Global warming may require higher dams, stilts

Seth Borenstein, Associated Press Yahoo News 4 Dec 09;

With the world losing the battle against global warming so far, experts are warning that humans need to follow nature's example: Adapt or die.

That means elevating buildings, making taller and stronger dams and seawalls, rerouting water systems, restricting certain developments, changing farming practices and ultimately moving people, plants and animals out of harm's way.

Adapting to rising seas and higher temperatures is expected to be a big topic at the U.N. climate-change talks in Copenhagen next week, along with the projected cost — hundreds of billions of dollars, much of it going to countries that cannot afford it.

That adaptation will be a major focus is remarkable in itself. Until the past couple of years, experts avoided talking about adjusting to global warming for fear of sounding fatalistic or causing countries to back off efforts to reduce emissions.

"It's something that's been neglected, hasn't been talked about and it's something the world will have to do," said Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "Adaptation is going to be absolutely crucial for some societies."

Some biologists point to how nature has handled the changing climate. The rare Adonis blue butterfly of Britain looked as if it was going to disappear because it couldn't fly far and global warming was making its habitat unbearable. To biologists' surprise, it evolved longer thoraxes and wings, allowing it to fly farther to cooler locales.

"Society needs to be changing as much as wildlife is changing," said Texas A&M biologist Camille Parmesan, an expert on how species change with global warming.

One difficulty is that climate change is happening rapidly.

"Adaptation will be particularly challenging because the rate of change is escalating and is moving outside the range to which society has adapted in the past" when more natural climate changes happened, U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration chief Jane Lubchenco, a marine biologist, told Congress on Wednesday.

Cities, states and countries are scrambling to adapt or are at least talking about it and setting aside money for it. Some examples:

• England is strengthening the Thames River flood control barrier at a cost of around half a billion dollars.

• The Netherlands is making its crucial flood control system stronger.

• California is redesigning the gates that move water around the agriculturally vital Sacramento River Delta so that they can work when the sea level rises dramatically there.

• Boston elevated a sewage treatment plant to keep it from being flooded when sea level rises. New York City is looking at similar maneuvers for water plants.

• Chicago has a program to promote rooftop vegetation and reflective roofs that absorb less heat. That could keep the temperature down and ease heat waves.

• Engineers are installing "thermal siphons" along the oil pipeline in Alaska, which is built on permafrost that is thawing, to draw heat away from the ground.

• Researchers are uprooting moisture-loving trees along British Columbia's coastal rainforests and dropping their seedlings in the dry ponderosa pine forests of Idaho, where they are more likely to survive.

• Singapore plans to cut its flood-prone areas in half by 2011 by widening and deepening drains and canals and completing a $226 million dam at the mouth of the city's main river.

• In Thailand, there are large-scale efforts to protect places from rising sea levels. Monks at one temple outside Bangkok had to raise the floor by more than 3 feet.

• Desperately poor Bangladesh is spending more than $50 million on adaptation. It is trying to fend off the sea with flood control and buildings on stilts.

President Barack Obama and Congress are talking about $1.2 billion a year from the U.S. for international climate aid, which includes adaptation. The U.N. climate chief, Yvo de Boer, said $10 billion to $12 billion a year is needed from developed countries through 2012 to "kick-start" things. Then it will get even more expensive.

The World Bank estimates adaptation costs will total $75 billion to $100 billion a year over the next 40 years. The International Institute for Environment and Development, a London think tank, says that number is too low.

It may even be $200 billion a year or $300 billion a year, said Chris Hope, a business school professor at the University of Cambridge and part of the IIED study.

Nevertheless, Hope said failing to adapt would be even more expensive — perhaps $6 trillion a year on average over the next 200 years. Adaptation could cut that by about $2 trillion a year, he said.

As much as three-quarters of the spending will be needed in the developing world, experts say.

"Those are not the countries that caused the problem," Hope said. "There's a pretty strong moral case for us giving them assistance for the impacts that we've largely caused."

Sending money from rich countries to poor ones raises questions of who will control the spending and whether it will be wasted or stolen.

As for helping plants and animals, British climate scientist Martin Parry said the world will have to create a triage system to figure out which living things can be saved, which can't and are effectively goners, and which don't need immediate help.

"It's a brutal way to go about things," Parry said.

And what about people?

Some islands, such as the Maldives, and some coastal cities will not be able to survive rising seas no matter what protections are put in place, said Saleemel Huq, a senior fellow at IIED who runs an adaptation center in Bangladesh. In those cases, he said, the world will need "planned relocation" of people and cities.

Parmesan said people are going to have to realize that "some areas are not going to be good enough to live in in the next 100 years."

___

Associated Press writers Michael Casey in Bangkok, Alex Kennedy in Singapore, and Minh Tran in Hanoi, Vietnam, contributed to this report.

___

On the Net

International Institute for Environment and Development report on costs of adaptation: http://tinyurl.com/iiedadapt

United Nations climate change convention adaptation site: http://unfccc.int/adaptation/items/4159.php

U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration adaptation site: http://tinyurl.com/noaadapt

California adaptation strategy: http://www.climatechange.ca.gov/adaptation/


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China should adapt to climate change: meteorologist

Yahoo News 3 Dec 09;

BEIJING (AFP) – China's top meteorologist has warned climate change could cause "incalculable" damage to the country and that efforts should focus on adapting to global warming rather than slowing it.

The comments by the head of the China Meteorological Administration appeared to mark a departure from the government stance that has so far stressed both as equally important.

"Global warming is a fact. For a huge developing country like China it's more practical and urgent to adapt to climate change than to seek to slow down the process," said Zheng Guoguang.

Zheng was writing in the latest edition of Seeking Truth, a Communist Party magazine, released this week just days before a global conference on climate change in Copenhagen where China is expected to play a crucial role.

China has made both slowing the pace of climate change and adapting to the new environmental challenges official priorities.

Yang Ailun, Greenpeace China's climate and energy campaigner, criticised Zheng's comments as "not a very responsible signal" to be sending the world ahead of next week's summit.

"It is crucial for China to adapt (to climate change) because China will be badly affected. However China is the biggest carbon dioxide emitter and has an increasingly important role in tackling emissions," Yang said.

Yang added that Zheng's comments were "not in line with the government's position" and may merely reflect a personal view.

It is rare for officials to express views at variance with China's official line.

China faces potentially disastrous consequences from climate change, wrote Zheng, who is also a member of a group tasked with developing China's climate change policies.

He estimated grain production could slump 37 percent in the second half of this century without "adequate adaptive measures", threatening the country's food security.

"If extreme climatic disasters occur twice or more within five years, for example, a major drought over two or three years, then the impact on our country's economic and social development would be incalculable," Zheng said. Zheng said annual grain output could fluctuate by 30 to 50 percent from long-term averages as climate change leads to more severe drought and floods.

Extreme weather conditions currently cause production to fluctuate by between 10 and 20 percent, he said.

China should prioritise "reducing the impact of global warming on the country's food security and strengthening the capacity of agriculture to withstand climatic risks," Zheng said.

Zheng urged Beijing to increase the nation's grain reserves, boost productivity and better protect arable land and water supplies.

His comments came after China last week unveiled a plan to slow growth in its world-leading carbon emissions.

Despite saying it is a major victim of climate change, China is resisting calls by rich nations such as the United States to agree to emissions cuts.

Beijing says the developed world is largely to blame for climate change and should bear the burden of reducing emissions.


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Forest-CO2 Scheme Needs Cash To Save Species: Study

David Fogarty, PlanetArk 4 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE - A U.N. carbon-payment scheme aimed at saving forests in poorer nations could push some species to extinction unless it is designed to spread investment across many countries, a study released on Friday shows.

The United Nations wants the scheme, called reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD), to be part of a broader pact to fight climate change by rewarding poorer nations for preserving forests through carbon offset revenue.

Deforestation is a major source of mankind's greenhouse gas emissions.

The United Nations hopes REDD will slow the destruction of forests, particularly tropical forests that act like lungs by soaking up and locking away planet-warming carbon dioxide.

But Oscar Venter, of the University of Queensland in Australia, and his colleagues says the risk is that investors will focus more on saving forests that are most cost-effective for reducing carbon emissions, such as Brazil's Amazon basin.

That would leave species-rich "hotspots" in Madagascar, Indonesia and the Philippines at risk of destruction.

"The study reveals if carbon payments focus narrowly on carbon and ignore threatened biodiversity, carbon-trading alone won't be enough to stave off large-scale extinctions of tropical species," said co-author Kerrie Wilson.

The study, published on Friday in the journal Science, says relatively small amounts of cash could help save species in less financially attractive areas.

Venter told Reuters any final design on REDD, which negotiators will be discussing at U.N. climate talks in Copenhagen from Monday, must enshrine protection of biodiversity, a scientific term that has critical meaning to our well-being.

"We get tonnes of services from nature -- water filtration, sediment retention, fire abatement, clean air. These are things that we get for free.

"It you start eroding the biodiversity providing those services, all those things, the stability of your fields for growing crops, the cleanliness of your rivers, will all start disappearing."

CARBON RISK-REWARD

Venter and his colleagues used complex modeling looking at business-as-usual deforestation rates in 68 developing countries from 2006 to 2015. They found if deforestation could be cut by 20 percent, funding for a cost-effective REDD scheme would be spent in eight countries.

The bulk of the investment would go to South America, particularly Brazil. None would go to Asia because major investments in palm oil and other crops meant the costs of displacing these activities makes REDD expensive.

Funding to cut deforestation by 40 percent would see investments in 20 countries, again mostly in South America.

The study says that through careful targeting of REDD funds, the biodiversity benefits could be doubled while incurring a 4-8 percent reduction in the amount of averted carbon emissions.

Venter said one solution was for big conservation groups such as WWF and The Nature Conservancy to spend more of their sizeable annual budgets on developing REDD schemes with a major biodiversity component.

He also felt that some companies would be willing to pay a slightly higher price for carbon offsets from projects that helped saved areas rich in endangered animal and plant species.

(Editing by Nick Macfie)


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Global emissions only 'few billion tonnes' short of targets, says Stern

Leading economist says world leaders are more than halfway towards pledges needed for effective deal at Copenhagen
Press Association, guardian.co.uk 3 Dec 09;

Offers on the table ahead of the Copenhagen climate change talks are only "a few billion tonnes" short of the scale of annual CO2 emission cuts required to meet 2020 environment targets, Lord Stern said today.

He acknowledged there was a "significant way to go" but insisted: "It is possible to get there."

The economist and global warming expert was speaking in Brussels after breakfast talks with European commission President Jose Manuel Barroso and Dr Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Yesterday in London he said world leaders were more than halfway towards the kind of promises needed to save the planet at Copenhagen.

His latest report says global emissions are currently 47bn tonnes of greenhouses gases a year, and could rise to 58bn tonnes in 2020.

To keep global warming to no more than a 2C, says his report, emissions should be held at about 44bn tonnes in 2020.

Today, stopping off in Brussels on the way to Copenhagen, he praised the "vital lead" taken by the EU, and went on: "If you look at the kind of offers that are now on the table we are just a few billion tonnes short per annum of the kind of emission cuts we need to get on target for 2020.

"That means there is a significant way to go but it is possible to get there."

Lord Stern said a "strong, outline, political agreement" at Copenhagen could lead to a dynamic industrial revolution. He said the "extra bit" that needed to be done would require increased commitments from some countries which had already made emissions-cutting offers, as well as a bigger fight against deforestation. "Both those things could take us there and I trust they are both possible."

Dr Pachauri said: "If we are serious about taking action then 2020 is clearly the date by which we must commit ourselves to reduce emissions substantially."

President Barroso repeated the EU's pledge to increase to 30% its current commitment to cut CO2 emissions by 20% by 2020 - but only when there are significant equivalent commitments from the rest of the developed world and "adequate" responses from poorer countries."We have set a unilateral, unconditional target of 20%: we cannot commit to more if others do not do so as well," he said.

In the last fortnight, India revealed a carbon intensity cut of 24% by 2020, China pledged an intensity reduction of 40-45% by 2020 and the US offered to cut total greenhouse emissions 17% by 2020. Carbon intensity is the amount of carbon dioxide emitted per unit of economic growth.


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Small countries, big environmental goals

Straits Times 4 Dec 09;

In view of the forthcoming United Nations Conference on Climate Change in Copenhagen, the foreign ministers of Cape Verde, Costa Rica, Iceland, Singapore, Slovenia and the United Arab Emirates have agreed to strengthen their commitments and call for renewed global action to address climate change.

By Jose Brito, Bruno Stagno Ugarte, Ossur Skarphedinsson, George Yeo, Samuel Zbogar & Sheikh Abdallah Zayid Al Nahyan

ONLY days before the United Nations' Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, humankind is confronted with the consequences of its past actions. Scientific evidence clearly shows that anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions contribute significantly to global warming.

The prospects are grim: Rising temperatures will cause major crop declines in entire regions and significant changes in the availability of water resources. At the same time, as some areas experience major water shortages, rising sea levels will threaten some of the world's largest cities and may even cause loss of territory and give rise to border disputes.

Entire ecosystems, from glaciers to rainforests, could collapse, and many species could face extinction. Storms, droughts, forest fires and floods will cause irreversible environmental degradation and desertification, affecting the food security of millions and causing massive migration flows.

Climate change will have the most severe impact on countries with scarce natural resources and a limited ability to adapt to these challenges. Small developing island states, in particular, are among the most vulnerable and face an existential threat from the rising sea level. As preventive adaptation measures are costly, not all developing island states are able to implement such measures on their own. In this regard, financial and technology support must be provided.

Furthermore, climate change may also exacerbate political instability in some of the most volatile regions in the world, creating new geopolitical rivalries over scarce resources. The potential risks of unmitigated climate change are enormous.

Therefore, a successful agreement in Copenhagen, with deep cuts in global emissions that limit global warming to 2 deg C, and taking into account the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities, respective resources and national circumstances, is of paramount importance.

We should also look beyond Copenhagen. Addressing climate change presents a challenge to global governance. The existing network of international organisations is already under stress, due to the complexity of this issue and its repercussions on political and social stability, economic growth and development, as well as on environmental sustainability.

Climate change has the potential to exacerbate conflict, but at the same time, it could also foster cooperation by underlining growing global interdependence in dealing with the changing environment and related security threats. Coping with climate change could be one of the bases for creating a more cooperative world. In this regard, the active participation of all relevant stakeholders, especially women, is essential.

Apart from growing interdependence, climate change also blurs the distinction between foreign and domestic policy. Six foreign ministers from small countries representing different regions have decided to act collectively, committed to acting in favour of the environment and sustainable development.

Our national policies include measures that address climate change and reflect the need for a concerted international effort in this endeavour. Each state acts as a small point of green reference within its own region, and all points are interconnected to establish an efficient global network. We are striving for political balance, particularly regarding energy and water.

Our countries are promoting clean energy approaches, renewable energy and energy efficiency:

# Cape Verde is committed to weather-dependent wind power and solar energy.

# Costa Rica's 'Peace with Nature' initiative strives for carbon neutrality through the sustainable use of all natural resources.

# Iceland has achieved an energy transformation with the successful use of renewables.

# Despite its constraints in using alternative energy sources, Singapore has taken various measures such as energy efficiency improvement and other policy measures to reduce its emissions.

# Slovenia will further develop its sustainable forest management and the qualitative use of biomass.

# Through the multifaceted approach of the Masdar Initiative, the United Arab Emirates is committed to clean energy solutions, energy efficiency, carbon emissions reduction and human capacity building in the field of renewable energy and clean technologies.

The synergetic effect of so many different approaches and visions will be enormous.

Climate change will seriously affect existing water resources, making water a strategic asset of the future. Water is essential for satisfying basic human needs, ensuring social and economic development and preserving ecosystems. Today, the lack of water to meet daily needs is a reality for one in three people around the world.

The efficiency of water usage can be increased through technological improvements, changes in human behaviour and better water management. We cannot afford to continue as we have done in the past.

Our countries face different challenges in providing water security:

# Cape Verde is entirely dependent on rainfall and desalination.

# Costa Rica has abundant water resources and uses hydroelectric power for over 70 per cent of its electricity production.

# Iceland meets 80 per cent of its energy needs, generating almost 100 per cent of its electricity with clean energy, and is among world leaders in harnessing geothermal resources for thermal and electricity production.

# Singapore has leveraged on membrane technology to add high-grade reclaimed water and desalinated water to its inventory of water supply.

# The United Arab Emirates focuses its efforts on reducing water consumption and improving the efficiency of water supply.

# With its diverse water resources, Slovenia has developed an efficient water management system.

Again, our countries will make an effort to transfer knowledge, expertise and best practices to address the issue of water as one of the main global challenges.

Our planet is a living being with great resilience and will undoubtedly survive without us. Yet our environment demands that we rethink and reinvent ourselves in order to channel imagination, creativity, ingenuity and entrepreneurship into creating a sustainable world. Awareness of the scope of these environmental challenges is of vital importance in searching for sustainable responses.

Climate change is changing our world in more ways than one. Decisions taken by individuals and groups at the local and global level should fully take into account scientific findings, be ambitious and based on the principles of interconnectivity and synergy.

Strong commitment at governmental level is also required. For any responsible policymaker, the challenges posed by climate change and the high risks involved if the issue is not dealt with leave us with no other option but to act together, in the most efficient and synergised way.

Jose Brito is Cape Verde's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Cooperation and Communities; Bruno Stagno Ugarte is Costa Rica's Minister of Foreign Affairs and Religion; Ossur Skarphedinsson is Iceland's Minister for Foreign Affairs and External Trade; George Yeo is Singapore's Minister for Foreign Affairs; Samuel Zbogar is Slovenia's Minister of Foreign Affairs; and Sheikh Abdallah Zayid Al Nahyan is the United Arab Emirates' Minister of Foreign Affairs.


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Carbon Pledges, Schemes Pile Up Ahead Of Copenhagen

Gillian Murdoch, PlanetArk 4 Dec 09;

Singapore, a Southeast Asian city-state with high per-capita emissions, will head to global climate talks next week with a pledge to cut carbon pollution by 16 percent versus projected business-as-usual levels by 2020.

The announcement is the latest in a series of pledges to lower carbon emissions made in the run-up to the United Nations Dec 7-18 Copenhagen talks on a broader global climate deal.

Top emitters China, the United States and India have all announced preliminary reduction targets in recent weeks, while New Zealand has passed the world's second formal emissions trading scheme and politicians in Australia have become embroiled in a struggle over a similar scheme.

Here is a timeline showing how countries' pledges and carbon reduction schemes stand ahead of the Copenhagen conference.

* Jan 2005 - The European Union begins what is still the world's largest multi-country, multi-sector greenhouse gas emission trading system (EU ETS).

The scheme fails to have much impact on emissions in its first trading phase from 2005-07 after the EU hands out too many emissions permits, causing a carbon price crash.

* Feb 16, 2005 - Kyoto Protocol comes into force, introducing mandatory targets for 37 developed nations, excluding the United States. The present round of Kyoto expires in 2012 and the world has committed to sign a new pact in Copenhagen in December.

* Dec 2005 - Seven U.S. states agree to implement the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), the first mandatory, market-based CO2 emissions reduction program in the United States. In 2007, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Maryland join Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, and Vermont, taking the total to 10 states in the eastern United States. * Jan-Feb 2007 - California legislature passes California Global Warming Solutions Act. The governors of Arizona, California, New Mexico, Oregon and Washington agree to develop a regional target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

-- The scheme, the Western Climate Initiative (WCI), expands to include other U.S. states and later Canadian provinces in a regional greenhouse gas emissions trading system.

* Jan 23, 2008 - The EU commits to reducing its overall emissions to at least 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020.

* Oct 2008 - Japan launches a voluntary carbon market, which allows companies exceeding voluntary targets to buy carbon allowances. It approves its first domestic carbon credits in June 2009.

* March 16, 2009 - The Maldives says it will shift entirely to renewable energy and become the first carbon-neutral country, to fight the climate change that threatens the low-lying archipelago's existence.

* Nov 11 - A group of developing countries pledge to green their economies, but stop short of committing to "carbon neutrality" at a summit hosted by the Maldives.

* Nov 25 - New Zealand passes a revised emissions trading plan, the second to pass into law after Europe's began in 2005.

On the same day, the White House says the United States will pledge in Copenhagen to cut greenhouse gas emissions roughly by 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020, a drop of about 3 percent below the 1990 benchmark year used in U.N. treaties.

* Nov 26 - China pledges to reduce its carbon intensity -- the amount of carbon dioxide emitted for each unit of GDP -- by 40 to 45 percent by 2020, compared with 2005 levels. It says the target is voluntary and domestic, rather than an international commitment.

* Nov 30 - A draft text written by Copenhagen host Denmark says the world should agree to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 from 1990 levels as part of a U.N. climate pact.

The text, which Denmark says is not a formal proposal, says rich countries should account for 80 percent of global emission cuts by 2050.

* Dec 2 - Australia's parliament rejects laws to set up a sweeping carbon emissions trade scheme.

On the same day India reveals a target to cut its carbon intensity by 24 percent by 2020 compared with 2005 levels. [ID:nSP402484] * Dec 3 - Singapore says it will head to Copenhagen with a pledge to cut carbon pollution by 16 percent versus projected business-as-usual levels by 2020.

(Editing by Sugita Katyal)


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India pledges to cut carbon intensity ahead of Copenhagen

Yasmeen Mohiuddin Yahoo News 3 Dec 09;

NEW DELHI (AFP) – India pledged on Thursday to cut its carbon footprint in the next decade by reducing the intensity of its emissions, in a long-awaited move ahead of the Copenhagen climate talks.

Addressing parliament, Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh said India needed to show leadership to its people and the world and even invoked the country's environment-minded independence leader Mahatma Gandhi to bolster his arguments.

Reiterating the country's rejection of binding emissions targets or a peak year by which its emissions would have to fall, he committed instead to reducing the carbon intensity of the national economy.

"We will on our own cut emissions intensity by 20 to 25 percent if we get support from the international community," the minister told lawmakers.

Ramesh will head to Copenhagen next week and stay for the bulk of negotiations, his office said.

He explained that the cut in carbon intensity meant the creation of each unit of gross domestic product would produce 20-25 percent less greenhouse gas emissions compared to a 2005 baseline.

The target will be voluntary and non-binding, but the statement marks a major shift for India, which had refused to quantify its commitment to cutting carbon dioxide emissions.

"At Copenhagen, if we have a successful agreement, if we have an equitable agreement, if we are satisfied with this agreement, we are prepared to do even more," he told lawmakers.

Saleemul Huq, senior fellow at the London-based International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED), called the announcement a "welcome sign that the Indians are prepared to take action".

"Larger developing countries are now coming forward with domestic actions but they should also be prepared to take further actions and those costs need to be reimbursed," Huq told AFP from London.

India was seen as under pressure to make a gesture after the world's top two polluters, China and the United States, put numbers on the table last month.

India's carbon intensity is lower than China's, the biggest emitter, which last month declared it would cut the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP in 2020 by 40 to 45 percent from 2005 levels.

A reduction in carbon intensity means India's and China's carbon emissions would continue to rise in the long term but at a slower pace, leading critics to label such plans "smokescreens".

Huq disagreed, saying: "Cutting carbon intensity is a good first step. Ultimately what matters is total emissions and all countries have to plan for a post fossil-fuel economy."

The United States, the world's second biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, will also head to Copenhagen with an offer to cut US emissions by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020 and larger amounts in the future.

The December 7-18 talks in the Danish capital are aimed at forging a new pact to tackle greenhouse gas emissions and their impact after the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012.

Ramesh said India's carbon intensity had declined by 17.6 percent between 1990 and 2005, and further cuts could be achieved through a host of measures, including stricter vehicle emissions targets, improved building standards and "clean coal" technology in power stations.

Coal is the source for a majority of India's electricity generation.

"India... owes a responsability not to the world, but to itself to take climate change seriously," Ramesh said, adding that the country had particular reason to be worried about global warming.

"Climate change is of great significance to our country and ever since I became minister on May 29 I have been trying to spread this single message that the most vulnerable country in the world to climate change is India," he said.

One of the reasons, he explained, is India's reliance on an annual monsoon for water, which was the weakest in nearly four decades this year.

India to slow greenhouse growth in step to U.N. deal
Krittivas Mukherjee, Reuters 3 Dec 09;

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India set a goal on Thursday for slowing the growth of its greenhouse gas emissions, the last major economy to offer a climate target four days before the start of U.N. talks on combating global warming.

The government said it was willing to rein in its "carbon intensity" -- the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted per unit of economic output -- by between 20 and 25 percent by 2020, from 2005 levels.

"India can't be like a frog in the well, India has to show leadership to its own people -- we need to show action," Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh told parliament, laying out India's position ahead of the December 7-18 summit in Denmark.

Such a goal will let India's emissions keep rising. Ramesh said India, the fourth biggest greenhouse gas emitter, would not set a peak year for its emissions, or accept absolute cuts.

The unilateral announcement contrasted with a harder line on Wednesday when diplomats said India, China, Brazil and South Africa opposed the setting of goals advocated by the Danish hosts, including a halving of world emissions by 2050.

The big emerging economies have often insisted that rich nations have caused global warming by spewing out greenhouse gases since the Industrial Revolution, and want to see deep cuts by these rich nations before joining the effort.

"This means that all of the world's biggest emitters have reacted to the deadline in Copenhagen. It is very good news that India has brought numbers to the table," said Connie Hedegaard, Denmark's Environment Minister who will preside at the talks.

India's goal will let emissions rise, albeit at a slower rate than gross domestic product growth (GDP).

"Under this intensity target...the absolute level of Indian carbon emissions might still rise by around 90-95 percent between 2005 and 2020, according to our GDP growth model estimates," PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP said in a statement.

Still, it called the target "very encouraging."

RICH-POOR DIVIDE

Fault lines between rich and poor about sharing out the burden of combating global warming -- projected to bring more floods, droughts, wildfires and heatwaves -- are likely to dominate Copenhagen, where about 100 world leaders will gather on the final two days.

In London, the climate consultancy Ecofys said global greenhouse gas emissions would almost double from 1990 levels by 2040 with current emissions promises.

And rich nations are far from united in their approach.

Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said on Thursday he would not rule out calling an early election to end a political deadlock over climate change policy, after parliament rejected for a second time his policy on cutting carbon emissions.

In Brussels, a European Commission official said the European Union wanted more from China.

China last week said it would aim to cut its carbon intensity goal by 40-45 percent by 2020, from 2005 levels. Some analysts say that could still mean a doubling of emissions.

"There's an expectation they could go further," the EU official said.

Summit hosts Denmark reiterated that it was now too late to agree a full, legally binding treaty in Copenhagen. Hedegaard said nations would have to set a deadline for completing work "as soon as possible in 2010."

"I think that right now the biggest obstacle for Copenhagen will be finance," she told Reuters. Developed nations have yet to put cash on the table to help fund a deal.

In Italy, environmentalists accused Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi of doing too little to avert climate change, and put up an ice statue of him in the ancient Roman Forum. It is timed to melt away on the day the conference opens.

(Additional reporting by Reuters bureaux around the world; writing by Alister Doyle, Editing by Elizabeth Fullerton)

India to rein in emissions, but at minimal cost: analysts
Yasmeen Mohiuddin Yahoo News 4 Dec 09;

NEW DELHI (AFP) – India, like China, has committed to reducing the carbon intensity of its economy which will allow its emissions to grow in the long-run and avoid huge costs for its industry or consumers, analysts say.

The country had been under pressure to make a gesture before climate talks in Copenhagen, which start next week, and it has promised to slow the growth of its emissions in the future but under no circumstances reduce them.

It's a "welcome sign that the Indians are prepared to take action," said Saleemul Huq, senior fellow at the London-based International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED).

"Larger developing countries are now coming forward with domestic actions but they should also be prepared to take further actions and those costs need to be reimbursed," Huq told AFP from London.

Indian Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh announced Thursday a voluntary and non-binding commitment to reduce India's carbon intensity by 20 to 25 percent by 2020, compared to 2005 levels.

This means that generating a dollar of gross domestic product (GDP) will result in 20-25 less carbon emissions by 2020, but in return India expects financial compensation from rich countries to help with the cost.

India's economy is already on the path of greater carbon efficiency, having achieved a 17.6 percent decline in carbon intensity between 1990 and 2005.

Ramesh stressed repeatedly that there was no question of India adopting an overall emissions target, or accepting a peak year by which time its emissions would have to fall.

This would impose far greater costs on the national economy and would dampen the expansion the government says it needs to drag millions out of poverty in the vast and chaotic country.

"India can do more, but it will cost more. That should be financed by the international community," said Girish Sant from the non-government research body Prayas Energy Group.

The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) hailed the plan, calling it "completely doable" and noting "there will be more output with each unit of emission thereby benefiting the economy a great deal."

"Indian industry is well-positioned to turn the challenge into an opportunity," CII director general Chandrajit Banerjee said in a statement.

Ramesh explained that the reductions in carbon intensity would be achieved through new legislation imposing stricter emissions standards for vehicles and improved energy efficiency for buildings.

The country's stretched and mostly coal-fired power generation network would make greater use of "clean" technologies, he said.

Ankur Ganguly of Greenpeace India called India's reduction plan "conservative," but noted that most countries had gone with similarly "easy" figures to play it safe at Copenhagen.

India is "playing it safe but who isn't?" he said. "The US has been ultraconservative."

Negotiations for a new global climate treaty in Copenhagen to replace or extend the 1997 Kyoto Protocol beyond 2012 are deadlocked with rich and poor nations at loggerheads.

Developing countries are refusing emissions targets and are demanding financial aid from their rich counterparts to help them cope with the effects of climate change.

India's per capita greenhouse gas emissions are expected to nearly triple in the next two decades from about 1.2 tonnes per person per year to 2.1 tonnes in 2020 and 3.5 tonnes in 2030, according to a recent government-backed report.

That is still below the global average of 4.2 tonnes per person.

But India's massive 1.1-billion population puts the country among the world's leading greenhouse gas emitters.

India's carbon intensity is lower than China's, the biggest emitter, which last month declared it would cut the rate of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP in 2020 by 40 to 45 percent from 2005 levels.

The Indian Express newspaper said India's negotiating hand would be strengthened by the numbers, but criticised the amount of time it took to make an announcement.

"It allowed others to seize the initiative and to let the focus for some considerable time be on how India was the sole major participant who was unwilling to quantify," the paper said.

But India still had enough "wiggle room" and Thursday's announcement should be seen as an "attempt to ensure that Copenhagen starts without any finger pointing."


Read more!

Best of our wild blogs: 3 Dec 09


Butterfly of the Month - December 2009
The Yamfly from Butterflies of Singapore

Cyrene Reef with Teamseagrass
from wonderful creation and teamseagrass and wild shores of singapore

Dollarbird – Jungle Myna confrontation for nest cavity
from Bird Ecology Study Group

A tame Scaly-breasted Munia?
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Does a captive whale shark bring bad luck to a city?
from wild shores of singapore

Google Street View Singapore is here!
from Otterman speaks

Organising the Sungei Buloh Anniversary Walk with Google Forms
from Otterman speaks

Algae 'sex tapes' and other micro marvels
from wild shores of singapore


Read more!

Singapore to pledge 16% cut in gas emissions

Government throws its weight behind global summit on climate
Jessica Cheam, Straits Times 3 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE'S leaders yesterday put on the table the country's first target to curb greenhouse gas emissions, throwing their political weight behind next week's climate change meetings in Copenhagen.

Senior Minister S. Jayakumar said that even though it is not obliged to make cuts, the city-state will undertake voluntary and domestically funded action to reduce its emissions growth to 16 per cent below 'business as usual' levels by 2020.

This level refers to how much Singapore would emit if the economy continued to grow, but nothing was done to curb emissions.

There is a caveat, however.

Singapore will only commit to this if there is a legally binding global deal that obliges all countries to cut emissions, and if other countries offer significant pledges, said Professor Jayakumar.

'Without a global agreement by all to address climate change, our efforts alone will be meaningless,' he said.

As a low-lying country vulnerable to any rise in sea-levels, Singapore has an interest in acting with others to tackle climate change, he added.

Like other leaders, he thinks Copenhagen is likely to result in an agreed political framework, with key elements for a legally binding deal further negotiated next year.

This means Singaporeans will not feel the effects of any cuts until next year or later, and this is also dependent on the outcome of the talks, he said.

National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan, who was also at the media interview, said the Government will use a combination of regulatory and fiscal measures to achieve the targeted cut.

Businesses, households and the Government will all have to play a part, he said, explaining: 'It will require us to make conscious decisions, to change behaviour, to have different choices, to cut down on wastage at home and at the workplace.'

But he gave an assurance that whatever the eventual measures, the Government will do what it can to buffer the impact for businesses and households.

Prof Jayakumar said details of the measures are being worked out carefully and will be announced after the outcome of the negotiations.

Singapore's move follows closely behind recent pledges by countries such as the United States, China, Brazil and Indonesia to curb their carbon emissions in the run up to the Copenhagen negotiations.

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, who will be attending the conference in Copenhagen, said recently that Singapore was looking at what else it could do to tackle climate change.

Given the country's dense population and small size, Mr Mah stressed that 16 per cent was a 'stretch target', but achievable.

The target is derived from numbers in the Sustainable Singapore Blueprint.

Launched in April, this is a national plan including domestic targets such as reducing energy intensity by 35 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030.

The new pledge to the global community now goes beyond these figures.

Mr Mah said Singapore had already done a lot to support sustainable development. And because it was starting from a high base, additional cuts require tremendous effort, he said.

Past efforts include increasing Singapore's green cover, transport policies to limit vehicle growth, and switching energy sources from oil to natural gas.

Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaacob Ibrahim also underlined Singapore's limitations in converting to alternative forms of energy, because of its small size and geographical location.

For example, wind speeds in Singapore are too low to be harnessed as a source of power. And while solar energy has potential, it would not be sufficient for the country's energy needs at the current technology levels, he said.

Singapore's target means it will cut roughly 12 million tonnes of CO2 by 2020, said Dr Yaacob.

This is based on a projection that the country's emissions would reach 75 million tonnes of CO2 by 2020 if no measures were taken.

This is calculated by taking into account several factors such as economic and population growth and rate of investments.

Industry and grassroots leaders yesterday endorsed Singapore's latest move.

'This step is commendable, it's time we set a target. It sends a signal that Singapore is serious about acting on climate change,' said Singapore Environment Council executive director Howard Shaw.

Former NMP Edwin Khew agreed, adding: 'When the Government makes a commitment, we know they will do it.'

However, Singapore's absolute emissions will still rise with this target, noted Mr Khew, who is also chief executive of waste recycling firm IUT Global.

'Perhaps we could do better in the future,' he added.

North East District Mayor Teo Ser Luck said the move was encouraging, but that Singaporeans would be concerned about how it would affect their daily lives.

'I think it will take a while before everyone understands why we are acting on this important issue, that's why continued effort in education is key,' he said.

Adjusting to a low-carbon environment
Straits Times 3 Dec 09;

BELOW is an edited excerpt from a media interview yesterday when Senior Minister S. Jayakumar, National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan and Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaacob Ibrahim announced Singapore's commitment to cut carbon emissions.

# With the 16 per cent reduction, how will the economy be affected?

Dr Yaacob: As we define sustainable development, we cannot compromise economic growth. If we do this at the expense of our economic competitiveness, then we are shooting ourselves in the foot. We must do it in conjunction with economic growth.

We have to look at the total package: which are the sectors we have to ban, do we have to restructure some sectors in the economy? These are being studied intensely because obviously there will be some changes. It will require adjustments, but we think over a long-term period, it is possible.

# Why is Singapore's offer contingent on others?

Professor Jayakumar: It does not make sense for us to take these drastic measures if other countries do not do it or if there's no global commitment. Some of the measures obviously may be in our own interest to do as we have been doing, for our own national interest. But doing more makes sense only if there's a global agreement and other countries do so. Otherwise if other countries are not doing it, it will be meaningless, it doesn't have an impact.

# What do you say to climate change sceptics who argue that the science is not definitive and question why the Government would want to commit to costly emission cuts?

Dr Yaacob: I think we must recognise that IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) has been working very hard. There's a wealth of knowledge out there, about the various changes, the weather pattern, the temperature over the next century. I think we cannot ignore this. These are credible scientists. They've worked very very hard. They've taken all the weather patterns into account.

I'm aware of some of the sceptics. Frankly speaking if we were asked to wait until the sceptics are proven right or wrong before we act...I don't think we can do that, right?

If this thing happens, we should be ready and therefore let's put those measures in place, and we should do it in a manner that does not compromise our competitiveness.

So there will be some cost, some trade-offs but overall we aim for what's sustainable over the long run.

If climate change is really happening, we're ready. If climate change is not happening, what we do is also good for Singapore in terms of the way we use resources which are very limited.

Prof Jayakumar: We've to take note of the different schools of thought. But as a low-lying island state I don't think we've the luxury of waiting for the day - I don't know when it will be - when it is put beyond doubt which school of thought is right.

So for the time being, we've to accept the consensus of opinion which has over the last decade become quite overwhelming although not unanimous.

# The measures to achieve the 16 per cent will have a cost. Who will bear the brunt of the cuts?

Mr Mah: To achieve that target requires the input, the efforts, the contribution of all sectors. Businesses obviously are one of the major players. Households, another major player. And it's actually every individual - you discourage people from using more energy than they should.

So one practical and efficient way to do that would be to use market price signals to reflect the cost of these externalities due to the target that we have set. So if we were to do that, then obviously we will have to look at some of the measures - marketplace measures, fiscal measures, regulations, a combination of these - to achieve this particular target.

We will study various options, and announce measures only after we have studied all the options.

Prof Jayakumar: The Government will do what is necessary to buffer the impact, and to help them adjust to the new low-carbon environment.

Singapore wants to help bring about a deal
Jessica Cheam, Straits Times 3 Dec 09

MINISTER for the Environment and Water Resources Yaacob Ibrahim said yesterday that Singapore's move to pledge a cut in emissions growth was to help contribute to a successful deal at Copenhagen.

'If I may say, I think the Danes want every country to put something on the table,' said Dr Yaacob. 'My sense is that it's going very well, so by the time we get to Copenhagen we want to have at least a target. And they can tell the other countries, hey, Singapore can do it, can you put something at this table?'

Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change will meet for two weeks in the Danish capital starting on Monday to work out a global deal on climate change.

Dr Yaacob also acknowledged that there has been a degree of pressure recently on Singapore to take on cuts due to its relatively advanced stage of development compared to other developing nations.

'But I think other nations appreciate what we've done in the past. They know the efforts we've put in place... But they also recognise that we can do more,' said Dr Yaacob. '(The) pressure is not high, it's subtle...and (our target) shows that we're responsible.'

Dr Yaacob said he hopes committing to a target despite Singapore being a small country without natural resources, and contributing only 0.2 per cent to global carbon emissions, will help the negotiations and inspire other nations to follow suit.

'When we attend the meetings, we're not going to block (the talks), we're not a spoiler, and we want to contribute to the process,' he said.

Dr Yaacob also said that besides steps to mitigate carbon emissions, Singapore is also looking at adaptation means.

The findings of a study on the effects of sea level rise on Singapore will be released next year, along with some measures to ensure Singapore is protected from climate change.





Singapore to reduce emissions growth by 16% below projected 2020 level
May Wong, Channel NewsAsia 2 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE: It will no longer be "business as usual" for Singapore, as the country commits to reduce carbon emissions growth by 16 per cent below the projected 2020 level - if a global agreement is reached and other countries implement significant targets of their own.

Senior Minister S Jayakumar, who chairs the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Climate Change, announced this at a news conference on Wednesday.

Singapore needs to come up with measures for reducing emissions growth, in order to prevent low-lying parts of the country from submerging due to adverse effects of climate change.

Professor Jayakumar said: "We are not starting off with a low base because despite all of our constraints, all our difficulties, we have done a lot.

"In fact, long before climate change became a global issue, Singapore has taken considerable efforts - increasing of green cover, transport policies, fuel switch to natural gas, enhancing of energy efficiency, recycling our waste. And the significant efforts have led to considerable reductions of our emissions."

The government said that 16 per cent is a stretch target, but it can be reached.

Mah Bow Tan, Singapore National Development Minister and Co-Chair, Inter-Ministerial Committee on Sustainable Development said: "When we mention the figure of 16 per cent, this is not like opening a gambit in a chess game or part of a negotiation.

"No, this is derived at, based on fundamental evaluation of what we have done and what we can realistically do. Eventually, government will have to come up with a set of measures in order to incentivise as well as to encourage behaviour to achieve this target.

"Our commitment is done in good faith; it is something we believe is achievable. It is not something that we just throw up on the table for negotiation."

Measures on how the government intends to reduce emissions growth will be announced after the Copenhagen climate talks next week. It will mean additional costs, but the government will buffer the impact.

Professor Jayakumar said: "The measures which we will take to reduce our emissions growth will entail both economic and social costs and will require considerable domestic adjustments.

"There will be impact on industries and households. The government will do what is necessary to buffer this impact and to help them adjust to the new low carbon environment.

"We will do our best to keep the cost to the minimum and to achieve the emissions growth reduction in the best possible efficient way."

Besides looking at costs, the government will also ensure that economic growth is not compromised.

Dr Yaacob Ibrahim, Singapore Environment and Water Resources Minister and Co-Chair, Inter-Ministerial Committee on Sustainable Development said: "It must grow. The question is at what rate? How fast and how big it will be - that is what is being studied at this point in time.

"If we do this at the expense of our economic competitiveness, then we are shooting ourselves in the foot. We must do it in conjunction with economic growth.

"But how that growth will be, as mentioned by Minister Mah, we have to look at the total package. Which are the sectors we have to bear? Is there a need to restructure some sectors of the economy? These are being studied intensely."

Professor Jayakumar said Singapore has no historical responsibility for climate change and it contributes less than 0.2 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions. In spite of this, he said that Singapore is making a major effort to tackle climate change.

He added that this is because Singapore is a responsible member of the international community, and wants to play its part in reducing emissions.

- CNA/sc


Singapore's carbon reduction dependent on legally binding deal
Channel NewsAsia 2 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE: Singapore is committed to reducing carbon emissions growth by 16 per cent below the 2020 "business as usual" level.

This will refer to the level of emissions reached if nothing is done to mitigate emissions.

But Singapore's actions are contingent on a legally binding global deal being reached.

Senior Minister S Jayakumar announced this ahead of next week's UN climate change talks in Copenhagen.

He said that other countries must adopt significant targets and implement their commitments in good faith.

Professor Jayakumar added that Singapore's efforts alone will be meaningless especially since its contribution to global emissions is negligible.

Professor Jayakumar said the exact details of the measures are being worked out and will be announced after the Copenhagen talks.

- CNA/yb

Cutting emissions growth, if the world does the same
Government will do its best to buffer Singaporeans from the costs
Lin Yan Qin, Today Online 3 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE - Households will have to change lifestyle habits, while businesses have to become more efficient in how they use energy, if Singapore is to fulfil a pledge on reduced carbon emissions growth.

The newly-revealed target to reduce the Republic's emissions growth by 16 per cent below "business as usual" (BAU) levels by 2020 will rest on whether a global and legally-binding pact on climate change is reached at the Copenhagen negotiations beginning next week.

BAU refers to projected emission levels without any mitigating measures, including those already announced this year. The new target would mean a drop in 2020's carbon dioxide emissions by 12 tonnes.

It would be meaningless to implement measures to achieve this without a global agreement, Senior Minister S Jayakumar said when he made the announcement yesterday, as it would impose cost and sacrifices on Singaporeans without any real effect on global climate change.

"None of this is going to be cost-free. The measures we'll take to reduce our emissions will entail both economic and social costs and will require considerable domestic adjustments," said Professor Jayakumar, the Inter-Ministerial Committee of Climate Change chairman. "The Goverment will do what's necessary to buffer this impact and to help them adjust to this new carbon environment."

Steps will come in the form of regulatory and fiscal measures, he said without elaborating, as the possible measures were still under study.

Whether reducing emissions growth would change Singapore's economic strategies was also being worked out, he said.

The reduced level took into account the impact on the country's growth and competitiveness. "This is derived based on a fundamental evaluation of what we have done and what we realistically can do," said National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan, who described 16 per cent as a "stretched target".

Some measures could build on existing policies, added Mr Mah, the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Sustainable Development (IMCSD) co-chair.

For example, while the current aim is for 80 per cent of Singapore's buildings to achieve a Green Mark Certified rating, the bar may need to be raised to the more stringent Gold Plus or Platinum rating, he said.

A substantial commitment, all things considered

Singapore International Chamber of Commerce chief executive Phillip Overmyer said companies will look at whether the limits implemented here would be in line with worldwide standards, so that those based here do not bear more cost than competitors elsewhere.

Prof Jayakumar stressed that Singapore will not agree to "unreasonable pressures" to reduce emissions solely because of its high Gross Domestic Product per capita, or graduate to Annex One status, which will mean mandatory economy-wide emission cuts.

Still, the commitment on the table is "substantial", given that Singapore faces "severe constraints" in employing renewable energy sources due to its physical size, and that its absolute greenhouse gas emissions are less than 0.2 per cent of the global total.

Singapore's pledge will be appreciated by the international community, he added. "In order to get the major emitters from the developing countries on board, they would like to see other developing countries, also in good faith, putting something on the table."

CAN SINGAPORE DO MORE?

The range of reduced emissions recommended for Non-Annex One countries such as Singapore is between 15 to 30 per cent, and there are those in the international community who question if Singapore is doing enough, said Singapore Institute of International Affairs chairman Simon Tay.

"There's not that much that Singapore has done fiscally (to encourage mitigation efforts)," he said. "Singapore's rationale will need to be internationally acceptable."

World Wildlife Fund Singapore managing director Amy Ho said that while Singapore's pledge was encouraging, the Republic was in a position to be a "leader". "We're asking countries to go for a 15- to 30-per-cent reduction and 16 per cent is on the lower band of that, so we urge Singapore to do better," she said.

But she admitted that Singapore may be disadvantaged in its ability to implement substantial renewable energy. She suggested that the Republic make up for this by tapping the region for these sources, or support the development of a regional grid.

Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaccob Ibrahim, the other IMCSD co-chair, acknowledged there was international pressure on Singapore to do more.

"What we've done is recognise that the world expects us to do something ... and if we have the means, I think we should tell the world we're able to do so, and I think that shows we're responsible."

Singapore on fast train to cutting carbon emissions
16% reduction by 2020 if pact is reached; key role for public transport, no compromise on growth
Lee U-Wen, Business Times 3 Dec 09

(SINGAPORE) With just days before a major climate change summit kicks off in Denmark, Singapore has announced that it is ready to voluntarily slash its carbon emissions growth by 16 per cent below 'business as usual' levels by 2020.

This refers to the projected level of 74 million tonnes of emissions that would be reached if there are no proactive measures taken to mitigate such emissions. This latest target - which will reduce that amount by 12 million tonnes - is what the Singapore delegation will put on the table when world leaders and officials meet in Copenhagen next week.

Singapore will be represented at the negotiations by Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, Senior Minister and Coordinating Minister for National Security S Jayakumar and Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaacob Ibrahim.

Professor Jayakumar, however, stressed that Singapore's commitment is dependent on a legally-binding deal being reached after the Copenhagen talks. Other countries, too, must put forth significant targets to cut carbon emissions and actually carry out their commitments in good faith.

'Ours is a substantial commitment that will require a major effort, bearing in mind our severe constraints and that these will be on top of the significant measures we have already taken in the past, and much more than what we have planned to achieve under the Sustainable Singapore blueprint,' Prof Jayakumar told reporters at a press conference yesterday.

The blueprint, a national plan on how Singapore could further reduce carbon emissions, was released in April. Among the aims are to reduce energy intensity by 35 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030 and to lower energy consumption in new and mature housing estates by 20 per cent and 30 per cent respectively by 2030.

Transport is one of the sectors in which the government is looking to introduce new measures and beef up existing ones. For instance, it wants to see 70 per cent of the population take public transport by 2020, up from the 59 per cent recorded in 2006.

This will be done by improving the public transport system and imposing further restraints on vehicle population and usage. Other measures include an enhanced off-peak car scheme, improving the fuel efficiency of vehicles, using bio-fuels and promoting electric vehicles.

'We have no historical responsibility for climate change. Our absolute greenhouse gas emissions are very low, less than 0.2 per cent of the global total,' said Prof Jayakumar, who also chairs the government's inter-ministerial committee on climate change. The committee, formed in 2007, comprises the ministers for foreign affairs, trade and industry, environment and water resources, national development, finance and transport.

He added that all of Singapore's measures will be 'domestically funded and unilaterally implemented'.

As a low-lying island with hardly any alternative energy sources, any rise in sea levels can have 'serious consequences' for Singapore, he said. The exact details of the measures are still being studied by the committee and will be announced at a later stage.

While businesses will be one of the key players in this national effort, it also means that Singaporeans might need to adopt a change in lifestyle, said National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan, who was also present at the press conference.

'(It) will require us to change behaviour, to have different choices, cut down on wastage at home and the workplace,' he said. 'The question now is: how do you effect that change? How do you incentivise people and discourage them from using more energy than they should? One practical and efficient way is to use market price signals to reflect the cost of these externalities due to the target that we have set.'

Dr Yaacob, however, assured Singaporeans that the country's efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change would not compromise economic growth.

'If we do this at the expense of our economic competitiveness, then we are shooting ourselves in the foot,' he said. 'We have to look at the total package. Do we have to restructure some sectors in the economy? Obviously, there will be changes . . . we are looking at making adjustments over a long-term period.'

Meanwhile, all eyes are now firmly set on the outcome of the Copenhagen summit, which will take place from Dec 7-18. With nearly 100 world leaders - including US President Barack Obama and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao - confirming their attendance, hopes have been raised that a new United Nations deal could be reached.

Prof Jayakumar, however, chose to play down expectations slightly. 'Most countries are resigned to the reality that there may not be a binding agreement. Of course, nobody wants the conference to be a failure. There is a strong push by governments to achieve at least a political framework or agreement.'

Singapore can't bank on the wind or sun
It is disadvantaged when it comes to alternative energy sources: Jayakumar
Teh Shi Ning, Business Times 3 Dec 09;

(SINGAPORE) The extent to which Singapore can further reduce carbon emissions will be limited by an inherent inability to tap alternative energy sources and past actions, which have already gone a long way to conserve energy, said Senior Minister S Jayakumar.

Singapore is an 'alternative-energy disadvantaged country', Prof Jayakumar said as he announced yesterday that Singapore is prepared to cut emissions growth by 16 per cent by 2020. Being a small island-state imposes constraints on its ability to switch to alternative renewable energies such as geothermal, wind or hydropower to curb dependence on fossil fuels.

Ambassador-at-large Chew Tai Soo, Singapore's chief negotiator at the climate change talks, has had discussions with other 'alternative-energy disadvantaged' countries such as the United Arab Emirates and Trinidad & Tobago, as well as the US, some of whose states face similar constraints.

Elaborating on these challenges, Prof Jayakumar said solar technology is at present 'uneconomic and intermittent' for Singapore, though it holds potential and investments have been made in solar R&D. High urban density here makes deploying solar panels difficult, and the current technology cannot generate a significant proportion of Singapore's electricity needs even if all easily accessible roof top and reservoir space was covered, he said.

Wind is an unlikely source too, as the wind speed here of two metres per second falls below the lowest commercially viable speed of four metres per second. Wind farms require land Singapore can scarce spare too. Nuclear energy has not been ruled out yet, Prof Jayakumar said. But, Singapore's size again makes this a 'complex undertaking' as issues of safety, waste disposal and economic viability need addressing before it can be a valid alternative.

At yesterday's briefing, Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaacob Ibrahim said the Copenhagen talks would allow Singapore to highlight what it has already done and that 'we're not starting from zero when we speak of further targets'. National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan added that Singapore has taken the initiative to reduce emissions growth, such as with the Sustainable Singapore Blueprint unveiled in April, and prior to that, reaped results from other past steps too.

These include a 30 per cent reduction in carbon intensity by 2006 from 1990s levels thanks to energy efficiency measures, and a 5 per cent reduction in emissions from stringent policies limiting the number and usage of vehicles. Switching from fuel oil to natural gas, which now generates 80 per cent of Singapore's electricity, also cut the power sector's emissions by 25 per cent.

'This means that there is less potential for us to do more in terms of reducing emissions. But it doesn't mean we'll rest on our laurels and not do anything,' said Mr Mah. The newly announced target of a 16 per cent reduction in emissions growth, contingent on a global deal at Copenhagen, will further stretch targets announced in April's blueprint, he said.

Agreeing that Singapore lacks the option to use renewable energies due to both physical constraints and expensive existing technologies, Nanyang Technological University's head of economics and environmental economics professor Euston Quah thinks the key lies in investing in green technologies and implementing a carbon tax on both consumers and industry.

Singapore to pledge 16 percent cut in emissions
Reuters 2 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Singapore, a Southeast Asian city-state with high per-capita emissions of greenhouse gases, will pledge to slash those emissions by 16 percent by 2020 versus current levels, local media reported on Thursday.

This is the target Singapore will put on the table at talks in Copenhagen starting next week aimed at agreeing a broader climate pact to combat global warming, Singapore's Business Times newspaper quoted a government minister as saying.

"Ours is a substantial commitment that will require a major effort, bearing in mind our severe constraints," the newspaper quoted the government's Coordinating Minister for National Security, S Jayakumar, as telling local media on Wednesday.

China and other big developing nations rejected core targets for a climate deal such as halving world greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 just days before the Copenhagen talks start, diplomats said on Wednesday.

The dispute underscores a rich-poor rift which has haunted the two-year talks to agree a new global climate deal to succeed the Kyoto Protocol in 2013 and dampens hopes of rescuing the December 7-18 Copenhagen summit.

A legally binding target is already out of reach for the U.N. talks, with only a political deal possible.

Jayakumar said that Singapore's commitment was dependent on a legally-binding deal being reached after the Copenhagen talks, and that other countries needed to put forward significant targets to cut carbon emissions.

He said Singapore's emissions accounted for less than 0.2 percent of the world's total. As an oil refining and manufacturing hub, its per capita emissions are high.

The country, a low-lying group of islands at risk of rising sea levels, seeks to cut emissions through increased use of public transport, improved fuel efficiency, biofuels and electric vehicles.

National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said that given the country's small size and dense population, 16 percent was a "stretch target" but achievable, the Straits Times newspaper said.

(Writing by Neil Chatterjee; Editing by Ron Popeski)


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Marsiling's mature trees may be spared

Esther Ng Today Online 3 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE - All may not be lost for the fruit trees at Marsiling Rise.

Sembawang Town Council (SBTC) will propose some ideas to residents and the Residents' Committee, to see how it can meet residents' love for nature and yet keep the estate clean.

"For existing appropriate mature trees, we could consider allowing the trees to be adopted and cared for by the residents. We're also considering planting more fruits trees in the vicinity for adoption by residents," said its public relations manager, Dorothy Cheung.

SBTC was responding to queries from MediaCorp about any plans to cut trees planted by residents from Blocks 109, 116 and 117 of Marsiling Rise.

"The Town Council does not act only in the light of complaints. Haphazard in-ground planting is not allowed in the common areas, as it may also lead to mosquito breeding and pose other maintenance problems," explained Ms Cheung.

"We believe this is a more balanced approach in catering to residents' interests in gardening, maintaining a pleasant and safe environment, and at the same time, helping enhance community bonding."

It clarified that most of the haphazard in-ground planting include shrubs, bushes, trees and other plants and "none of these plantings have been removed yet".

Member of Parliament (Sembawang) Hawazi Daipi also clarified that he was aware of the matter when he was overseas last month, but had not seen the petition from residents appealing to the authorities to save the trees when MediaCorp contacted him on Tuesday.

"We encourage residents to work with the RC in collaboration with the town council," he said.

Mr Hawazi, chairman of SBTC, said it will look into "improving the environment and beautifying the area".

"It's better to do this the communal way than individuals planting trees in the ground in an uncoordinated manner," he said, and added that there were avenues to meet residents' interests.

Unauthorised planting is not unique to Marsiling, though. When Hougang Town Council found "unsightly" illegal plantings, for example, it improved the landscapes of 12 blocks, it said in its annual report.

When MediaCorp visited Blocks 116 and 117, most of its residents were in favour of preserving the trees.

"The trees aren't dangerous to people - the neem tree has many medicinal values - so why cut them down," said Mr Lau Peng Kong, 56. "If you have to cut a tree, cut those which are sick and dying like the banana tree."

However, Madam Hamisah Saaid, 46, who lives on the third floor, wants all the trees cut.

"They're all over the place - it's not a pretty sight," said the resident of six years. "It makes my flat dark. It's creepy at night, and my son is scared of the banana tree."

Mdm Hamisah is not against greenery - she yearns instead for a more aesthetic surrounding.

"Why can't we have pretty plants with colourful flowers?" she said.

Related article
Town council to remove trees at Marsiling But some Marsiling Rise residents say the garden is source of community pride Esther Ng, Today Online 2 Dec 09;


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Singapore is 9th most expensive Asian city

Living costs for expats hit by a stronger Sing$ and rise in inflation
Fiona Chan Straits Times 3 Dec 09;

A STRONGER currency and a rise in inflation have made Singapore a more expensive place for expatriates to live in, a survey has found.

Singapore jumped three spots from a year ago to become the ninth priciest Asian city in the latest cost of living ranking by human resource company ECA International.

It beat Taiwan's Taipei and China's Shenzhen and Guangzhou, but remained cheaper than Japan's Tokyo and Yokohama, and China's Beijing, Shanghai and Hong Kong.

Worldwide, Singapore's rising cost of living catapulted it into the 78th spot on this year's global survey, up almost 20 places from 97th last year.

The main reason for the movement - and, in fact, for most of the changes in this year's survey - was exchange rate fluctuations, said ECA International.

The Singapore dollar has gained about 10 per cent against the US dollar since March. This has helped push up the cost of living in Singapore, compared with some neighbouring cities whose currencies are pegged to the US dollar such as Hong Kong.

According to ECA International, living costs in Singapore are now just 7 per cent lower than in Hong Kong, compared with a 15 per cent gap last year.

'While such increases are unlikely to deter companies from relocating staff to Singapore, the cost of doing so is now higher than it was a year ago,' said Mr Lee Quane, regional director of Asia for ECA International.

He said the stronger Singdollar, coupled with the fact that inflation here has been slightly higher than in some other Asian cities, means that companies have to pay their expat workers higher cost-of-living allowances.

The same applies to Japanese cities, which maintained their top spots in the Asia ranking as the yen soared against the greenback. South Korean locations also surged up the ranks, with Seoul jumping four places to seventh this year, after the won regained some of its lost value.

Expats in Singapore said yesterday that they feel the cost of living has gone up.

'In terms of personal costs, day-to-day expenses have definitely increased,' said Mr Trevor Gawne, who is from Australia and based here as managing director of Fuchs Lubricants.

He said the prices of raw food in particular, such as eggs and fresh milk, have gone up quite considerably in the past 12 months, especially if they are imported from countries like New Zealand and Australia, which have seen their currencies strengthen against the Singdollar.

But while rising costs are a concern, a bigger worry is the volatility of costs, said Mr Phillip Overmyer, an American and the chief executive of the Singapore International Chamber of Commerce.

'What I think is a bigger concern at the corporate level is the high fluctuation we are seeing in Singapore costs in general,' he said.

'Housing rentals, office rentals and the prices of general goods and services have been swinging back and forth a lot over the last couple of years.'

This is worrying for companies because they cannot predict costs and plan accordingly, and it hurts Singapore's competitiveness, he said.

Ms Laura Deal, executive director of the American Chamber of Commerce in Singapore, agreed that the extreme swings in costs 'can really destroy budgets and cause pain for small companies'.

'You can get caught in a really bad housing or office lease if you sign at the wrong time, and end up paying 30 per cent more than your neighbour,' she said. 'We think it is important for the Government to control the volatility of costs a little bit more.'

ECA International's survey calculated the cost of living around the world based on a basket of day-to-day goods and services. The survey is done twice a year, but comparisons are made year-on-year to strip out seasonal differences.

In March, Singapore was 10th in the Asia rankings.

In the global rankings, Angola's capital Luanda took top spot as the city with the highest cost of living in the world - many regularly used items are expensive to obtain in the city due to the country's war-damaged infrastructure.

Other cities placed in the global top 10 included Tokyo, Yokohama, Oslo and Copenhagen.

Expats find Singapore a tad more expensive

Singapore moves up 3 spots to 9th position in Asia: survey
Joyce Hooi, Business Times 3 Dec 09;

(SINGAPORE) IT is not all cheap hawker food and iPods for expatriates who are based in Singapore.

The latest Cost of Living survey from ECA International has given expatriates here a stronger case to make when lobbying company headquarters for a larger expense package.

This year, Singapore climbed three spots - from 12th - to be the ninth most expensive Asian city, having been on the receiving end of both rising inflation and a strengthening Singapore dollar.

This makes Singapore a more expensive city to live in than Taipei, Shenzhen or Guangzhou.

Japanese cities dominated this year's rankings in Asia, with Tokyo ranking first, followed by Yokohama, Nagoya and Kobe.

While Hong Kong remain more expensive than Singapore at fifth place, the gap in the cost of living has narrowed, from 15 per cent last year to 7 per cent this year.

'While such increases are unlikely to deter companies from relocating staff to Singapore, the cost of doing do is now higher than it was a year ago,' said Lee Quane, regional director of ECA International for Asia.

'Companies employing international assignees are likely to be paying higher cost of living allowances to ensure that their employees continue to maintain their purchasing power while on assignment.'

Singapore's cost of living is put into better context from a global perspective, with the island ranking only 78th this year. Even so, this represents a quantum leap in rankings, from its 97th position last year.

Globally, Luanda in Angola remained the most expensive city, with Tokyo and Oslo in second and third place respectively.

ECA International's Cost of Living survey is carried out twice a year, comparing a basket of consumer goods and services commonly purchased by assignees in over 390 places globally.

While the survey includes items like food, clothing and motoring expenses, it does not take into account other living costs like accommodation, utilities, car purchases and school fees.

These expenses tend to make the expatriate bill significantly larger but are often compensated for in separate expatriate packages, according to ECA International.

Singapore now among 10 most expensive Asian cities
Yasmine Yahya, 938 LIVE Channel NewsAsia 2 Dec 09;

SINGAPORE: Singapore is now one of the top 10 most expensive Asian cities for expatriates to live in due to the strengthening of the Singdollar.

A survey by human resource consultancy ECA International showed that Singapore now has the ninth highest cost of living in the region.

Last year, the city-state was in the twelfth place.

ECA International said the cost of living for visitors to Singapore is also catching up with that of its neighbours.

A year ago, living costs in Singapore were about 15 per cent lower than in Hong Kong. Now, the difference is just seven per cent.

ECA International's Regional Director for Asia, Lee Quane, said the increase in living cost is unlikely to deter firms from relocating their staff here.

Tokyo maintained its position as the most expensive location for expatriates to live in, as the stronger yen outweighed the impact of deflation in Japan.

- 938LIVE/yb


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Bringing in plant? Get a health cert first

Spike in number of people caught this year with untreated flora or soil: AVA
Straits Times 3 Dec 09;

EVERY day, an average of six people enter Singapore with plants and soil that have not been treated for pests and diseases, a potential threat to local flora and fauna.

In a media release yesterday, the Agri-Food and Veterinary Authority of Singapore (AVA) said that in the first 10 months of this year, more than 1,800 people were caught with untreated plants. This is close to six times the 311 nabbed last year.

The spike in numbers, as well as the fact that most Singaporeans who were caught said they were unaware of the regulations, has prompted the reminder, said an AVA spokesman.

The authority is unsure why there has been an increase in the number of untreated plants being brought in.

While there have been no major problems yet caused by the rising number of imported plants here, the AVA cautioned that plants and potting products - such as soil and fertiliser - which do not have a health certification could affect plant species here.

The AVA requires that all imported plants or potting medium should come with a health certificate to indicate that they have been chemically treated or fumigated, to ensure they are free from pests and diseases. An import permit from the AVA is also required.

Said Mr Wong Sek Man, a professor specialising in plant diseases at the department of biological sciences at the National University of Singapore: 'Untreated plants can bring in many insects such as white flies and thrips, which can transmit viruses that are devastating to agricultural crops.'

Fortunately, he added, such viruses do not affect human health.

For the first 10 months of this year, more than 1,800 plants and six tonnes of potting medium and fertilisers arrived here without certification. About 250 plants were claimed by their owners after inspection and treatment by the AVA.

The more popular species which had been brought in were the bougainvillea, rose, ixora and kamquat.

Owners have to pay an inspection fee, ranging from $12 to $50, as well as the permit fee which costs $11.

Plants not claimed after 10 days from the date of interception are destroyed. The potting medium in sealed packages is also destroyed as treatment is not feasible.

Recognising that travellers might want to bring in small quantities of plants for personal use, the AVA reminded Singaporeans of the exemption for those returning from West Malaysia. Singaporeans can bring in three plants without potting medium and an import permit and a health certificate are not required.

Any person who does not comply with the regulations can be fined up to $1,000.

LEOW SI WAN


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