Singapore has to work together for sustainable future: Masagos Zulkifli

Speaking at a symposium on Thursday (Jan 7), Environment and Water Resources Minister Masagos Zulkifli says the nation cannot depend on just one person, or a group of people to do their part in building a more sustainable future.
Liyana Othman Channel NewsAsia 7 Jan 16;

SINGAPORE: Singaporeans must stop waiting for the Government to act when it comes to building a more sustainable future, Environment and Water Resources Minister Masagos Zulkifli said at a symposium on Thursday evening (Jan 7).

He said the nation cannot depend on just one person, or just a group of people to do their part.

“Our challenge is to turn this movement into a culture. So it's not just a movement of some people or a group of people with common intentions but it's a culture of what it means to be a Singaporean. And I think this is what we all should inspire or aspire to be,” Mr Masagos said.

“I believe in this saying: The Government is what we do together. It's not what the Government does. It's what we do together,” he said.

About 300 guests attended the symposium at Gardens By The Bay. It kicked off a series of dialogues on building cleaner, greener and smarter homes, which will take place throughout January.

The dialogues are hosted by the Ministry of National Development, Ministry of Environment and Water Resources, Ministry of Transport and Ministry of Communications and Information. This is part of the SGFuture dialogue series which was launched last December, to engage and gather ideas from Singaporeans on what they would like to see in the future, and how they can make that vision come to life.

These engagement sessions, which begin on Saturday, aim to gather ideas on how Singaporeans can play a bigger role in creating a more liveable and sustainable future, and inspire them to take action.

They cover four main topics: City in a Garden; Vibrant Community Spaces; Eco-Smart Towns and Gracious Living; as well as A Green and Conserving Culture.

"We look forward to hear the ideas in how we can move towards becoming a zero-waste nation, and redefine waste as a valuable resource for our society; to inspire and gather more to have a greater shared responsibility in keeping Singapore clean; to adopt a long-term perspective in caring for our clean and green environment; and to ingrain a culture to improve resource efficiency and conserve water," added Mr Masagos.

The ministries hosting these sessions will also try to support the ideas that come up in the dialogue.

"Think about concrete action that you can be involved in. Today's symposium is really meant to kick-start a series of conversations, but it should not be just talk. We really want you to get involved, if you've got good ideas, share (them); better yet, do something about it, and let us know and we in MND or MEWR can support you. We will do our best to support you and work with you to translate your ideas into actions,” said National Development Minister Lawrence Wong.

- CNA/dl


Have a say in tackling green challenges
Adrian Lim, Straits Times AsiaOne 9 Jan 16;

While Singapore has grown into a sterling city in a garden in 50 years, the next phase will be fraught with more acute challenges, driven by increasing land constraints that could mean trade-offs between commercial, residential and green spaces.

Climate change will also result in rising sea levels, more intense rainfall and warmer weather, and globally, there will be more pressure on resources such as food and raw materials.

But Singaporeans will have a say in how these challenges will be met, and the future they envision, through a month-long series of engagement sessions titled "A Cleaner, Greener and Smarter Home" launched yesterday.

The discussions will be based on four main themes: City in a Garden, Vibrant Community Spaces, Eco-smart Towns and Gracious Living, and A Green and Conserving Culture.

It will delve into topics, including how to cut down on food and electronic waste; how homes can be built to be more environmentally friendly; ways in which the community can maintain the island's greenery; or how technology can be used to improve the daily commute.

They are part of the larger SGfuture discussions that started in November and are expected to run till the middle of this year. Last month, the focus was on building a caring community.

To kick-start this round of dialogues, a symposium was held yesterday at Gardens by the Bay, involving some 300 participants, and attended by National Development Minister Lawrence Wong and Environment and Water Resources Minister Masagos Zulkifli.

In a call to action, Mr Wong said the sessions "should not just be talk only", but those with good ideas should come forward.

The Government will work with individuals to "translate your ideas into actions", he added.

Ms Masagos gave the example of Mr Tan Ken Jin as an individual who made a difference. Mr Tan started the Singapore Glove Project, where people meet to pick up litter during their jogs and runs.

"The one-man movement has grown to more than 500 members... Our challenge is to turn the movement into a culture," he said.

During yesterday's symposium, participants raised several suggestions, including an open gardens concept, where the gardens of private homes or estates could be open to the public on a regular basis.

One participant also asked whether urban areas could be re-designed to make them more walkable, like in Western cities.

There will be 17 engagement sessions this month, and one next month. While the dialogues will be held at the Marketplace, near The Future of Us exhibition, there will also be site visits to the rail corridor, HortPark and the Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park.

Members of the public who would like to attend any of the dialogues can sign up at https://www.sg/sg50/sgfuture


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8,000 lanterns to light up the sky at Chingay 2016

This year’s parade will feature sky lanterns, a 66-metre “flying” LED dragon, aerial performances and the biggest full-scale illuminated show ever performed in Chingay.
Shivaanan Selvasevaran Channel NewsAsia 7 Jan 16;

SINGAPORE: This year’s Chingay is set to be one of the brightest, with more than 8,000 lanterns shaped like light-bulbs illuminating the sky during the parade, the People’s Association (PA) revealed on Thursday (Jan 7).

The sky lanterns symbolise the core values of Singaporeans being passed down to the next generation, PA said, adding that the parade will also feature a 66-metre (m) “flying” LED dragon, aerial performances from a 50m-tall crane and the biggest full-scale illuminated show ever performed in Chingay.



These sky lanterns will be launched during the Chingay parade. (Photo: Shivaanan Selvasevaran)

With the theme “Lights of Legacy, Brighter Singapore”, the parade will feature 50 contingents with troupes from 10 countries. For the first time, there will be a joint performance by more than 30 religious organisations led by the Inter-Religious Organisations Singapore (IRO).

An estimated 160,000 spectators are expected at the parade, which will be held at the F1 Pit Building from Feb 19 to 20. Chingay Night Fiesta will run at Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park on Feb 21.

"We chose the theme 'Lights of Legacy, Brighter Singapore' to remember the values that were fostered by our pioneers," said Mr Ang Hak Seng, Chief Executive Director of PA.

A commemorative book titled Chingay 2015 – An SG50 Gift from the People to the Nation was also launched on Thursday. The 150-page book explores how Singaporeans celebrated SG50 through Chingay and captures the memories of the performers and organisers behind the parade last year.

- CNA/cy

Chingay Parade 2016 to highlight values fostered by founding fathers
STACEY LIM Today Online 7 Jan 16;

SINGAPORE — Core values fostered by our founding fathers will be brought to light at the 44th Chingay Parade, to be held on Feb 19 and 20 at the F1 Pit Building in the Marina Bay area.

At the first media conference today (Jan 7) for the annual Chinese New Year event, organisers said that the theme “Lights of Legacy, Brighter Singapore” was chosen because it marks the “beginning of our new chapter to SG100”.

The opening segment of the parade, titled “Voyage SG100”, will show an all-inclusive contingent of 800 youth performers atop a majestic float, symbolising a youth-led nation for the next 50 years towards Singapore’s 100 years of independence.

People’s Association, the parade organisers, will be collecting drawn sky lanterns signed by Singaporeans — expressing values such as racial harmony, social cohesion, integrity, prudence and a can-do Singapore spirit — and will be displaying 8,000 of them as the highlight of the parade’s grand finale.

Children and youth in primary and secondary schools will be encouraged to draw, on cubes provided by organisers, their dream homeland of Singapore in 2065. Mr Ang Hak Seng, chief executive director of People’s Association, said: “Only when we live our values as one people, will we have a brighter Singapore. (A) brighter Singapore is about confidence in our future, so what best way to capture (that) by asking the youth.”

To allow audiences to be part of the lights and sounds, the 25,000 people at the spectators’ stands for each night will be given hand-held light bulbs.

The parade opening and finale will be specially choreographed and is the biggest ever full-scale illuminated show in the Chingay history, with 8,000 performers this year and a total of 50 parade contingents: 40 contingents from Singapore and performance troupes from 10 countries such as China, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia.

This year’s Chingay will be the first to introduce a joint performance by 30 religious organisations and groups. Deacon Matthew Kang, chairman of New Creation Church, said: “We hope that this will further evoke the sense of pride among our people, among Singaporeans, that indeed Singapore is a nation (that has) inter-racial and inter-religious harmony — and we are really, really proud of that.”

Classic Chinese New Year symbols will still be there, highlighted this year by the world debut of a 66m LED-lighted flying dragon, made from Shaanxi, China for the parade.

Tickets for the parade are available at SISTIC from S$28.50.

Chingay lanterns will not be released into the sky: PA
The People’s Association confirmed on Jan 8 that the 8,000 sky lantern to be displayed during this year’s Chingay Parade would not be released into the sky.
AsiaOne 8 Jan 15;

SINGAPORE — The People’s Association (PA) clarified today (Jan 8) that the 8,000 sky lanterns to be displayed at this year’s Chingay Parade are not meant to be released into the sky, following concerns of the possible environmental impact if the lanterns were released.

The lanterns, which will be featured as the highlight of the parade’s grand finale, are “performance props”, said the PA on Facebook. “They will not pose any environmental issue.”

The PA said the lanterns will be reused and exhibited at the PAssionArts Festival 2016 and community events such as National Day celebrations after Chingay 2016.

They will eventually be recycled and proceeds from the recycling will go to charity, said the association.

At least 10 concerned members of the public had left comments on PA’s Facebook page asking about its plans for the lanterns.

Facebook user Veerappan Swaminathan expressed fears that the lanterns, if released, would “affect marine and land animals adversely”. These comments were echoed by users such as Shirley Yong and Ria Tan. Others, such as Lai Chiu Yun, said there would be “no way of recovering [the] lanterns once ... released” and likened it to littering. The PA replied the users, saying that the lanterns would not be released.

The lightbulb-shaped lanterns, signed by Singaporeans, will highlight core values fostered by Singapore’s founding fathers, such as racial harmony, social cohesion and integrity.

Themed “Lights of Legacy, Brighter Singapore”, the annual Chingay Parade will be held on Feb 19 and 20 at the F1 Pit Building in the Marina Bay area. Featuring 8,000 performers and 50 parade contingents, it is set to be the biggest ever full-scale illuminated show in the parade’s 44-year history. ASHUTOSH RAVIKRISHNAN


2,000 local, international artistes to light up Chingay Night Fiesta
There will be performances by 2,000 local and international artistes. Three hundred members of a combined choir from Community Clubs and schools will pay tribute to founding Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew and other pioneers.
Channel NewsAsia 4 Feb 16;

SINGAPORE: This year's Chingay Night Fiesta will be held for the first time at Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park. Set to take place on Feb 21, the Fiesta is themed "Lights of Legacy, Brighter Singapore".

The event will also feature performances by 2,000 local and international artistes from countries like China and Russia. Three hundred members of a combined choir from Community Clubs and schools will pay tribute to founding Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew and other pioneers.

During the parade, about 50,000 Singaporeans can also get up close with the performers, who will showcase modern and traditional dances, songs and martial arts.

At the park, there will be booths where people can request for calligraphy with words on Singapore's core values.

Among the sights will be 10,000 sky lanterns and lighted cubes, displaying illustrations by Singaporeans pledging support to the core values. It will be the first time Singaporeans will see this number of lanterns and cubes on display.

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and his wife Ho Ching will also attend the finale and join Singaporeans in reciting the National Pledge.

Mr Ang Hak Seng, chief executive director of the People's Association, said: "Ten thousand sky lanterns and cubes will light up the path of legacy, complemented by our Chingay float. For sights, for the first time in Singapore and in the region, you will see a 66-metre LED sky lantern or dragon that will light up the sky.

"And for sound, 50,000 Singaporeans and residents will recite our National Pledge to reaffirm our commitment as one united people towards a brighter Singapore."

- CNA/ms

Related link
Chingay 2016’s 8000 balloons not meant to be released into the sky The Online Citizen


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Malaysia: Real-time monitoring of mangrove forests starts in Selangor

RAHIMY RAHIM The Star 8 Jan 16;


SUBANG: Conservation of endangered mangrove forests has been given a boost with the start of the first real-time monitoring project in Sabak Bernam, Selangor.

The monitoring would enable the local community, researchers and authorities to observe soil conditions, humidity, water levels, temperature and air conditions of the mangrove area via an automated online cloud computing system developed by Ericsson.

Ericsson Solutions CU Malaysia and Sri Lanka vice-president Sebastian Barros said the mangrove trees were directly connected to its system via sensors and high speed mobile broadband.

“Mangroves are the crossroads between the oceans and land.

“They are one of the most complex ecosystems in the planet.

“Mangrove forests act as ‘bodyguards’ for the coast to defend villages from natural disasters such as tsunami or flooding.

“Unfortunately, they are under various threats and we would like to conserve it,” he said yesterday.

Barros said it was estimated that almost 50% of the mangroves in Malaysia had been destroyed due to illegal logging, threats from pollution and other factors, such as fire, over the past three decades.

“It is a sad reality that in some places the coastal areas are completely naked of mangrove and open to threats such as floods and tsunami,” he said.

Besides replanting mangrove trees, the company has also successfully tracked the growth of specific trees.

“We were told by the villagers that the life expectancy rate of mangrove trees is low.

“They estimate that seven out of 10 mangrove trees planted will reach adult stage.”

He said the company would use the data derived from the monitoring for future conservation and the protection of the ecosystem.

“We are looking at expanding this to other areas such as in Terengganu and Pahang,” he said, adding that the company was also looking for sustainable ways to fund the pilot project.

Barros said that the technology could also be expanded to other agricultural sectors including the palm oil and rubber industries.

The company partnered with a non-governmental organisation and a local company to undertake the conservation project.


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Indonesia to sue another 10 firms over forest fires

Francis Chan Indonesia Bureau Chief In Jakarta Straits Times 7 Jan 16;

The Indonesian government plans to take 10 more companies to court over illegal forest fires, strongly believed to have led to the transboundary haze crisis last year.

The move, revealed by Indonesia's Environment and Forestry Minister Siti Nurbaya Bakar on Tuesday, is part of President Joko Widodo's promise to get tough with errant companies found to have burned forests and peatlands to clear them for cultivation.

It also comes a week after the government suffered a major setback in court over a similar lawsuit brought against local pulpwood plantation company Bumi Mekar Hijau (BMH) for similar violations.

The government had sued BMH for 7.8 trillion rupiah (S$801.7 million) last year for clearing land in 2014 using the outlawed slash-and- burn technique, a method which often leads to uncontrollable fires that produce thick haze.

A Palembang district court, however, ruled on Dec 30 that there was no evidence showing that BMH had deliberately started fires.

Ms Siti declined to name the 10 companies facing the Indonesian government's next lawsuit, but she reportedly said that they were also suspected to be involved in forest and land "arson".

To deter firms from flouting environment laws, the Indonesian government has the authority to issue administrative sanctions such as suspending the business licences of errant companies.

But hitting them in their wallets - where it hurts most - is not as easy. Monetary fines can be meted out only by the courts.

Last month, 16 plantation companies, including BMH, had their business licences suspended and three others were ordered to stop operations for good after a government probe found that they were responsible for illegal fires last year.

Those fires, which spread across Kalimantan and Sumatra provinces, are said to have caused the haze crisis which affected many countries in South-east Asia, including Malaysia and Singapore.

The smoke from the fires last year also sent air pollution to record levels, resulting in at least 19 deaths from haze-related illnesses and more than half a million Indonesians suffering from respiratory infections.

Environmentalists have said that plantation companies often resort to illegal slash-and-burn methods to clear land, as hiring excavators to do the same job would cost at least seven times more.

Ms Siti said that her ministry is preparing to appeal against the court ruling handed down in favour of BMH.

She added that she was disappointed with the Palembang court's decision because BMH has damaged the environment.

Ms Siti explained that a 20,000ha land area located in a forest managed by BMH was indeed set on fire in 2014.

Hot spots were detected over the Simpang Tiga Sakti district and Sungai Byuku district, as well as Ogan Komering Ilir regency, which was one of the areas most badly hit by forest fires last year.

Indonesia's Environment and Forestry Ministry has been suing plantation companies for causing land and forest fires since 2013.

Yesterday, Vice-President Jusuf Kalla denied that the government was having problems collecting evidence against BMH in the 2014 case. "It depends on the court," he told Detik news.

Govt Seeks Expert Help in Forest Fire Case Appeal

Jakarta Globe 7 Jan 16;

Jakarta. The Ministry for the Environment and Forestry has enlisted the help of 23 legal experts to prepare an appeal against a recent decision by a South Sumatra court to rule in favor of a plantation company accused of slash-and-burn practices.

On Friday “there will be a meeting with legal experts [at the ministry's office] from environmental law experts to administrative law experts,” Minister Siti Nurbaya said on Thursday as quoted by Tempo.

The appeal comes after the Palembang District Court threw out the ministry's Rp 7.8 trillion ($560 million) lawsuit against Bumi Mekar Hijau, who was accused of causing fires on 20,000 hectares of concession land in 2014.

The court, presided over by Judge Parlas Nababan, however, ruled the government failed to prove that the company was directly responsible for the fires.

Siti refused to comment on the highly criticized decision, including the court's argument that no environmental damage was caused to the company's concession area as the area “can still be replanted with trees.”

Herwinsyah, a lawyer for the ministry, earlier said the team of lawyers are planning to lodge the appeal to the South Sumatra High Court on Monday.

Bumi Mekar Hijau was also accused of committing the same practices in 2015, contributing to forest fires that resulted in choking haze for months, affecting the health of hundreds of thousands of people in Kalimantan, Sumatra and neighboring Singapore and Malaysia.

The case for the company's purported violations in 2015 has not yet been brought to trial.


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Drought, heat slash grain crops: study

AFP Yahoo News 6 Jan 16;

Paris (AFP) - Drought and heatwaves depleted grain harvests by 10 percent from 1964 to 2007, with sharper losses in the latter two decades and rich nations, reports a study released Wednesday.

The first global overview of how extreme weather disasters affect grain output comes as climate scientists project even more severe and frequent warming over the next half-century.

At the same time, other research has shown, food production will probably need to double by 2050 to feed a population of more than nine billion people.

The study "highlights the important historical effects of extreme weather disasters on agriculture," the authors note in a study published in the journal Nature.

It also "emphasises the urgency with which the global cereal production system must adapt to extremes in a changing climate."

A trio of researchers led by Corey Lesk of McGill University in Montreal crunched data from 177 countries covering nearly 3,000 heatwaves, drought and floods.

Using average yields as a benchmark, they looked at how extreme weather events affected output of 16 cereals, including wheat, maize and rice.

"Until now we did not know exactly how much global production was lost," said co-author Navin Ramankutty, also of McGill.

During the 43-year period examined, some 1.2 billion tonnes of grain were lost to heatwaves, and 1.8 billion tonnes to drought -- the equivalent of global wheat and maize output for 2013.

As expected, the impact of heatwaves was more short-lived than droughts, which sometimes extended over more than one growing season.

The losses over the period 1985 to 2007 were higher, averaging nearly 14 percent, raising the question of whether climate change is playing an greater role.

The authors pointed to other research suggesting that a jump of one degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) in seasonal mean temperature can shave six or seven percent off of yields in some regions.

But the additional crop losses at the end of the 20th century could be due to other causes as well, they said.

Global warming has heated Earth by 1C since the start of the Industrial Revolution, mostly over the last 50 years.

Under the umbrella of the United Nations, the world's nations have vowed to hold the increase to "well under 2C".

Somewhat surprisingly, heatwaves and drought claimed twice as much cereal production -- 20 percent -- in the United States, Canada and Europe than in the developing world.

This was probably due to the prevalence of industrial-scale mono-culture -- growing a single crop over vast tracts of land.

"If a drought hits in a way that is damaging to those crops, they will all suffer," Lesk said in a statement.

"By contrast, in much of the developing world, the cropping systems are a patchwork of small fields with diverse crops. If a drought hits, some of thos crops may be damaged, but others may survive."


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'Case is made' for Anthropogenic Epoch

Jonathan Amos BBC 8 Jan 16;

There is little doubt now that we have entered a new geological age, believes an international scientific panel.

The team, which has been tasked with defining the so-called Anthropocene, says humanity's impacts on Earth will be visible in sediments and rocks millions of years into the future.

The researchers are working towards a formal classification of the new epoch.

An open question is the formal start date, which some panel members think could be the 1950s.

This decade marks the beginning of the "Great Acceleration", when the human population and its consumption patterns suddenly speeded up.
It coincides with the spread of ubiquitous "techno materials", such as aluminium, concrete and plastic.

It also covers the years when thermonuclear weapons tests dispersed radioactive elements across the globe. Their long-lived activity will still be apparent to anyone who cares to look for it hundreds of millennia from now.

The report by the Anthropocene Working Group, published in Science magazine, is not a full and final statement on the subject.
Rather, it represents an interim position - an update on the panel's investigations.

But the key finding is that humanity's impacts on Earth should now be regarded as pervasive and sufficiently distinctive to justify a separate classification.

"The paper looks at the magnitude of the changes that humanity has made to the planet," explained group secretary Dr Colin Waters.
"Have they been sufficient to significantly alter the nature of the sediments now being accumulated at present, and are they distinctive from the existing Holocene Epoch that started at the end of the last ice age? That case has now been made," the British Geological Survey scientist told BBC News.

"Within the Working Group - and we have 37 members - I think the majority of them now agree that we are living in an interval we should call the Anthropocene. There's still some discussion as to whether it should be a formal or informal unit, but we'd like to have a specific definition. And a majority of the group are moving towards the mid-20th Century for the start of this new epoch."

In due course, the group will produce some final recommendations.

Ultimately it will be down to the International Commission on Stratigraphy to accept - or not - the "Anthropocene Epoch" as an additional unit in the official time scheme used to describe the planet's 4.6 billion years of history.

The famous Chronostratigraphic Chart featured in textbooks and on posters in school classrooms is unlikely to undergo an immediate redesign, however.

If the mid-20th Century is to be the official start date, it will have to be demonstrated with sample boreholes bearing some of the tell-tale signatures of the Anthropocene.

These could include ocean or lake sediments containing markers of pollution, such as the soot particles from fossil fuel burning.
Because these examples would need to reflect a global and not just a local footprint of human activity, the boreholes could take a number of years to collect.

The author and journalist Gaia Vince won this year's Royal Society Winton prize for her book, Adventures In The Anthropocene.

It is a kind of travelogue that tries to explain the enormous changes occurring on Earth at the level of the individual citizen.
I asked her what she thought of the Working Group's latest statement.

"There is a conceptual difficulty in appreciating that in just a human lifetime, our species (which has itself only existed in the briefest time) has profoundly changed this billions-years-old planet," she told me.

"And yet the evidence is increasingly obvious to us all, from satellite images of global transformations to local extinctions of butterflies, to our increasing experiences of extreme weather events. Nevertheless, it's a difficult and novel task for the geologists who must try to determine a start date for an era whose palaeontology and geology are still being created - there's no handy stripe in the rock layers to mark the Anthropocene yet.

"The mid-20th Century, the beginning of the global Great Acceleration (there are some great graphs for this), makes for a useful marker both scientifically and because it also represents the great social changes that have occurred.

"This is important because it was an evolution in human society that created this environmental planetary change - and it is the way human society develops that will shape this new age for the decades and centuries to come."


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Cambodia: Mother Nature Questions Singapore Ambassador Over Dredging

Chea Takihiro and James Reddick Khmer Times
6 Jan 16;

Two environmental groups submitted a request yesterday for a meeting with the ambassador of Singapore to address the city-state’s imports of sand dredged off the Cambodian coast. Environmental groups and villagers have been decrying dredging in Koh Kong province for more than a decade, and have long pointed the finger at Singapore for its appetite for sand.

In a letter addressed to Ambassador Kevin Cheok, NGOs Mother Nature and the Cambodian Youth Network laid out a series of questions for the ambassador to address. Among them, they ask if the Singapore government is still purchasing sand, how much they have imported since 2008, which private companies the authorities have bought sand from and if there is any regulation of sand imports within the country.

The request cites a November 16 letter from Prime Minister Hun Sen, sent to the National Assembly, which acknowledged that dredging was primarily conducted for export. ‘

“Because we don’t have the market in the country, that’s why we send it abroad,” he wrote, without identifying the destination of exports. Rejecting a claim by opposition lawmaker Son Chhay that dredging companies were Vietnamese, he wrote that the two companies granted dredging licenses, International Rainbow and Direct Assess Co. Ltd, are locally owned. They were given permits despite a 2011 ban on dredging. Mr. Hun Sen downplayed environmental concerns, saying that the dredging is actually having a positive impact on nearby residents.

“The government is thinking about restoring rivers and lakes congested by mud and sand to facilitate water traffic and transportation,” he wrote, adding that dredging can help reduce the risk of flooding. The NGOs’ letter asserted that, despite the prime minister’s assessment, the dredging was wreaking havoc on the ecosystem.

“Fishing communities remain deeply concerned that the ongoing sand mining operations in Koh Kong’s estuaries and creeks continues to cause serious impacts on their livelihoods, due to a decrease in fisheries and other environmental impacts,” they wrote.


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Malaysia imposes 3-month ban on bauxite mining; may dent China stockpiles

* To ban bauxite mining for three months, effective Jan. 15
* To also freeze new bauxite export permits for the period
* Malaysia warns ban could be extended if firms do not comply (Recasts, adds trader and analyst comment)
Rozanna Latiff Reuters 6 Jan 16;

KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 6 (Reuters) - Malaysia imposed a three-month ban on bauxite mining following an alarm over its environmental impact, in a move that could dent stockpiles at the world's biggest buyer of the aluminium-making ingredient, China.

Malaysia's largely unregulated bauxite mining industry has boomed in the past two years to meet demand from top aluminium producer China, but the frenetic pace of digging has led to a public outcry with many complaining of water contamination and destruction of the environment.

Just last month, bauxite mining was blamed for turning the waters and seas red near Kuantan, the capital of Malaysia's third-largest state and key bauxite producer Pahang.

"Everything (bauxite mining) will come to a complete stop on Jan. 15," said Wan Junaidi Tuanku Jaafar, Malaysia's natural resources and environment minister. The ban may be extended if mining firms do not comply with regulations, he cautioned.

In the first month, stockpiles at the Kuantan port will be cleared and cleaning facilities will be installed, while in the second month, stockpiles in 11 other locations will be cleared, Wan Junaidi said on Wednesday.

Regulations will be imposed on the transport of bauxite as well as cleaning of mining sites, the minister said.

"The Cabinet has decided to leave it to the industry to take measures to protect the environment. But if they cannot do what we, the federal and state governments, want them to do, then we will have no choice but to extend the moratorium."

Malaysia will also freeze new bauxite export permits for the three months, although existing permit holders can export from their stocks over the period.

"I see little to no impact on China (aluminium production), unless things change at the end of the three months," said Paul Adkins, managing director of Beijing-based consultancy AZ China. "Exports will continue, using the stockpile at port."

The three-month mining ban could shave about 6 million tonnes off China's current bauxite stockpiles of around 25-30 million tonnes, Adkins said earlier this week.

Malaysia accounted for over 40 percent of China's 49 million tonnes of bauxite imports across January to November last year. In 2013, it had shipped only 162,000 tonnes to China.

The Southeast Asian nation has been exporting increasing amounts of the raw material to China, filling in a supply gap after Indonesia banned bauxite exports in early 2014.

While a longer Malaysian mining ban could prompt China to look to other suppliers such as Australia or India for bauxite imports, industry participants do not expect Malaysia to extend the ban as bauxite mining brings in a lot of revenue.

"In the short-term, the ban will be a heavy blow to the industry. But in the long run, with proper procedures and if everyone can do it in the right way, bauxite mining should be a good thing," said Johnny Wong, director at Kuantan-based bauxite miner Ideal Mineral Resources Bhd. (Additional reporting by Melanie Burton in Melbourne, writing by Praveen Menon; Editing by Himani Sarkar)

Malaysia to Ban Bauxite Mining for 3 Months to Cut Pollution
* Country supplied more than 40% of China's imports last year
* Suspension starts Jan. 15 as government seeks to tighten rules
Anuradha Raghu and Ranjeetha Pakiam Bloomberg 6 Jan 16;

Malaysia, the biggest shipper of bauxite to China, will stop mining ore for three months to cut river and sea pollution, Natural Resources and Environment Minister Wan Junaidi Jaafar said.

The ban takes effect from Jan. 15 in Pahang, the largest producing state, Wan Junaidi told reporters. Exports will be allowed during the moratorium to reduce port inventories, and after the suspension the government will limit bauxite production to the capacity to ship the material, he said on Wednesday.

Malaysia supplied more than 40 percent of China’s imports of the aluminum-making raw material last year after Indonesia imposed a ban on shipments in January 2014. China produces about half the world’s aluminum used in everything from aircraft to door frames and drink cans. The country’s exports of the metal and its products surged 36 percent in November from the previous month, helping push global prices down 19 percent in 2015.

The ban would have to last longer than six months before it starts to hurt China, said Paul Adkins, managing director of consultancy AZ China Ltd. “I doubt there will be much of a price spike reaction. The market is acutely aware that Chinese smelters appear to be slowing down, and with so much material in stockpile, there will be no interest by Chinese buyers to pay more.”

Water Resources

Red dust from trucks carrying ore to Kuantan port had blanketed roads, trees and plants, threatening air purity and water resources, said Fuziah Salleh, member of parliament for Kuantan, capital of Pahang. The government should suspend exports until proper laws are in place to ensure mining is sustainable and to curb illegal operations, she said Tuesday.

“Things are just out of control at the moment,” Fuziah said. “I’m very concerned that the damage may be irreversible.”

All the inventories at Kuantan port have to be exported or moved to a central area equipped with proper drainage, washing bays and filtration, Wan Junaidi, the minister, said in Kuala Lumpur. The government will extend the moratorium if industry fails to take the necessary steps within three months, he said. The central stockpile will only be accessible to legal miners, preventing illicit operations, he said.

Malaysia supplied 21 million metric tons of China’s imports of 49 million tons in the first 11 months of 2015, according to Chinese customs. While the government is allowing shipments under existing permits, it has stopped issuing new export licenses, the ministry said. After the three-month mining ban, the provision of new permits will be limited to port capacity, it said.

The north-eastern state of Terengganu already froze new bauxite mining applications in September, citing environmental concerns.

Malaysia to Ban Bauxite Mining for Three Months
Malaysia will place a temporary ban on aluminum-rich bauxite in response to pollution concerns in the state of Pahang
BIMAN MUKHERJI and CELINE FERNANDEZ Asian Wall Street Journal 6 Jan 16;

KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia—Malaysia on Wednesday imposed a three-month ban on bauxite mining beginning later this month amid worries over its environmental impact, potentially affecting exports of the aluminum-making ore to Chinese smelters.

Malaysia emerged last year as a major provider of bauxite after leading producer Indonesia banned ore exports to encourage more processing at home. From January to November, Malaysia exported some 20 million metric tons of bauxite to China, the world’s biggest aluminum producer. That was nearly half China’s total bauxite imports and a sharp increase from 3.25 million tons in the same period in 2014.

Industry experts had earlier said Malaysia’s entry into the industry was a game-changer, opening a new source of bauxite to meet demand for aluminum, a metal used in cars and beverage cans that is often valued for its environmentally friendly properties.

But concerns about flimsy regulation and a lack of environmental safeguards on bauxite mining were heightened last week after environmentalists and residents blamed waste from the extraction process for polluting the waters off eastern Malaysia after days of torrential rains.

“Beginning 15 January, everything will come to a standstill,” Malaysia’s natural resources and environment minister, Wan Junaidi Tuanku Jaafar, told a news conference.

Mr. Wan Junaidi said the government would also freeze new permits for the export of bauxite for three months.

The recent rainstorms led to a sharp increase in the runoff from washed ore leaching into the river systems in Pahang state, where the bulk of the mining takes place.

Environmentalists have said the runoff has increased the risk of contamination of seafood caught in the area around the town of Kuantan, as well as blighting one of the country’s most popular tourism destinations.

The residue from bauxite mining, a red sludge, can include naturally occurring chemicals and minerals such as arsenic and mercury, and heavy metals including strontium and cesium. Residents in Kuantan have complained of skin inflammation and deteriorating air quality because of the way in which waste from mining is handled.

It isn’t yet clear how the ban would affect Malaysia’s exports over the longer term. Any disruption in supplies would probably force Chinese producers to turn to higher-cost suppliers in Australia and India, said Ivan Szpakowski, head of Asia commodities research at Citi.

“China will continue to export aluminum products, though this will make them slightly less competitive,” he said.

A Chinese aluminum-industry executive said any impact from Malaysia’s decision may take a while to play out as China still has substantial stockpiles of bauxite imported from Indonesia before that country’s export ban.

Chinese producers of certain metals including aluminum have recently stepped up exports as domestic consumption has slowed, which in turn has suppressed international prices. Three-month aluminum prices on the London Metal Exchange were trading Wednesday at $1,468.50 a ton, close to a six-year low touched last year.

Malaysian bauxite exports to China are cheaper than those from rivals such as Australia, but considered to be of poorer quality. Some of the larger mining companies in Malaysia’s highly fragmented industry have bought better quality equipment in response, to reduce pollution and to dig out higher-quality bauxite.

Even if Malaysia were to follow Indonesia by banning bauxite outright, it is unlikely to spur investment in the ore’s processing within the country, Citi’s Mr. Szpakowski said.

“There is little incentive for a producer to invest in refining of the metal in the country, as at the current pace of mining Malaysia is likely to exhaust its bauxite reserves in less than 10 years,” he said.

Any demand from China is likely positive for Australian mining companies, which are the second-largest suppliers to China. Malaysia’s temporary export ban comes just weeks after mining giant Rio Tinto approved a $1.9 billion Amrun bauxite project in Australia, betting Chinese demand for the commodity would rise.

The apparent ease with which many companies have obtained licenses to mine bauxite in Malaysia has stirred concerns about the long-term impact of the industry.

At present, there are 22 legal mine operators in the state of Pahang, with an unknown number of illegal mining companies, officials said. Malaysia’s government last week stopped approving new permits to export bauxite, and these licenses will be subject to more stringent scrutiny when they resume being issued.

“We are trying to find a permanent solution, but a permanent solution needs time,” Pahang Chief Minister Adnan Yaakob said.

—Kersten Zhang in Beijing and Rhiannon Hoyle in Sydney contributed to this article.


China fuels red boom in global bauxite trade
RAZAK AHMAD The Star 7 Jan 16;



KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia is a small player in the global bauxite industry but strong demand from China has fuelled a red boom in the country.

Bauxite is processed into aluminium oxide or alumina before being smelted to extract aluminium, which is used in all kinds of products ranging from packaging to aeroplanes.

In 2013, Malaysia reportedly produced 208,770 tonnes of bauxite, a tiny figure compared to world leader Australia which produced 81 million tonnes.

The following year saw a three-fold jump in Malaysia’s production to 962,799 tonnes, according to figures from the Minerals and Geoscience Department.

Last year, Malaysia produced an estimated 20 million tonnes to overtake Australia as the biggest bauxite exporter to China.

The staggering jump in production is partly to fill a void left by Indonesia which restricted exports in 2014 to compel local companies to develop smelters, add value and create more jobs.

Strong demand from China over the past few years has made bauxite mining a lucrative business in Malaysia.

Mining operations have, however, left many areas covered in red dust and created worries about river and sea water contamination.

Despite the big profits, questions have been raised on how long the current bauxite boom can last.

Reuters reported that the price of aluminium fell last November to its lowest in six years as China’s economic growth slowed, creating an oversupply.

It has also been noted that Malaysia has a relatively small reserve of bauxite.

Bloomberg quoted mining company Rio Tinto Group’s chief executive officer for aluminium Alf Barrios as saying that “Malaysia can only maintain its current level of production for another three or four years before its reserves run out”.

The Minerals and Geoscience Department in its 2014 Compendium states that Malaysia’s aluminium/bauxite reserves currently stand at 18 million metric tonnes valued at RM1bil.

Researcher: Long-term exposure to bauxite dust can lead to Alzheimer
The Star 6 Jan 16;

KUANTAN: Long-term exposure to bauxite dust can lead to miners and residents living along transport routes developing Alzheimer's disease, said Research fellow at Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin's (UniSZA) Air Quality Division of the East Coast Environmental Research Institute, Dr Azman Azid.

He said bauxite contained aluminium hydroxide and if inhaled, the bauxite dust, which is released into the air over a long period of time, could block the oxygen supply to the blood and nervous system.

"When the brain does not get sufficient oxygen, a person is exposed to the risk of Alzheimers or suffer memory loss," he told Bernama when contacted here today.

He said, based on a study conducted by the institute at several affected areas in the last few months including at the Bukit Goh Tahfiz School, located near the main bauxite transport routes, found that the air pollution there had exceeded the hazardous level and recorded an Air Pollutant Index reading of 468.

Azman described the air pollution in the area as serious and he estimated that the suspended particles less than 10 microns had reached levels over 200 ug/m3 (microgrammes per cubic metre), exceeding the standards set by the Malaysian Ambient Air Quality Guidelines of 150 ug/m3.

Azman also voiced concern over some residents and workers who seemed to be neglecting their own health as they did not wear safety masks, adding that those people were facing breathing difficulties, coughs, allergies, itchy eyes as well as liver problems.

"Besides mining workers, others who are at risk are babies, children and senior citizens as they have a higher breathing air requirements and weaker body immunity system," he said.

According to Azman, the pollution problem could be reduced if the relevant law enforcement agencies had taken appropriate action when bauxite-mining activity began in the district.

"Personally, I think the relevant agencies including the Department of Environment should have monitored the situation from the beginning especially in the aspect of the implementation of the mining works.

"The dust can be reduced if all lorries carrying bauxite properly cover their load and the roads used to transport are washed with water.

"At the same time, buffers should also be built along the routes to filter the water used to clean up the dirty roads before it flows into rivers," he said.

He said the Department of Safety and Health (Dosh) should also play its role by ensuring those working in the bauxite industry always wear safety masks to prevent their health from being affected.

Meanwhile, Pahang Health director Datuk Dr Zainal Ariffin Omar said there was a theory saying that aluminium poisoning through air pollution could cause Alzheimers disease.

"However, so far there is no conclusive evidence that aluminium poisoning through the air can cause the disease. It's just a theory without medical evidence," he said.

At the same time he did not deny that the number of patients who sought treatment for respiratory diseases such as asthma, colds and coughs in the government clinics and hospitals and in the state had recorded an increase. - Bernama


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Indonesia prepares rural flood defenses to protect crops

Reuters Yahoo News 6 Jan 16;

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia is bolstering its rural flood defenses to help farmers protect crops from monsoon waters and the La Nina weather pattern, its agriculture minister said on Wednesday.

Indonesia is a top producer of cocoa, palm oil and coffee, as well as a major importer of rice and raw sugar. It has forecast that the La Nina weather pattern will strengthen from mid-2016.

Any reduction in output of these crops could support global prices or lead to greater imports as domestic supplies dwindle in Southeast Asia's biggest economy.

La Nina is a cooling of the tropical waters of the Pacific that is a counterpart to the El Nino weather event that is characterized by warmer waters.

Indonesia is repairing irrigation systems and installing water pumps in areas likely to be worst hit, such as East Java, Agriculture Minister Amran Sulaiman told reporters, adding that rice planting was also being accelerated.

"La Nina (will) possibly occur in October," Sulaiman added. "We're preparing early in anticipation, just like last year when we made early preparations to face the drought."

Sulaiman said discussions with state food procurement agency Bulog were underway over domestic rice buying but declined to comment on imports, adding that harvests may be delayed a little and that Bulog currently had stocks of 1.2 million tonnes.

Rice imports are a contentious issue in the country where President Joko Widodo is faced with fast-rising food prices but is also pursuing self-sufficiency to protect farmers.

Despite the self-sufficiency push, Indonesia expected to have imported 700,000 tonnes of rice from Vietnam and Thailand by the end of 2015, a government official said last month.

(Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe; Writing by Michael Taylor; Editing by Joseph Radford)


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Indonesia: Court decision to reject lawsuit against BMH criticized

Callistasia Anggun Wijaya, thejakartapost.com 6 Jan 16;

Environment activists, joining with the Coalition of Anti Forest Mafia, have criticized the Palembang district court’s decision to reject a lawsuit filed by the government through the Environment and Forestry Ministry against plantation company PT Bumi Mekar Hijau (BMH) over its alleged involvement in a forest fire in Palembang, South Sumatra.

They said that the court’s panel, led by Parlas Nababan, had made a careless mistake, saying that such a ruling might cause a bad precedent for the future.

Law researcher Syahrul Fitra, from Non-Government Organization (NGO) Auriga, criticized the panel’s decision, which stated that the forest fire was something that could not be controlled.

“Actually, forest fires tend to recur. Therefore, anticipatory measures should be taken,” said Syahrul on Wednesday.

Based on Auriga data, 1,023 fire spots were identified on BMH’s land concession areas from July to November last year.

Syahrul stressed that the fire spots were found in BMH plantation areas, not on land owned by local residents living in areas surrounding the plantation.

The court should have been concerned about the obligation of concession holders to anticipate forest fires, he said, adding that it seemed that the judges were more concerned with the company’s losses as a consequence of the fires, although the fires had also brought suffering to residents in the affected areas.

“They should have been concerned about the health impacts affecting the residents. The economic impact of the fires should also be considered, such as mitigation funds the government should be spending to tackle the fires,” said Syahrul.

The judges considered the case only as a general lawful act, the activist said, adding that forest fires were more complicated due to the impact on various fields, such as health, livelihood and economy.

Syahrul further said that the panel’s claim, which stated that the government could not prove ecological losses from the case, was also narrow.

Syahrul said that the judges should have taken the example from a court decision over a fire case involving plantation firm PT Kallista Alam in 2014. In the case, the panel of judges at the Meulaboh district court in Aceh decided that PT Kallista Alam had to pay Rp 366 billion (US$26.26 million) to compensate for land fires involving the company.

“The judges should have referred to the decision taken with regard to PT Kallista Alam, calculating economic loss caused by ecological damage could also be used in determining losses caused by land and forest fires,” he said.

Elizabeth Napitupulu, law and regulation researcher of NGO Publish What You Pay (PWYP) Indonesia said that the legal basis used by the judges was not strong.

“The judges seemed to have shown poor initiative in looking at relevant regulations. They only cited several articles contained in existing environmental regulations,” she said. (ebf)

Ministry appeals court rejection of BMH lawsuit
ERWIDA MAULIA, Nikkei Asian Review 6 Jan 16;

JAKARTA -- The Indonesian government is challenging a court ruling that has freed a plantation company from a 7.9 trillion rupiah ($568 million) lawsuit, despite "strong indications" that it is partly responsible for Indonesia's annual fire and haze crisis - which reached their worst on record last year.

The company, Bumi Mekar Hijau, is a supplier of Asia Pulp & Paper, one of the world's largest pulp and paper producer and is a core subsidiary of Indonesian conglomerate Sinar Mas Group.

On Dec. 30, the district court in Palembang, South Sumatra, where BMH operates, rejected the government's lawsuit on the grounds that it had failed to provide evidence that BMH had been responsible for fires that engulfed 26,000 hectares of land within its acacia plantation concession in 2014.The Indonesian government, through the Ministry of Environment and Forestry, filed the civil lawsuit to the district court after the fire and haze crisis in 2014, demanding that BMH pay a total of 7.9 trillion rupiah to compensate for the government's fire emergency expenses and to rehabilitate forests destroyed by the fires.

Eka Widodo Sugiri, spokesman of the ministry, said it lodged the appeal to South Sumatra's provincial court on Wednesday, while engaging in talks with the Supreme Court in an attempt to ensure better legal outcomes in the future.

"We hope only judges with good environmental awareness are appointed to handle environment-related cases," Sugiri told the Nikkei Asian Review on Wednesday.

He added the ministry decided to appeal the Palembang court's verdict because it had found "strong indications" that BMH was guilty of setting fires in its concession in South Sumatra in 2014 and 2015.

In August and September last year, for example, satellites images showed 1,173 fire hotspots in South Sumatra. Most of them, Sugiri said, were located inside BMH's concession.

Whether or not BMH was guilty of igniting the fires, they happened inside the company's concession and therefore should be under its responsibility, he said.

"Appealing this verdict is part of the government's responsibility to protect the people and the environment," said Sugiri.

"And this is also about upholding our dignity before the international public, because impacts of the fire and haze crisis were not only felt in Indonesia, but in neighboring countries as well."

The Dec. 30 verdict came following the government's announcement that it was slapping sanctions on 23 local companies it deemed guilty of involvement in igniting fires on Sumatra and Kalimantan, and in creating a smog that covered large swathes of Southeast Asia between August and November 2015.

The World Bank estimated in November that the economic cost of the fire and haze crisis to Indonesia alone this year will exceed $16 billion, or about 1.8% of the country's gross domestic product.

Ignoring critics, however, the government only released initials of the sanctioned companies, some of which -- including BMH, which only became known due to the government's ongoing legal action against it -- are believed to be affiliated to large corporations.

BMH is among 16 companies whose licenses are frozen. Three companies have had their licenses revoked, while four have been ordered to clean up their operations in the Indonesian government's largest crackdown so far on companies responsible for the annual fires and haze.

Sugiri said that the government is also in the process of gathering documents to bring several other companies to court under separate civil lawsuits.Activists, though, remain skeptical that there will be major changes in law enforcement, citing the Palembang court's verdict on BMH as a "bad precedence" for the government's legal moves against other companies.

"The recent verdict should serve as a lesson to the government, that we cannot rely on law enforcement institutions to uphold the law. They have instead become a safe haven for forestry criminals in Indonesia," said Zenzi Suhadi of the Indonesian Forum for the Environment (Walhi), citing corrupt police officers, prosecutors and judges.

He suggested that the government be firmer in enforcing its punishments for companies. "The government shouldn't just freeze, but revoke licenses of those [responsible for fires and haze]."

APP has not responded to the Nikkei Asian Review's request for comment.


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Indonesia: Firms becoming more hostile in agrarian conflicts -- Report

Hans Nicholas Jong, The Jakarta Post 6 Jan 16;

Companies in land-use conflicts have turned increasingly hostile towards local communities, a year-end report from the Agrarian Reform Consortium (KPA) found.

KPA secretary-general Iwan Nurdin said that 2015 marked the first time companies accounted for the largest number of cases of violence in agrarian conflicts, overtaking the Indonesian Military (TNI) and National Police.

“In the past, there was no such thing as companies committing violence. The most violent institutions [in agrarian conflicts] were the military and the police. But now, it is companies that commit most violence and murder in their areas,” Iwan said at a press briefing on Tuesday.

In 2015, there were 35 cases of companies committing violence, followed by the police with 21 cases, the military with 16 cases, other government institutions with 10 cases, gangs with eight cases and local communities with three cases.

In 2014, police were responsible for most violent cases in agrarian conflicts with 34 cases, followed by local communities with 19, companies with 12, gangs with six and the military with five cases.

“So 2015 was the first time companies became the main violent actor in agrarian conflicts,” Iwan said.

In 2015, the KPA recorded 252 agrarian conflicts concerning 400,430 hectares of land and involving 108,714 households, down from 472 conflicts in 2014.

The National Commission on Human Rights (Komnas HAM) confirmed the trend.

“The trend [of companies becoming more hostile] has actually been ongoing for the past few years,” Komnas HAM commissioner Dianto Bachriadi said on Tuesday.

Dianto said companies usually hired civilian security forces (Pamswakarsa), first established by the TNI in 1998 to secure the General Session of the People’s Consultative Assembly.

“After the New Order regime, there has been a shift. The police and thugs are being hired to suppress people’s demands and resistance. This is wrong, their duty is to find the root cause of the problems [in agrarian conflicts], not to suppress it,” said Dianto.

He added that companies were becoming more hostile after hiring members of Pamswakarsa, as they expanded their businesses.

Dianto also said that KPA’s findings matched with those of Komnas HAM.

“The violators of human rights that are most reported to us by the public are companies. In 2015, we received more than 6,000 reports and 25 percent of them were related to agrarian conflicts,” he said. “And these conflicts mostly involved companies.”

In the past, Pamswakarsa had been reported to commit human rights violations, with some of members of the group convicted for murdering local residents.

One of the most prominent cases was the Sungai Sodong incident in Mesuji district, Ogan Komering Illir, in 2011, where Pamswakarsa members hired by PT Sumber Wangi Alam (SWA) committed sadistic murders.

In 2012, five Pamswakarsa members were sentenced to between eight and 10 years in prison for murdering Syaktu Macan and Indra Syafei, who came to the plantation of PT SWA to claim land ownership in early 2011.

Indra tried to block the Pamswakarsa members from taking over the land, because the local court had not decided the status of the land yet. The move was responded to with beatings, stabbings and shooting, with Indra’s throat being slit. “This is extremely worrying, because it is one more step from becoming a full-blown horizontal conflict. So this trend needs to be arrested,” Iwan said.


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Earth is 'experiencing a global warming spurt'

Climate Central: Scientists say cyclical changes in the Pacific Ocean have thrown Earth’s surface into what may be an unprecedented warming spurt, following a global warming slowdown that lasted about 15 years
John Upton for Climate Central, part of the Guardian Environment Network The Guardian 6 Jan 16;

While El Niño is being blamed for an outbreak of floods, storms and unseasonable temperatures across the planet, a much slower-moving cycle of the Pacific Ocean has also been playing a role in record-breaking warmth. The recent effects of both ocean cycles are being amplified by climate change.

A 2014 flip was detected in the sluggish and elusive ocean cycle known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, or PDO, which also goes by other names, including the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Despite uncertainty about the fundamental nature of the PDO, leading scientists link its 2014 phase change to a rapid rise in global surface temperatures.

The effects of the PDO on global warming can be likened to a staircase, with warming leveling off for periods, typically of more than a decade, and then bursting upward.

“It seems to me quite likely that we have taken the next step up to a new level,” said Kevin Trenberth, a scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

The 2014 flip from the cool PDO phase to the warm phase, which vaguely resembles a long and drawn out El Niño event, contributed to record-breaking surface temperatures across the planet in 2014.

The record warmth set in 2014 was surpassed again in 2015, when global temperatures surged to 1°C (1.8°F) above pre-industrial averages, worsening flooding, heatwaves and storms.

Trenberth is among an informal squadron of scientists that in recent years has toiled to understand the slowdown in surface warming rates that began in the late 1990s, which some nicknamed a global warming “pause” or “hiatus.”

A flurry of recent research papers has indicated that the slowdown was less pronounced than previously thought, leading some scientists to renew claims that those nicknames are inaccurate and should be abandoned.

“The slowdown was not statistically significant, I suppose, if you properly take into account natural variability, which includes the PDO,” Trenberth said. “That’s sort of the argument that people have been making; that even if it was a little bit of a slowdown, or pause, or call it what you will, it’s not out of bounds, and as a result we shouldn’t really put a label on it.”

The approximately 15-year warming slowdown was linked to the negative phase of the PDO, which is also called its cool phase. That phase whips up strong trade winds that bury more heat beneath sea surfaces, contributing to extraordinary levels of warming recorded in the oceans. A similar phase led to a slight cooling of the planet from the 1940s to the 1970s.

“Last time we went from a negative to a positive was in the mid-‘70s,” said Gerald Meehl, a National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist. “Then we had larger rates of global warming from the ‘70s to the late ‘90s, compared to the previous 30 years.”

“It’s not just an upward sloping line,” Meehl said. “Sometimes it’s steeper, sometimes it’s slower.”

The effects of the warm phase of the PDO and the current El Niño may be cumulative in terms of warming the planet. It also seems likely that changes in the ocean cycles are linked, with changes between El Niño and La Niña driving changes in the PDO cycle.

Or, perhaps the PDO doesn’t exist at all, other than as a tidy pile of data points, and it’s simply a manifestation of changes in the shorter-running cycle between El Niño and La Niña.

“There’s some debate about whether there is a low frequency oscillation — is there a distinct interdecadal oscillation?” said Penn State meteorology professor Michael Mann. “Or is what we call a low frequency oscillation just a change over time in the frequency and magnitude of individual El Niño and La Niña events?”

Regardless, “it seems pretty clear that we’ve transitioned from a time period where there was a prevalence for La Niña conditions,” Mann said. “Over the past several years we’ve been in the multi-year El Niño state, and it has culminated with an extremely large El Niño event.”

The future of PDO phases will not slow down or speed up the overall long-term rate of global warming. That will continue to rise with pollution levels. But scientists are expecting more intense heat during the months ahead, which should bring with it more wild weather.

“There are a lot of things in place that have locked us on course to have a really warm start to 2016,” said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientist Nate Mantua. “I have a hard time seeing how we’re not going to be looking at either record level or near-record level global mean surface temperatures for at least the first half of 2016.”


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