Best of our wild blogs: 1 Jun 09


Lovely Kusu with friends
on the wonderful creation blog

My Lucky Encounter at AHBT on 23 May
on the Beauty of Fauna and Flora in Nature blog

Asian Koels in battle
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Recent upgrading has made Labrador Park such a beautiful place
on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog

It always pores
on the annotated budak blog

Chek Jawa with the Naked Hermit Crabs
on the wild shores of singapore blog

Semakau Inter-tidal Walk 31 May 09
on the Manta Blog and urban forest blog and the discovery blog

Lesser Coucal drying after a rain
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

Humming to the Wrong Tune – Mistaken Identities #3
on the My Itchy Fingers blog

Monday Morgue: 1st June 2009
on the Lazy Lizard's Tales blog


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Energy: Forget quick fix, multi-pronged approach is best

Warren Fernandez, Straits Times 1 Jun 09;
AN INTREPID group of young Singaporeans was racing into the future when I ran into them in Germany recently.

Nanyang Technological University students, they had put together a prototype solar-powered car. They were thrilled that their creation had more energy stored up after a run around the track than before it began.

The team was among nearly 190 from around the world that took part in the 25th Shell Eco-marathon Europe, in Lausitz, Germany. Nearby, rival groups from the National University of Singapore and the Institute of Technical Education were putting the final touches to their own vehicles run on a hydrogen fuel-cell and a conventional petrol engine respectively.

The challenge to these young minds: Devise a vehicle that runs the furthest with the least fuel and CO2 emissions. The record set at the event was equivalent to a staggering 3,771km on one litre of fuel - about enough to get from Singapore to Bangkok, and back.

In their own way, these students are helping to shape the future of transportation. It is no idle pursuit. Countries around the world are grappling with the challenge of how to power the huge number of cars that will soon hit the roads. There will be two billion cars by 2050, double the number today.

Transport accounts for a third of global energy use and a quarter of CO2 emissions. The sustainability of road transport, however, is just one part of the wider energy challenge. This challenge is shaped by three hard truths:

# Surge in energy demand: Growing populations, as well as rising affluence, especially in Asia, will cause energy demand to double by 2050.

# Supply cannot keep up: Supplies of easy to reach conventional oil and gas cannot keep up with the growth in demand. The International Energy Agency says the world will need to find new sources equal to at least six new Saudi Arabias by 2030. So other sources of energy, like 'unconventional' fossil fuels such as oil sands, as well as biofuels, wind and solar will be needed.

# Growing environmental stress: More energy means more carbon emissions. A recent Asian Development Bank (ADB) report noted that South-east Asia is likely to suffer more from climate change than the world average. The region is especially vulnerable to sea-level and temperature rises, as well as higher levels of tropical diseases and declining rice yields that might result from global warming.

In the face of these realities, Shell has developed two scenarios for how the energy future might unfold. In the first, dubbed Scramble, governments focus on securing supplies to meet their needs. They put off actions to tackle energy shortages as well as climate change, reacting only when problems become severe. Then their actions are more hurried and extreme.

In the second scenario, Blueprints, the focus is on energy security and environmental sustainability. Governments take early, proactive steps to promote energy efficiency. There is international agreement on a carbon trading system. This drives energy efficiency and the development of new technologies, such as the capture and storage of CO2. A more stable energy system is established.

Both scenarios make clear that carrying on business as usual is simply unsustainable, and a transition to a new energy future is inevitable.

A Blueprints approach is preferable because it would provide a more stable business environment, a faster take-up of new technologies, higher energy efficiency and lower greenhouse gas emissions.

Recent moves such as United States President Barack Obama raising vehicle fuel-efficiency standards, as well as the inter-ministry report on sustainable development unveiled by the Singapore Government, are characteristic Blueprints behaviour.

The Singapore plan highlights a big push on energy efficiency, and calls for a $20 million trial of electric vehicles. Some significant hurdles, however, must be overcome before large-scale electric mobility becomes a reality.

First, the distance range of batteries needs to go up. Secondly, ways will have to be found to recharge or replace batteries conveniently. But finally, the most serious issue facing electric vehicles, how the electricity is to be produced in the first place.

In Singapore, where nearly 80 per cent of electricity is generated from natural gas - which produces half the CO2 emissions of a typical coal-fired power plant - this might seem less of a concern. In China, which gets 70 per cent to 80 per cent of its energy from coal, electric mobility will not bring as many environmental benefits as people hope.

Clearly, if a Blueprints world is to become a reality, much more work remains to be done, especially as we approach the crucial Copenhagen talks on climate change in December. So far, a global agreement acceptable to all has been difficult to reach.

Perhaps more realistic might be a stepping-stone agreement between smaller groups of key countries to cap emissions from individual high-emitting sectors - such as power generation, which accounts for about 35 per cent of global CO2 emissions. Deforestation, which accounts for 75 per cent of greenhouse gasses in our region, is a key area for Asean to focus on. The energy industry offers much scope for significant efficiency gains and emissions reductions, the ADB report noted.

The matter is urgent. Asia alone will build some 800 gigawatts of new coal-fired generating capacity over the next 10 years, equal to the European Union's total electricity generating capacity today.

Little wonder that climate experts believe that policymakers should give priority to CO2 capture and storage (CCS). According to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, CCS may contribute up to 55 per cent of the emission reductions that scientists believe are necessary during this century. But companies are reluctant to invest in CCS because it is costly and generates no revenue. Policymakers should promote CCS by putting a price on CO2 emissions and developing cap-and-trade systems.

This raises many difficult questions: Are we ready for a carbon tax, or at least tax on high energy usage, just as we have for water use? Is Asean ready to implement measures to curb deforestation? Is Asia ready for CO2 pricing and trading to help it move from coal to cleaner forms of energy?

Ultimately, there is no quick fix to the energy challenge. We will need to move on many fronts if the double-dilemma of how to deliver 'more energy, less CO2' is to be addressed in the coming years.

The writer is regional director (Asia-Pacific) for communications strategy at Royal Dutch Shell. Shell and the Energy Studies Institute are jointly organising an Energy Roundtable to be held at the National Library tomorrow.


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Vietnam to spend $1b on 840km of sea dykes

Vietnam News 30 May 09;

HA NOI — The Viet Nam Government provided an estimated VND19.5 trillion (more than US$1 billion) to build 840km of sea dykes from central Quang Ngai Province to southern Kien Giang Province.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has signed Decision 667 for the building of the network in anticipation of rising sea levels as the climate changes.

The system of 54 dykes will be designed to protect the coast from water and flooding.

Preserving ecology

The dykes are also intended to ensure the safety of coastal residents; boost their economies and preserve the coastal ecology.

The primary purpose of the system is to shield the coast from rising sea levels and the adverse effects of climate change but it will also help shape a transport route for socio-economic development and defence.

The project from now to 2020 will be in three phases. The focus of the first four years will be the planting of trees and earthworks for the entire system.

The dykes and roads will be reinforced during the second four years with bridges, sluice gates, roads and work to finish the dykes done from 2017 to 2020.

About $56 million will be provided to get the work started this year.

Southern Water Resource Institute director Le Manh Hung said the target was for 518km of sea dykes and 326 estuary dykes.

Many existing dykes were incapable of preventing or controlling the damage wrought by natural calamities, he said.

The result was huge losses for localities hit by high tides and storms.

Bridges and sluice gates were also lacking so that the reinforcement of the dykes was crucial and urgent, Hung said. — VNS


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Bali water police release four protected sea turtles

Niken Prathivi, The Jakarta Post 1 Jun 09;

"Go! Go! Go!" screamed a bunch of kids and teens at four green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas) as the protected animals were released by Bali Water Police officers back into the sea Sunday afternoon at Kuta.

"Yes, kids! Help me encourage these big turtles to swim away!" said one of the officers, while his friends carried two huge turtles. One has a carapace length of 1 meter and the other 1.5 meters.

The sea turtles were seized Saturday afternoon during a raid at a house belonging to a suspected turtle trader in South Kuta.

During the raid the police arrested the alleged trader I Kadek Suastika, as well as Hendrianto, the skipper of a boat transporting the protected species.

The police moved on after receiving a tip from Tanjung Benoa residents about possible smuggling activities.

The water police immediately sent a patrol boat to monitor the waters around Kedonganan and Tanjung Benoa. The officers identified one suspicious boat and tailed it closely.

"The suspicious boat moved to Nusa Dua waters. As we could not reach Nusa Dua waters due to big waves, we waited for the suspects to drop off the rare wildlife onto land," said chief of operations at the Bali Water Police, Comr. I Putu S. Dinata.

"We captured them at Kadek Suastika's house."

Dinata added his team had found six green turtles, but only four were released into the sea Sunday because the other two would be kept as evidence for the suspects' trial.

Bali Police spokesman Sr. Comr. I Gede Sugianyar said the suspects might face a maximum of five years imprisonment as they have allegedly violated Government Regulation No. 21/1999 concerning the conservation of natural resources.

"The turtles were poached in the waters off Java and will be sold here."

"The small ones command a price around Rp 1.5 million *US$145.70* while the big ones are worth up to Rp 5 million.

The Balinese usually buy turtles for consumption.

"We intentionally release the turtles in the crowded Kuta beach, because we also want to give a public education that green turtle is facing extinction.

"Especially for Bali residents, who we are hope will reduce their consumption of turtles."

During the release, some foreign tourists took photos and also encouraged the newly free turtles to swim back into the ocean.


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South Africans begin removing bodies of beached whales

Clare Nullis Yahoo News 31 May 09;

CAPE TOWN, South Africa – Authorities on Sunday began the grim task of removing the carcasses of 55 whales that beached themselves and had to be shot despite the frantic rescue efforts of hundreds of volunteers.

Police had to put down 44 of the exhausted false killer whales to end their suffering, prompting scuffles with distraught locals desperate to save them. The rest died of stress and organ failure and the bodies of three whales who were initially thought to have escaped washed up overnight.

Ian Klopper of the National Sea Rescue Institute said a boat was sent to recover the carcass of a whale stuck on rocks near the beach at Kommitjie.

Authorities warned surfers to be careful of great white sharks circling in the frigid water in search of any remaining bodies.

Although few bathers venture into the water during the southern hemisphere winter, surfers take to the waves all year round.

The seas around Cape Town are teaming with great white sharks as well as whales during the winter months.

The front pages of Sunday's newspapers bore graphic photographs of the tragic scenes that played out on Kommitjie beach all day Saturday. "And then came death," read the caption in the Sunday Times.

The whales started beaching early morning. Hundreds of people wearing wet suits against the bitter cold braved high winds and rough waves to try to push them back to sea with the midmorning high tide. But they kept swimming back to the beach.

Authorities briefly considered transporting the mammals, which weigh about one and a half tons, by truck to the nearby deep-water naval base at Simons Town but then decided the health of the whales had deteriorated too much and that the only solution was to kill them with a single shot to the brain.

Gunshots rang out across the long, rain-drenched beach as police desperately tried to clear the area of onlookers who had flocked to the shores in hope of a happy ending which turned nightmarish. Authorities advised anybody traumatized by the operation to seek counseling.

Nan Rice of the Dolphin Action and Protection Group said the decision to euthanize the whales was only taken after it became clear the animals would not be able to survive the night on the beach.

"They were weakening already. The animals wouldn't have been able to swim out," she told the South African Press Association.

"The fact of the matter is that during the night, you probably would have people coming out of the bush to cut big chunks out of them. And we couldn't have people posted there all night because of the weather."

She rejected public criticism of the decision to kill the beasts and the lack of contingency plans to cope with the mass beaching.

"You can't be sentimental, you have to be serious," she told SAPA.

"It's quick. The bullet goes straight through the brain and the whale dies in a few seconds. But they (the public) get hysterical and start acting like prima donnas and throw themselves on the beach and have to be carried away by the police," SAPA quoted her as saying.

The department of the environment said that the carcasses were being moved away in convoy by truck to a landfill site. Marine scientists would dissect the whales for research purposes before burying them.

It said the reason for the stranding remained unclear.


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Malaysian orangutan hospital sparks controversy

M. Jegathesan Yahoo News 30 May 09;

BUKIT MERAH, Malaysia (AFP) – A Malaysian orangutan sanctuary where baby apes wear nappies, sleep in cots and are cared for by nurses dressed in masks and starched uniforms has drawn the wrath of environmentalists.

At Orangutan Island in Malaysia's north, tourists snap photos as they file past large windows looking onto a facility billed as the world's only rehabilitation and preservation facility for the endangered primates.

Behind the glass, adorable baby orangutans like two-month-old Tuah lie swaddled in nursery sheets and cling to baby rattles.

"He is separated from the mother because his hands got entangled in the mother's hair and was unable to breastfeed," says the facility's chief veterinarian D. Sabapathy.

Tuah lies calmly in his cot with his eyes wide open and hands across his chest, hooked up to cables monitoring his heart beat and oxygen levels, ignoring the passing parade.

But the care lavished on the animals, which are fed every two hours by a staff of seven nurses on duty round the clock, is lost on environmentalists who say this is no way to treat wild animals facing the threat of extinction.

Managers of the 35-acre island, which is part of a resort hotel development, say they aim to return the animals to their natural jungle habitat, but so far none have been released.

"It is ridiculous to have orangutans in nappies and hand-raised in a nursery. How are they going to reintroduce the primates back in the wild," said senior wildlife veterinarian Roy Sirimanne.

Sirimanne, who has worked in zoos in Southeast Asia and the Middle East over the past four decades, said baby orangutans need to be with their mothers to learn survival skills.

"First, we need to save their habitat which is quickly disappearing. And it is the mother that will teach its young for the first four years or more on what to eat and how to look for food," he told AFP.

"Keeping the orangutans in captivity on an island is not a conservation programme. It amounts to desecration (of the species) as it is nearly impossible to reintroduce them back to the forest."

Experts say there are about 50,000 to 60,000 orangutans left in the wild, 80 percent of them in Indonesia and the rest in Malaysia's eastern states of Sabah and Sarawak on Borneo island.

But Orangutan Island is situated in the north of peninsular Malaysia, far from the jungles of Borneo where the orangutan's natural habitat is being lost to logging and palm oil plantations.

A 2007 assessment by the United Nations Environment Programme warned that orangutans will be virtually eliminated in the wild within two decades if current deforestation trends continue.

The Malaysian branch of conservation group Friends of the Earth said the best way to save the orangutan is to address rampant poaching and shrinking habitats.

"We are opposed to the orangutan sanctuary. We are opposed to this theme park resort having wildlife in captivity," said its president Mohamad Idris.

"Captive-bred orangutans have no natural resistance against diseases, making them susceptible to diseases. Death is inevitable," he said.

The centre's veterinarian defended the facility, situated in the tourist town of Bukit Merah, which opened in 2000 and now houses 25 orangutans.

He admitted the centre had suffered a high mortality rate in its early days, with seven deaths of infant orangutans between 2000 and 2003, but said it had learned a lot since then.

"It is the pride of Malaysians and it is aimed at helping ensure our orangutans do not become extinct," said Sabapathy.

He said the facility was originally stocked with orangutans obtained from the forestry department in Sarawak state on Borneo, who had been confiscated from individuals there.

"Now we can study the primate and collect data. The orangutans will eventually be returned to Sarawak. That is our objective," he said.

Sabapathy said infants were only removed from their mothers if they were underweight, neglected and at risk of dying, and that some mothers raised their own babies, including one born in May.

"I will not be disheartened by the criticism," he said. "We are not ill-treating them. People say the species is getting endangered but what are they doing? We are trying to increase the numbers in the wild."

Nearby, 21-year-old nurse Nadiah Mohamad smiled fondly at one-year-old April who was rejected by his mother, and fed him with formula while four-month-old June showed off by jumping around her cot and pulling the bedsheets.

"I love them. It is like taking care of a small child," she said.

When the baby apes are a year old, they are transferred to an "infant development unit" designed to teach them to live in the wild.

In another zone, enclosed with electrified barbed wire, adult orangutans are free to roam and build their nests in the treetops.

Most of the visitors, from Malaysia and abroad, are delighted to interact with the animals and are unaware of the criticism.

"I don't think it is wrong keeping them here. It is a practical solution to save the orangutans and educate our children," said 26-year-old Vikki Kendrick from Britain.


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Mekong body starts evaluating mainstream dams

The Saigon Daily 31 May 09;

The Mekong River Commission (MRC) has emphasized the need to proceed carefully in considering dam projects on the mainstream Mekong River, as a wide ranging assessment of Mekong hydropower development begins this week.

“The Mekong River system is a highly productive and valuable, but at the same time, fragile resource,” Jeremy Bird, Chief Executive Officer of the MRC Secretariat, said in an MRC statement issued May 28.

He added, “Before any decisions are made to implement mainstream hydropower schemes in the lower Mekong basin, the four lower Mekong countries have agreed to work together to cultivate a better scientific understanding of the wider development impact and to ensure that private sector proposals for new dams are guided by principles of economic, environmental and social sustainability.”

His words came as the MRC launched a strategic assessment of the proposed mainstream developments in Laos, Cambodia and on the Lao-Thai border. The influence of upstream dams in China on the Lancang-Mekong River will also be included in the strategic environmental assessment, according to the MRC announcement.

The MRC said it will use information presented by the study to improve its ability to guide member states in their decision processes and dialogue.

The MRC is the intergovernmental body responsible for cooperation on the sustainable management of the Mekong Basin whose members are Cambodia, Laos, Thailand and Vietnam. China and Myanmar are dialogue partners

The body said in that statement that the effect of the global financial crisis in Southeast Asia has provided a “breathing space,” allowing the four lower Mekong countries (Cambodia, Laos, Thailand and Vietnam) to take time to better assess how mainstream projects will affect the interests of all people in the Mekong River basin.

“The MRC is faced with perhaps its most important strategic challenge since the Mekong Agreement was signed in 1995 because of increased interest in building hydropower dams in the mainstream of the lower Mekong River Basin,” said Mr. Bird.

While there are already 3,235 MW of electricity being generated by hydropower on Mekong tributaries – and dams with an operational capacity of 3,209 MW are under construction, what is new is the interest of the private sector in seriously considering developing hydropower schemes on the mainstream.

The Mekong is one of the most active regions in the world for hydropower with eight existing or planned Mekong mainstream dams in Yunnan Province in China, where the Mekong is called the Lancang River, and 11 proposed by Cambodia, Laos and Thailand – all in various stages of investigation or feasibility study.

As set out in the 1995 Mekong Agreement, MRC member countries are committed to undergoing a formal approval process prior to any decision on building dams on the river.

The MRC says the process must balance the interests of people’s livelihoods, as well as the energy, fisheries, tourism, and navigation industries. Projects being studied for development in the lower Mekong Basin come to the commission for consultation, with a view to assisting member countries to reach consensus on the critical and sensitive issues of their shared water resources and the balanced development of the river.

Past studies undertaken by the MRC have shown that dams can have both a positive and negative impact. For example, MRC analysis shows that large storage dams in the upper Mekong basin can increase dry season flows and reduce flood levels, which can benefit water users.

But at the same time the changed flow patterns can reduce fisheries yield. The largest impacts of the proposed mainstream dams in the lower Mekong Basin apart from local resettlement issues are likely to be significant changes in fish passage and migration, aquatic habitats, sediment flow leading to erosion and loss of nutrients, according to the studies.

More than 60 million people in the lower Mekong basin depend on the river system for food, transport and economic activity, according to the MRC.

The MRC statement also said that the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (Egat) recently announced it has reduced the amount of power it plans to import over the next 15 years, to about 5,000 Megawatts from an earlier estimated figure of 13,000 which reflects the impact of the global economic downturn.

By Tuong Thuy


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Palm Oil Producers Say Green Efforts Not Paying Off

Arti Ekawati, The Jakarta Globe 31 May 09;

It seems that the European preference for green products only goes so far.

While many palm oil plantations and farmers are struggling to get certificates proving their palm oil is produced in a sustainable manner, others that have the certificates are complaining that buyers in Europe don’t want to buy their products because they are too expensive.

Now, the local palm oil industry would like to see the Europeans put their money where their mouths are.

Derom Bangun, the vice chairman of the Indonesian Palm Oil Board, said that there was a tendency among some European buyers not to buy certified crude palm oil because it costs more than noncertified CPO.

“The producers go through the certification process to fulfill requirements set by the European Union,” Derom said on Friday. “However, once they get it, they complain that buyers from EU countries don’t want to buy the certified palm oil because the price is higher.”

The Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil certificate is a kind of green passport that indicates a company’s palm oil plantations do not harm the environment.

In order to meet the organization’s criteria, companies must demonstrate a commitment to managing plantations in a sustainable way and acting responsibly as a custodian of the environment and as an employer.

The RSPO’s audits and inspections are undertaken by independent third parties to avoid charges of “green-washing,” or bogus environmental certification.

The EU is in the process of requiring all palm oil producers to certify both crude palm oil and derivative products. Companies that do not obtain certification by 2010 will not be allowed to sell to EU countries.

In the meantime, however, European consumers still have a choice between certified and noncertified CPO products.

Derom said it was to be expected that certified CPO would trade at a higher price because it was sold as a premium-quality product and producers had to pay certification fees.

Local CPO producer PT Musim Mas, for example, spent about $600,000 to certify its plantations and two palm oil processing factories in February.

“At present, the certification fee is about $20 per hectare,” Derom said. “That is cheaper than when the certification process first began, when it cost $50 a hectare.”

Derom urged CPO buyers, and especially those in the EU, to prioritize buying certified CPO. He said that buying certified palm oil was an important way to encourage other producers to manage their plantations sustainably.

Vengeta Rao, the secretary general of RSPO, said that there were two main reasons why buyers were not choosing certified palm oil. First, he said, a drop in CPO demand amid the global economic crisis had pushed buyers to save money by dropping certified oil in favor of the cheaper alternative. And second, buyers were continuing to sign new contracts with CPO companies that have not been certified.

Rao added, however, that there did not necessarily have to be a difference between the price of certified and noncertified products.

“The more efficient the company is, the less money it needs to spend for certificate,” he said. “This means there is less of a price difference.”

At present, Rao said that his organization “tolerated” the fact that EU buyers were accepting noncertified CPO, but he reiterated that this would have to change starting in 2010 once the bloc’s new import rule kicks in.

Moves to certify palm oil began amid a boom in CPO trading during the mid-1990s. At the time, because of the widespread clearing of forests for new plantations, many began to worry about the reductions in biodiversity that forest clearing would cause.

In response, palm oil producers in Malaysia and Indonesia — along with buyers, industry experts and environmentalists — formed the RSPO in 1994.

The group’s efforts, however, have sometimes drawn criticism. When the first batch of RSPO-certified palm oil arrived in Europe in November 2008, the company involved, Malaysia-based United Plantations, was accused by environmental organizations Greenpeace and Wetlands International of not actually meeting the RSPO’s requirements.

United responded with a detailed rebuttal of the allegations, but Greenpeace maintains that the roundtable’s system fails to adequately address issues like deforestation, peatland clearance and other land-related conflicts.

There could be even more problems ahead for the RPSO, with reports emerging of a mounting green campaign against palm oil in Europe.

Despite this, local CPO companies are still applying for RSPO certification, though only a few have so far been approved.

Of the group’s 94 member companies worldwide, only 11 have obtained certificates. Just three Indonesian companies have earned the distinction: PT Musim Mas, PT London Sumatra Plantation and PT Hindoli.

Ten other significant local players expect be certified by the end of this year, including state-owned PT Perkebunan Nusantara III and PT Sinar Mas.


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Amazon rainforests pay the price as demand for beef soars

Inquiry highlights concerns over ranching in heartland of Brazil
David Adam, guardian.co.uk 31 May 09;

Four-year old Daniel Santos da Silva and his older brother Diego Mota dos Santos, 10, heard their first gunshots in April. Their father was shot in a dispute over land on a cattle ranch near the Brazilian town of El Dorado, in the Amazonian state of Para. The boys heard he was taken to hospital, but they have not seen him since.

The ranch is called Espirito Santo, holy spirit, though goodwill to all men is hard to find there. Heavily armed guards protect the thousands of cattle that roam its lush pastures and the hacienda-style complex built on a hill at the farm's centre, complete with swimming pool.

Daniel and Diego live on the muddy fringe of the farm in a hastily erected collection of palm frond-roofed huts to shield them and a hundred-odd other families from regular tropical downpours. They are squatters, but squatters rights are rarely observed in Para.

Espirito Santo and thousands of farms like it raise cattle on Amazonian pasture that was once rainforest. The farms are huge, and so is their impact. The cattle business is expanding rapidly in the Amazon, and now poses the biggest threat to the 80% of the original forest that still stands. Where loggers have made inroads to the edge of the forest in the states of Para and Mato Grosso, farmers have followed.

A report today from Greenpeace details a three-year investigation into these cattle farms and the global trade in their products, many of which end up on sale in Britain and Europe. Meat from the cattle is canned, packaged and processed into convenience foods. Hides become leather for shoes and trainers. Fat stripped from the carcasses is rendered and used to make toothpaste, face creams and soap. Gelatin squeezed from bones, intestines and ligaments thickens yoghurt and makes chewy sweets.

Greenpeace says it has lifted the lid on this trade to expose the "laundering" of cattle raised on illegally deforested land.

The environment campaign group wants Brazilian companies that buy cattle to boycott farms that have chopped down forest after an agreed date. To get the industry onside, it is seeking pressure from multinational brands that source their products in Brazil, and, ultimately, from their customers. Three years ago, a similar exposure of the trade in illegally grown Brazilian soya brought a rapid response from the industry, and a moratorium on soya from newly ­deforested farms that still holds.

Last month, the Guardian joined Greenpeace on an undercover visit to the cattle farming heartland around the town of Maraba, deep inside the Amazon region. While saving the rainforest is a fashionable cause in faraway developed countries such as Britain, in Maraba it is a provocative and even ­dangerous ideal.

Many people in Maraba work at the slaughterhouse perched on a hill that overlooks the town. The facility is owned by the Brazilian firm Bertin, one of the companies targeted by Greenpeace for buying cattle from farms linked to illegal deforestation. After slaughter, Greenpeace says Bertin ships the meat, hides and other products to an export facility in Lins, near Sao Paolo. From there, they are shipped all over the world. The firm is Brazil's second largest beef exporter and the largest leather exporter. It is also the country's largest supplier of rawhide dog chews.

Bertin denies taking cattle from Amazon farms associated with deforestation. The company says it "makes permanent investments in initiatives that minimise impacts resulting from its activities" and that it seeks "to be a reference in the sector". It says it has already blacklisted 138 suppliers for "irregularities".

Brazilian government records obtained by Greenpeace show that 76 cattle were shipped to the Bertin slaughterhouse in Maraba from Espirito Santo farm in May 2008. Another 380 were received in January this year.

Standing on Espirito Santo's shady veranda, Oscar Bollir, the farm manager, insists they do nothing wrong.

Under Brazilian law, such farms inside the Amazon region must retain 80% of the original forest within their legal boundary. So why is there pasture for as far as the eye can see? The farm is very big, Bollir says, and most of the required forest is on the other side of some low-slung hills in the distance.

The squatters on the farm, part of a political movement to settle landless people on illegally snatched farmland, are troublemakers, he says. "They don't want land they just want trouble. They want to take all the farms." Earlier that day, he says, he and his men had been forced to visit a neighbouring farm where squatters had killed cattle. Unlike the previous incident on Espirito Santo, when Daniel and Diego's father was shot alongside several others, Bollir says, this time there had been no trouble.

He adds that he is aware of environmental concerns, but that his priority is to produce food and jobs. "Why are these other countries looking at Brazil and telling us what to do?"

The next day, Greenpeace investigators flew over Espirito Santo – the group has a single-engined plane donated by an anonymous British benefactor. Bollir's promised bonanza of forest was not there. GPS data combined with satellite images show that just 20% to 30% of the farm is forested. A local lawyer also reported that during the nearby dispute over the killed cattle, three squatters had been shot and injured.

The Greenpeace report identifies dozens of farms like Espirito Santo that it says break the rules across Para and Mato Grosso to supply Bertin and other slaughter companies. Campaigners say there are probably hundreds or even thousands more.

Cheap pasture from clearing and seeding rainforest is very attractive to farmers without easy access to the expensive agrichemicals and intensive land management techniques used in more developed countries. Within a few years, the planted pasture becomes overrun with native grass, unsuitable for cattle. Many farmers then take the cheap option and knock down adjoining forest to start again, leaving swaths of unproductive deforested land in their wake.

Andre Muggiati, a campaigner with Greenpeace Brazil based in the Amazon town of Manaus, says efforts to protect the forest in frontier regions such as Para are crippled by a lack of effective governance. Government inspections are inadequate and many farms are not even registered so checks cannot be carried out. Casual violence and intimidation are common. "It's totally unregulated and many people behave as if the law does not apply to them. It's like the old US wild west," he says.

Illegal deforestation is not the only problem: farms are regularly exposed as using slave labour, and, like many tropical forest regions, there are regular and violent clashes over land ownership.

The problem is clear a three-hour flight across the patchy forest from Maraba, where a clearing on the side of the river is home to a few hundred Parakana people, a tribe with no contact with the outside world until 1985.

Greenpeace can only reach the village because its plane is equipped to land on the sluggish water, but cattle farmers are steadily intruding. Hundreds of farms have been set up in the surrounding reserve, and they are not welcome.

"Since the invaders arrived there have been many problems," says Itanya, the village chief. Food is harder to find, he says, and discontent is growing. "If the government don't find a solution we will solve it ourselves. We know how to make poison arrows and we are ready to kill people." It is not an idle threat: in 2003 the bodies of three farmers were discovered in the jungle not far from the village. Itanya says it was the work of a neighbouring group.

"We asked them many times to stay away," Kokoa, the chief of the neighbouring group, told the Guardian through an interpreter. "They wouldn't, so one time we said to them that you will never go back and you will stay here forever. We killed them. We are proud that we defended our land."

Food for thought

How much of the Amazon rainforest has been lost and how quickly?

Since the 1970s, when satellite mapping of the region became available, around a fifth of the rainforest has been destroyed, an area the size of California. Greenpeace US estimates that, between 2007 and 2008, another 3m acres (1.2m hectares) have been destroyed.

What is driving the destruction?

Logging, cattle farming and soy plantations are key, plus the increased construction of dams and road, and shifting patterns of farming for local people and mining (for diamonds, bauxite, manganese, iron, tin, copper, lead and gold). These factors are often interlinked – trees are cut down for timber and the cleared land can be used for grazing cattle. Soybeans are then cultivated on the same land. Land is also cleared for biofuel crops. According to Greenpeace, around 80% of the area deforested in Brazil is now cattle pasture. Brazil's biggest export markets for beef are Europe, the Middle East and Russia. Friends of the Earth Brazil estimate that cattle farming in Brazil has been responsible for 9bn-12bn tonnes of CO² emissions in the past decade, almost equivalent to two years worth from the US. Infrastructure projects such as hydroelectric dams also threaten the forests because they cause large areas to be flooded. Currently, the biggest planned project is the Tocantins River basin hydroelectric dam, the effects of which stretch over a distance of 1,200 miles.

Why are cattle a particular problem?

In 2006, the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation found that the livestock industry, from farm to fork, was responsible for 18% of all anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. In addition, livestock-rearing can use up to 200 times more water a kilogram of meat compared to a kilo of grain. Furthermore, global meat consumption is on the rise, having increased by more than two and half times since 1970.

Who is trying to stop the destruction?

At this year's climate change negotiations in Copenhagen, governments will consider the "Redd" mechanism. This is the idea that richer countries could offset their carbon emissions by paying to maintain forests in tropical regions. The idea has roots in the 2006 review of the economics of climate change by Nicholas Stern, who said £2.5bn a year could be enough to prevent deforestation in the eight most important countries. But Friends of the Earth says the proposals seem to be aimed at setting up a way to profit from forests, rather than stop climate change, and fail to protect the rights of those living in the forests.

In 2007, Greenpeace also came up with a plan to stop deforestation in the Amazon by 2015. It included creating financial incentives to promote forest protection; and increased support for agencies to monitor, control, and inspect commercial activities. So far, only some of these proposals have been taken up by the Brazilian government. Alok Jha

Cattle a tough target in Amazon protection fight
Stuart Grudgings, Reuters 31 May 09;

APYTEREWA INDIGENOUS RESERVE, Brazil (Reuters) - The small plane is gliding over a mesmerizing landscape of green pasture interspersed by patches of forest, but Wayne Lindbergh keeps his eyes firmly glued to his laptop.

Below, where a map on his screen indicates forest stood last year, bare soil is charred brown by recent burning, another example of the widespread illegal deforestation of the Amazon forest that environmentalists blame on cattle ranchers.

"This is all new this year," says Lindbergh, a campaigner for the Greenpeace environmental group, earphones clamped to his head as he points to the screen of his laptop computer showing the latest satellite data on deforestation.

Soon thousands of cows will be chewing pasture on the freshly cleared land in Brazil's Amazon state of Para, just a tiny part of Brazil's 200-million-strong commercial cattle herd, the world's biggest, that makes it a beef superpower.

More than 70 million are in the Amazon area, three for every person. This is where the industry has grown fastest in recent years, a trend activists say is due to cheap land, widespread illegal clearing and weak government enforcement.

Now, buoyed by a landmark success in persuading the country's soy industry to avoid deforestation, activists are hoping to use consumer power to rein in the cattle industry.

Ahead of world climate talks in December, they point to evidence that ranching is by far the biggest driver of the deforestation that makes Brazil the world's fourth-biggest carbon emitter. Greenpeace, which says Amazon cattle are the biggest single driver of deforestation in the world, launched a campaign on Monday linking illegal land-clearing with beef products sold by companies in Europe and the United States. [nN14290980])

The campaign against soy farmers in 2006, which linked deforestation with major firms such as McDonald's Corp, led to a three-year moratorium on soy from deforested areas.

TOUGHER TASK

But replicating that success with the cattle industry will be tougher, activists say. The industry, long at the heart of a bitter struggle for land in the Amazon, is a powerful opponent seen as strategically important by the government of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.

Major Brazilian meat-processing companies JBS, Marfrig and Bertin have expanded abroad to become global players and in the past five years have driven the industrialization of cattle ranching in the Amazon.

State development bank BNDES gave financing totaling 4.7 billion reais ($2.38 billion) to the four biggest meatpackers in 2008 and recently created a 1 billion reais ($1.97 billion) package to help them through the world financial crisis.

Environmental groups say that means the government is effectively financing the forest's illegal destruction, even as it has adopted its first target for reducing deforestation -- by half over the next decade.

They say the slaughterhouse operators, taking advantage of widespread confusion over land ownership and a limited state presence, rarely check whether meat comes from legal areas.

"It's the role of the industry to segregate," said Andre Muggiati, another Greenpeace campaigner. "The industry can demand from farms that they don't deforest any more."

The meat firms deny any links to illegal deforestation. Bertin, in response to Reuters questions, said it would cut off any supplier found to be illegally clearing forest.

BLAME ALL AROUND

But in past decades, settlers, farmers and speculators have operated in the virtual absence of state controls, leaving a legacy of conflict, illegality and distrust in the Amazon even as big companies with foreign shareholders have moved in.

Back on the ground in central Para state, where the farming frontier meets the vast, virgin forest, the clarity provided by aircraft observation and satellite data is quickly clouded.

In a dusty settlement by the Xingu river, Indians from the Parakana tribe recalled seeing thousands of cows rounded up and confiscated from across the water last year, part of a high-profile government operation against illegal ranchers.

But they say rancher invasions and deforestation have continued. Tamakware, a tribal elder daubed in black pigment, brandished an arrow and made a plaintive appeal to foreign visitors to tell President Lula to move the farmers out.

"The state is absent here," said Francisco Pinto, a government official of the Indian affairs agency who lives with the tribe.

A day after the flight, ranch supervisor Elcimar Alves de Oliveira stood in a barn on the Itacaiunas farm and unfurled a map showing a swathe of forest on the land where he and a team of 12 cowboys rear about 17,000 head of cattle.

Greenpeace's analysis of the recent deforestation found that 1,500 hectares (3,700 acres) had been cleared in 2008, leaving about 30 percent of the farm's land as intact forest.

"We don't take any wood from here, even for fence posts," said De Oliveira, a wiry 45-year-old with a thick mustache.

Although it is just a hour's drive from the nearest environment agency office, Greenpeace says the farm has never been fined even though the agency has the same satellite data used by the environment group.

By law, ranchers are supposed to maintain 80 percent of their land as forest reserve, but even they acknowledge this is rarely observed. Muggiati said 10 percent forest was above average, something that appeared to be confirmed by the vast expanses of pasture seen from the sky.

While conservationists say ranchers and the meatpackers who buy their cattle are the biggest driver of deforestation, farmers often blame landless peasants who accept land from the government and then illegally sell it.

"The government is moving slums from the city into the country," said James de Senna Simpson, the financial director of the rural producers syndicate of Maraba, a city that is a farming hub in Para.

But he also questioned whether foreigners and environmental groups he called "eco-crazies" had the right to tell Brazilian farmers to stop cutting down trees.

"What will the world pay us to stop cutting down trees? They will have to pay," said Simpson, a descendant of a Scottish immigrant.

($1=1.971 reais)

(Editing by Eric Walsh)


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Climate change talks mustn't forget fisheries

Responses to climate change must protect aquatic ecosystems, fisheries and aquaculture — and make the most of them
FAO 1 Jun 09;

1 June 2009, Penang/Rome - Saying that vulnerable fishing and coastal communities around the world will bear the brunt of climate change's impacts, a group of 16 international organizations today have urged climate negotiators to ensure that fisheries and aquaculture are not neglected in ongoing discussions regarding a successor to the Kyoto Protocol.

In a policy brief issued today in advance of UNFCC talks in Bonn, Germany, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the Secretariat of the Pacific Community (SPC), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), the World Bank, the WorldFish Center and 11 other organizations* warned that millions of fishers, fish farmers and coastal inhabitants will experience less stable livelihoods, changes in the availability and quality of fish for food, and heightened risks to their health, safety and homes as a result of climate change.

Many fishing and coastal communities subsist in precarious and vulnerable conditions because of poverty and rural underdevelopment, and their wellbeing is being further undermined by overexploitation of fishery resources and degraded ecosystems.

This situation risks being drastically worsened by climate change if immediate adaptation and mitigation measures are not effectively put in place, the brief says.

"Our aim here is to ensure that climate change negotiators and decision makers in their deliberations don't forget our freshwaters, seas and oceans and those who depend on them," said Kevern Cochrane of FAO's Fisheries and Aquaculture Department. "They must address these aquatic environments and the fishing, aquaculture and other coastal communities whose livelihoods and even survival will be threatened by climate change. Through their decisions and actions, they need to avoid policies that would damage already stressed aquatic resources and human lives and, instead, implement measures that take full advantage of the environmental and food security services that healthy aquatic resources offer."

About 520 million people - around 8 percent of the world's population - depend on fisheries and aquaculture as a source of protein, income or family stability. For 400 million of the poorest of these, fish provides half or more of their animal protein and dietary minerals.

Multiple impacts

The build-up of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is known to be changing air and sea surface temperatures, rainfall and wind patterns, ocean acidity, sea levels and the intensity of tropical cyclones. Research has found that climate change is already modifying the distribution and productivity of marine and freshwater species, affecting biological processes, and altering food webs.

Aquatic ecosystems not only support fisheries by providing food, habitat and nursery grounds, the brief notes, but also protect communities from storms, which are predicted to become stronger and more frequent with climate change. Mangroves create barriers to destructive waves and hold sediments in place, reducing coastal erosion. Healthy coral reefs, sea grass beds and wetlands provide similar benefits.

Adaptation strategies, research and action needed

Adaptation and mitigation measures are needed to improve the management of fisheries and aquaculture and the integrity of aquatic ecosystems, respond to the threats to food and livelihood security posed by climate change, seize possible opportunities that arise with change, and help fisheries and aquaculture emit less greenhouse gas, according to the brief.

Research is required to understand the complex biological and chemical processes of aquatic ecosystems that, for example, determine the ocean carbon cycle and the currents and eddies that generate cyclones. Equally important is understanding how people adapt to living in a changing climate and how their institutions and livelihoods have evolved, and can further evolve, to maintain resilience in the face of future change.

The brief identifies a number of steps that should be taken to protect aquatic ecosystems, fisheries and aquaculture:

* Adopt environmentally friendly and fuel-efficient fishing and aquaculture practices.
* Eliminate subsidies that promote overfishing and excess fishing capacity.
* Undertake assessments of local vulnerability and risk.
* Build local-level ocean climate models.
* Strengthen knowledge of the dynamics of biogeochemical cycles in aquatic ecosystems, especially of carbon and nitrogen.
* Encourage sustainable, environmentally friendly biofuel production from algae and seaweed.
* Explore carbon sequestration in aquatic ecosystems.
* Implement comprehensive and integrated ecosystem approaches to managing oceans, coastal zones, fisheries and aquaculture; to adapting to climate change; and to reducing risk from natural disasters.


The partnership is working together to get these messages to climate policy opinion-formers and decision-makers. The Secretariat of the Pacific Community has urged government delegates to next week's UNFCCC meeting in Bonn to highlight the threats of climate change to the regions' important fisheries .

And in an article recently published in Nature Reports: Climate Change two of the policy brief's authors, Edward Allison of the World Fish Centre and Nicolas Dulvy of Simon Fraser University, further discussed the policy and research priorities that will help the fisheries sector to adapt to climate change as well as contribute to mitigation.


*Organizations making up the partnership that issued the policy brief:

Benguela Current Commission
European Bureau for Conservation and Development (EBCD)
Global Ocean Ecosystem Dynamics (GLOBEC)
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Culture Organization (UNESCO-IOC)
International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES)
Network of Aquaculture Centres in Central-Eastern Europe (NACEE)
Organización del Sector Pesquero y Acuícola del Istmo Centroamericano (OSPESCA)
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Southeast Asian Fisheries Development Center (SEAFDEC)
Secretariat of the Pacific Community (SPC)
The Network of Aquaculture Centres in Asia-Pacific (NACA)
United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP)
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN ISDR)
World Bank
WorldFish Center


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Cut emissions or acidity will kill coral reefs, scientists say

'Underwater catastrophe' is imminent without action
Steve Connor, The Independent 1 Jun 09;

Rising acidity in oceans is leading to a global catastrophe that would be unparalleled in tens of millions of years, according to the national science academies of 69 countries which want governments to take the issue more seriously in the run-up to the December climate change conference in Copenhagen.

The rate at which the oceans are turning acidic because of rising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is faster than at any other time since the extinction of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago, the scientists said in a joint statement issued today in advance of this week's pre-Copenhagen conference on climate change in Bonn.

As carbon dioxide increases in the air above the ocean, more of the gas gets dissolved in the surface water of the sea, creating carbonic acid. Since the start of the industrial revolution, the acidic activity of the oceans has increased by 30 per cent. At current rates, they will become so acidic that few shell-forming organisms and coral reefs will be able to survive by mid-century.

The academies, which include those in China and the US, have called on governments to treat ocean acidification as an important problem caused by the rising levels of man-made carbon dioxide, urging them to agree on significant cuts in carbon dioxide emissions – at least to half of 1990 levels by 2050. Lord Rees of Ludlow, the president of the Royal Society – Britain's national academy of sciences – said: "Unless global CO2 emissions can be cut by at least 50 per cent by 2050 and more thereafter, we could confront an underwater catastrophe, with irreversible changes in the makeup of our marine biodiversity," Lord Rees said.

It is estimated that the oceans have absorbed about a quarter of man-made carbon dioxide emissions since the industrial revolution but one of the outcomes of this absorption has been a fall in the natural alkalinity of the sea and a corresponding increase in its acidity.

As carbon dioxide dissolves in water, it produces acidic hydrogen ions which attack the carbonate ions that are the building blocks of the calcium shells and skeletons used by corals and shellfish. Carbonate ion concentrations are lower now than at any other time in the past 800,000 years, the panel said.

"Global atmospheric CO2 concentrations are now at 387 parts per million ... model projections suggest that by mid-century, CO2 concentrations will be more than double pre-industrial levels and the oceans will be more acidic than they have been for tens of millions of years," the panel said.

"These changes in ocean chemistry are irreversible for many thousands of years, and the biological consequences could last much longer."

Even if levels of carbon dioxide were stabilised at the target of 450 parts per million, more than 90 per cent of tropical coral reefs will be affected by uncomfortably high levels of acidity. Stabilisation at 550 parts per million could result in reefs dissolving.

Climate change turning seas acid: scientists
Reuters 1 Jun 09;

BONN, Germany (Reuters) - Climate change is turning the oceans more acid in a trend that could endanger everything from clams to coral and be irreversible for thousands of years, national science academies said on Monday.

Seventy academies from around the world urged governments meeting in Bonn for climate talks from June 1-12 to take more account of risks to the oceans in a new U.N. treaty for fighting global warming due to be agreed in Copenhagen in December.

"To avoid substantial damage to ocean ecosystems, deep and rapid reductions of carbon dioxide emissions of at least 50 percent (below 1990 levels) by 2050, and much more thereafter, are needed," the academies said in a joint statement.

The academies said rising amounts of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas emitted mainly by human use of fossil fuels, were being absorbed by the oceans and making it harder for creatures to build protective body parts.

The shift disrupts ocean chemistry and attacks the "building blocks needed by many marine organisms, such as corals and shellfish, to produce their skeletons, shells and other hard structures," it said.

On some projections, levels of acidification in 80 percent of Arctic seas would be corrosive to clams that are vital to the food web by 2060, it said.

And "coral reefs may be dissolving globally," it said, if atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide were to rise to 550 parts per million (ppm) from a current 387 ppm. Corals are home to many species of fish.

"These changes in ocean chemistry are irreversible for many thousands of years, and the biological consequences could last much longer," it said.

The warning was issued by the Inter-Academy Panel, representing science academies of countries from Albania to Zimbabwe and including those of Australia, Britain, France, Japan and the United States.

UNDERWATER CATASTROPHE

Martin Rees, president of the Royal Society, the British science academy, said there may be an "underwater catastrophe."

"The effects will be seen worldwide, threatening food security, reducing coastal protection and damaging the local economies that may be least able to tolerate it," he said.

The academies' statement said that, if current rates of carbon emissions continue until 2050, computer models indicate that "the oceans will be more acidic than they have been for tens of millions of years."

It also urged actions to reduce other pressures on the oceans, such as pollution and over-fishing.

(Editing by Michael Roddy)

Scientists warn acid is killing oceans
Deborah Smith, Sydney Morning Herald 2 Jun 09;

RISING carbon dioxide emissions are turning the oceans acidic in an irreversible process that threatens coral reefs and food security, the world's scientific academies have warned.

Seventy academies, including the Australian Academy of Science, urged governments meeting in Bonn for climate talks to tackle the issue in the new United Nations treaty on climate change to be agreed in Copenhagen in December.

In the past 200 years the world's oceans have absorbed about a quarter of the carbon dioxide produced by human activities, and the current rate of acidification is much more rapid than at any time during the past 65 million years, the scientists said in a joint statement.

Martin Rees, president of the Royal Society in Britain, said that unless global carbon dioxide emissions were cut by at least 50 per cent of 1990 levels by 2050 there could be an "underwater catastrophe" and loss of marine life.

"The effects will be seen worldwide, threatening food security, reducing coastal protection and damaging local economies that may be least able to tolerate it," Professor Rees said. "Copenhagen must address this very real and serious threat."

As carbon dioxide dissolves it alters ocean chemistry, leading to an attack on the carbonate building blocks needed by marine organisms, such as corals and shellfish, to produce their skeletons, shells and other hard structures.

"Ocean acidification is irreversible on timescales of at least tens of thousands of years," the scientists said.

Although it was a global problem, some areas, including the tropical waters around the Great Barrier Reef, would be more affected than others.

Terry Hughes, director of the Australian Research Council Centre for Coral Reef Studies at James Cook University, said the effects have already been observed. "We have clear evidence that the growth rate of corals is slowing because of ocean acidification."

The Great Barrier Reef was under stress as well from higher water temperatures, said Professor Hughes, who contributed to the academies' statement.

"Unless the world can sharply reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the combination of repeated bouts of bleaching, more extreme storms and slower growth due to acidification will have a severe impact on coral reefs and the tourism and fisheries industries they support," he said. "We only have a narrow window of opportunity to prevent further severe damage to coral reefs before it's too late."

Will Howard, an oceanographer at the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Co-operative Research Centre in Hobart, said the issue of acidification was independent of debates about possible effects of global warming.

"The impact is happening now in nature, not in computer simulation or in laboratory manipulation, and can be directly attributed to carbon dioxide emissions," Dr Howard said.

If carbon dioxide levels, now at 387 ppm, were stabilised at 450 ppm, more than 10 per cent of the world's oceans would be affected by acidification, including more than 90 per cent of all tropical and subtropical coral reefs.

Stabilisation at 550 ppm could result in coral reefs "dissolving globally", the scientists said.

Adding chemicals to the oceans to try to counter acidification was likely to be expensive, only partly effective at local sites and could pose unknown risks.


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Leaders called to special climate talks

Unprecedented number of summits as world struggles to hammer out agreement before vital meeting in December
Geoffrey Lean, The Independent 31 May 09;

World leaders are to meet for an unprecedented second summit on climate change this year to try to get agreement on a tough new treaty by December, and may even get together for a third time before the end of the year.

The UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-Moon, is to call the world's heads of government to New York in September to "galvanise political will" about what he describes as "the defining issue of our time". And there are plans for another G20 summit to discuss the issue in the autumn.

These will follow a meeting of 17 key world leaders convened at the initiative of President Barack Obama immediately after the annual G8 summit in July. Observers cannot remember any similar progression of top-level meetings to address any issue over such a short period of time.

The moves come as pressure mounts on the leaders to reach agreement at December's vital negotiations in Copenhagen, billed as the world's last chance to get to grips with global warming before it escalates out of control.

On Friday a think tank headed by the former UN secretary-general Kofi Annan reported that climate change was already killing 300,000 people and affecting 300 million. The day before, 20 Nobel Prize winners, meeting in London, warned that it posed as great a threat as nuclear war. And in Copenhagen on Tuesday 500 business chief executives called for "an ambitious and effective treaty" to "help establish a firm foundation for a sustainable economic future".

The summits are part of an extraordinarily intense series of meetings over the next six months that will take negotiators from Bonn to Bangkok and from Barcelona to the Ilulissat in Greenland. The first three are formal discussions on a UN treaty for the Copenhagen talks, while key ministers from 30 countries will go to the small Greenland town next to the Arctic's fastest melting glacier at the end of next month to try to hammer out a "political declaration" to accompany it.

The next round of negotiations opens in Bonn tomorrow, but no one is expecting a breakthrough. Talks in the former West German capital in April made little progress beyond agreeing to draw up negotiating texts.

These will be on the table for the first time tomorrow, but they mainly serve to highlight divisions between countries and show how far there is to go in six short months to meet December's deadline.

One of the main stumbling blocks is how much rich countries will undertake to cut their emissions of greenhouse gases in the short to medium term. There is general agreement that they should be reduced by a drastic 80 per cent on 1990 levels by 2050, the minimum that scientists say will be needed to avoid dangerous climate change. But setting more immediate targets is proving much harder.

Ten days ago, China flung down the gauntlet by calling on rich countries to cut emissions by 40 per cent by 2020. The only advanced economy to come near that is the European Union, which has promised unilaterally to reduce them by 20 per cent by then, rising to 30 per cent if other countries follow suit. But at present there is little sign of other industrialised nations taking up the challenge; despite the new priority President Obama is giving to climate change, his plans would amount to a cut of only a few per cent from 1990 levels.

In return, developing countries, including China and India, would agree to slow the growth of their emissions through "measurable, verifiable and reportable" measures. But India has just signalled that it will not open such plans to global scrutiny unless rich countries deliver on a promise to provide funds to help it tackle and adapt to climate change.

That is the second sticking point. Developing countries want to get at least $200bn a year, which works out at about 0.5 per cent of rich nations' economic output and is about the same size as current development aid. It is a relatively small sum, especially in the context of the amounts spent in recent months on bailing out the banks, but developed country government are baulking at it. Last week Australia described the demands as "unimaginable".

In the end, senior negotiators say, success or failure will depend not so much on the climate talks themselves, but on whether the world adopts a Green New Deal as the best way to revive the world's economy.


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World's burning even as politicians ponder

Michael Richardson, Straits Times 1 Jun 09;

OFFICIALS meet today in Bonn, Germany, for a fortnight of negotiations on a new set of global arrangements to prevent runaway climate change. The deal to replace the Kyoto Protocol, which ends in 2012, is supposed to be clinched at a summit convened by the United Nations in Copenhagen in December.

Concluding an agreement by then will be tough. Even as they defend national interests, negotiators need to bear in mind the latest evidence of the build-up of heat-trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere despite the economic slump, and the projections for a further rise as growth resumes, particularly in Asia.

The top United States energy forecaster reported last week that without a binding international agreement to replace Kyoto, world carbon emissions from burning fossil fuels will rise from 29 billion tonnes in 2006, to just over 33 billion tonnes in 2015 and 40.4 billion tonnes in 2030.

The Kyoto Protocol seeks to control six greenhouse gases. But just two of them - CO2 and methane - are responsible for 91 per cent of the global warming attributed to the six gases.

Earlier this year, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that its researchers measured an extra 16.2 billion tonnes of CO2 and 12.2 billion tonnes of methane in the atmosphere last year - despite the economic downturn in the second half of the year. As a result, the concentration of CO2 rose to 386 parts per million (ppm), compared to its natural, pre-industrial level of 280ppm. This concentration is unprecedented for at least the last 650,000 years.

A CO2 level of 450ppm is virtually inevitable and a level of 600ppm by 2050 would be difficult to avoid if the burning of fossil fuels continues at its present rate. It will be expensive and disruptive to make a switch from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as hydro, geothermal, solar and wind power as well as nuclear energy, although it can be done gradually.

The forecast last week by the US Energy Information Administration said that energy-related CO2 emissions from the 30 member-states of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) were declining relative to those from non-OECD developing nations.

In 2006, non-OECD fossil fuel CO2 emissions exceeded OECD emissions by 14 per cent. If recent trends continue, non-OECD emissions in 2030 will come to 25.8 billion tonnes, exceeding OECD emissions of 14.6 billion tonnes.

Asia, which in 2006 emitted 9 billion tonnes of CO2 from burning coal, oil and gas, will release 17 billion tonnes in 2030, making the region by far the world's leading polluter over the period. Much of the pollution will come from coal, the most carbon-intensive of the fossil fuels. In 2030, CO2 emissions from China and India combined are projected to account for 34 per cent of total global emissions, with China alone responsible for 29 per cent.

These projections underline the need for developed countries (responsible for most of the accumulated greenhouse emissions) to reach a deal with developing countries (expected to be the source of most future emissions) on a new framework for limiting global warming gases.

Scientists say CO2 from burning fossil fuels and cutting forests is accumulating in the atmosphere twice as fast as it can be absorbed by oceans and plants. Once released, CO2 persists for a long time. The panel advising the United Nations on climate change says about 50 per cent of a CO2 increase will be removed from the atmosphere within 30 years, and a further 30 per cent within a few centuries. But the remaining 20 per cent may stay for many thousands of years.

How will this affect the climate system? It depends on the level at which CO2 in the atmosphere can be stabilised.

A study by French, Swiss and US scientists published in January concluded that if CO2 peaked at 450-600ppm, the results would include persistent decreases in dry-season rainfall in a number of areas, including southern Europe, northern Africa, the south-western US, southern Africa and western Australia.

It warned that the effect would be comparable to that in the North America Dust Bowl in the 1930s, with decreasing water and food supplies, increased fire frequency and expanded deserts.

These are just a few of the many likely adverse consequences of global warming. The question is whether the evidence is compelling enough to convince political leaders preoccupied with short-term problems that the cost of taking action now to safeguard future generations is a worthwhile investment.

The writer is a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.


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