Deformities In Chinese Sturgeon Linked To Chemical

Tan Ee Lyn, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

HONG KONG - A paint chemical that is widely used in China is leaking into the Yangtze river and may be responsible for deformities and decreasing numbers of rare wild Chinese sturgeon, a study has found.

In an article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, researchers said a significant proportion of juvenile sturgeon caught at the river had either one or no eyes, or had misshapen skeletons.

Chinese sturgeon, which have existed on earth for 140 million years, are among the first class of protected animals in China. The slow-growing fish has an increased capacity to accumulate the paint chemical triphenyltin (TPT), which contains tin.

The experts collected two- and three-day old Chinese sturgeon larvae from a spawning area below the Gezhouba Dam, which is 38 km (24 miles) downstream from the Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River.

They later hatched in a laboratory in Jingzhou city in central Hubei province where 6.3 percent were found with skeletal deformities and 1.2 percent had either no eyes or just one eye.

"Maternal transfer of TPT ... in eggs of wild Chinese sturgeon poses a significant risk to the larvae naturally fertilized or hatched in the Yangtze River," wrote the researchers, led by Hu Jiangying at the College of Urban and Environmental Sciences at Beijing University.

TPT is extensively used in paints to prevent the fouling of ship hulls and fishing nets. It is also used in fungicide to treat crops in China. A derivative of TPT is also used to eliminate snails in paddy fields.

Earlier studies attributed the steep decline in Chinese sturgeon numbers to loss of spawning habitat because of the construction of the Three Gorges Dam and Gezhouba Dam.

MORE ROBUST TESTS

In this study, two adult males and two adult females of the Chinese sturgeon were also captured from the Yangtze River for artificial propagation and 3.9 percent of the juveniles were later observed to have malformed skeletons, while 1.7 percent had one or no eyes.

Subjecting their study to more robust testing, the researchers injected TPT into batches of eggs of the Chinese sturgeon and Siberian sturgeon.

"Experimental exposure of Chinese and Siberian sturgeon (eggs) to elevated TPT levels resulted in an increase in the occurrence of deformities, the rates of which were consistent with those seen in wild populations exposed to similar concentrations of the compound," they wrote.

"Together, these multiple lines of evidence were consistent with the hypothesis that TPT was the likely cause of the malformations observed in larvae of wild Chinese sturgeon, although other contaminants may be present that could produce similar effects."

(Editing by Jeremy Laurence)


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Fishing quotas 'set to be decentralised' under new EU rules

Rules deciding fishing quotas could be decentralised as European fisheries ministers moved to scrap current rules.
Chris Irvine, The Telegraph 26 May 09;

The move is set to give more power to member states and to the fishing industry - environmentalists and fisherman have long argued the current system does not work.

The EU's Common Fisheries Policy has been reviewed every 10 years since its creation in 1983.

It was last agreed in 2002.

Fish caught over quota are currently dumped back in the sea even if they are dead. Scientists have estimated that four fifths of EU fish stocks are overexploited.

The EU now has until 2012 to draw up a new Common Fisheries Policy.

Huw Irranca Davies, Britain's Fisheries Minister, said it the annual "horse-trading" over quotas need to be replaced by a "longer term view informed by good regional science and management".

Bertie Armstrong, Chief Executive of the Scottish Fishermen's Federation, said the announcement was "good news".

"We've proved beyond all reasonable doubt that the present framework - which is tightly-controlled by the Commission - isn't working at all and needs to be decentralised," he said.

"The outcome of this council seems to be that that's been accepted by all. We weren't absolutely sure that the Commission would be ready to let go and decentralise, but certainly that seems to be the theme.

"And that's highly welcome."

Earlier in the day, Denmark said Europe's 80,000 fishing boats should be fitted with surveillance cameras to stop fishermen throwing back less valuable fish.


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Manila Says Renewable Energy Investments May Reach $10 Billion

Manolo Serapio, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

MANILA - The Philippines hopes to attract $9-10 billion in investments in renewable energy projects over the next 10 years as a law giving investors fiscal incentives takes effect next month, a top official said on Monday.

"Our objective is to double the power being generated from renewable energy sources, from 4,500 MW to 9,000 MW in 10 years," Energy Secretary Angelo Reyes told a news briefing.

Around 15 local and foreign-linked companies have submitted letters of interest to develop projects, most of them involving wind, hydro and biomass, said Mario Marasigan, director at the government's Energy Utilisation Management Bureau.

These include First Gen Corp, Aboitiz Power Corp, Energy Development Corp, Oriental Energy, Green Power Philippines and Deep Ocean Philippines, said Marasigan, adding that state-run PNOC-Renewables Corp would take the lead in tapping renewable energy sources.

Electricity generated from renewable sources such as hydro and geothermal power comprise 33 percent of the Philippines' current power mix, and the government has said it hopes to increase that to 40 percent in a decade.

The Philippines can potentially tap more than 200,000 MW in renewable energy, said Marasigan.

Reyes on Monday signed detailed rules covering the Renewable Energy Act enacted in December, as the country aims to tap cleaner sources of energy and cut fuel imports. The rules are expected to be published this week and will take effect 15 days later.

The law offers tax breaks -- including a seven-year income tax holiday, duty-free import of equipment, as well as zero percent value-added tax rate for power sales -- to prospective investors in hydropower, solar, geothermal, ocean and biomass energy.

The Southeast Asian nation is the world's second-biggest producer of geothermal power, next to the United States.

Foreign firms are limited to holding a direct stake of up to 40 percent in any renewable energy project under current laws, Marasigan said.

(Editing by Clarence Fernandez)


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The Lithium Boom Is Coming: The New Bubble?

Steve James, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

NEW YORK - New vehicle emission standards will likely be a boon for everything from aluminum to new plastics, but the producers of lithium -- a mineral used in batteries that power new generation vehicles -- could be the big winners.

But while the few public companies that mine lithium will likely see surging revenue, they will also face the pressure that comes with all booms -- making supply meet ever-tightening availability.

Companies that mine lithium should see a long-term boost to their business, analysts said, although there are questions about whether there is enough lithium for all customers.

And some energy experts see the irony in lithium batteries replacing carbon-burning gasoline, since they believe

exploiting lithium could be just as destructive to the environment as pollution.

Lithium is generally mined from rock, but it can also be found in deposits in brine ponds. It comes mostly from one region -- the Andes mountains of Chile, Argentina and Bolivia, with some deposits in China. Chile's SQM is the world's largest producer, along with U.S. specialty chemical companies Rockwood Holdings Inc and FMC Corp.

There are enormous possibilities for profit.

"We are ready and able to expand production," said Tim McKenna, a Rockwood spokesman. "In fact, in the last 18 months, we completed capacity expansion of our Chile operations to keep pace with expected demand from the auto industry."

McKenna said the auto industry is not likely to bring lithium-powered cars to the wider market much before 2011, although the Mercedes S-class is expected to be the first lithium/hybrid car on the market late this year.

Rockwood, through its German subsidiary, Chemetall, produces lithium from brine lakes at Santiago Salar de Atacama in Chile and from a mine in Silver Peak, Nevada.

Chemetall has a 50 percent share of the global market for lithium and 30 percent for lithium carbonate, which is used for battery manufacture. It produced 27,000 tons of lithium last year and is increasing production to about 33,000 tons next year and 40,000 tons by 2015. Current global demand is 16,000 tons per year, or 84,000 tons of lithium carbonate.

WASHINGTON WEIGHS IN

This week, the Obama administration announced new vehicle emission standards that come into effect by 2016 and the rules are seen as favoring hybrid and electric vehicles.

Analyst David Begleiter, of Deutsche Bank North America, said lithium for use in all kinds of batteries -- auto, laptop and other consumer products -- accounted for about one-third of Rockwood's $3.4 billion revenue last year.

"There is no question (new emission regulations) will be very beneficial for Rockwood, although it depends on what happens with EHV (Electric Hybrid Vehicle) production increases and lithium carbonate pricing. But they all suggest material benefits for Rockwood."

Begleiter said Rockwood and SQM have some of the world's best lithium reserves.

"I don't believe there is a problem with supply," he said, although ramping up production might be slow because it takes up to 18 months for water to evaporate in brine ponds allowing the lithium to form.

Michael Harrison, an analyst at First Analysis Securities, said lithium would be a long-term driver for Rockwood.

"There is no question the long-term trend is toward lithium-based batteries, but it depends on what kind of demand there is," he said. "It is clear to me that regulatory moves on fuel efficiency are going to help make electric cars a reality."

Harrison said current hybrids and electric cars mostly have nickel-based batteries, but he expects to see more cars with lithium batteries by 2011-2012.

THE ANTI-LITHIUM CAMP

Not all analysts were uniformly cheery about the outlook for lithium or its major producers.

Analyst Ben Johnson of Morningstar voiced skepticism about new cars giving lithium producers a boost.

"It's a clear positive on the supply side as a small handful of players control lithium resources," he said.

"Lithium is not abundant by any means and future resources will be more difficult to exploit. On the demand side, key sources of demand like consumer electronics have been very weak recently, but longer-term, cyclical headwinds will fade or normalize.

"I am not jumping into the pool party that lithium is the be-all and end-all of transport fuel for the future. It's too early to say," Johnson added.

William Tahil, research director of Meridian International Research, an independent consultancy specializing in renewable energy, is not convinced lithium is the answer.

"Lithium Ion batteries are rapidly becoming the technology of choice for the next generation of electric vehicles," he noted in a research paper titled "The Trouble with Lithium."

To achieve the required cuts in oil consumption, a significant percentage of the world's automobile fleet of 1 billion vehicles will be electrified in the next decade, he said. Ultimately, all production, currently 60 million vehicles per year, will have to be replaced with electrified vehicles.

"There are insufficient economically recoverable lithium resources available to sustain electrified vehicle manufacture in the volumes required, based solely on LiIon batteries.

"Depletion rates would exceed current oil depletion rates and switch dependency from one diminishing resource to another. Concentration of supply would create new geopolitical tensions, not reduce them," Tahil wrote.

(Editing by Patrick Fitzgibbons and Andre Grenon)


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Solar Power Could Surge By 2050 In Deserts: Study

Alister Doyle, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

PARIS - Solar power plants in deserts using mirrors to concentrate the sun's rays have the potential to generate up to a quarter of the world's electricity by 2050, a report by pro-solar groups said on Monday.

The study, by environmental group Greenpeace, the European Solar Thermal Electricity Association (ESTELA) and the International Energy Agency's (IEA) SolarPACES group, said huge investments would also create jobs and fight climate change.

"Solar power plants are the next big thing in renewable energy," said Sven Teske of Greenpeace International and co-author of the report. The technology is suited to hot, cloudless regions such as the Sahara or Middle East.

The 28-page report said investments in concentrating solar power (CSP) plants were set to exceed 2 billion euros ($2.80 billion) worldwide this year, with the biggest installations under construction in southern Spain and California.

"Concentrating solar power could meet up to 7 percent of the world's projected power needs in 2030 and a full quarter by 2050," it said of the most optimistic scenario.

That assumes a giant surge in investments to 21 billion euros a year by 2015 and 174 billion a year by 2050, creating hundreds of thousands of jobs. Under that scenario, solar plants would have installed capacity of 1,500 gigawatts by 2050.

That is far more optimistic than business-as-usual projections by the Paris-based IEA, which advises rich nations. It indicates that "by 2050 the penetration of solar power would be no higher than 0.2 percent globally," the report noted.

CSP uses arrays of hundreds of mirrors or lenses to concentrate the sun's rays to temperatures between 400 and 1,000 Celsius (750-1,800 Fahrenheit) to provide energy to drive a power plant.

SUNNY

It differs from solar photovoltaics, which turn the sun's rays directly into electricity in panels and generate some power even on overcast days. CSP works only under sunny skies.

"We now have a third billion-dollar technology alongside wind and solar photovoltaics," Teske told Reuters.

The report said generation costs range from 0.15 to 0.23 euros per kilowatt hour -- above fossil fuels or many renewables -- and would fall to 0.10-0.14 euros by 2020. Guaranteed sales prices were needed to spur investments, it said.

CSP installations made up just 430 Megawatts of the world's electricity generation capacity at the end of 2008.

"CSP plants can deliver reliable industry-scale power supply around the clock due to storage technologies and hybrid operations within the power plant," said Jose Nebrera, president of ESTELA.

(Editing by Richard Williams),


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Climate change amplifying animal disease

Yahoo News 25 May 09;

PARIS (AFP) – Climate change is widening viral disease among farm animals, expanding the spread of some microbes that are also a known risk to humans, the world's top agency for animal health said on Monday.

The World Animal Health Organisation -- known as OIE, an acronym of its name in French -- said a survey of 126 of its member-states found 71 percent were "extremely concerned" about the expected impact of climate change on animal disease.

Fifty-eight percent said they had already identified at least one disease that was new to their territory or had returned to their territory, and that they associated with climate change.

The three most mentioned diseases were bluetongue, spread among sheep by biting midges; Rift Valley fever, a livestock disease that can also be picked up by people handling infected meat; and West Nile virus, which is transmitted by mosquito from infected birds to both animals and humans.

"More and more countries are indicating that climate change has been responsible for at least one emerging or re-emerging disease occurring on their territory," OIE Director General Bernard Vallat said in a statement.

"This is a reality we cannot ignore and we must help veterinary services throughout the world to equip themselves with systems that comply with international standards of good governance so as to deal with this problem."

In 2007, the UN's Nobel-winning experts, the Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a landmark report that warned changing weather patterns could widen the habitat of disease-bearing insects.

This would have repercussions for human health, in such areas as malaria and dengue fever, the IPCC said.

The study was issued on Monday on the second day of a six-day general assembly of the OIE.

The Paris-based agency, with 174 member countries and territories, is a clearing house of scientific information on livestock and sets down guidelines for sanitary safety and welfare in farm animals.


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Climate change 'means more disasters' for Mozambique

Yahoo News 25 May 09;

MAPUTO (AFP) – Floods, droughts, cyclones and epidemics will increasingly plague Mozambique in the coming years as climate change raises temperatures, the national disaster centre said in a study Monday.

Mozambique is already disaster-prone, with long stretches of low-lying coast that make it one of Africa's most vulnerable countries to climate change.

As temperatures have risen over the past three decades, natural disasters and epidemic disease have increased -- a trend that is likely to worsen in the future, says the National Disaster Management Institute's new "Climate Change Report."

"Mozambique's exposure to the risk of natural disaster will increase significantly over the next 20 years and beyond as a result of climate change," the study found.

The report, funded by the United Nations and Denmark, warns that Mozambique will suffer if the world does "too little, too late" to curb climate change.

Mozambique's coast could shift 500 meters inland due to erosion, the study added -- a scenario the authors say "will probably be catastrophic" given that the country's population is concentrated along the coast.

The country could suffer more severe droughts and floods, more intense cyclones, and worse outbreaks of malaria, the leading cause of childhood death in Mozambique, the study said.

The report also warned that decreased rainfall in the Zambezi river basin could reduce the energy output of Mozambique's Cahora Bassa dam, one of Africa's largest hydroelectric projects and a crucial regional power source.

The study advises the Mozambican government to expand its disaster preparedness "far beyond" current levels and develop a national strategy for responding to climate change.

Mozambique is still recovering from Cyclone Jokwe, which last year slammed into the northern coast with winds at 140 kilometres (87 miles) per hour, killing at least 17 people, injuring scores and leaving thousands homeless.

Mozambique also suffered deadly floods that forced tens of thousands from their homes in 2000 and 2007.


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Study says businesses can create clean energy jobs

John Heilprin, Associated Press Yahoo News 25 May 09;

COPENHAGEN – Business leaders vowed Monday to help world governments set a price on carbon, establishing a market that governments can use to cut greenhouse gases.

"I think we can craft some pretty clear direction," said Tony Hayward, the chief executive officer of BP PLC.

That approach requires governments to join a new U.N.-administered treaty for regulating greenhouse gases that proponents hope to hammer out by December.

It would set limits on carbon dioxide and then issue permits to companies that divvy up how much of the overall pollution each of them can emit. Any unused portions can be traded to other companies.

Hayward said most executives he had spoken with agree the world "is going to establish a carbon price" — making carbon emissions a global commodity, with a universally accepted price, probably through so-called "cap-and-trade" by governments and the marketplace.

The other option is a direct carbon tax, favored by some at the meeting.

The predictions came at a global business summit where corporate leaders are focusing on how to help politicians negotiate a new global climate treaty to succeed the Kyoto treaty that expires in 2012.

Hoping to create a global carbon market, the organizers of a world business summit on climate change said 2 million new jobs would be created in the U.S. alone if it increased its reliance on cleaner sources of energy.

The Copenhagen Climate Council study said the U.S. would gain that many jobs, if its electricity use grew by just half of 1 percent a year and a quarter of its electricity came from wind energy and other renewable sources.

EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso told the CEOs of major international corporations that similar investments could produce a million new jobs in European Union countries.

"Change also brings big economic opportunities," he said.

In 2007, EU leaders pledged that by 2020 the European Union would cut emissions of carbon dioxide and other major warming gases by at least 20 percent from 1990 levels, and increase its reliance on renewable energy sources to one-fifth of all its energy used.

"Achieving a 20 percent share for renewables, for example, could mean more than a million jobs in this industry by 2020," Barroso said. Such a plan must be joined, he said, by "a satisfactory international climate agreement in which other developed and developing countries contribute their fair share to the limiting global emissions."

Barroso said the EU intends to limit the cost of its package to about half of 1 percent of its GDP.

"Some people, however, have questioned whether this is the right direction for Europe during the economic crisis," he said, but the answer is that "the costs of climate change will be much higher if we don't make adjustments now."

He said the hoped for December agreement in Copenhagen on a U.N.-administered treaty will be "a major milestone on the path to a global carbon market which would increase business opportunities, particularly for European industry, and help to bring average carbon costs further down."

Oscar-winning actress Cate Blanchett, the artistic director of the Sydney Theater Company, appealed to CEOs not to let politicians fail at Copenhagen in December because of questions about who will pay the costs.

She urged them to think like her 7-year-old son Dash, who wanted to know why a dragon in a J.R.R. Tolkien story would risk setting himself on fire by jealously sitting atop a hoard of coins.

"Copenhagen must stop our butts from burning," said Blanchett, who starred in the film version of Tolkien's "Lord of the Rings" trilogy.

Also Monday, at a climate meeting in Paris, German environment minister Sigmar Gabriel said the talks got off to a bad start.

"The industrialized nations don't have a common position, and the developing countries are not ready for their own reduction commitments," he told reporters. "If we don't agree, India and China will not respond."

He said the United States isn't going far enough, fast enough, since Germany wants medium-term U.S. commitments for emissions cuts by 2025-2030, instead of 2050.

Just how far governments are willing to go is the key question at talks in Paris this week among top environment officials from the United States, China and 15 other high-polluting nations.

But at least one thing can be agreed on.

"No one contests the urgency of the problem," French Environment Minister Jean-Louis Borloo said. "No one contests the probably irreversible character of the problem."

The environment chiefs from nations representing 80 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions also are discussing how to raise $100 billion a year to help poor countries adapt to climate change.

___

Associated Press Writer Angela Charlton in Paris contributed to this report.


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Cash Seen Key To U.N. Climate Deal

Alister Doyle, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

PARIS - Tens of billions of dollars are likely to be needed to help poor nations curb greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change under a new U.N. treaty, European Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas said.

"Everybody agreed that additional money is needed and without money an agreement in Copenhagen will not be possible," Dimas told Reuters after the first day of a two-day meeting of 17 major greenhouse gas emitters in Paris on Monday.

The talks among environment ministers, the second in an initiative by U.S. President Barack Obama, are working on a new U.N. treaty due to be agreed in Copenhagen in December to succeed the Kyoto Protocol.

"We didn't discuss this (issue of cash) but the sooner we have this discussion the better," he said of the talks which included the world's top greenhouse gas emitters led by China, the United States, the EU, Russia and India.

The EU will debate climate finances at a summit on June 18-19 after delays partly caused by recession that has hit state coffers. EU leaders have previously agreed to contribute their fair share to developing nations, Dimas said.

Asked how much cash he reckoned was needed to help curb emissions, Dimas noted a European Commission document in January quoted independent researchers' estimates of net global incremental investments of 175 billion euros ($245 billion) by 2020.

Half of that total would be needed in developing nations.

And he noted the same report quoted a U.N. estimate that costs of helping developing nations adapt to impacts of climate change -- ranging from drought-resistant crops to coastal barriers against rising sea levels -- would be between 23 and 54 billion euros a year by 2030.

Part of that cash could be raised by carbon markets, some by public finances, some by other sources.

LOW-CARBON

Dimas said developing nations also needed cash, for instance, to help train officials to work out strategies to avert dependence on fossil fuels. "Money is urgently needed ... to help develop low-carbon national strategies," he said.

Many developing nations are refusing to outline what they plan to do to slow their rising greenhouse gas emissions, saying they need first to know how much aid will be available. Rich nations want to see poor nations' plans first.

But Dimas also said some actions to curb climate change in poor nations, such as replacing an inefficient coal-fired power plant, could save money by cutting energy consumption.

"There are quite a lot of projects, especially energy efficiency, which will pay for themselves," Dimas said.

France, Germany Urge More Flexible Climate Pact
Alister Doyle, PlanetArk 26 May 09;

PARIS - France and Germany suggested on Monday that rich nations should collectively guarantee deep cuts in greenhouse gases by 2020 while giving flexibility to laggards such as the United States to catch up later.

France said the idea, floated at talks among 17 top greenhouse gas emitters including China, United States, Russia and India, could help toward a new U.N. climate treaty due to be agreed at a meeting in Copenhagen in December.

"There can be more flexibility among us," French Environment Minister Jean-Louis Borloo told a news conference on the first day of the two-day talks among ministers, called by U.S. President Barack Obama to help work out a new climate treaty.

He said France and Germany reckoned that developed nations could collectively sign up to cut their overall emissions by 25 to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 -- the level outlined by a panel of U.N. scientists to avoid the worst of global warming.

"There may be some who act faster and others who do more later," he said. A collective goal would undercut criticisms by developing nations, led by China and India, that the rich are not serious in fighting climate change.

Countries which have said they cannot reach such deep 2020 goals, led by the United States, could contribute to a new pact in other ways, for instance via a bigger share of financing or green technologies for developing nations, Borloo said.

"There may be constraints on such and such a developed nation -- but we must reach this 2020 objective of 25 to 40 percent," he said. Nations meeting in Paris emit 80 percent of world greenhouse gases, mainly from burning fossil fuels.

HEATWAVES

"We have to find a compromise," he said, noting scientists' forecasts that global warming would bring more heatwaves, rising sea levels, extinctions, floods and droughts. Rich nations might need a meeting to discuss the idea, he said.

Obama has promised to cut U.S. emissions back to 1990 levels by 2020, a cut of 14 percent from 2007 levels. A bill approved by a key congressional panel last week would cut U.S. emissions by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020.

By contrast, the European Union has promised deeper cuts, of 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020, and by 30 percent if other rich nations follow suit

U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said on Sunday that he wanted Washington to do more, saying it was lagging the European Union in promises to fight global warming. Obama's plan are for far tougher curbs than by his predecessor, George W. Bush.

"I don't think it's correct to say that Europe is proposing a lot and the United States little," Todd Stern, U.S. Special Envoy for Climate Change, told Tuesday's edition of the French daily Le Monde.

"If you look at things from the point of view of the progress that each nation will have to make to reach its objectives, the U.S. level of effort is probably equal, or superior, to that of Europe," Stern said.

Analysts say the Major Economies Forum (MEF) talks at the French Foreign Ministry, the second of three preparatory meetings before a summit in Italy in July, are a chance to air differences away from the public gaze.

"The U.N. negotiations have somewhat fallen back to North-South finger-pointing," said Jake Schmidt of the Natural Resources Defense Council in Washington. "The MEF is a crucial place where you can make progress on some of the difficult issues out of the limelight."

(Editing by Charles Dick)

Climate change: World's destiny at stake
Jerome Cartillier Yahoo News 25 May 09;

PARIS (AFP) – Ministers from economies accounting for 80 percent of the globe's greenhouse gases met Monday to warnings that "the world's destiny" may lie in the outcome of a mooted pact on climate change.

The so-called Major Economies Forum (MEF) met in Paris ahead of a new round of UN talks aimed at culminating in a sweeping global treaty in Copenhagen in December.

"The world's destiny will probably be at stake in Copenhagen," French Ecology Minister Jean-Louis Borloo said as he opened the two-day meeting in Paris.

He spoke out against skeptics who predict the accord will cripple the world's economy.

"Copenhagen is not a retrograde vision, it's not the start of negative growth, but a new start for strong, sustainable, sober carbon development," he said.

The 192-nation process under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) aims at securing cuts in emissions of heat-trapping carbon gases and building defences for poor countries most exposed to changing weather patterns.

It would take effect after 2012, when the current provisions of the convention's Kyoto Protocol run out.

But the negotiations -- due to resume in Bonn on Monday -- are extremely complex and have been hampered by many differences.

The MEF's role is to try to identify common ground among the world's biggest emitters and then hand this consensus back to the UNFCCC for approval.

The Paris meeting will cover financing and the transfer of clean technology, Borloo said.

In Copenhagen, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso admitted the climate negotiations would be "extremely difficult" but argued momentum was building.

"There is now a new situation that would have been unthinkable just a few weeks ago," he said, referring to commitments signalled by China and the United States.

"Some of our partners who a few years ago denied the existence of the climate change problem are now discussing the texts for a possible agreement."

One of the stumbling blocks is a demand by developing countries that rich economies, which are chiefly to blame for today's warming, pledge deep cuts in future carbon emissions.

China has demanded reductions of at least 40 percent by 2020, as compared to a benchmark of 1990.

Supporters say a cut of this order will encourage the big developing countries -- led by China, now the world's number-one emitter by some estimates -- to give ground.

But the only advanced economy making concessions on such a scale is the European Union, which is unilaterally targeting a 20 percent cut by 2020 over 1990 levels, and offering 30 percent if other advanced economies follow suit.

By comparison, US President Barack Obama has proposed reducing America's greenhouse gas emissions by 14 percent by 2020 compared to their 2005 level. Analysts say this roughly translates to a three percent cut from 1990 levels.

US climate envoy Todd Stern told AFP on Sunday that China's demand of 40 percent "is not realistic" and cautioned that domestic US politics meant the Obama administration could only go so far with its concessions.

"We are jumping as high as the political system will tolerate," he added.

At a press conference on Monday, Borloo said "there can't be any compromise over assuring others that we will do" a 25-to-40 percent reduction.

The essential thing was to "work in a very imaginative fashion" to achieve a consensus among rich countries so that a 25-to-40 package was put on the table, he said.

"We can have flexibility between us, some of us will do more, more quickly, and others a bit later... there could be commitments that take effect two, three years later, there could be other commitments in other areas," he said.

He spoke of the possibility of "sectoral" agreements in industries that are big carbon emitters, such as electricity or steel.

The MEF was launched by Obama last month on the back of a similar initiative by his predecessor, George W. Bush.

Its participants include Australia, Brazil, Britain, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and the United States, as well as the 27-nation European Union.


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The Big Question: Is America finally getting real about climate change?

Rupert Cornwell, The Independent 25 May 09;

Why are we asking this question now?

Barack Obama has launched a policy revolution which will ensure that, if successful, his presidency will be a watershed in US history. Nothing however is as consequential as his attempt to change America's energy habits and fight global warming. The US may have been overtaken by China as the planet's biggest current polluter. But it has by far the largest pollution "legacy" of any country. Without it, no credible international assault on the problem is possible.

The George W Bush administration, following the path set by Ronald Reagan a generation before, virtually ignored the issue, in part because of its links to the fossil fuel industries, in part because of the Republicans' belief that free markets could solve everything.

Obama's approach is diametrically opposed. If anything, he has intensified his rhetoric on the issue since taking office. Some already talk of him as a "Green FDR" – a president who will bring the power of government into the fight against climate change and energy wastefulness, in the same way that Franklin Roosevelt used that power to fight poverty and curb market excesses three-quarters of a century ago.

What has Obama done so far, in concrete terms?

He has set a goal of ending US dependence on oil from the Middle East and Venezuela by 2020 and of cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 20 per cent from 2005 levels by the same year. He is pushing a first ever "cap-and-trade" bill on Capitol Hill. Last week he announced plans to boost average fuel economy for new vehicles on US roads to 35 miles per gallon by 2016, from about 25mpg today. Potentially most important of all, the EPA, the federal government's environmental agency, has ruled that carbon emissions are a public health hazard. That step, strenuously resisted by the Bush administration, gives Obama broad new leeway to act on pollution and emissions. Last but not least (and pardon the pun), the intellectual climate around the debate is changing too.

Is this as much about people as policies?

Indeed. The economic crisis has brought home America's energy vulnerability, and the absurdity of borrowing $400bn or more from China every year to buy oil from countries, many of them home to terrorists out to bring America down. Polls suggest that climate change is now registering as an issue for the public. And while the Bush/Cheney team resisted, even suppressed, science showing that global warming was man-made, Obama has surrounded himself with advisers who know the issue inside out – Carol Browner, his climate tsar (or rather tsarina), and Steven Chu, the Nobel prize-winning physicist who is now Energy Secretary, to name but two.

What about Congress?

There too, the stars are about as well-aligned as they could be. Democrats in the House of Representatives have introduced a "cap-and-trade" bill – the American Clean Energy and Security Act 2009 – aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 17 per cent from 2005 levels by 2020. Last week the measure cleared its first major obstacle, winning approval from the powerful House Energy Committee.

The aim is a final floor vote in the House by July, and a joint Senate and House bill on the President's desk by autumn. Without such a measure the US will have little credibility to press other big polluting countries like China, Russia and India to commit to stringent new targets at December's international climate change conference in Copenhagen.

As usual, the biggest problem is the Senate, where minorities have procedural means to block legislation they don't like. Within a few weeks however, Democrats may have the 60 Senate seats needed to prevent a Republican filibuster of the cap-and-trade bill.

But isn't the measure already getting watered down?

Yes, the original 20 per cent emissions reduction target by 2020 has been cut to 17 per cent, while the bill will give away, rather than auction, the bulk of the carbon emissions permits. As it stands, the measure is a hideously complex, 932-page monster, full of loopholes for those who read the fine print. Many in the green lobby are disappointed. But others reckon it's best to settle for an imperfect measure now, which can be improved later.

A larger threat is that the bill is squeezed out by others. Next down the legislative tracks is health-care reform, a more easily understood, and therefore more urgent priority for ordinary Americans. The saving grace for environmentalists is that if this federal bill dies, then states will be free to bring in their own stricter measures – exactly what the Bush-Cheney lobby tried to prevent.

So are we all Californians now?

President Obama certainly is. He has lavishly praised the steps taken by California to curb emissions, improve fuel efficiency and promote renewable energy. The state, the most populous and car-dependent in the US, has long had some of the country's most stringent environmental and emissions rules. It openly complained about the Bush administration's efforts to overrule its actions. California has worked with the other Pacific coast states as well as New York, to push anti-climate change policies faster than the federal government. If all else fails, that trend will continue.

But what about the car and energy lobbies?

They are less influential now than in a long while. The energy lobby, given the sheer sums of money it represents, remains powerful, though with far fewer friends in high places than in the Bush/Cheney era. As for the car companies that normally would be expected to steadfastly oppose stringent fuel efficiency and emissions standards, they are being kept afloat by the government. They are in no position right now to object to anything decided by Washington.

Will the recession make it more difficult for Obama to achieve his goals?

That is a clear risk. Republicans already claim that if implemented, this barrage of regulations and initiatives will raise corporate costs, acting as a kind of tax – the last thing the economy needs as it struggles to emerge from the slump. The longer recovery is delayed, the stronger that argument will become. The price of energy, above all the price of petrol, is another factor in the equation. If petrol remains cheap, the pressure for fuel savings and alternate sources of energy will inevitably lessen – witness the plunge in sales of fuel-efficient cars in the US since oil prices came off their 2008 peak.

For all his boldness in other areas, Obama has shied away from a direct gas tax increase to make sure a gallon of fuel never costs less than, say, $3 or $3.50 (compared with around $2.30 currently). Environmentalists say this would kill several birds with one stone: encouraging energy savings, the growth of fuel-efficient and alternative-fuel vehicles, and helping balance the budget as well.

Will Obama go down as the President who made the difference?

Yes...

*The country is at last taking climate change seriously

*The financial cost of continuing as before is unsustainable

*He must do, if a climate catastrophe later this century is to be averted

No...

*Recession-bloodied Americans are unlikely to put up with any further sacrifices

*The forces of inertia and the status quo are still too great

*Come January 2017 at the latest, Obama will be out of office


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Climate Change: Talk of borders just fogs the issue

Nayan Chanda, Straits Times 26 May 09;

AS THE United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen scheduled for December approaches, the debate over responsibility for the danger humanity has created is heating up.

The industrialised world is urging developing nations such as China and India to accept limits on carbon dioxide emission as a pre-condition for their own emissions reduction plan.

China and India retort that the West, being principally responsible for the build-up of greenhouse gases, should take the first steps and cut still-poor developing countries some slack.

Even now, the Copenhagen negotiations seem to be headed for a stalemate, or at best another unenforceable commitment like the Kyoto Protocol. Despite all their talk of a global threat, politicians find it hard to admit to their fellow countrymen the simple fact that national borders are irrelevant to the climate.

Millions of people living in the Bay of Bengal area will be made homeless as the sea level rises. That they never drove a car or owned a television set or that they have the smallest carbon footprint on earth means nothing. The carbon innocence of those whose homes may be swept away by fast-melting Himalayan glaciers too would not make any difference. Shoppers in California who enjoy cheap Chinese-made goods at their local Wal-mart surely do not expect the 'brown cloud' of pollution blown across the Pacific from China to add to their smog. In the end, the impact of pollution affects all.

A recent study showed that one-third of China's pollution comes from the production of its exports. But instead of focusing on the collective responsibility of buyers and sellers, that finding produced only finger-pointing. Chinese officials urged Americans to change their lifestyle and consume less; and China's critics blamed Beijing for shipping its pollution to the suppliers of components and raw materials. Nobel laureate and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman joined the fray by calling for a carbon tax to be imposed on Chinese exports.

Mr Krugman argues that 'shoppers who buy Chinese products should pay a 'carbon tariff' that reflects the emissions associated with those goods' production.' To the reply that such taxation goes against World Trade Organisation rules, he says: 'Sorry, but the climate change consequences of Chinese production have to be taken into account.'

Against the backdrop of a debate about who is more to blame for greenhouse emissions, the world remains on an inexorable path of warming. Greenland is cracking and glaciers have broken up. The Arctic is becoming ice-free in the summer, creating a feedback loop of further warming of dark ice-free water and accelerating the prospect of sea level rising. Such a rise will, at some point, make the Maldives disappear and devastate the lives of tens of millions of coastal residents from Bangladesh to South-east Asia.

Himalayan and Tibetan glaciers have been shrinking at an alarming rate, threatening the livelihood of over a billion people dependent on the major river systems of Asia. These hitherto slow-motion changes have been accelerating along with fossil fuel generated economic growth. That acceleration is now being monitored in daily satellite images of the troubled earth. The images along with the predictions by scientists have cast dark shadows over decades of economic growth that has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty in the developing world. But even as the environmental costs of the growth have come sharply into focus, governments have continued to engage in the blame game.

The US notes China's emergence in 2008 as the world's top polluter and calls for its emissions to be capped urgently. China points to centuries of Western pollution responsible for 64 per cent of the stock of greenhouse gases associated with climate change. Its own per capita emission of carbon is just four tonnes compared to America's 20 tonnes. It is unquestionably a tough job bordering on political suicide to ask global citizens rather than citizens of specific blameworthy countries to bear hardships now in order to prevent some nebulous disaster in the future.

But leaders of both the developed and developing world must at some point acknowledge the threat hanging over humanity like Damocles' sword. The threat of global climate change is not one that can be calculated on a national per capita basis.

The writer is editor of YaleGlobal Online.


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Best of our wild blogs: 25 May 09


Chek Jawa Boardwalk Tour - 31 May 2009
upcoming walk on the Adventures with the Naked Hermit Crabs blog

Get Web with Singapore Spiders, 5 Jun, Fri, 7pm
on the Midnight Monkey Monitor blog

Environment Minister gets acquainted with Hantu Blog
on the Pulau Hantu blog

Exploring A New Part Of Tanah Merah
on the colourful clouds blog and on the wild shores of singapore blog with fascinating fishes

Along Forest Fringes
on the Beauty of Fauna and Flora in Nature blog

Backyard Biology: Field Trip to MMM
on the spotlight's on nature blog

Changeable Hawk Eagle catches a rat
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

EnviroFest 2009 - Day 2
on the hantu blog and the wild shores of singapore blog and the annotated budak blog

The week in pictures
on talfryn.net

Monday Morgue: 25th May 2009
on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog


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