103 whales, dolphins and dugong found dead in Queensland, 2006

Humans to blame for sealife toll
Brian Williams, couriermail.com.au 31 Jan 08;

A TOTAL of 103 whales, dolphins and dugong were found dead along the Queensland coast in 2006.

An Environmental Protection Agency report found most of the protected species were victims of boaties, fishermen and the State Government's shark netting and baiting program.

The toll comprised 38 dugong, 41 dolphins and 24 whales. Two seals also were found dead.

The number of humpback whale deaths is expected to increase as their numbers multiply and more come in contact with fishing gear and boats.

The report, released by scientists Jennifer Greenland and Col Limpus, found that most of the deaths occurred between Hervey Bay and the Gold Coast.

A further 16 whales and dolphins were rescued or escaped unaided from nets and other fishing gear.

The report found the probable cause of death or injury was determined in 43 cases and of these humans were implicated in 38. It found another five deaths were due to natural causes.

Figures on turtle deaths are still being compiled and are expected to be about 400.


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Whale shark found a long way from home

Annie Guest, ABC News 31 Jan 08;

A young whale shark has been found off the Queensland coast, as far as 1,000 kilometres off course of its annual migration.

The discovery has puzzled scientists, who have not ruled out a link to climate change.

The lonesome whale shark comes from the world's biggest fish species, characterised by a wide flat mouth and covered in white stripes and spotted skin.

It is a highly migratory species, but to be seen off Stradbroke Island in Queensland's south is extraordinary.

Ken Holzheimer has been operating dive boats in the area for almost 40 years. Divers from his boat identified the rare, and usually warm water dwelling, sea creature earlier this week.

"You go to Ningaloo in Western Australia, that's where they are all the time and all of a sudden one turns up here," he said.

"I only heard about it when the divers came back to the boat, and I disputed the fact that it was there until they showed me their cameras with the photos on it.

"Then I had to believe them, didn't I?"

"There was no doubt about that. With the white spots, it was definitely a whale shark."

The veteran dive boat operator has never heard of a whale shark around Stradbroke Island.

He says the divers initially mistook it for a tiger shark. Mr Holzheimer says they saw its fins in the distance, and soon it swam closer and circled them, without showing any signs of distress.

"[It was quite a healthy specimen, and hung around with them within touching distance."

Mr Holzheimer says the whale shark hung around for 15 to 20 minutes of the dive before swimming away.

"It was just too much for [the divers]. They'll definitely be back."

Scientists puzzled

The divers are not the only people to be excited by the discovery.

Scientists are also taking a keen interest, examining the photographs taken by the divers.

Simon Pierce, the lead scientist from the University of Queensland's Manta Ray and Whale Shark Research Centre, says it is very unusual to see whale sharks this far south.

"The only [report of a whale shark sighting] that I know of is from the 70s around here, and there's historical records down in New South Wales as well, but certainly nothing that I'm aware of was in the last decade or so," he said.

He says the whale shark most likely came from somewhere in the Indo-Pacific region, like in the Pacific Ocean or Coral Sea.

"It's probably travelled several thousand kilometres to get here," he said.

Mr Pierce thinks this five-metre whale shark was a juvenile, about 20 years old. He says whale sharks can live for up to 100 years and reach 20 metres long.

He is uncertain why the slow-moving fish may have travelled such a distance.

"Sometimes they do wander quite far from their natural range. It's probably looking for a food source," he said.

He says this sighting could potentially be linked to climate change creating warmer southern currents.

"We do know that whale shark movements are quite linked to currents, but it's difficult to say," he said.

"If we start seeing them more consistently over the next few years, then I would guess it probably is linked to climate change."


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Endemic Java monkeys rescued from pet trade

Owa Jawa monkeys prepared for release back to forest
Theresia Sufa, The Jakarta Post 31 Jan 08;

The Cikananga Animal Rescue Center in Sukabumi on Tuesday turned over six Owa Jawa monkeys (Hylobates moloch) for rehabilitation before their release back to the forest.

The endangered monkeys were brought to the Owa Jawa Rescue and Rehabilitation Center, at the Bedogol resort in Bogor's Gede Pangrango Mountain National Park.

Owa Jawa monkeys, which are endemic to Java island, can only be found in certain areas of West Java. Their population has fallen drastically as a result of illegal poaching and dwindling habitat.

Animal rescue center spokesman Budiharto said they had a total of 14 Owa Jawa monkeys confiscated from or voluntarily handed in by pet owners in Greater Jakarta and West Java.

"We will gradually bring the other eight monkeys to the center for rehabilitation in the next few months," he said.

On Tuesday, the animal rescue center brought three female monkeys to the rehabilitation center. They were six-year-old Kiky and 10-year-olds Mell and Eci, who is about one-month pregnant. The male monkeys are named Sadewa, Pooh and Septa, all age seven.

Rehabilitation center manager Anton Ario said the monkeys would need about a month of rehabilitation before being returned to the forest.

"The main problem we have here is the lack of funds for the monkeys' health checks and food .... We encourage people to adopt Owa Jawa, not as pets, but to help them survive during rehabilitation," he said.


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Shrew's who: New mammal enters the book of life

Yahoo News 31 Jan 08;

In a rare discovery of a new species of mammal, zoologists on Thursday said they had identified a shrew-like creature called a grey-faced sengi living in a small community in remote Tanzania.

Sengis -- small, furry, insect-eating mammals that live on forest floors -- are also called elephant-shrews.

Until now, only 15 species of sengis were known, but this one is truly exceptional, the proud investigators said.

The newcomer, dubbed Rhynchocyon udzungwensis, stands head and shoulders above his cousins, weighing in at a massive 700 grammes (1.5 pounds), about 25 percent larger than any other known sengi.

He was identified by scientists Galen Rathbun of the California Academy of Sciences and Francesco Rovero of the Museum of Natural Sciences in Trento, Italy. Their discovery is published in the February issue of the British-based Journal of Zoology.

"This is one of the most exciting discoveries of my career," Rathbun, a 30-year veteran of sengi-watching, said in a press release.

"It is the first new species of giant elephant-shrew to be discovered in more than 126 years. From the moment I first lifted one of the animals into our photography tent, I knew it must be a new species -- not just because of its distinct colouring, but because it was so heavy!"

R. udzungwensis has "a distinctive grey face and a jet-black lower rump," said the press release, issued by the California Academy of Sciences.

So far, only two populations of the new species are known to exist, holing up in about 300 square kilometres (115 square miles) of forest.

The new species was first caught on film in 2005 thanks to a camera trap set up by Rovero in the Ndundulu forest in Tanzania's Udzungwa Mountains.

In March 2006, he and Rathbun returned there for a two-week expedition in which they captured four animals, using traditional twine snares, and made 40 observations.

Elephant-shrews are monogamous animals that live only in Africa.

They owe their name to early scientists who thought they were shrews and gave them the elephant name because of their long, flexible snouts.

Ironically, recent molecular tests showed that they are more closely related to elephants than to shrews, being members of a mammal group called Afrotheria, which evolved in Africa more than 100 million years ago.

Largest Elephant Shrew Discovered in Africa
James Owen, National Geographic News 31 jan 08;
An elephant among elephant shrews has been found in remote forests in East Africa, scientists announced today.

The previously unknown, squirrel-size species is the world's largest known elephant shrew and the only new species from the group to be discovered in more than a century, wildlife researchers say.

Weighing about 1.5 pounds (700 grams), the gray-faced sengi (Rhynchocyon udzungwensis) is up to 50 percent heavier than the next largest species of elephant shrew, according to the study team that named the long-snouted creature.

The animal was first identified in 2005 by motion-sensing cameras set up in the Udzungwa Mountains of south-central Tanzania by Francesco Rovero of the Trento Museum of Natural Sciences in Italy.

Photos showed a giant species that looked very different from known elephant shrews, Rovero said.

"I realized that we might have found something really exciting," said Rovero, who has spent the last six years studying forest animals in the region.

But a full announcement had to wait until firsthand verification of the animal's existence—which came during a 2006 expedition led by Rovero and Galen Rathbun of the California Academy of Sciences.

Forest Expedition

The team tracked the new mammal down in two areas of high-altitude forest and captured live specimens, even though they were too big for the traps the team had taken along for the job, Rovero said.

Instead, the researchers relied on local hunting methods, using traditional snares made of twine.

"We got four of them this way," Rovero said.

They also found a partially eaten specimen, the victim of a bird of prey, he added.

The gray-faced sengi is distinguished by its gray face and black lower rump as well as its size.

The insect-eating mammal is up to 8.3 inches (21 centimeters) longer, counting the tail, and 25 to 50 percent heavier than any other known elephant shrew, the study team says.

Elephant shrews were initially named because their long, flexible snouts give the animals a superficial resemblance to elephants. But recent genetic studies have shown, ironically, that elephant shrews are much more closely related to elephants than to true shrews.

Scientists now recommend using the African name "sengi" for elephant shrews to better separate them from "true" shrews.

The newfound species is the fourth member of the genus Rhynchocyon, a group known generally as giant elephant shrews because of their large sizes, Rovero said.

(See a giant elephant shrew video.)

"They are confined to East Africa and are mainly forest dwellers," the researcher added.

He described the group as "living fossils" that are little changed from species that lived 35 million years ago.

The gray-faced sengi's extra bulk may be an adaptation that helps the mammal retain heat, as it has been found living only in damp mountain forests at heights of least 3,280 feet (1,000 meters).

The find is reported in the latest issue of the Journal of Zoology.

Endangered Species

Surveys suggest the new species is confined to just two populations in the Udzungwa Mountains.

It is set to be listed as endangered by the World Conservation Union, Rovero said, though the animal's isolation gives it a favorable outcome.

Giant elephant shrews are traditionally hunted by local tribes, the researcher noted.

"They are big enough prey for eating," he said. "But the new species is not too close to people, because it's in a forest reserve."

The mammal's range falls within the Udzungwa Mountains National Park and the newly announced Kilombero Nature Reserve, said Nike Doggart of the Tanzania Forest Conservation Group, a nongovernmental organization based in Dar es Salaam.

"During the recent surveys we recorded few signs of disturbance, including hunting and tree-cutting, in the areas where the elephant shrew has been recorded," Doggart said in an email.

"The remoteness of the species range contributes to its protection," she added. "However, human populations are growing in adjacent areas. This may pose a threat in [the] future as demand for land and forest resources in the Udzungwas increases."

The mountains form part of the Eastern Arc range, widely considered one of the planet's richest biodiversity hot spots.

The region harbors at least a hundred species of mammals, birds, amphibians, and other vertebrates found nowhere else, Doggart noted.

"Given that the moist forests of the Eastern Arc only cover about 3,300 square kilometers [1,275 square miles], this represents one of the highest concentrations of endemic species in the world," she said.


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New Zealand's environment more 'khaki' than green: report

Reuters 31 Jan 08;

WELLINGTON (Reuters) - New Zealand must tackle rising greenhouse gas emissions and worsening water quality if the nation is to live up to its 'clean green' image, an environment report said on Thursday.

Boasting pristine forests, rushing rivers and majestic mountains, the sparsely populated islands have been largely protected by their geographical isolation from the pollution and other environmental problems facing regional countries.

While New Zealand's record is still better than most, it has become more "khaki" than pure green, the Environment New Zealand 2007 report, said, prompting activists to call for the issue to top the political agenda before elections this year.

One of the biggest concerns was the environmental fall-out from agriculture. The key economic sector accounts for half of all New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions..

"Together we have made significant improvements in some areas. But, there are areas where we need to do other things better, to protect our clean green reputation," said Environment Minister Trevor Mallard as he introduced the findings.

"We simply cannot afford to be complacent."

Together, tourist and agriculture raked in export earnings of about NZ$22 billion ($17 billion), or 17 per cent of gross domestic product, in 2006, the report said.

New Zealand's pristine wilderness helped attract 1 million visitors to the country of four million in 2006. More than nine out of 10 tourists cited its landscape as the main reason to visit the islands in the southwest Pacific.

But the 450-page report found that lifestyle changes over the last decade are impacting air, water and land quality as well as plants, birds and animals, putting biodiversity and the country's clean green reputation at risk.

"ENVIRONMENT IN PERIL"

With household consumption expenditure increasing 39 percent over the period, New Zealanders are consuming more, driving more and using more energy, it said.

Increasing numbers are taking public transport, but high rates of car ownership are also driving one of the fastest-growing emissions sectors, increasing pollution and pressure on the environment and health, the report stated.

"Our environment is in peril. If we don't act fast our 'clean green' reputation will be revealed as a farce, and our economy will suffer as a result," said Greenpeace campaign manager Carmen Gravatt.

Noting the emergence of increasingly environmentally aware consumers, Greenpeace called for farmers to be included in emissions trading schemes aimed at combating climate change, saying the rise of industrial, large-scale dairy farming was having a "major impact" on the environment.

Exports of land- and sea-based primary goods such as wool, food crops, wood, wine, and natural cosmetic products are the country's top foreign exchange earners alongside tourism.

Environment Minister Mallard said he was optimistic New Zealand could enhance its environment credentials and remain internationally competitive, despite the challenges.

"New Zealanders are an innovative "can do" lot. We're techno savvy, we work smart and hard, and we have huge natural competitive advantages," he said.

"If we can't do it, then who can?"

(Writing by Gillian Murdoch, Editing by Katie Nguyen)


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Australia's La Nina rains set to last until mid-'08

Reuters 31 Jan 08;

SYDNEY (Reuters) - A rain-bearing La Nina weather pattern, which has begun to end years of serious drought in Australia, was expected to remain until the middle of 2008, the weather bureau said on Thursday.

Australia's parched farm sector welcomed the forecast, although weather officials warned that La Nina also brought the risk of more floods and cyclones.

"There's a higher-than-normal chance of that happening when you're in a La Nina," Brad Murphy, senior climatologist at the National Climate Centre, told Reuters.

"That's always a risk. You never get just the right amount of rainfall everywhere. You either get too much or not enough."

Weather officials have already warned that La Nina, which results from warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures around Australia's northeast, could make 2008 a 30-year peak cyclone season.

Australia's northeastern coast has already been battered by cyclonic winds and flooding in December and January, creating havoc for holidaymakers and country towns.

This week Cyclone Gene hit Fiji's main island of Viti Levu, 3,500 km (2,200 miles) east of Australia, causing flooding, killing at least six people and shutting down business.

On Thursday, the storm was heading toward Vanuatu and New Caledonia, between Fiji and the Australian coast. Both island nations were on official alert.

La Nina was likely to persist at least until late in the southern hemisphere autumn, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology said on Thursday.

"Climate models point to continued moderate La Nina conditions until the middle of 2008," it said.

Parts of eastern Australia have already been hit with severe flooding in December and January. The area is emerging from the worst drought in a century, devastating crops in three of the past six years.

But Australia's key winter grains crops will need rain in April, in the planting season, and in subsequent months, if the country is to produce bumper crops to compensate for losses in recent years.

La Nina weather conditions are the reverse of the El Nino weather pattern, which triggered severe drought across large areas of Australia. El Nino is a warming of ocean temperatures in the western Pacific off South America, triggering a global disruption of weather patterns.

It brings drought to Australia and parts of Southeast Asia and floods to parts of South and North America.

Remnants of the drought still persist, although hopes are high that the present La Nina will eventually bring an official declaration of an end of the drought.

(Reporting by Michael Byrnes; Editing by David Fogarty)


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China's snow storms not climate change: scientists

Michael Perry, Reuters 31 Jan 08;

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Snow storms in China that have killed more than 60 people are not directly linked to climate change, say scientists, but simply an extreme event caused by very cold winter temperatures and a La Nina weather pattern.

La Nina has brought moist air over southern China at a time of very cold winter temperatures, resulting in heavy snow falls, said Chinese weather experts.

"This is mainly related to abnormal atmospheric circulation and the La Nina event," Dong Wenjie of the National Climate Centre told the official People's Daily.

"The National Climate Centre predicts that this La Nina event will continue at least up to summer 2008 at a medium to strong level," Dong said. "With climate warming, extreme weather events are clearly increasing in frequency and intensity."

The worst snows in 50 years in southern China have hit as tens of millions of people attempt to return home to celebrate the Lunar New Year with families.

Australian climate scientist Penny Whetton, one of the authors of the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fourth assessment report, said the Chinese explanation for the storms was valid, adding the bad weather was not linked to climate change.

"Those conditions are things that occur naturally and so every few years, few decades, everything just comes together right to produce an extreme event," said Whetton, who wrote the IPCC chapter "Regional Climate Projections." The panel's four reports were released last year in phases.

"My guess is this is a natural event without any particular reason to link it to climate change. The climate change models are not predicting increases in snow events like this," Whetton told Reuters on Thursday.

She said China could expect a less stable climate because of global warming, with various regions experiencing drier, wetter, hotter conditions, as well as more intense tropical storms.

"Cold extremes are generally not predicted to become more intense and frequent because we have a warming climate," she said.

WORLD'S CLIMATE UNBALANCED

But as China warms, its cold northern regions might experience more intense snow storms as moisture levels in the atmosphere rise, creating similar conditions to those that have caused the snow storms now in southern China.

"Snow will hang around for less but you will probably get more heavy snow events in winter," said David Jones, head of climate analysis at Australia's National Climate Centre.

"We are seeing that in places like northern Canada, where there's been almost a doubling of rain and snow in the last few decades, and that's exactly what you expect cold polar desert regions to become, a lot wetter in a warmer world."

Jones also said China's snow storms could not be directly linked to climate change, unlike floods, heat waves and fires that are a result of rising world temperatures and rainfall.

"Winter is a time of year in the northern hemisphere where you often get these extreme events. We have always had them and we will always have them," he said.

One of the world's largest scientific bodies, the American Geophysical Union, says the world's climate is now out of balance and the rate of climate change is no longer natural.

In its first revised climate change report since 2003, the union said last week that the world's climate system was "now changing at rates and in patterns that are not natural."

The AGU has a membership of 50,000 researchers, teachers and students in 137 countries.

"Not only are we moving into a hotter world but a different world," said Jones.

"You get more and more surprises as the world changes, because you are moving into a world where the atmosphere and climate just doesn't behave like it used to."

(Additional reporting by Chris Buckley in Beijing; Editing by David Fogarty)


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Sipadan corals recover from 2006 barge incident

Daily Express 31 Jan 08;

Kota Kinabalu: The recovery process of the damaged coral reef at Pulau Sipadan following the 2006 barge incident is now almost complete, according to Sabah Parks.

Its Deputy Director Dr Jamili Nais said their concern is now on the fate of coral reefs in the proposed Tun Mustapha Marine Park site in Kudat.

"The proposal to gazette the Tun Mustapha Marine Park in Kudat is worrying us because most of the coral reef areas there are devastated. However, it is hard to say what percentage because they are very localised," he told Daily Express at the Semporna Islands Darwin Project (SIDP) Symposium at Magellan Sutera Hotel, Thursday.

These damages were more due to the human impact, including rampant fish bombings in the area, he said.

"The human impact on coral reefs is more worrying because its negative outcome is more obvious and much faster than natural impacts like global warming.

"Based on my own analysis, the coral reefs in Sabah waters are not that badly affected by the human and natural impacts. But the threat is there, particularly those around the islands in Tunku Abdul Rahman Park which are the closest to land affected by sediment effluents coming from the rivers," he said.

He said tourism activities going on at the Tunku Abdul Rahman Park islands including Pulau Manukan, Pulau Sapi do not give much problems to the coral reefs because they (activities) are controlled and limited to only certain areas.

Dr Jamili said based on their records, the most badly affected coral reefs in Sabah are those off Semporna which had been gazetted as the Tun Sakaran Marine Park.

This was before the Tun Sakaran Marine Park in Semporna was gazetted.

The condition was very bad then due to rampant fish bombing. But now there is improvement with continuous monitoring by Sabah Parks rangers, he said.

He said most of the damaged coral reefs in Sabah recovered positively through the natural process. "The damage to our coral reefs are caused mostly by sedimentation, fish bombing activities as well as fishing trawlers," he said.

But after the affected areas were gazetted into a marine park, all these managed to be controlled and reduced with the presence of enforcement authorities.

To another question, he said, the impact of global warming as well as other major seasonal global phenomenon on the coral reefs and islands in Sabah are still very minimal.

Although there has been no apparent impact related to global warming on our coral reefs as well as erosion on the island beaches, Dr Jamili said there had been minor incidences of coral bleaching recorded which resulted in the death of corals.

He explained that corals are sensitive to changes in temperature. When the surface temperature rises there will be coral bleaching, which will result in the corals turning white due to losing its pigmentation. And then the coral will die, patch by patch.

"It happened in Sabah during the El-Nino period. But this is a seasonal global occurrence which occurs in a cycle, particularly during a drought when there is a rise in surface temperature," he said.

He said Sabah since over 30 years ago has "escaped" great impacts of the global cycle.

"Our coral reefs seem to have been spared from the global cycle of major coral reef death due to this global phenomena which has been affecting the coral reefs in other places including Hawaii, Maldives, Great Barrier Reef and so on," he said.

Sabah Parks manages four marine parks, namely Tunku Abdul Rahman Park, Pulau Tiga Park, Tun Sakaran Marine Park and Turtle Islands Park.

Coral reef monitoring is more focused at Manukan and Sapi Islands as well as a bit in Pulau Tiga and in Tun Sakaran Marine Park islands.

RELATED ARTICLES

Barge Destroyed Sipadan Coral Part of New Scuba Tourism Project; National Icon 'Damaged'

Underwatertimes 18 May 06


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Best of our wild blogs: 31 Jan 08


EIA of Sentosa Integrated Resort
an assignment for an Environmental Management and Assessment class, shared on the leafmonkey blog

Chek Jawa: The Future?
on the singapore celebrates the reefs blog

Pesticide spraying and native freshwater crabs

on the johora singaporensis blog

Velvet Ant
photos and facts on the budak blog

Durians and a gardening culture
on the garden voices blog

Animals Matter to Me
Over one million people from around the world have shown their support the Universal Declaration on Animal Welfare. All 192 countries of the world are now represented on the petition. More on the animals matter to me website.


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Dolphin hunt sags amid mercury fears

Joseph Coleman, Associated Press Yahoo News 30 Jan 08;

Every autumn and winter, hunters from this craggy Japanese fishing village corral thousands of dolphins into a tiny, isolated cove and kill them for meat and fertilizer, turning the water red with their blood.

And every year, foreign animal rights protesters converge on the town, interfering with the slaughter, clashing with fishermen and broadcasting grisly photographs of the slayings around the world — all without stopping the hunt.

Now, Japan's dolphin hunters face a new, powerful opponent: mercury contamination.

A series of scientific studies in recent years in Japan have documented high levels of the toxic heavy metal in dolphin meat, and a group of city councilmen in Taiji launched an unprecedented campaign against the hunt several months ago after doing their own tests.

A leading regional supermarket chain has pulled dolphin from its shelves over the health concerns, and hunt critics in the town say villagers are shunning it. Meat from pilot whales — a type of dolphin — was taken off local school lunch menus in October.

"The mayor says we've caused 100 million yen ($1 million) in damages to the industry, but I don't know how that's calculated," said Junichiro Yamashita, a city councilman spearheading the anti-hunt movement. "They say the business is important for Taiji, but we say that health is more important."

Indeed, while animal rights arguments against the hunt have fallen on deaf ears in Japan, the threat of mercury contamination strikes a chord in a country where food safety is rapidly becoming a paramount public concern.

Though no mercury poisoning cases from dolphin meat have been publicly documented in Taiji, such contamination resonates loudly in Japan, where thousands were killed or crippled by mercury poisoning in Minamata in the 1950s and 60s. The poisoning was triggered by massive dumping of industrial mercury into the fishing grounds around the village in southern Japan.

Taiji is one of several Japanese villages where dolphins are hunted. The town this season has a nationally set quota of 3,015, of a total national quota of nearly 21,000. The actual take tends to be about 30 percent lower than the quota, depending on demand for the meat.

While other villages usually harpoon their quarry out at sea, the particularly bloody killing methods in Taiji have made the town a focal point of animal rights activists worldwide.

The village resents the attention and accuses outsiders of interfering with a hunting tradition of hundreds of years. Standoffs between protesters and hunters quickly boil over into arguments and threats. The town erects barriers and hangs tarps to block activists from photographing the kill, and daily hunts can be canceled if foreigners are seen in town.

"No thank you," said an official at the fisheries union when approached for comment on the hunt. "You've come at a bad time."

The recent findings on mercury levels, however, have given pause to many would-be consumers.

Tetsuya Endo, a researcher at the Health Sciences University of Hokkaido, in northern Japan, has co-authored numerous studies showing dolphin meat can contain mercury at concentrations many times higher than the 0.4 parts per million allowed by the Japanese government for many types of fish.

The highest concentration he has found so far was 100 parts per million from a bottlenose dolphin — a species whose meat is butchered in Taiji.

"This ought to be investigated," Endo said, calling for a government probe into the dangers of eating dolphin. "There are people who eat it a lot, and those people could be suffering health effects."

The threat of mercury contamination, however, failed to cause a stir in this isolated village until Yamashita, irked by the town's plans to build a $3 million dolphin slaughterhouse and spread the use of local dolphin meat in school lunches, decided with allies to conduct their own probe.

The results on tests of three locally bought pieces of dolphin meat at a government-run lab confirm their fears, he said.

The pieces of meat taken from pilot whales were all many times the 0.4 parts per million threshold. One piece logged 11 parts per million of mercury, and 2.6 parts per million of PCBs, an industrial pollutant that Japanese regulations limit to 0.5.

Yamashita and his allies announced the results in a handout distributed with local newspapers, and he expanded his crusade by appearing at a news conference in Tokyo for foreign reporters — a move that angered village elders and hunters.

"They said that if dolphin hunting disappears, then Taiji will disappear, but I say it's important to look at developing other industries," he said. "They're upset that I showed this to the outside world."

The anti-hunt movement, however, faces substantial hurdles.

The Taiji leadership — only three of 10 councilmen oppose the hunt — is clinging to plans for the new slaughterhouse, counting on sales of dolphin meat outside the region, where the mercury concerns have not spread because of lack of national media attention. Captured dolphins are also sold to dolphin aquariums in Japan and abroad, at substantial profit.

Taiji has powerful contacts at the national level. Lawmaker Toshihiro Nikai, a top executive of the long-ruling Liberal Democratic Party, is a native of the prefecture where Taiji is located, and he recently visited the village. Campaign posters of him can be seen around town.

Tokyo — which is also battling international protesters over its whaling program on the high seas — is not getting involved in the dolphin dispute, despite a Health Ministry survey in 2003 confirming high levels of mercury in the mammals. The Fisheries Agency in 2005 upgraded a 2-year-old advisory to urge pregnant women not to eat dolphin more than once every two months.

In any case, the 0.4 parts per million limit on mercury does not apply to dolphin meat, and there are no plans to strengthen the guidelines, officials said.

"We are aware that mercury content is particularly high in dolphins," said Yuichiro Ejima, a food safety official at the Health Ministry. "But ... most Japanese seldom eat the meat, except in some areas where dolphins are caught traditionally."

Associated Press writer Mari Yamaguchi in Tokyo contributed to this report.


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Hectic pace in Singapore just got worse

Letter from Gilbert Goh Keow Wah, Straits Times Forum 31 Jan 08;

I JUST returned to Singapore after an overseas assignment and was shocked to see that the pace here has quickened a lot. It could be that I have yet to adjust back to the hectic pace here.

After meeting up with a few friends, the comments made during the hastily-arranged meeting were somewhat similar. They were all rushing here and there and they would like to slow down a bit to enjoy life.

Work has somehow taken up a large part of their life and some even take work home. Whatever little time they have for their families is also squeezed out of a very tight schedule. I wonder if some have time even for themselves.

Another thing that I find alarming when I returned home is the huge jump in prices of our food. My favourite coffee shop which sells chicken rice has increased his price from $2.50 to $2.80 since January this year.

When asked why he had raised his price, he replied that he would not be left out when every other hawker are raising their prices.

A cab drive from my home in Tampines to my mum's place in Pasir Ris normally costs me $3.50 but now I pay $4.30 and it is only a journey of less than 10 minutes.

What a difference a few months make. I dread to think what would happen if I were away longer than a year or more.

It is no wonder then that many Singaporeans I know have started to migrate to other countries where they can have more personal time to themselves and where they can live comfortably.


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Man-made island in Qatar attracts Singapore companies

Singapore companies can benefit from real estate boom in Qatar
Wong Siew Ying, Channel NewsAsia 30 Jan 08;

DOHA, Qatar: It has been dubbed the "Venice of Qatar "; a project called "The Pearl- Qatar " is an upscale Riviera-style development, and when completed in 2011, the project will be home to some 40,000 residents.

Investors from 45 countries have flocked to the project to snap up properties there, but real estate is not the only attraction for Singapore companies.

With its mix of Venetian charm and Arabic chic, the US$20 billion project is built entirely on a man-made island.

All 4 million square metres of it is reclaimed land, creating 32 kilometres of new coastline.

The project has been launched in phases, and according to the developer, 35 percent of the units have already been taken up.

In fact, an entire residential district was sold within an hour recently.

That transaction alone amounted to over US$405 million.

These mind-boggling numbers were presented to the Singapore delegation, led by Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong.

The progress of the development was obvious as the visitors cruised the waters of the Arabian Gulf.

However, while property is one obvious area to consider, Singapore companies may want to venture into other sectors.

Minister of State for Education Lui Tuck Yew said, "There are some possibilities on how Singapore companies can participate because we were asking them about security arrangement, we were asking them about the operation and the running of the entire complex, and they thought that that's an area where Singapore companies would be interested to look into."

This is Qatar 's first international real estate venture, and it comes with all the frills of luxurious waterfront living.

Shaped like a string of pearls, the island retreat will house marinas, high-end retail shops, five-star hotels, schools and medical centres.

The development will also feature high-tech services and a fully-automated vacuum waste disposal system, amongst others.

Besides industry players, the Singapore delegation is in Qatar to touch base with the country's leaders.

During a meeting with the Amir, Sheikh Hamad Bin Khalifa Al-Thani, both leaders discussed developments in the region and relations between the two countries.

One of the topics covered was how to strengthen the already close state of bilateral relations.

Opportunities to collaborate in various areas, including joint ventures in environmental technology, was among the ideas mooted.

The two leaders also exchanged views on recent developments in Asia and the Middle East.

SM Goh last met the Amir in June 2005, when the Amir made a state visit to Singapore.

The Amir hosted SM Goh to lunch and during their discussions, SM Goh praised the Amir for the rapid development of Doha since his last visit there in 2005.

SM Goh also met Crown Prince Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani, the Heir Apparent, who led a high-level committee to Singapore for a working visit last October.

It was Sheikh Tamim who had invited Mr Goh to visit Qatar .

They last met when Sheikh Tamim visited Singapore last October.

During this meeting in Doha, Sheikh Tamim briefed SM Goh on Qatar 's economic development and its future outlook.

Sheikh Tamim also expressed satisfaction with the progress of the High Level Joint Committee which is chaired by himself and Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Wong Kan Seng.

The two leaders also discussed how Qatar and Singapore could cooperate in tapping business opportunities in third countries.

Apart from meeting the members of the royal family at the Diwan Amiri, SM Goh is also expected to address the business community at the inaugural Qatar -Singapore Business Forum.

The event will see a gathering of businessmen from both sides and the signing of three agreements to spur bilateral trade.

More educational exchanges could also be on the cards, following SM Goh's visit to the Texas A&M University at the Qatar Foundation.

At the Foundation, SM Goh also held discussions with Sheikha Mozah bint Nasser Al-Missned, Consort of the Amir and Chairperson of the Qatar Foundation.

This was SM Goh's second meeting with Sheikha Mozah.

During their talks, SM Goh said he was impressed by the progress of the Education City, which is a flagship project of the Qatar Foundation.

SM Goh and Sheikha Mozah also discussed opportunities for cooperation between Singapore and Qatar in education as well as research and development.

The Singapore delegation also toured the ASPIRE sports academy. - CNA/ms


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Singapore: Cost of congestion

Firm steps to ensure a quality living environment
Straits Times 31 Jan 08;

In this third and final instalment of the land transport review, Transport Minister Raymond Lim explains how congestion will be tackled

How bad is it?

The insatiable appetite for more cars has led to an uphill battle against gridlock in many cities. In fast-growing economies like China, the car population grows at more than 20 per cent a year and peak-hour traffic in mega-cities like Beijing and Shanghai crawls at 5km an hour.

In the United States, motorists spent more than 4.2 billion hours stuck in jams, enough time to fill 65 million iPod Nanos with music, and used up enough extra fuel to fill 58 supertankers. The 'congestion invoice' in the US stands at some US$78 billion (S$111 billion) each year while congestion costs are estimated to be about 1 per cent of GDP in European countries such as Britain and France.

Singaporeans likewise desire to own cars and our policies, in particular, the use of Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) to manage traffic, have made it possible for many Singaporeans to do so. And so the vehicle population has grown steadily to the 850,000 vehicles today. With rising affluence, not only are more Singaporeans owning cars, but they are also using them more intensively. While the number of cars increased by 10 per cent between 1997 and 2004, the number of car trips increased by 23 per cent, more than double.

The effects are telling.

Congestion levels have increased by about 25 per cent since 1999, with more roads congested during the peak hours.

# Why not just build more roads?

Increasing road capacity and deploying traffic engineering measures will not in themselves guarantee smooth-flowing roads. Additional lanes and new roads attract more traffic and congestion soon returns. As a Time magazine writer put it, 'traffic is like water; it oozes across all available surface'.

Against our ever-growing appetite for car use, we are faced with the immutable realities of Singapore's situation: a compact city state with 12 per cent of its land already used up for roads. While we will continue to build roads like the North-South Expressway (NSE), going ahead, the pace of road expansion will have to slow down, from 1 per cent a year over the last 15 years, to 0.5 per cent a year over the next 15 years.

There are three inescapable conclusions from these observations.

First, as more and more Singaporeans own cars, it is clearly not possible for all of them to drive their cars to and from work every day. The only way to move large numbers of people efficiently in our densely populated city is by public transport. It is therefore critical that we make public transport much more attractive to the vast majority of Singaporeans, including those who have access to cars.

Second, the trade-offs that we are faced with have become much sharper. The more cars Singaporeans own, the more extensive ERP coverage and the higher the charges would have to be. This is the key trade-off we have to make, to maintain smooth-flowing roads.

Third, even with more extensive ERP, the current vehicle growth rate of 3 per cent is not sustainable, given the already large vehicle population and the slowdown in road growth. We have to lower vehicle growth.

These are not easy issues but we have to make these difficult decisions and act decisively to manage car growth and usage to ensure that Singaporeans will continue to enjoy a quality living environment.

# Will more ERP gantries and higher rates solve congestion?

Of all the different measures to deal with congestion, ERP is the only one that addresses the problem directly by requiring individuals to take into account the costs of congestion caused by their driving to others. Many other cities are coming to the same conclusion that there is no choice but to introduce congestion charging on heavily used roads. London, Stockholm and Milan have done so and New York and Amsterdam are considering it.

Without ERP, Singaporeans would be spending many hours in traffic snarls, just like people in Tokyo, Los Angeles and many other US cities, who pay for congestion, not with their wallets, but with the time that they have lost, stuck in traffic gridlock.

However, it is a growing challenge to keep our roads smooth-flowing. On the one hand, road growth is slowing; on the other hand, we are packing more and more cars onto our roads. In the last 10 years, the car population grew by almost 40 per cent, from 370,000 in 1997 to 515,000 today.

Coupled with this is the fact that our cars are among the most intensively used in the world, averaging 21,000km a year, compared to 9,100km in London, 13,900km in Melbourne, and 19,800km in Chicago. Not surprisingly, all these have resulted in the crowded roads and frequent peak-hour congestion that we see today.

Our ERP system has served us well, but it is coming under strain. We often hear feedback that ERP has not helped to ease congestion on the highest-demand roads like the Central Expressway (CTE) beyond a temporary respite; that ERP rate increases have little impact on travel behaviour; and that even though people pay ERP, they still face congestion on priced roads.

There is some truth in this. The reason is that rising affluence has led to a greater propensity to drive which in turn has caused a dramatic rise in traffic volumes; so much so that the scale and intensity of traffic congestion today is far different from what it was a decade ago.

Increasingly, given the more pervasive congestion today, the emphasis must be on encouraging motorists to shift to public transport, rather than drive on alternative roads to their destination. This is why the Government is spending billions of dollars to improve our public transport system to make it a viable alternative to the car.

# Why not just improve public transport and leave ERP alone?

Quite a number of people argue that since we are making such significant improvements to our public transport system, this should be sufficient to deal with our congestion problems. I wish it were so. But unfortunately, I know that it is not the case. The reason is that even if we free up some roads because some motorists decide to switch to public transport, other motorists will soon take their place, attracted by the smooth-flowing traffic, and very soon, these roads will again be congested.

So improving public transport is necessary but not sufficient in itself to deal with congestion. We need both - public transport improvements and congestion measures.

There is always a tension between the individual's personal interest in wanting unrestrained driving and the social goal of a liveable city. We have to decide whether as a people, we are willing to take hard decisions that will benefit our country; or whether, we will, like many other cities, postpone the necessary, store up the trouble and suffer future gridlock, with the attendant costs to the economy and living environment.

So we must move - building up our public transport so that people will have a viable alternative to the car and taking firm steps to curb excessive car travel demand, so that all of us will enjoy a quality urban environment now and into the future.


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Cosmetics giants agree to stop using shark oil

Lucy Cockcroft, The Telegraph 30 Jan 08;

Two cosmetic giants have agreed to stop using shark liver oil as a base for moisturising creams and lipsticks, amid concerns over threats to the survival of some species.

International companies L’Oreal and Unilever have agreed to replace the compound squalene, found in shark livers, with other oils from plant sources, in a significant victory for the campaign group Oceana.

Deep-sea sharks have large reserves of squalene, widely used as an emollient in various creams, lotions and glosses, as their livers comprise up to one-third their entire body weight.

Intensive fishing to supply the cosmetics industry has contributed to a dramatic population declines of certain species, including the gulper and kitefin.

Unilever said it had stopped using shark oil in high street brands such as Pond’s and Dove some years ago, and is withdrawing its use from the entire European range by April 2008.

A spokesman said: “This is part and parcel of becoming as responsible as one can in our supply chain.”

L’Oreal is now completing the phase-out of shark oil in skincare products.

However, 12 make-up formulas, including 8 lipsticks under the Shu Uemura brand name which is owned by the company, remain unaltered.

In a letter to Oceana, a charity set up to protect the world’s oceans, L’Oreal spokesman Pierre Simoncelli wrote: “We hope to finalise this substitution programme for these remaining formulas in 2008.”

Beiersdorf, which makes Nivea products, Boots, Clarins, Sisley and La Mer have all either made the decision to stop using animal-based squalene some time ago or had a policy to never use it in the first place.

Rebecca Greenberg, a marine scientist with Oceana, said: “Some of the biggest names in the cosmetics industry are recognising their corporate social responsibilities and choosing not to contribute to the extinction of these important animals.

“Shark-based squalene has a readily available substitute on the market that comes from a purely vegetable origin. Squalene can be obtained from olives where it has the same qualities of animal-based squalene and is less expensive than the animal version.

“We encourage people to become educated and responsible consumers by asking cosmetic retailers about squalene sources and directing their purchases towards companies that have never used this animal-based product in cosmetics or that have made the decision to replace it.”

Oceana said the market for squalene in cosmetics had driven fishing for sharks including gulper, kitefin and Portuguese dogfish, all of which live at depths between 1,300m and 1,500m.

The world squalene market is between 1,000 and 2,000 tonnes. Some components from the liver oil are also used in alternative medicines for healing wounds and reducing pain.

Shark’s fin is used in soups, and its skin for sandpaper or for leather in luxury items such as handbags.

Cartilage from tropical and deep-sea sharks is also used in dietary supplements and as an alternative treatment for osteoarthritis.

Deep-sea sharks are particularly vulnerable to overfishing as they are slow-growing, long-living and produce few young.

Oceana said that over a third of European shark and related ray populations are threatened with extinction.


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Thousands of bat deaths in the US

Bat deaths in NY, Vt. baffle experts
Michael Hill, Associated Press Yahoo News 30 Jan 08;

Bats are dying off by the thousands as they hibernate in caves and mines around New York and Vermont, sending researchers scrambling to find the cause of mysterious condition dubbed "white nose syndrome."

The ailment — named for the white circle of fungus found around the noses of affected bats — was first noticed last January in four caves west of Albany. It has now spread to eight hibernation sites in the state and another in Vermont.

Alan Hicks, a bat specialist with New York's Department of Environmental Conservation, called the quick-spreading disorder the "gravest threat" to bats he had ever seen. Up to 11,000 bats were found dead last winter and many more are showing signs illness this winter. One hard-hit cave went from more than 15,000 bats two years ago to 1,500 now, he said.

"We do not know what the cause is and we do not know how it was spread, either from cave to cave, or bat to bat," said Hicks. "You have this potential for this huge spread."

The white fungus ring around bats' noses is a symptom, but not necessarily the cause. For some unknown reason, the bats deplete their fat reserves and die months before they would normally emerge from hibernation.

New York and Vermont environmental officials are asking people not to enter caves or mines with bats until researchers figure out how the infection is spread. There is no evidence it is a threat to humans, but officials want to take every precaution to avoid it spreading from cave to cave.

Bats are considered particularly vulnerable when they hibernate, a time when they can hang together tightly by the thousands. Indiana bats, a federally endangered species, are considered particularly vulnerable, though the highest death count has been among little brown bats.

Researchers with Cornell University and the National Wildlife Health Center in Madison, Wis., are among those helping state environmental officials.

The bat die-off has some eerie similarities with "colony collapse disorder," the baffling affliction that began decimating honeybee colonies years ago. Scientists last fall said they suspected a virus previously unknown in the United States.

"I'm very concerned," Hicks said. "I can only hope that what we're seeing today will dissipate in the future."


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Reintroducing vanished animals into the wild: the UK example

The rodent to ruin?
Finlo Rohrer, BBC News 29 Jan 08;

Plans are afoot to reintroduce beavers, wildcats and wolves to habitats in Britain from which they have long disappeared. But is it right to offer a helpful human hand or is this immoral manmade meddling?

Picture a forest. A Scottish crossbill rummages for conifer cones, a capercaillie fans its tail, a red deer skulks in the shadows, while a beaver gnaws thoughtfully on a tree.

It could be a classic picture of wildlife in Scotland, but for one thing. No beavers. Hunted for their pelts, there have been no wild beavers in the UK since at least the 16th Century.

Now two groups in Scotland plan to remedy that. The Scottish Wildlife Trust and the Royal Zoological Society of Scotland have submitted an application to the Scottish minister for the environment to bring back beavers in a small-scale experiment which could lead to a wider reintroduction.

Such "reintroductions" are now a common tactic in the global conservation movement, with plans in the UK to reintroduce wildcats and bring wolves back to Scotland.

The measures are aimed at restoring habitats and providing a more natural path to conservation. Wouldn't it be better to control the deer population in Scotland with wolves, rather than rely on man-made methods, the proponents suggest.

Poetic return

But reintroductions are not without controversy. In mainland Europe, the reintroduction of bears and wolves has met with hostility from farmers worried about livestock being killed.

And there is a key question. Should man attempt to manipulate habitats and eco-systems, even if only to repair the damage done by man in the past?

There is a certain poetry in the return of some animals, something compellingly romantic about a wolf staring cold-eyed out of a snowy forest. And the beaver has its own appeal.

The Scottish Wildlife Trust talks of a "charismatic creature", citing a study which estimates that beaver-tourism could be worth £101 per household.

Regarded as a "keystone" species, beavers will help renew and create wetland which will help "frogs, toads, water voles, dragonflies, birds and fish".

But in Estonia, the return of the beaver has caused problems.

"Beavers have caused floods in forests, which means the forest may perish because of the excessive damp," says Kaarel Roht, senior specialist in the forest department at the Ministry of the Environment.

"Beavers can also close drainage canals with dams to get the food, flooding big areas of land and hindering agriculture."

Culling question

And the solution to this? In 2006, 7,368 beavers were killed in Estonia.

This raises a serious question. Is it acceptable to reintroduce a species which then has to be controlled with culling?

Professor Andrew Linzey, director of the Oxford Centre for Animal Ethics, says no.



"It can't be ethical to introduce a species which one is then going to kill. Many people who want to reintroduce species don't seem to have an understanding that ecology is an evolving process.

"To reintroduce a species after hundreds of years is to profoundly disturb that ecology. There is no pristine state we can move back to."

But this ethical position is diametrically opposed to that of the conservation fraternity.

Craig Hilton-Taylor, manager of the Red List Unit at the World Conservation Union (IUCN), says culling is sometimes necessary.

Last resort

In Africa, after years of conservation work, including animals being moved to new areas, the elephant population has risen in many countries to the point where culling is seen as necessary by the authorities.

"You want to keep the balance in the system. You have to allow culling... but the thing for us is that it is humane," says Dr Hilton-Taylor.

Accepting culling as a last resort, conservationists focus their efforts on making sure reintroductions are sufficiently well-evaluated that episodes of dramatic overpopulation and animals failing to thrive in areas are kept to a minimum.

"There are lots of reintroductions happening without them being well thought through. Huge amounts of money gets spent on these things," says Dr Hilton-Taylor

"In the case of gharial [Indian crocodile-like reptiles], 10,000 animals had been put back into the wild but the success rate has been appalling, losing them so rapidly."

If beavers should be re-introduced across Scotland or indeed across the whole of the UK, no-one can guarantee that in 20 years they will not have thrived to the point of needing to be culled.

And how the British public will react to the prospect of cute beavers being killed is anybody's guess.

The Confederation of Forest Industries is, needless to say, worried about the prospect of beavers returning, and it questions exactly how "native" beavers can be regarded as in its submission to the beaver consultation exercise.

Profound disturbance

"Due to the interval since beavers were extant in GB (around 400 years) the proposal is in reality one of an introduction of an alien species, and that into a completely different, man-made environment compared to that which existed all those centuries ago."

It is a sentiment that Prof Linzey agrees with.

"It is a big mistake to treat it as though it was a page with holes that have to be filled because they were once filled.

"An act of introduction is an act of profound disturbance. It needs to be looked at very carefully indeed."

The plans to reintroduce wolves in Scotland could be timed to coincide with the return of beavers, in the hope they would help manage the population. But no-one can say that the wolf and beaver will thrive to the same degree.

And exactly how one chooses to interfere with habitats is a complicated business.

The Aspinall Foundation is working on a plan to reintroduce the native "wildcat" or reinforce a current population, using captive animals. It is said there are still wildcats in Scotland.

But before an application is made, there must be a study of the DNA of the captive animals. If they prove not to be a separate species from the domestic cat, the reintroduction plan will go no further.

If they are demonstrated to be separate it will provide another battleground for the proponents of species reintroductions and those who favour a different approach.

The Big Question: Should animals that have died out in Britain be reintroduced into the wild?
Sophie Morris, The Independent 1 Feb 08;

Why are we asking this now?

Environmentalists hope beavers will soon be reintroduced to Scotland, subject to approval by the Scottish Executive. If the trial reintroduction gets the go-ahead three families of European beavers, about 15 to 20 animals, will be brought over from Norway and released into the Knapdale Forest in Mid-Argyll in the spring of 2009. Beavers were hunted to extinction in Scotland in the 16th century for their furs and a secretion, which provided one of the active ingredients in aspirin. Mammals have never been reintroduced into wild in the UK before, though four German beavers were released at a Lancashire nature reserve.

What exactly is reintroduction?

The deliberate release of animals into the wild, usually of species that are either endangered or extinct in a particular eco-system, but have survived elsewhere in the wild. Biologists only realised fairly recently, in the 1980s, that successful reintroduction from captivity needed extremely careful planning, given the skills mammals and birds need to learn in order to survive in the wild.

Why do we want to re-establish beavers?

Despite their absence from Scotland for the past 400 years, beavers are of huge ecological importance to the area and without them there is a gaping hole in the ecosystem. Their ability to create wetland habitat helps other species such as otters, who hunt in the ponds beavers create through building dams; water shrews and water voles, who share their burrows; and even birds, who can feed and nest in the dead wood beavers use in the dams. Damming itself improves river systems by reducing pollutants flowing through the water. Allan Bantick, chairman of the Beaver Trial Steering Group, calls them a "keystone species". A functioning ecosystem," says Bantick, "does not function as well as it might if it doesn't have all the components in place. The beaver has been missing for 400 years too long."

Why do some people oppose it?

An earlier proposal from Scottish National Heritage was turned down in 2005 and Robin Malcolm, the owner of the nearby Duntrune Castle Estate in Kilmartin, among other local residents, has called the present joint bid from the Scottish Wildlife Trust and the Royal Zoological Society "completely irresponsible". Rather than benefiting the local ecosystems, claims Malcolm, the beavers could inflict damage on trees and rivers. A widespread concern is the effect beavers will have on salmon populations. It is a common misconception that they eat fish, when beavers are in fact entirely herbivorous, but fisheries worry their dam building will impede salmon migration. In Norway, where beaver numbers have increased from 100 to 50,000, there has been no detrimental impact on salmon numbers.

Has reintroduction worked elsewhere?

Norway is the best example, but Britain is way behind all of its continental neighbours on reintroducing beavers, because of the bureaucratic quagmire which has slowed down the various proposals in Scotland. Twenty-four European countries have already successfully reinstated the species in their natural habitat. The current proposal is only for a "trial reintroduction", to identify any problems. If they do become a problem, says Bantick: "We've got a good and established hunting culture established in Scotland. This is just another animal that could be assimilated into that regime. That's the way it's treated in pretty much all other European countries."

Have other species been reintroduced?

As yet, no major mammals have ever been reintroduced into the UK, but there have been various successful bird programmes. The white-tailed sea eagle was returned to the Isle of Rum off the western coast of Scotland in 1975 and is now a major tourist attraction, attracting an estimated £2.5m to the Isle of Mull alone annually. reintroductions of the elegant red kite have been successful in various parts of the UK, particularly in the Chilterns. Black grouse numbers are currently rising in the Peak District.

What about in other parts of the world?

The reintroduction of all sorts of species is something of a trend at the moment, though interest tends to focus on the larger and more lovable creatures, or those most in danger of extinction. The International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) established a specialist group for the reintroduction of endangered species in 1988 which sets up and oversees such programmes all over the world.

Lynx have been successfully transported from Canada to the mountains of Colorado recently, where they had been all but wiped out by trappers. It proved difficult to establish the new lynx community in the United States but after five years there were roughly 40 new animals. If they are still doing well in another 10 years, they will be considered there to stay. Grey wolves have been successfully reintroduced into America's Yellowstone park.

Which species need reintroduction?

Six of the world's eight species of bear are considered "under threat" by the IUCN and high on their list of priorities. The giant panda is an endangered species and only 1 to 2,000 remain in China. Some reintroduction projects are under way, but suffer from a lack of suitable release sites. There have been a number of attempts to reintroduce rhino into the wild in India and parts of Africa, though this is a very fragile process involving tiny numbers.

The Dian Fossey Gorilla Foundation closely monitors groups of mountain gorillas in Rwanda, Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo and has attempted several reintroductions, with little success. The snow leopard, native to central and southern Asia, is an endangered species, the most at risk of all the big cats and desperately needs a successful reintroduction scheme in the Himalayas.

So is British wildlife set to change?

It was reported last year that British wildlife experts were asking US colleagues for advice on reintroducing wolves to Scotland. The Wolf Conservation Society is worried Britain is now too crowded for such a scheme to succeed. There have been significant attempts to reintroduce the brown bear to western Europe in recent years, but it is unlikely to be approved here given the bad press the species has received recently: a reintroduction scheme in the Alps ended badly when "Bruno" began misbehaving in Bavaria and was shot in the summer of 2006.

Should we consider wider re-introduction schemes across the UK?

Yes...

* Any species which once existed in the UK and was hunted to extinction is a valuable part of the country's biodiversity

* Re-establishing often distinctive species in an area can be a great boon to the local economy through increased tourism

* It is important, for both scientific and education purposes, that we are able to study animals in their natural habitat in the wild

No...

* Britain is far too overcrowded for the introduction of dangerous mammals such as wolves to be considered

* Our ecosystems have survived for hundreds of years since bears and beavers became extinct here. There's no call to bring them back

* Much of the land in the UK is privately owned. It is unfair to expect individuals to deal with the consequences of any such programmes


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Galapagos Sea Lion Massacre Fuels Conservation Fears

PlanetArk 31 Jan 08;

QUITO - Ecuadorean authorities are investigating a massacre of 53 sea lions in the pristine Galapagos islands which has raised concerns about whether the government can protect the famous archipelago.

Park rangers found the decomposing sea lions with their skulls crushed on a remote islet earlier this month. Now reports of tourists meddling with animals are prompting calls for stricter controls at the UN World Heritage site.

Ecuador is already debating whether to limit growing tourism on Galapagos and has expelled hundreds of illegal workers to protect the natural reserve after the United Nations warned last year that the site was in danger.

"It is obvious the control system has to be greatly improved," said Luis Suarez, the head of Ecuador's branch of Conservation International. "We need satellite control to know where people are, and better police intelligence to know more about the traffic of species and their organs."

Authorities don't know why the sea lions were butchered. Traffickers often kill animals to take organs in demand for traditional medicines. But these sea lions were untouched except for head wounds, officials said.

Ecuador's media also recently criticized local Galapagos authorities after showing images of one tourist holding a baby sea lion and another sitting on top of a massive tortoise in a violation of strict controls at the site.

The volcanic islands, located 650 miles (1,000 km) off Ecuador's coast, inspired British naturalist Charles Darwin's theory of evolution. Centenarian tortoises and blue-footed boobies live alongside 18,000 islanders who earn a living from fishing and tourism.

"The growing demand and the tourism market is imposing the rules of the game," said Eliecer Cruz, the governor of Galapagos. "We are working very hard to look for a new type of tourism in Galapagos."

(Reporting by Alonso Soto; editing by Alan Elsner)


Sea lions massacred in Galapagos
BBC News 30 Jan 08;

Ecuadorean officials are investigating the slaughter of 53 sea lions from the Galapagos Islands nature reserve, which were found with their heads caved in.

The dead animals included 13 pups, 25 youngsters, nine males and six females.

Galapagos National Park official Victor Carrion told AFP news agency that each was killed by "a strong blow from someone", though the motive is unknown.

They had not been injured in any other way, he said, discounting the notion they had been killed for their parts.

The animals were found in a state of decomposition on Pinta island, part of the archipelago which lies about 1,000km (600 miles) off the coast of Ecuador in the Pacific Ocean.

The Galapagos sea lions have no natural predators on land and generally do not fear humans.

Mr Carrion said no other dead animals had been discovered, but that patrols on the other islands would be increased.

He added that the sea lions were a vital link in the island's food chain and therefore any threat to them is a threat to the whole eco-system.

Sea lions are sometimes hunted for their skin, or the teeth and genitals of the male animals are removed for use as a supposed aphrodisiac in Chinese medicine.

World treasure

In 2001 poachers killed 35 male sea lions in the archipelago, removing their genitals and teeth.

However, according to Mr Carrion none of the animals killed in this latest attack had been mutilated and no cuts were found on their skin or limbs.

"It was a massacre whose motives the prosecutor's office must clarify," Mr Carrion told AFP.

The Galapagos Islands are known throughout the world as a home to unique flora and fauna, including exotic birds, marine iguana and giant tortoises.

The wildlife was the inspiration for British naturalist Charles Darwin's theory of natural selection.

The islands were the first place on the planet officially designated as a World Heritage site, but last year the UN Environment, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (Unesco), which administers the list of sites, declared the Galapagos "in danger".

Experts said the 19 islands and surrounding ocean were under threat from "invasive species", increased tourism and growing immigration.

In a statement, the organisation said international interest in the islands - which are Ecuador's most popular tourist attraction - was contributing to their gradual decline.


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Farmers May Have Golden Rice by 2011: IRRI

Nao Nakanishi, PlanetArk 31 Jan 08;

The world needed to increase the annual rice output by nearly 70 percent to 880 million tonnes by 2025 from 520 million tonnes currently to meet projected global demand.

HONG KONG - Genetically modified (GMO) Golden Rice may be available to farmers as early as 2011, possibly helping to save millions of children threatened with blindness or premature death due to Vitamin A deficiency.

Robert Zeigler, director general of the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), told Reuters it expected to release the GMO rice, enriched with Vitamin A, by 2011. It was conducting its first field trials in the Philippines this year.

It would be 10 years since the invention in 2001 of Golden Rice, which scientists have said may prove that the controversial biotechnology can help feed the poor and needy if applied with care and caution.

There is as yet no GMO rice grown commercially. Widely produced transgenic products, such as GMO soy, corn or cotton, are mostly pest- or herbicide-resistant. They are beneficial to farmers, but not necessarily to consumers.

Golden Rice -- which includes three new genes, including two from daffodil -- is yellowish and contains beta-carotene, a substance that human bodies convert to Vitamin A.

Its research has been seen as a model for cooperation between public and private sectors in pursuit of human welfare. Its inventors are claiming no property rights for the rice. Neither are the companies that own the technology involved.

Zeigler was talking early this week after IRRI received a grant of US$20 million for three years -- equivalent to 17 percent of its budget -- from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

HIGH GRAIN PRICES, CLIMATE CHANGE

The executive said the funding came at a vital time when soaring food prices and climate change threatened the gains made through the Green Revolution over the past several decades.

"The concern that we have ... is that these gains in productivity, food security, cheap rice, cheap food are in jeopardy," Zeigler said. "We have to address this."

IRRI says the fund will help it reach 18 million households, especially in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, with better rice varieties and raise yields by 50 percent in the next 10 years.

IRRI calculated the world needed to increase the annual rice output by nearly 70 percent to 880 million tonnes by 2025 from 520 million tonnes currently to meet projected global demand.

"We are focusing on more difficult rice growing areas that do not have irrigation," Zeigler said. "Drought tolerance and flood tolerance is the key for very impoverished areas."

This year, IRRI plans to hand out to more farmers in Bangladesh and India a flood resistant non-GMO rice, for which scientists made a breakthrough in 2006.

"We have now moved that gene into commercial varieties, the varieties that can be are grown by farmers," he said. "We tested them in Bangladesh this year. It went extremely well."

Together with China, IRRI is also working on dry land rice, known as aerobic rice, that can grow on dry soil like wheat.

"Water for agriculture is becoming more and more scarce as water is diverted for urban use and industrial use," he said.

"We are working very hard to develop rice that can be grown almost like a wheat crop or corn plant. However, that again is a very difficult and challenging scientific problem." (Editing by Ben Tan)


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Survey finds $4 gasoline would curb driving in the US

Tom Doggett, Reuters 30 Jan 08;

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - If U.S. gasoline prices hit $4 a gallon this year, more than half of Americans surveyed said they would reduce holiday travel and cut back on personal spending to offset the higher pump costs

Results were released Wednesday of 1,001 Americans surveyed on behalf of the Massachusetts-based Civil Society Institute think tank and its 40MPG.org project which pushes for more fuel efficient U.S. cars and trucks.

"These survey findings suggest that $4-a-gallon gasoline could be a real tipping point for the public," said 40MPG.org spokeswoman Ailis Wolf.

The Energy Department is forecasting that high crude oil costs will push gasoline prices to a record $3.50 this spring when driving normally increases, and 71 percent of those surveyed expect gasoline will hit $4 a gallon this summer.

If that happens, 52 percent would cut back on summer or end-of-year holiday travel and 58 percent said they would reduce other spending to cover their gasoline expenses.

"Gas prices rising to $4 or higher will further tighten the wobbly U.S. economy," said Graham Hueber, senior researcher at the Opinion Research Corp which conducted the survey.

Both high energy prices and the weak U.S. economy are becoming a bigger issue in the presidential election and candidates are talking more about how they would solve the problem.

Voters are apparently listening, with 89 percent of those surveyed saying the views of candidates on energy-related issues will be an important factor in who they support for president.

"Americans are looking for leadership on energy," said Pam Polo, president of the institute that sponsored the survey.

Among the major economic concerns for 2008, the survey found higher gasoline and heating oil prices were the most cited (51 percent), followed by recession/economic slowdown (47 percent), the mortgage crisis/falling home prices (31 percent), higher inflation (21 percent) and an increase in joblessness (18 percent).

Other key findings of the survey include:

* 84 percent think the federal government is not doing enough about high energy prices and the U.S. dependence on Middle Eastern energy sources.

* 84 percent think big oil companies are gouging consumers at the gasoline pump.

* 79 percent would back a tax on windfall profits of oil companies if the revenues were spent on alternative energy research.

* 44 percent are now more likely to buy a hybrid, clean-diesel or other fuel-efficient vehicle than they were six months ago.

(Reporting by Tom Doggett; editing by Russell Blinch and Jim Marshall)

Pricey gas drives shoppers to fuel efficiency
Reuters 30 Jan 08;

DETROIT (Reuters) - Pricey gasoline drives U.S. car buyers to more fuel-efficient vehicles, according to a study by industry tracking service Edmunds.com released on Wednesday.

Shoppers looking at cars and light trucks become more sensitive when prices rise above an average national price of $2.80 a gallon, according to Edmunds.com Executive Director David Tompkins, who called that level a "psychological turning point for consumers."

The average U.S. retail price for gasoline stands at $2.98 a gallon, the Energy Information Administration said on Monday in its weekly survey of service stations. While that was the first time below $3 a gallon in five weeks, it was still 81 cents higher than a year ago.

High gas prices is a major reason for the declining sales of many large sports-utility vehicles and pickup trucks, and weak consumer confidence due to the credit market crunch and slumping housing sector have depressed U.S. auto sales.

In a separate survey released on Wednesday by the Massachusetts-based Civil Society Institute think tank and its 40MPG.org project that pushes for more fuel-efficient vehicles, more than half of Americans said they would reduce holiday travel and personal spending if gas prices hit $4 a gallon this year.

More than half also cited fuel prices as the top economic worry this year, according to the institute's study.

The U.S. Energy Department is forecasting high crude oil costs will push gas prices to a record $3.50 this spring when driving normally increases, and 71 percent of those surveyed by the institute expect prices to hit $4 this summer.

Edmunds.com found if gas hits $4 a gallon, consumer interest in hybrid-powered vehicles would jump five-fold.

Under that scenario, interest in traditional mid-sized SUVs, large SUVs and large trucks would decline at rates of 35 percent, 34 percent and 26 percent, respectively, according to the study.

Meanwhile, interest in luxury cars and luxury SUVs, many of which are among the least fuel-efficient models, would fall 15 percent, the study said. Edmunds.com said the smaller decline was likely due to buyers of such vehicles being less sensitive to gas price increases.

Edmunds.com also found brand imagery would play an important role with gas at $4 a gallon as models perceived to be more fuel efficient -- even when they are not -- would receive more consideration from consumers.

For example, Japanese trucks would fare better than domestic ones even though U.S. trucks tend to be more fuel efficient, and the Saturn Aura Hybrid would fare better than the Chevrolet Malibu Hybrid even though the two vehicles made by General Motors Corp generally achieve the same fuel efficiency, according to the study.

(Reporting by Ben Klayman, editing by Richard Chang)


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New 'Green' Energy from Dirty Sources

Nichola Groom, PlanetArk 31 Jan 08;

LOS ANGELES - Wall Street has piled billions into solar panels, wind farms, and other alternatives to oil and gas, but many investors also see big opportunities in making better use of older, dirtier energy sources.

"Very few people will tell you that efficiency is a really green form of energy, but it's the greenest of all," said Kevin Landis, chief investment officer of San Jose, California-based Firsthand Funds, which owns several energy efficiency stocks.

Energy efficiency companies may be top "green" initial public offerings this year due to growing corporate interest in efficiency programs.

Boosting efficiency could be the easiest, quickest way to reduce emissions of harmful greenhouse gasses, starting with the task of installing new metering hardware and usage control systems in every home and building, proponents say.

"It's some basic IT technology, and the end consumers don't even have to really notice a difference," said Trae Vassallo, a partner with Silicon Valley venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers.

As US energy consumption has skyrocketed in recent years, so-called demand response companies like Comverge Inc and EnerNOC Inc have helped utilities reduce peak demand, such as on hot summer days, when cranked-up air conditioners prompt utilities to bring their oldest coal-fired plants on line, or buy high-priced power on the open market.

Demand response companies have software that automatically adjusts an air conditioner's temperature or turns off a swimming pool pump when electricity supplies are tight. Customers are warned ahead of time about the changes with devices that broadcast signals from the utility.

These small measures, for which customers often receive lower rates or payments, can make the difference between tight supply and blackouts.

Both EnerNOC and Comverge went public in the middle of last year, and investors pushed their stocks up 88 percent and 75 percent, respectively, through the end of 2007.

But this year the stocks have been battered by fears of a US recession and concerns that falling oil prices will dampen interest in green technology. Comverge shares are down 38 percent in 2008, and EnerNOC's stock has dropped 26 percent.

Signal Hill alternative energy analyst Michael Carboy said energy efficiency companies will still be among sought-after IPOs in 2008.

"The companies that are going to go public are not going to be those that are raising capital for yet another new energy source, but those that have products and services that focus on using energy more efficiently," said Carboy.


TRACKING POWER USAGE

The next generation of public energy efficiency companies won't be limited to focusing on peak demand, Carboy added. Rather, they will be businesses who aim to cut everyday consumption by either measuring how much electricity customers use or providing technologies to cut that usage. Orion Energy Systems Inc, which sells efficient lighting systems to corporations including Coca-Cola and Kraft and went public last month, is one recent example.

"EnerNOC and Comverge have been really great steps in the right direction, but you are going to see some more holistic solutions," said Vassallo of Kleiner Perkins.

A key element of reducing energy usage is being able to track it. To do that, utilities are slowly replacing old customer meters with automated systems that allow them to take detailed measurements of energy usage.

Echelon Corp and Itron Inc are two of the companies that make the new meters. Firsthand Funds owns shares in both companies.

"You need to have the information about where the energy is going," Landis said, adding that "the market for it is only every office building and and every home."

Firsthand also holds shares of Honeywell International Inc because of its building systems automation business, which Landis said will go through "a big renaissance."

California utility PG&E Corp is installing new meters in Bakersfield and Sacramento, some of the hottest areas it serves. The meters give customers up-to-the-minute details about how much energy they use and when, said Randall Wong, PG&E's supervisor of demand response.

The new meters will be available to all PG&E customers by the end of 2011. Add-on "smart thermostats", available in some markets, allow PG&E to control a customer's heat or air conditioning remotely in the event of a supply shortage, Wong said, adding that customers can always choose to opt out if they are unable to participate on a given day.

Not everyone has been pleased with the idea of utilities controlling their air conditioning. The California Energy Commission this month dropped a proposal to require that the new thermostats be installed in new buildings after lawmakers and others complained that participation should be optional.

Nevertheless, with such big opportunities to cut back on energy bills, businesses and consumers may embrace the new meters and the efficiency measures they promise to deliver.

"It's really just the first step in what's likely to be a 20- to 50-year move," said David Kurzman, head of the alternative energy group at research firm Panel Intelligence. "It took us 100 years to get the grid to where we are, and it's going to take us another 50 or so to upgrade it." (Editing by Tim Dobbyn)


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UN: climate change may cost $20 trillion

John Heilprin, Associated Press Yahoo News 30 Jan 08;

Global warming could cost the world up to $20 trillion over two decades for cleaner energy sources and do the most harm to people who can least afford to adapt, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon warns in a new report.

Ban's report provides an overview of U.N. climate efforts to help the 192-nation General Assembly prepare for a key two-day climate debate in mid-February. That debate is intended to shape overall U.N. policy on climate change, including how nations can adapt to a warmer world and ways of supporting the U.N.-led negotiations toward a new climate treaty by 2009, U.N. officials said Wednesday.

The treaty, replacing the Kyoto Protocol when it expires in 2012, could shape the course of climate change for decades to come. The Kyoto pact requires 37 industrial nations to reduce greenhouse gases by a relatively modest 5 percent on average.

Much of the focus has been on the United States, the only major industrial nation to reject the treaty, and on fast-developing nations such as China and India. Many are looking to next year, when a new U.S. president takes the White House. The leading contenders in both political parties favor doing more than the voluntary approaches and call for new technologies that President Bush espouses.

In his 52-page report, Ban says that global investments of $15 trillion to $20 trillion over the next 20 to 25 years may be required "to place the world on a markedly different and sustainable energy trajectory." Today, the global energy industry spends about $300 billion a year in new plants, transmission networks and other new investment, according to U.N. figures.

Srgjan Kerim, a Macedonian diplomat and economics professor who is president of the U.N. General Assembly, told The Associated Press that cutting greenhouse gases alone will not be enough to pull island nations, sub-Saharan Africa and other particularly vulnerable parts of the world back from the brink of irreversible harm.

"Cutting emissions is a very important dimension, but that's not enough for this equation," Kerim said in an interview this week. "Inventing new technologies, renewable energies, investing more in research and development, is also a very viable way and remedy for resolving the problem."

In December, under the auspices of the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, the 186 nations that attended a climate meeting in Bali, Indonesia, agreed on a "Bali Roadmap" of principles to craft a successor to the Kyoto treaty.

Last year, a Noble Prize-winning U.N. network of climate and other scientists warned of rising seas, droughts, severe weather and other dire consequences without sharp cutbacks in emissions of the industrial, transportation and agricultural gases blamed for warming.

That network, called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, advised that emissions should be reduced by 25 percent to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2020.

"Climate change and its implications is a broader process, more profound than negotiations among member states," Kerim said. "So our aim, our goal is to support that process, not to replace it."

Kerim said he wants to encourage partnerships between businesses and governments, and that he would refrain from encouraging nations to assign blame — and added responsibility — to the United States and other rich nations for their historical pollution.

"To approach the issue must be a forward looking way," he said. "We have to now try to find a way out. And to find a way out, you don't look in the rear mirror which shows you the back of your car."

British billionaire Richard Branson, who has decided to invest heavily in "biofuels" along with his Virgin brand of several hundred companies, will be a special guest at the assembly meeting, Kerim said.

"He was one of the first who reacted and who said that he's prepared to finance projects for clean energies and technologies," Kerim said.

Like Ban, who told the AP in December that his No. 1 priority is persuading the world to agree to new controls on global warming gases before the end of 2009, Kerim calls the challenges of climate change "my flagship topic."

In his report, Ban warned that global warming would probably affect women more than men. "The challenge of climate change is unlikely to be gender-neutral, as it increases the risk to the most vulnerable and less empowered social groups," he said.

Annie Petsonk, a lawyer for the advocacy group Environmental Defense, said global warming will most affect poor people and minorities, because the wealthy can spend more to adapt. "Women in poorer communities are going to face greater challenges protecting their children from the spread of diseases, polluted water, water shortages and so on," she said.


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Warmer seas boosted hurricane frequency by 40 percent: study

Yahoo News 30 Jan 08;

Warmer seas accounted for 40 percent of a dramatic surge in hurricanes from the mid-1990s, according to a study released on Thursday by the British journal Nature.

The paper -- the first to calculate the precise contribution of sea temperatures in driving hurricane frequency -- could be a major contribution to scientists struggling to understand impacts from global warming, its authors say.

Hurricanes -- the term for fierce cyclones that brew in the Atlantic and threaten Central America, the Caribbean and southern United States -- are known to have several causes.

One of them is the raw fuel of heat and moisture, provided by seas warmed to at least 27 degrees Celsius (80.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

Another, called vertical wind shear, is the angle of prevailing winds. These dictate whether the infant storm will develop into the wheeling shape of a hurricane or instead be torn to be pieces.

British researchers Mark Saunders and Adam Lea of the Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre at University College London, looked at yearly US meteorological data for hurricanes between 1965 and 2005 and compared these to a 50-year average.

Over the half century, there were around six hurricanes per year on average, roughly half of which were intense hurricanes.

But for the 10 years from 1996 to 2005, the tally rose to about eight hurricanes per year, about four of which were intense ones.

Hurricanes that made landfall in the United States also became more frequent -- one extra storm every three years or so, statistically speaking.

After stripping out the role of wind in hurricane generation, the researchers calculate that an increase of 0.5 degrees Celsius (0.9 Fahrenheit) was responsible for about 40 percent of the rise in hurricane activity.

Saunders told AFP the findings could be a big help for computer modellers striving to understand whether global warming will stoke hurricanes, a scenario that has been sketched by many experts but remains hedged with many unknowns.

But he cautioned against the temptation to extrapolate that hurricane activity will triple or quadruple if the IPCC's predictions of a global temperature rise to 2100 come true.

"Extrapolation assumes that the vertical wind shear will remain constant, whereas some models suggest that it will go up. This would mean that vertical wind shear would have a suppressing effect, counterbalancing the enhancing effect from higher temperatures," he explained.

Nor is it a given, said Saunders, that in the future a sharp rise in sea temperatures will generate so much hurricane fuel, as happened from the mid-90s.

"It could be that currently we are close to the (temperature) threshold for hurricane generation," said Saunders. "It could be that as the sea waters warm more, maybe the sensitivity to sea warming might decrease. Scientists just don't know the answer to this one way, or another."

Oceanographers sometimes have "very fierce and quite acrimonious debates" about the impact of global warming on hurricanes, said Saunders.

Some say the surge in hurricanes at the end of the last century can clearly be pinned on warmer seas.

Others say it is wrong or premature to blame human interference with the climate system. They say there are natural cycles of hurricanes and reliable data -- usually accepted as the advent of weather satellites in the 1960s -- is far too recent to take this into account.

Last year, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCCC) said it was "likely" that tropical cyclones will become more intense this century. The storms could pack higher peak winds and heavier rainfall as tropical seas warmed.

The 1996-2005 decade climaxed with Hurricane Katrina, the most devastating storm ever to whack the United States.

But 2006 was quieter, and 2007 was unusually calm. Last year, sea temperatures in the tropical Atlantic were even slightly below the norm.

Warmer Atlantic worsens hurricanes
Seth Borenstein, Associated Press Yahoo News 30 Jan 08;

When the water in the hurricane breeding grounds of the Atlantic warms one degree in the dead of summer, overall hurricane activity jumps by half, according to a new study.

Scientists have long known that hurricanes get their enormous energy from warm waters, so the warmer the water, the more fuel a storm has to either start up or get stronger. The study calculates how much storm frequency and strength is due to warmer sea water, said author Mark Saunders, professor of climate prediction at the University College London.

Saunders found a distinct numerical connection between the ups and downs of water temperatures and how nasty hurricane season gets. That helps explain why hurricanes have been so much worse in the past dozen years, and even why 2007 — with waters slightly cooler than normal — was an exception and not that bad a hurricane year, Saunders said.

"It's very surprisingly sensitive to small changes in sea surface temperature," he said.

His study, published Thursday in the journal Nature, found that changes in wind patterns caused a bigger shift in hurricane activity, but he concentrated his analysis on what sea temperature did to storms. Saunders didn't look at what caused the temperature fluctuations, although he believes that climate change is a contributing factor.

Scientists have clashed in recent years about whether man-made global warming has already increased hurricane activity in the Atlantic by warming the sea and shifting wind patterns, and what global warming may mean in the future.

Saunders focused on the water temperature in a band of tropical sea that stretches from around Puerto Rico and the northern coast of South America east to near the coast of Africa since 1950. He looked at hurricane activity since 1965.

The average August-September water temperature in the region is about 81 degrees. Saunders calculated that for every one degree Fahrenheit increase:

• Overall hurricane activity — a combination of frequency and hurricane strength — increases 49 percent.

• The number of intense hurricanes, with winds over 110 mph, increases 45 percent.

• The number of hurricanes of any size increases 36 percent.

• The number of tropical storms increase 31 percent.

For example, 2005 was the most active hurricane season on record, and Atlantic water temperatures were the warmest, about 1.4 degrees above normal. That hurricane season set a new high with 28 storms and 13 hurricanes. Seven of the hurricanes were major storms.

In 1971, when the water temperatures were the coolest, there were 13 storms and six hurricanes, including one major one.

The index of overall hurricane activity was more than twice as high in 2005 as it was in 1971.

The scientists who have linked global warming to stronger storms said the study makes sense, and is, if anything, just repeating and refining what they have already said. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientist Chris Landsea, whose studies have dismissed such links, said Saunders' study doesn't go back far enough to exclude natural cyclical causes for the hurricane activity changes.


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