City living may lead to a greener world

David Owen, Straits Times 7 Oct 09;

TO MOST people, big, densely-populated cities look like ecological nightmares - wastelands of concrete, garbage, diesel fumes and traffic jams. But compared to other inhabited places, cities are models of environmental responsibility. By the most significant measures, the greenest community in the United States is New York City, the only American city that approaches global environmental standards.

The average New Yorker generates 7.1 tonnes of greenhouse gases annually; that is more than the average Swede's 5.6 tonnes, but it is less than 30 per cent of the US average of 24.5 tonnes. Residents of Manhattan, the most densely populated of New York's five boroughs, generate even less.

The key to New York's relative environmental benignity is its extreme compactness. Manhattan's density is approximately 67,000 people per square mile, or more than 800 times the US average and roughly 30 times that of Los Angeles. Moving people closer together reduces the distances between their daily destinations and forces the majority to live in some of the most inherently energy-efficient residential structures in the world: apartment buildings.

New Yorkers use less water, burn less fossil fuel and produce less solid waste than other Americans. Their households also use much less electricity: 4,696 kilowatt hours per year, compared to 16,116 kilowatt hours in Dallas. Most important, New York's comprehensive public transit system enables the majority of residents to live without cars.

Some 82 per cent of employed Manhattanites travel to work by public transit, bicycle or on foot. That's 10 times the rate for Americans in general and eight times the rate for workers in Los Angeles.

At an environmental presentation last year, I sat next to an investment banker who was initially sceptical when I explained that New Yorkers have a significantly lower environmental impact than other Americans. 'But that's just because they're all crammed together,' he said.

Well, yes. He then disparaged New Yorkers' energy efficiency as 'unconscious', as though intention were more important than results. In fact, unconscious efficiencies are the most desirable ones, because they require neither enforcement nor a personal commitment.

I spoke with one energy expert who, when I asked him to explain why per-capita energy consumption was so much lower in Europe than in the US, said: 'It's not a secret, and it's not the result of some miraculous technological breakthrough. It's because Europeans are more likely to live in dense cities and less likely to own cars.'

China and many other non-Western countries are rapidly urbanising. This trend, which has been under way worldwide for decades, is often decried by environmentalists, who generally prefer people to move in the opposite direction, towards 'the land'.

But urbanisation is usually a good thing, both for those moving to cities and for civilisation in general. Urban families live more compactly, do less damage to fragile ecosystems, burn less fuel, enjoy stronger social ties to larger numbers of people, and, most significantly, produce fewer children, since large families have less economic utility in dense cities than they do in marginal agricultural areas.

The world's population is expected to reach nine billion by 2042. If we are to sustain a world of that size, growth must occur almost entirely in cities.

Unfortunately, many global trends are pushing in the opposite direction. Dependence on automobiles is growing in parts of the world that formerly got by without them. China's pool of licensed drivers is growing exponentially, and India is a decade into one of the largest road-building projects in history, a 5,800km superhighway known as the Golden Quadrilateral, which links the country's four largest cities, plus an extensive network of feeder roads.

All those new highways - in combination with India's brand-new 'People's Car', the US$2,500 (S$3,500) Tata Nano - represent an environmental, economic and cultural disaster in the making. If America's long history of energy-and- emissions gluttony proves anything, it is that an automobile-dependent society is vastly easier to create than to un-create.

Moving from walking, bicycling and public transit to driving is relatively simple because it requires only wealth. Moving from driving back to transit, bicycling and walking is far harder because the cars themselves are only part of the problem. Much more critical is the inherent inefficiency of the way of life that cars both enable and make necessary, and of the sprawling web of wasteful infrastructure that high levels of individual mechanised mobility lead affluent societies to create.

Sooner or later, whatever else happens, the world will run out of inexpensive oil. Countries with expanding economies would be better off using their new wealth to create ways of life that can be sustained beyond that inescapable point, rather than recklessly investing in a future that has no future.

Not jumping off a cliff is easier than turning around in mid-fall.

The writer's latest book, Green Metropolis: Why Living Smaller, Living Closer, And Driving Less Are The Keys To Sustainability, has just been published.

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