are not subjected to rigorous natural wave movement and could lead to muddy like beaches and stagnating waters within the frond extensions from the palm design.

“There are several key issues that could arise,” Drouillard said, adding the team is concerned about the “lagoon” effect of calm water.

But Drouillard said that Nakheel has pursued efforts “to maximise water flow” to keep protected waters inside the breakwaters suitable for marine life. Large gaps have been punched in the circular seawalls at strategic points to allow water to flow through but not disturb the tranquility of the Palm settings.

Keeping protected waters safe from anoxia – oxygen depletion – is paramount, he said.

“You can get fish kills. There are a whole host of problems that require proactive monitoring,” he said.

Human residents of the offshore areas, as well, want to live in healthy sea conditions free of odour and stagnation issues, Drouillard said.

In a statement on Tuesday, Nakheel said that it has high hopes for the monitoring team and study results noting the effort could help find “methods for optimising circulation in lagoon areas” and “advice for improved reclamation design”.

The research programme continues to take comparison marine samples in “the southern Gulf and those developing around the Nakheel projects”, Nakheel said, “enabling an accurate assessment of the value of the marine environment that the Nakheel projects represent.”

The partnership

The UNU-INWEH and Nakheel partnership formed in January 2007 has several aims:

* Create a coastal monitoring program of Nakheel’s coastal communities
* Technical seminars to share new developments on coastal management practices
* Work with regional governments, NGOs and universities
* A new marine biological laboratory – EHS-Trakhees, opened in March 2008 -- with Dubai World

Source: Nakheel

Marine life returns to Dubai's the Palm
Vesela Todorova, The National 18 Feb 09;

DUBAI // UN scientists say that although the waters off Dubai’s coast will never again be what they once were, the Palm Jumeirah offshore structure is creating a new complex marine ecosystem despite years of disruptive construction work.

The United Nations University’s International Network on Water, Environment and Health, commissioned by the Palm developer Nakheel, compiled a report on the effects of the project.

They concluded that marine life is slowly returning to the coastline.

“They are developing into very interesting rocky reefs,” said the chief scientist behind the research, Dr Peter Sale, a marine ecologist.

Dr Sale is the assistant director of the United Nations University network, which has worked with Nakheel since early 2007. The goal of the collaboration is for the scientists to pursue a long-term environmental monitoring programme and a sustainable management plan for the waters surrounding Nakheel’s man-made islands.

Nakheel’s decision to build a series of structures along Dubai’s coastline has drawn criticism from conservationists opposed to the environmental cost of the projects, such as large-scale destruction of coral reefs and changes in water flows.

The Palm Jebel Ali, for example, is being built in a formerly protected area, the Jebel Ali Marine Sanctuary. The area was given legal protection in 1998 on the grounds that it housed one of the Gulf’s richest marine ecosystems, with 34 coral species and 77 species of reef fish. To mitigate the damage it has caused, Nakheel financed a scheme under which the Emirates Marine Environment Group, an NGO, transplanted corals elsewhere.

Despite initial positive results, the long-term benefits are still unknown.

Yesterday, the UN scientists acknowledged that the ecosystem that existed off Dubai’s coast has been lost forever.

“There are certainly going to be differences,” said Dr Ken Drouillard, associate professor at the Great Lakes Institute for Environmental Research and Biological Sciences at the University of Windsor, Canada, who participated in the study.

“Much more complex habitat characteristics were present in the past.”

Dr Sale said about 100 species of fish and 20 coral species have been recorded in the areas around the outward side of the breakwaters of the Palm Jumeirah.

“In 20 years’ time you will have a more interesting marine environment than you had before,” he said.

“There will be many conservationists who will disagree with me.”

But as population growth intensifies the pressure to build, conservationists will have to let go of “the idea that the world is going to be one big protected area that we do not disturb”.

“You will have to get rid of the people,” he said of the alternative.

The United Nations University study has important political implications for the future of artificial marine structures. If it is proven that productive communities can thrive around such structures, opposition to such projects in other emirates and countries will be weakened.

It is precisely because of these far-reaching implications that a UAE-based marine scientist has called for caution.

“This is not a straightforward issue,” said the researcher and policymaker, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he works for a government department.

“Breakwaters will increase the possibility of erosion and bring sediment,” he said. Sediment will impede the growth of corals.

“There are two schools of thought on artificial structures. Some scientists think fish come to that area not because the number of fish has increased but because other habitats have been destroyed.”

A marine scientist who is familiar with the area and also spoke on the condition of anonymity said that while some species would fare better, others would be jeopardised. “What about other species such as green turtles that are dying?” he said.

Pollution, development and climate change are threatening the future of many ocean ecosystems. Stemming Decline of the Coastal Ocean (PDF), which Dr Sale compiled, says that by 2050, 91 per cent of the world’s coastlines will have been affected by development, much of it poorly planned.

“Shorelines are hardened, channels and harbours are dredged, spoil is dumped, and submerged and emergent land is moved. Patterns of water flow are modified, and pathways used by organisms in their movements from nursery to adult habitats and spawning sites may also be modified or blocked,” the report says. Businesses and governments can sometimes form “powerful allies in favour of coastal development even when it is environmentally and socially unsustainable”.

Dr Sale said that while it is legitimate for the report to be critical “because there have been lots of bad practices in many places”, the projects Nakheel have built and are building “are not impossible to manage sustainably”.

Dr Drouillard said some of the challenges to the project stem from the lagoon’s environment, with reduced wave action that which can promote algal blooms. The scientists have also identified sites where organic carbon is prone to depositing, causing a lack of oxygen in the water and resulting in fish kills.

Other pressures will appear as more and more people populate the islands. Preventing these problems from occurring will require “proactive monitoring” and a sustainable management plan, Dr Drouillard said.

More links
UNU-INWEH & Nakheel reveal early findings of joint coastal monitoring programme press release 18 Feb 09
Stemming Decline of the Coastal Ocean: Rethinking Environmental Management A Special Seminar at the UN Headquarters


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Is it selfish to have more than two children?

Margaret Ryan, BBC News
BBC News 18 Feb 09;

Is having more than two children selfish? The future of the planet rarely plays a part when planning a family, but that's got to change, say environmental campaigners.

Parents who have more than two children are "irresponsible" for placing an intolerable burden on resources and increasing damage to eco-systems, says a leading green campaigner.

Curbing population growth through contraception must play a role in fighting global warming, argues Jonathon Porritt.

This week, the Optimum Population Trust (OPT), of which Mr Porrit is a patron, launched its "Stop at Two" online pledge to encourage couples to limit their family's size.



Mr Porritt said earlier this month: "I think we will work our way towards a position that says having more than two children is irresponsible."

He is not advocating a compulsory limit but told the BBC that couples should "connect up their concerns with the natural environment with their decisions as prospective parents".

"Every additional human being is increasing the burden on this planet which is becoming increasingly intolerable," says Mr Porritt, who runs the government's Sustainable Development Commission.

Each extra person in the UK emits around 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per annum, he argues, but he warns population is a subject even some environmentalists think too controversial to discuss.

The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the UK reached 1.90 children per woman in 2007. UK fertility has not been this high since 1980, according to the Office for National Statistics. UK fertility rates have not been this high since 1980.

The UK population alone is expected to increase from 61 million to 77 million by 2051 but the OPT believes the UK's long-term sustainable population level may be lower than 30 million.

"The more couples decide to have just one or two children, or even remain childless, the more they can relieve pressures on rapidly deteriorating ecosystems and alleviate demand for dwindling energy and food resources," says policy director Rosamund McDougall.

If women in the UK stopped at two children, this would cut the UK's forecast population by an estimated seven million by 2050, the OPT suggests.

But for mother-of-five Rosie Whitehouse, green issues did not play a part in her and her husband's decision to have a large family.



"Life isn't as simple as that," says Mrs Whitehouse, a former journalist.

"For most women the environment doesn't figure at all. I was making programmes about global warming when I became pregnant with my first son, who is now 20, and it didn't enter my head," she says, although she can understand why Mr Porritt feels justified in raising the issue.

"I didn't think about money and what it was going to cost either. I just had this romantic idea," she says.

Mrs Whitehouse, 47, who works full-time and lives in London, queries whether larger families necessarily place a greater burden on the environment.

"Money is important so you don't buy ready-made meals. I cooked up cauldrons of soup."

'No more toys'

And just because you have five children "it does not mean you have five times the amount of plastic toys," she says. "You just have to say 'no more'."

She has four children still living at home aged 18, 15 and twins aged 10 and says they are environmentally aware. But she does not believe green issues will be uppermost in her daughters' minds when they come to think about having a family.

"Pregnancy is introspective. It is a selfish time, especially when you first find out, " she says.

It's a sentiment echoed by mother-of-three Siobhan Freegard who says environmental considerations aren't even on the radar when couples think about how many children they want.

"If you polled mums and asked them for 10 reasons why they would not want more children the list would include money, sleepless nights and the strain on relationships," says Ms Freegard, of the online parent network Netmums.

The bottom line would certainly seem to focus the minds of many parents, judging by recent research. The average cumulative cost of raising a child from birth to the age of 21 is about £193,000, according to a survey by the insurer Liverpool Victoria.

Ms Freegard says it is "crazy" to think the impact on the environment would even figure in the family planning process.

She has two sons, aged 12 and six, and a nine-year-old daughter. With the birth of her youngest, she felt they were a proper family, although managing three children hasn't been easy: "It was messy and I lost control of things, but in a good way."

And as one of five children herself, she extols the virtues of a large family, for example in having siblings to share caring for a parent.

"It's about having some support and sharing the load. I wanted to recreate that for my own children."


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New rat species found on Philippines mountain

Yahoo News 18 Feb 09;

MANILA (AFP) – A new species of rat has been found on a mountain in the southern Philippines, the environment department said on Wednesday.

The Hamiguitan batomys, or hairy-tailed rat, is a yellow-brown rodent with a long furry tail.Weighing about 175 grams (6.2 ounces), it lives 950 metres (3,117 feet) above sea level in the dwarf mossy forests of Mount Hamiguitan on Mindanao island.

It was discovered in a joint US-Filipino expedition in 2006 that involved experts from the Chicago-based Field Museum of Natural History, the Filipino government agency said in a statement.

The Hamiguitan batomys is related to several other species found in central Mindanao, neighbouring Dinagat island and the main Philippine island of Luzon.

But its natural habitat is an area of less than 10 square kilometres (3,861 square miles), the agency said.

Lawrence Heaney, curator of mammals at the Chicago museum, said: "The unusual geological history of eastern Mindanao leads us to predict that additional species currently unknown to anyone except local residents are likely to live there."

He said the team would continue to "find, formally describe and learn about the habitat needs of these species before logging, mining, or other human activities reduce their chances for survival".

Heaney said the Philippines "has one of the largest numbers of unique species of mammals of any place in the world. Over 125 mammal species live only in the Philippines."

Danilo Balete, the Filipino leader of the expedition, said the Hamiguitan batomys "is the first mammal to be described from eastern Mindanao, and is the first mammal that is thought to live only in that area."

This, he said, leads him to suspect that the mountain is "a biologically unique part of the Philippines".


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New caterpillar plague hits Liberia, spreads to Ivory Coast

Yahoo News 18 Feb 09;

MONROVIA (AFP) – Liberia has been hit by an invasion of so far unidentified caterpillars while another species, which has attacked crops in several areas, has now crossed over into neighbouring Ivory Coast.

"On Friday ... we got information that there was an invasion of caterpillars in the Margibi County area. We know that is not the same species that was found in Bong, Gbarpolu, Nimba and part of Lofa," Agriculture minister Christopher Toe told a press conference late Tuesday.

"Our task force, our crop protection people, are now on the ground addressing this particular issue," Toe said

It will take some time to identify the new species. According to experts, the new pests are white and black while the caterpillars which attacked the Bong, Gbarpolu, Nimba and Lofa regions were black and yellow.

The first wave of crop destroying caterpillars was identified earlier this month as Achaea Catocaloides, a very destructive pest that attacks a wide range of crops including coffee and cocoa, key cash earners.

A representative from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation FAPO told the press conference that he had received reports that the Achaea Catocaloides caterpillars had crossed into Ivory Coast.

"I received this report that they indeed found the same caterpillars. They found them in the cacao and coffee farms," FAO representative Winfred Hammond said.

Experts warn that the caterpillars could do devastating damage to Ivory Coast's cocoa and coffee crops. Ivory Coast is the world's top cocoa producer and many of its plantations are in the west of the country bordering Liberia.

Toe said the areas first affected in Liberia by the caterpillars are still suffering from the after effects.

"The problem that we face has implication beyond agriculture," Toe warned. "Damage for example to food crops now could lead to food insecurity in the future as well as to loss of revenue and income."

He added that the community was also facing health issues as water sources were being polluted by the caterpillars' droppings and by dead caterpillars.

The local population has been warned not to drink affected water.

Over a hundred Liberian villages have so far been affected by the plague and authorities warn that hundreds of thousands of people could face hunger because the caterpillars have devoured all the crops.

Liberia has declared a state of emergency and called on the international community to help it deal with the plague, which has also spread to parts of Guinea and threatens Sierra Leone's border region with Liberia.


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UN unveils ambitious 'green' food programme

Yahoo News 18 Feb 09;

NAIROBI (AFP) – The UN Environment Programme has unveiled an ambitious seven-point plan to feed the world without polluting it further by making better use of resources and cutting down on massive waste.

A survey of the current state of food production and consumption released to a forum of the Kenya-based UNEP and world environment ministers showed colossal waste but also came up with green solutions.

"Over half of the food produced today is either lost, wasted or discarded as a result of inefficiency in the human-managed food chain," UNEP Executive Director Achim Steiner said of a 104-page report released on Tuesday.

"There is evidence within the report that the world could feed the entire projected population growth (of about three billion by 2050) alone by becoming more efficient while also ensuring the survival of wild animals, birds and fish on this planet," he said.

Researchers roved from the Arctic to Australia, noting for instance that 30 million tonnes of fish were discarded at sea annually, while "almost one-third of all food purchased in the United Kingdom each year is not eaten."

Prodigious quantities of cereals currently used worldwide as livestock fodder could feed people, the report said.

But waste of food produced is only one aspect of a wide-ranging survey that covers issues ranging from climate change, drought and land degradation to the negative impact of fertilisers and pesticides on crops and the food chain.

"We need a green revolution in a green economy but one with a capital G," Steiner told the Nairobi conference which runs to Friday.

"We need to deal not only with the way the world produces food but the way that it is distributed, sold and consumed, and we need a revolution that can boost yields by working with, rather than against, nature."

The focus on waste highlights a rarely surveyed field, Steiner said, and suggested, for example, that "losses and food waste in the United States could be as high as 40-50 percent."

The seven goals "for improving food security" covered in the report ranged from short-term price issues to long-term global warming measures.

In the short term, rapporteurs considered the regulation of food prices with safety nets for the poor, along with promoting environmentally sustainable bio-fuels that do not compete for cropland.

Measures to raise public awareness of the issues and also face up to climate change are expected to have a long-term impact.

The measures recommended for a mid-term effect include steps to:

- "Reallocate cereals used in animal feed to human consumption by developing alternative feeds based on new technology, waste and discards. This could feed nearly the entire projected population growth" (to an estimated nine billion people overall by 2050).

- "Support small-scale farmers by a global fund for micro-finance in developing diversified and resilient ecoagriculture and intercropping systems.

- "Increase trade and market access by improving infrastructure, reducing trade barriers, enhancing government subsidies and safety nets, as well as reducing armed conflict and corruption."

The document is entitled 'The environmental food crisis: environment's role in averting future food crises' and can be accessed at www.unep.org or at www.grida.no.

See also the UNEP press release


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