Best of our wild blogs: 13 May 10


22 May (Sat): Siva shares on "In Celebration of Singapore’s Biodiversity: News, Views and Surprises!" from wild shores of singapore

Saving Singapore's last best mangroves at Pulau Tekong
from wild shores of singapore

New book: 'Birds In A Garden City'
from Celebrating Singapore's BioDiversity!

Hovering Crimson Sunbird
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Grey havens
from The annotated budak

Army of large black ants invade building at Margaret Drive
from The Lazy Lizard's Tales

Massive oil storage to be located near Pulau Jong
from wild shores of singapore

Raffles Museum Treasures: Malay civet
from The Lazy Lizard's Tales

Langkawi will be in trouble!
from Natura Gig

Sun bears love durian!
from Bornean Sun Bear Conservation


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Singapore hits back over sand report

Sebastian Strangio and Vong Sokheng Phnom Penh Post 12 May 10;

SINGAPORE has rejected the findings of a new report contending that its sand export trade with Cambodia is taking place without regard for “devastating” environmental and social impacts.

The report, released Monday by international graft watchdog Global Witness, claims sand exports have spiked despite a ban on exports announced by Prime Minister Hun Sen last year. It also says Singapore has done little to ensure that its sand suppliers abide by international environmental standards.

In a statement issued Monday, Singapore’s Ministry of National Development (MND) dismissed the allegations in the report.

“This is not true. We are committed to the protection of the global environment, and we do not condone the illegal export or smuggling of sand, or any extraction of sand that is in breach of the source countries’ laws and rules on environmental protection,” the statement said. “We have not received any official notice on the ban of sand exports from Cambodia,” it added.

The Global Witness report estimates that as much as 796,000 tonnes of sand is being removed each month from Koh Kong province, the epicentre of a sand trade worth an estimated $248 million annually in Singapore.

The group says the city-state’s appetite for sand, which is used in reclamation projects, is fuelling a “corrupt and environmentally disastrous” sand industry that has damaged Cambodian fish stocks and threatens long-term damage to its riverine and marine ecosystems.

Singapore’s MND, however, said that Jurong Town Corporation (JTC), an agency under the Ministry of Trade and Industry that procures sand for government projects, requires its Singaporean suppliers to “comply with local legal procedures” in sourcing sand.

Contracts drawn up by JTC, it stated, include clauses obliging suppliers and their local partners to act in accordance with the “laws, rules, regulations and policies” of host countries and to dredge without causing “adverse” environmental impacts.

“JTC regularly sends out firm reminders to the sand vendors to observe the regulations and requirements of the source countries, especially those pertaining to environmental concerns,” the statement added. It warned that offending companies would be held to account under Singaporean law.

But Global Witness questioned the extent to which Singapore had taken steps to ensure the transparency of its trade with Cambodia, given Singapore’s apparent awareness of its effects elsewhere in the region.

“Singapore’s demand for sand has already had a negative impact in other countries in the region – which have subsequently banned exports due to environmental concerns,” the group said in an emailed statement to the Post on Tuesday, calling for more to be done to ensure transparency.

“Global Witness is calling upon Singapore to do the right thing by suspending all imports of sand from Cambodia until the concerns raised in [its report] are addressed,” it said.

The statement also said it was “strange” that Singaporean officials were not informed of Cambodia’s sand ban, since the city-state was the primary market for Cambodian sand. It also pointed out that a government agency – the Building and Construction Authority – made a statement to the press after the ban was announced.

When contacted Tuesday, Foreign Ministry spokesman Koy Kuong said he could not comment on whether news of the ban was relayed to Singapore.

Government spokesman Khieu Kanharith said the government did not notify Singapore about the ban, because “legal companies are still continuing sand exports”. “We banned only the illegal sand-dredging companies,” he said.

Mao Hak, director general of the Department of Hydrology and River Works at the Ministry of Water Resources, said a ban is still in place, but that certain coastal areas are exempt.

“Sand was completely banned for export, but we excepted some areas in the ocean that do not cause impacts to the environment and where mineral resources” could be replenished, he said.

The damage caused by Singapore's insatiable thirst for land
Tom Levitt, The Ecologist 11 May 10;

While logging and deforestation has gained global attention the growing sand mining sector is being largely ignored. Fuelled by Singapore’s land and construction demands it is wreaking environmental destruction across south-east Asia

The fast growing market for sand in south-east Asia, particularly from Singapore, is being linked to widespread damage to coastal ecosystems and fish stocks.

The densely populated state of Singapore has expanded in size by more than 20 per cent since the 1960s by reclaiming vast amounts of land from the sea, in doing so becoming the world’s biggest importer of sand – 14.2 million tonnes in 2008.



Most of its exports have come from neighbouring Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam but all three have now attempted to limit or ban exports of sand. With plans to expand its surface area by a further 7 per cent by 2020, Singapore is becoming increasingly reliant on another one of its neighbours, Cambodia, to meet its demand.

Although Cambodia publicly maintains that it has banned sand exports, an investigation by the NGO Global Witness has estimated that 796,000 tonnes of sand with a retail value of US$248 million are still being extracted and exported to Singapore every year from just one province, Koh Kong.


Ecological damage

The extraction is coming at a significant environmental cost. Dredging reduces water quality by increasing turbidity, blocking sunlight and killing off plant life, including seagrass and coral. Sand extraction also disrupts natural sedimentary regimes causing increased erosion and greater flood risks. There have also been reports of significant declines in fish stocks.

Campaigners are now worried that the rapid rise in sand mining activity in Cambodia could see the Koh Kong province in particular meet the same fate as Indonesia’s Riau Islands. Over-extraction there led to significant damage to coral reefs and entire islands disappearing, forcing the authorities to ban sand exports back in 2007.

Cambodia’s Prime Minister, Hun Sen, did announce a ban on sand exports last year but Global Witness later found this only covered river sand and not seabed sand. It claims the sector is rife with corruption and largely controlled by individuals close to the ruling elite in the country. 



Sand dredging licences, Global Witness maintains, are being allocated inside protected mangrove and seagrass habitats. Local newspapers have also reported villagers being attacked and killed during forced evictions from areas of increased sand extraction.


‘Ultimately the people who are reliant most on the natural resources will lose out: fishermen who are being evicted or seeing their stocks plummet from sand dredging boats coming through their catch area; and indigenous people,’ said Global Witness campaigner George Boden.

Corruption

Having already logged much of the country’s forest resources, Global Witness accuse Cambodia’s elite, in collusion with mining companies, of switching their attention to sand.

The report says there is little evidence that any of the financial benefit from the booming sand mining trade is benefiting the country as a whole.

‘Millions of dollars are changing hands, but there is no way of tracking whether royalties, taxes and other revenues generated are reaching the national treasury…as usual, it is Cambodia’s poor who have borne the brunt of this elite capture, with loss of their livelihoods and coastal environments,’ the report says.

While the problem is being felt most critically in Cambodia, Malaysia and Indonesia, Global Witness says the majority of the blame lies with Singapore, which it accuses of ignoring concerns about the environmental impact of its sand imports as it gives the go-ahead to new racing tracks, casinos and port developments requiring yet more sand. 


In response to the NGOs findings, the Singapore Government said the import of sand to Singapore was done on a commercial basis and that they were ‘not party to any agreement or contract for the import of sand’.

However, Global Witness says it has evidence that government ministries were involved in buying sand, allegedly from Cambodia.

Illegal trade

In fact the industry has become so lucrative that as neighbouring countries implement bans to safeguard their ecosystems, there has been a growing market from Singapore for smuggled sand.




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Pulau Sebarok to be site of petrochemicals storage

EPC tender for the structures to go out as early as year-end or early next year
Ronnie Lim, Business Times 13 May 10;

SINGAPORE is going ahead to build floating oil / petrochemicals storage at Pulau Sebarok.

JTC Corporation is now getting a consultant to prepare the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) tender for the very large floating structures (VLFS), with the tender possibly going out as early as year-end or early next year.

The floating storage will help boost supply of oil/ petrochemicals storage needed in Singapore's oil refining/trading hub.

With the shortage of land here on one hand, and increased demand for oil storage by traders on the other, JTC also recently embarked on building the $890 million first phase of Jurong Rock Cavern to store oil underground.

The corporation yesterday put out a notice seeking a multi-disciplinary team of consultants 'to develop the preliminary structural conceptual design and construct the VLFS storage facility at the proposed site at Pulau Sebarok'.

This follows its completion of feasibility studies on the VLFS in March this year.

Phase one, which started in 2007, and which developed a preliminary structural conceptual design of an attached-to-land VLFS storage, progressed to phase two - covering areas like environmental impact, marine soil investigation and engineering surveys and sea current monitoring and metocean design data analysis.

The development of the VLFS will now proceed in four stages, according to the latest JTC 'Expression of Interest' document.

Under stage one, the appointed consultant will review the preliminary structural conceptual design of the floating storage and redesign it such that the VLFS will have the flexibility of being constructed from concrete or steel. It will also need to provide cost comparisons for the two.

Stage two involves preparing tender documents for the calling of the EPC tender as well as that for the environmental management and monitoring plan; while stage three covers calling and evaluation of the tender; and stage four, the VLFS construction and completion.

Given the target completion dates set by JTC, the EPC tenders could go out as soon as this year-end or early next year.

The chosen site, Pulau Sebarok, is currently used for onshore storage by Dutch terminal operator Vopak and PetroChina-owned Singapore Petroleum Company. It is not far from Jurong Island, Singapore's main oil / petrochemicals hub.

JTC studies earlier ascertained that to be economical, the minimum storage capacity of a VLFS should be 300,000 cubic metres, or equivalent to that of a very large crude carrier.

The VLFS would comprise two rectangular modules, each measuring 180m by 80m by 15m, and with 150,000 cu m capacity.

Related link
Massive oil storage to be located near Pulau Jong from wild shores of singapore


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Singapore's energy demand shows double digit jump in Q1 of 2010

Desmond Wong Channel NewsAsia 12 May 10;

SINGAPORE: Energy demand in Singapore jumped 14 per cent on-year in the first quarter of this year - lifted by a rebounding economy.

The Energy Market Company (EMC), which operates Singapore's wholesale energy market, says that this could also see supply tighten over 2010.

Industrial activity has been picking up along with the economic recovery.

And this has helped boost demand for wholesale energy in Singapore by double digits in the first quarter.

EMC says demand has been growing for four straight months now.

Dave Carlson, CEO, Energy Market Company, said: "It's been 3 per cent higher from the last quarter, and compared to the same quarter of last year, we're up 14 per cent. About 75 per cent of Singapore's usage of electricity is from the commercial and industrial sectors, so the demand growth that we've seen would be aligned from increased activity in these sectors."

In the first quarter, average daily demand hit 4,863 megawatts, with a record spike of 6,261 megawatts racked up in one period last week when temperatures soared to 36 degrees Celsius.

Prices for wholesale energy also climbed in the first quarter, with the Uniform Singapore Energy Price (USEP) more than doubling on-year to S$191.45 per megawatt hour.
(VIZ)

Wholesale power prices have little bearing over home tariffs, which are under a different pricing scheme.

EMC says higher demand could lead to tighter supply of energy this year.

Prices could trend up with higher oil prices, even though Singapore uses mainly gas for power.

Mr Carlson continued: "The gas itself is also linked to fuel oil prices, and what's driven that is that in this part of the world, most of the gas supply has been from the fields directly to the point of consumption, and are long term bilateral contracts, and there is no liquid gas market in the Asia Pacific rim."

While more than 2,000 megawatts of additional capacity are expected to come on line by 2013, EMC says that might not necessarily translate to lower wholesale prices, and volatile fuel markets as well as rising demand could send prices up rather than down.

- CNA/jy

Singapore electricity demand surges to all-time high
Ronnie Lim, Business Times 13 May 10;

(SINGAPORE) With Singapore's economy rebounding, electricity demand here 'has also come back very strongly', with double-digit year-on-year growth in the first four months of 2010, Energy Market Company CEO Dave Carlson said yesterday.

'We have also seen a new high,' he added, with peak electricity demand here spiking to an all-time record of 6,261 megawatts last Friday afternoon.

This was not only because of the busy industries and businesses like the two new integrated resorts, but also reflected extra cooling needed to combat high temperatures experienced here, he added.

'The temperature averaged 30 degrees Celsius last week, up from 28.9 Celsius the week before,' Mr Carlson said.

Disclosing this during a media briefing of EMC's 2009 report on the national electricity market of Singapore, he said electricity demand here has a close correlation with GDP growth - with the government recently upgrading its Gross Domestic Product forecast for 2010 to 4.5-6.5 per cent.

'Singapore has a small (electricity) system, so a large number of industries locating here, or the start up of a new refining complex (like Shell's new US$3 billion petrochemical complex) can have a significant impact on demand,' Mr Carlson said.

This is reflected in the 16.9 per cent year-on-year electricity demand growth here in March and 12.5 per cent in April, he added.

Furthermore, peak electricity demand rose above 6,000 MW in February, March and April - which is the highest since the national electricity market here started in 2003.

Average electricity demand in Q1 this year of 4,863 MW was also 14 per cent higher than the 4,267 MW of Q1, 2009, the EMC data showed.

Along with demand, wholesale electricity prices, largely reflected by the Uniform Singapore Electricity Price, also rose by 19 per cent in Q1 compared with Q4 last year.

Higher electricity demand but greater use of more steam turbines by the generating companies contributed to this. The latter was due to maintenance of the more-efficient combined cycle gas turbines, EMC said, although BT earlier reported that hiccups in piped Indonesian gas supplies was another cause.

Another factor is rising oil prices since Q3 last year, with high sulphur fuel oil prices (on which Singapore's piped natural gas supplies are pegged) averaging US$75.53 in Q1 this year, and around US$78 last month.

Reflecting the greater competition following the entry of new players (which bought over the three biggest gencos here), Mr Carlson said that EMC has firstly seen a greater tussle for market share.

Given the capacity cap on the three biggest gencos here, their new owners are also investing in repowering older plants (like at PowerSeraya and Senoko Energy), as well as building new more efficient capacity, like Tuas Power's coal/biomass plant, he added.

Other new entrants like Island Power are also emerging, while oil giants like Shell have just added a new 60MW steam turbine, and ExxonMobil is building another 220MW cogen plant.


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Coming up: Chance to walk on water

Submerged boardwalk will connect MacRitchie's banks as part of major makeover
Straits Times 13 May 10;

VISITORS to MacRitchie Reservoir Park will be able to walk on water - literally - from next year.

A submerged boardwalk will be built that will connect one bank of the reservoir to another as part of the second phase of an extensive makeover of the park.

As part of the revamp, a hilltop food and beverage outlet and a facility allowing parkgoers to indulge in canoeing and kayaking will also be built.

The second phase of the makeover will cost $4.6 million, and is expected to be completed by the third quarter of next year.

Phase One of the revamp for the 143-year-old reservoir, which began in February 2007 and included a multi-storey carpark and an amenities centre with toilet and shower facilities, was completed in July last year. It cost $5 million.

The new boardwalk will allow visitors to cross the reservoir by walking in ankle-deep water.

While walking across, they will be able to get close to the reservoir's flora and fauna.

PUB, the national water agency, hopes that visitors will come away from the experience with a renewed understanding of the value of clean water.

Its catchment and waterways director, Mr Tan Nguan Sen, said the parts for the bridge will be fabricated off-site and put together on-site to 'minimise disturbance to the reservoir bed'.

'A monitoring regime will also be put in place to ensure water quality is not affected,' he said.

The MacRitchie Reservoir revamp will also give the familiar bandstand in the middle a new look.

Internal roads and footpaths in the park will also be spruced up.

The revamp is part of the PUB's Active, Beautiful, Clean Waters (ABC Waters) programme, which aims to freshen up the country's reservoirs and rivers and turn them into recreation spaces.

To ensure safety and minimise inconvenience to the public, the construction work will be carried out in stages.

Work on the boardwalk will begin first, with construction set to start on May 24.

Walk on water at MacRitchie Reservoir's new submerged broadwalk
Mustafa Shafawi Channel NewsAsia 12 May 10;

SINGAPORE: Visitors to MacRitchie Reservoir will soon be able to walk on water - at a new submerged boardwalk.

National water agency, PUB, says the 40-metre long submerged boardwalk extends from one bank of the reservoir to another.

Visitors will be able to walk through shallow waters to see water plants growing alongside the boardwalk and be in close contact with tadpoles, fish, snails and other aquatic life.

Water plants will be introduced as they help to purify rainwater before it flows into the reservoir.

Visitors can also look forward to a new F&B outlet at the hilltop.

Several improvements will be made to the bandstand, internal roads and footpaths.

A new building will also be constructed at the current Paddle Lodge to cater for the public and schools for their canoe and kayaking activities.

They're part of phase two improvement works at the reservoir park, costing some 4.5 million dollars.

Work is expected to be completed by the third quarter of next year.

The project is part of PUB's long-term initiative known as the Active, Beautiful, Clean Waters (ABC Waters) programme.

- CNA/jy

Walk on water ... at MacRitchie
Today Online 13 May 10;

SINGAPORE - Visitors to MacRitchie Reservoir will soon be able to walk on water - on a submerged boardwalk.

The 40-m-long boardwalk will extend from one bank of the reservoir to another, according to national water agency PUB.

Visitors will be able to walk through shallow water and see water plants growing along the boardwalk and be in close contact with tadpoles, fish, snails and other aquatic life.

Water plants will be grown as they help to purify rainwater before it flows into the reservoir.

Visitors can also look forward to a new food and beverage outlet at the hilltop.

Several improvements will be made to the bandstand, internal roads and footpaths.

A new building will also be constructed at the current Paddle Lodge to cater to the public and schools that pursue canoe and kayaking activities.

These are part of the Phase II improvement works at the reservoir park, which will cost about $4.5 million. Work is expected to be completed by the third quarter of next year.

"We hope that, with these improvements, visitors will enjoy the crown jewel of our reservoirs even more by appreciating and getting close to water," said Mr Tan Nguan Sen, PUB's Catchment and Waterways director.

The project is part of the PUB's long-term initiative known as the Active, Beautiful, Clean Waters (ABC Waters) programme.

More makeover magic for MacRitchie
PUB Media Release 12 May 10;

Phase Two of the redevelopment works to MacRitchie Reservoir promises visitors a closer encounter with water.

Visitors to MacRitchie Reservoir will soon be able to walk on water - at a new submerged boardwalk at MacRitchie Reservoir. Phase Two of the redevelopment work to the much-loved reservoir park will start in May 2010 and is expected to be completed by the third quarter of next year.

The highlight of the improvement works to improve visitors’ experience at the reservoir is a 40m long submerged boardwalk which extends from one bank of the reservoir to another. Visitors will be offered a charming experience of walking through shallow waters to see water plants growing alongside the boardwalk and be in close contact with tadpoles, fish, snails and other aquatic life. Water plants will be introduced as they help to purify rainwater before it flows into the reservoir.

Visitors can also look forward to a new F&B outlet at the hilltop where they can take in the scenery while enjoying a meal. In addition, several improvements will be made to the bandstand, internal roads and footpaths. A new building will also be constructed at the current Paddle Lodge to cater for the public and schools for their canoe and kayaking activities.

“Phase Two of the improvement works comes hot on the heels of the Phase One makeover, which offers visitors an enhanced experience with nature from the onset. We hope that with these further improvements, visitors will get to enjoy the crown jewel of our reservoirs even more by appreciating and getting close to water,” said Mr Tan Nguan Sen, PUB’s Catchment and Waterways Director.

The Phase One makeover saw the addition of a new multi-storey car park with ABC Waters features, an amenities centre and an improved floating pontoon to MacRitchie Reservoir Park.

PUB, the national water agency has awarded the public tender for Phase Two works to Hon Industries Pte Ltd at $4,555,000.00. The project is part of PUB’s long-term initiative known as the Active, Beautiful, Clean Waters (ABC Waters) programme.

This programme will transform our network of drains, canals and reservoirs into beautiful and clean streams, rivers and lakes that are well integrated with surrounding parks and green space. The projects will create new community and recreational spaces and focal points, enhance our quality of living and the value of our homes, and ultimately help to realise our vision of a “City of Gardens and Water”.

About PUB

PUB is a statutory board under the Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources. It is the national water agency managing Singapore’s water supply, water catchment and used water in an integrated way. PUB won the 2007 Stockholm Industry Water Award and was named Water Agency of the Year at the Global Water Awards 2006.

About PUB’s tagline: Water for All: Conserve, Value, Enjoy

PUB has ensured a diversified and sustainable supply of water for Singapore with the Four National Taps (local catchment water, imported water, NEWater, desalinated water).

To provide water for all, PUB calls on all Singaporeans to play our part to conserve water, keep our water catchments and waterways clean and build a relationship with water so we can enjoy our water resources. We can then have enough water for all uses – for industry, for living, for life.


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Use traditional methods to fight global warming: UN group

Yahoo News 12 May 10;

ROME (AFP) – Centuries-old techniques to prevent desertification, energy wastage and other problems should be enlisted in the fight against global warming, a new UN-backed group said Wednesday.

Traditional water management methods from the Sahara and Ethiopia and Iraq's Babylon area could be used alongside newer technologies such as solar power, the group said at its launch in Florence, central Italy.

"Traditional knowledge and its innovative use is the basis for sustainable technology, and essential for the development of a new model of human progress," said Pietro Laureano, founding president of the UN-backed International Traditional Knowledge Institute (ITKI).

"With climate change, we are obliged to come back to systems that save energy, that don't need much capital," Laureano, an anthropologist, landscape architect and consultant to UNESCO on desertification, told AFP by telephone.

Laureano said he had studied techniques such as rainwater capture systems, rooftop gardens and underground tunnels that keep water in the subsoil, but that they risk extinction with the advent of intensive agriculture.

"The deep trenches used for example in Lalibela, northern Ethiopia, were abandoned, and now (it) has no water," he said.

"Now they depend on technology and industrial systems," he said, adding that the fact the traditional methods are labour intensive is "not a problem -- there's unemployment."

Laureano said the group still backed "appropriate" new technology such as solar power, adding: "What is appropriate today will be the traditions of tomorrow."

ITKI, to be based in Bagno a Ripoli east of Florence, was set up under the authority of the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO).

Its remit is "safeguarding and validating traditional knowledge" with the primary goal of combating global warming, but also encouraging the protection of cultural heritage such as folklore, music and symbolism, Laureano said.

The institute will also "work with indigenous peoples... to protect their rights and not allow corporations to make patents on their knowledge," he said.


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Climate change could make half the world uninhabitable

Climate change could make half of the world uninhabitable for humans as a rise in temperature makes it too hot to survive, scientists have warned.
Louise Gray, The Telegraph 12 May 10;

Researchers from the University of New South Wales in Australia and Purdue University in the US said global warming will not stop after 2100, the point where most previous projections have ended.

In fact temperatures may rise by up to 12C (21.6F) within just three centuries making many countries into deserts.

The study, published in the prestigious journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, said humans will not be able to adapt or survive in such conditions.

Professor Tony McMichael, one of the authors, said if the world continues to pump out greenhouse gases at the current rate it will cause catastrophic warming.

"Under realistic scenarios out to 2300, we may be faced with temperature increases of 12 degrees or even more," he said. "If this happens, our current worries about sea level rise, occasional heatwaves and bushfires, biodiversity loss and agricultural difficulties will pale into insignificance beside a major threat - as much as half the currently inhabited globe may simply become too hot for people to live there."

Professor Steven Sherwood, a fellow author, said there was no chance of the Earth reaching such temperatures this century.

But he said there was a good chance temperatures could rise by at least 7C (12.6F) by 2300, that would also make much of the world inhabitable.

"There's something like a 50/50 chance of that over the long term," he said.

Prof Sherwood said climate change research had been "short-sighted" not to probe the long-term consequences of the impact of greenhouse gases blamed for global warming.

"It needs to be looked at," he said. "There's not much we can do about climate change over the next two decades but there's still a lot we can do about the longer term changes."

::The world should shift to a low carbon economy not to stop climate change but to preserve 'human dignity', according to a report from a self-styled "eclectic" group of academics.

The UN process has failed, they argue, and a global approach concentrating on CO2 cuts will never work.

They urge instead the use of carbon tax revenue to develop technologies that can supply clean energy to everyone and provide 'human dignity'.

Their so-called Hartwell Paper is criticised by others who say the UN process has curbed carbon emissions.

The paper is named after Hartwell House, the Buckinghamshire mansion, hotel and spa where the group of 14 academics from Europe, North America and Japan gathered in February to develop their ideas.

Earth may be too hot for humans by 2300: study
(AFP) Google News 12 May 10;

SYDNEY — Climate change could make much of the world too hot for human habitation within just three centuries, research released Tuesday showed.

Scientists from Australia's University of New South Wales and Purdue University in the United States found that rising temperatures in some places could mean humans would be unable to adapt or survive.

"It would begin to occur with global-mean warming of about seven degrees Celsius (13 Fahrenheit), calling the habitability of some regions into question," the researchers said in a paper.

"With 11-12 degrees Celsius warming, such regions would spread to encompass the majority of the human population as currently distributed."

Researcher Professor Steven Sherwood said there was no chance of the earth heating up to seven degrees this century, but there was a serious risk that the continued burning of fossil fuels could create the problem by 2300.

"There's something like a 50/50 chance of that over the long term," he said.

The study -- which examined climate change over a longer period than most other research -- looked at the "heat stress" produced by combining the impact of rising temperatures and increased humidity.

Sherwood said climate change research had been "short-sighted" not to probe the long-term consequences of the impact of greenhouse gases blamed for global warming.

"It needs to be looked at," he told AFP. "There's not much we can do about climate change over the next two decades but there's still a lot we can do about the longer term changes."

In a commentary on the paper, published in the US-based Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Australian National University academics said climate change would not stop in 2100.

"And under realistic scenarios out to 2300, we may be faced with temperature increases of 12 degrees (Celsius) or even more," Professor Tony McMichael said.

"If this happens, our current worries about sea level rise, occasional heatwaves and bushfires, biodiversity loss and agricultural difficulties will pale into insignificance beside a major threat -- as much as half the currently inhabited globe may simply become too hot for people to live there."


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UN urges 18 million dollars aid for Mongolia's severe cold

Yahoo News 12 May 10;

GENEVA (AFP) – The UN warned on Wednesday that a drought which has devastated Mongolia during one of the worst winters for decades could continue for another year, as it appealed for 18.1 million dollars in aid.

UN interim humanitarian coordinator Rana Flowers said the aid appeal presented to donors in Geneva would assist nearly 800,000 Mongolians, mainly herders and their families who have lost the livestock they depend on their survival.

The impoverished landlocked nation is still grappling with a severe winter after a dry summer, a combination known locally as "dzud".

Fifteen of the country's 21 provinces have declared a state of disaster and another four are on the brink of doing so as the extreme cold and lack of rain continues well into spring, Flowers said.

"At this point in time we are considering that we're at the end of the beginning of the dzud," she told journalists.

"We are predicting that the dzud will continue until this time next year."

The last major "dzud" occurred over three straight winters at the beginning of the 2000s, and tens of thousands of herders who lost everything moved to the capital Ulan Bator in search of work.

However, some 8.1 million livestock -- 18 percent of the country's total -- have died so far in the latest episode, about twice as many as recorded over a similar period during the most severe dzud, Flowers said.

Meanwhile infant mortality increased by 35 to 40 percent in the affected areas over the winter, and by 60 percent in one province, according to the United Nations.

Herding is a backbone of livelihoods for 30 percent of the population, and also provides food and energy from animal dung fires for families who live on the Mongolian steppe.

Flowers emphasised that the extent and duration of the cold was exceptional, with animals used to sharp winters unable to reach beneath the deep frozen snow.

"It really is an example of climate change at work," she claimed.

In late March the international Red Cross launched an appeal for 935,000 dollars, accounting for 4.5 million dead livestock at the time.

Unemployment soared as destitute herders headed for the capital in the wake of the previous dzud. Aid agencies fear thousands more migrants could follow in the aftermath of the current disaster.

Silent Spring For Mongolians After Winter Kills Herds
Jargal Byambasuren, PlanetArk 13 May 10;

The winter camps of southern Mongolia are quiet during this year's breeding season, after an unusually harsh winter wiped out herds and left nomadic families with little but debt to their name.

The bitter winter killed an estimated 8 million animals, according to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), leaving exhausted, poverty-stricken herders struggling to survive and increasing demands on Mongolia's already-stretched national budget.

"If a market burns down, the government offers money as compensation. Then why can't the government help the herders now?" asked Nyamiin Zagdsuren, a 39-year old herder, who lost more than two thirds of his 580 animals this winter.

He is counting on the cashmere combed from his remaining 140 goats to tide over his family, and to pay back a $360 bank loan he took out to clothe and buy school supplies for his three children.

The combination of a dry summer, followed by heavy snow and low winter temperatures is known in Mongolian as a 'zud'.

Roughly one-quarter of the country's 3 million people are nomads, while others also raise livestock in fixed settlements.

In Mongolia's southern Dundgobi province, about three-quarters of nomads now live below the poverty line, from half before the winter struck. Most herders are left with less than 250 animals.

At least 335 families in Dundgobi lost all their animals over the winter as temperatures dropped to 40 degrees Celsius below zero or colder.

"We have had so many sleepless nights, especially when a blizzard struck, or it started to snow. There was no time to change clothes, let alone sleep," said herder Tsegmediin Purevsuren, whose family is left with 92 animals out of a herd that once numbered 800 head.

"You would spend all night checking the sheds to make sure no animal was buried in the snow. If one was, you dug it out. The herders have worked without rest, from dusk till dawn, in all weather."

CASH FOR CORPSES

Snow was still falling in Dundgobi province on May 8, signaling that this zud, the worst for several years, is far from finished.

Herders said a decade-long drought has depleted the grass their horses need, while many have difficulty affording the gas for their motorcycles.

Some herders are scraping up some cash by burying their dead livestock. The UNDP promises 870 tugrug (0.63 U.S. cents) for each goat or sheep and 2300 ($1.66) for each cow, horse or camel buried in pits.

The project has helped to clear about a third of the carcasses from three of the most severely affected provinces, preventing disease and water contamination, the UNDP resident representative Akbar Usmani said.

"I'd like to appeal to the international communities for additional support to the herders in order that we can meet the needs of them at this critical time," he said.

"As you have noticed there are herders who have lost close to 90 percent of their herds. In fact there are cases also where the entire livestock that they had has been wiped out," he said.

(Editing by Sanjeev Miglani)


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Egypt refuses to give up one drop of its right to Nile water

Samer Al-atrush Yahoo News 12 May 10;

CAIRO (AFP) – Egypt is refusing to relinquish a drop of its legal right to the lion's share of Nile river water, despite demands from other African countries for a more equitable sharing agreement.

Following years of barren negotiations, seven upstream African countries -- Ethiopia, Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya, DR Congo, Rwanda, Burundi-- are on Friday expected to push forward with a new water-sharing deal to replace an agreement that gives Egypt and Sudan majority control of the water flow.

Egypt has repeatedly cited its "historical" right on the river which provides the country of 80 million people with 90 percent of its water needs.

The upstream countries want to be able to implement projects, in consultation with Egypt and Sudan, but without Egypt being able to to exercise the veto power it was given by a 1929 colonial-era treaty with Britain.

A 1959 agreement between Egypt and Sudan -- following Sudan's independence in 1956 -- allocated 55.5 billion cubic metres of the Nile to Egypt, and 18.5 billion to Sudan, a combined total of 87 percent of the Nile flow.

Egypt's water needs are expected to exceed its supply by 2017, according to a government report last year.

"Egypt is exerting efforts with leaders of the upstream countries to persuade them to delay the agreement," said Hani Raslan, a Nile expert with the Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic Studies.

"The only way out of the problem is cooperation," he added.

Raslan said that the Nile Basin Initiative -- a basin countries umbrella group funded by the World Bank -- had studied 22 projects including energy projects, saving lost water and irrigation.

"Unilateral signing will abort these projects. And Egypt will object to any project that affects its share," Raslan said.

Egypt says it is still hoping to negotiate, failing that it has threatened legal action.

"If certain countries of the Nile Basin sign an agreement without consensus, Egypt will insist that all countries respect international law," Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul Gheit told a local newspaper on Saturday.

"If necessary, we will treat this in the adequate legal way," he said, adding that his country's water rights were a "red line."

The outcome of the next meeting could unravel the 10-year-old Nile Basin Initiative, which the World Bank credits with helping keep the countries talking with each other on quotas.

Raslan says that an agreement on May 14 that excluded Egypt and Sudan would bring an end to the initiative, a message Abul Gheit says has been delivered to the basin countries.

"Egypt has been careful to affirm to the Nile Basin countries and donors that opening the door to signing the agreement means the end of negotiations and an announcement that the Nile Basin Initiative has failed," he said.

Egypt has proposed to help manage its African partners' water resources, and vowed to better make use of its own.

But Egyptian diplomats say the African countries will have a hard time financing large projects if there is no consensus among the Nile countries.

Cairo "will not accept the construction of any project in the Nile basin that could affect its water resources," Abul Gheit said.

Some observers say Egypt is not serious about negotiating.

"Egyptians are behaving with the Africans the way they accuse Israel of behaving with the Palestinians: they say they are ready to negotiate but without committing to the difficult issues," one western diplomat told AFP on condition of anonymity.

And Egypt insists that the Africans have other sources of water.

"Egypt only has water coming from the river. The Africans have it from the rains," one Egyptian diplomat said.


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Solar Can Provide 22 Percent World's Power By 2050: IEA

Martin Roberts, Reuters 12 May 10;

Solar power can provide up to a quarter of the world's electricity by 2050, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday, but it needs government lifelines in the next decade until it can compete with conventional power.

Solar power currently accounts for 0.5 percent of world supply, but the IEA said this needed to grow in order to cut greenhouse gas emissions and dependence on fossil fuels.

"Without decisive action, energy-related emissions of CO2 will more than double by 2050 and increased oil demand will heighten concerns over the security of supplies," an IEA report said.

Leading solar producers like Spain and Germany pay solar plants "feed-in tariffs," a subsidy designed to gradually cut the technology's costs to the level of conventional power, a condition known as "grid parity."

The IEA, adviser to industrialized nations on energy policy, predicts roof-mounted photovoltaic (PV) panels will not reach grid parity until 2020, and utility-scale PV not until 2030.

Concentrated solar power (CSP) can achieve grid parity at times of peak demand by 2020 in sunny places, the IEA added in a series of "road maps" unveiled at a conference hosted by the Spanish government in the eastern city of Valencia.

The German and Spanish governments have already announced that they will cut back on feed-in tariffs, which has sent solar power stocks tumbling across the world.

"The problem is to give a clearer predictable future, a gradual decline (in subsidies)," IEA Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka said in an interview.

"Without decline you cannot give an incentive for the industry to innovate. Just providing subsidies doesn't make sense."

PV technology directly converts the sun's rays into electricity, whereas CSP plants collect sunshine to boil water and drive an electricity generator.

THE ROAD TO 2050

Both technologies can produce 9,000 terawatt-hours of electricity by 2050, or almost a quarter of global demand, which the IEA estimates will cut carbon emissions by almost 6 billion tonnes.

The IEA estimates that solar power output in 2010 will be 37 TWh, almost all of it from PV plants, which it expects to account for 5 percent of global electricity by 2030.

Few CSP plants have been built yet, but they can produce much more than PV installations. The IEA predicts they will account for 5 percent of electricity consumption by 2020 in parts of Central Asia, India, Latin America and the United States.

Between them, the IEA says CSP and PV can provide 2.3 percent of the world's power by 2020, rising to 8.8 percent in 2030, when grid parity kicks in.

By 2050, PV and CSP can each provide 11 percent of global electricity, the IEA added.

(Editing by James Jukwey)


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Countries Pledge Record $4.25 Billion For Environment

Lesley Wroughton, PlanetArk 13 May 10;

Donor countries on Wednesday pledged a record $4.25 billion over the next four years for the Global Environment Facility, the world's largest public green fund that helps developing countries tackle climate change.

The commitments are a 52 percent increase in new resources for the GEF made by 30 countries at a pledging session in Paris, the group said in a statement.

GEF Chief Executive Monique Barbut said the replenishment of funds is the first "tangible confirmation of financial commitments" made during international climate talks in Copenhagen in December.

In Copenhagen, negotiators from developed and developing nations tried to settle on the basic terms of a new global climate agreement in the lead-up to the next summit in Mexico in December.

Part of that agreement was aimed at providing financing to developing countries to help them adapt to a changing climate. Some of those funds will be directed through the GEF into projects implemented by U.N. agencies and development institutions like the World Bank.

Barbut said about $1.35 billion of the funds committed on Wednesday would be directed at tackling climate change.

The rest will be directed at better management of protected areas and endangered areas, improving cooperation on trans-boundary water systems management, reducing pollutants in land and water, and expanding and protecting the world's forests.

The new funds are "testimony to the international donor community's commitment to the environmental agenda," said Axel van Trotsenburg, the World Bank's vice president for concessional finance and global partnerships.

The GEF has been replenished four times since its inception in 1991 starting with $2.02 billion in 1994, $2.75 billion in 1998, $2.92 billion in 2002 and $3.13 billion in 2006.

To date, the GEF has provided $8.7 billion in grants for more than 2,400 environmental projects in over 165 developing countries and emerging economies.

(Editing by Kenneth Barry)


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U.S. Lags China On Climate Change: Europe Climate Chief

Michelle Nichols, PlanetArk 13 May 10;

The United States' future as a global economic power depends on what it does to fight global warming and it is lagging behind other countries like China, Europe's climate chief said on Wednesday.

European Commissioner for Climate Action Connie Hedegaard told Reuters it was a positive step for the United States to have "finally" unveiled legislation to combat climate change on Wednesday.

"This is one of the crucial battlefields over who is going to be the economic leaders of our century," Hedegaard said of the fight against global warming.

Democratic Senator John Kerry and independent Senator Joseph Lieberman presented a long-awaited climate bill on Wednesday, which aims to cut planet-warming emissions by a 17 percent in the next decade.

While President Barack Obama supports the legislation, it has slim chances of passing unless Kerry and Lieberman win over a group of moderate Democrats and Republicans.

"It's not something an ordinary European citizen would say 'Wow, that's really ambitious,'" Hedegaard said. "On the other hand, we know that the United States has been among the later starters, so the important thing now is to get started."

The 27-nation European Union has long claimed to be a world leader in the fight against climate change.

While the United States and China bicker in negotiations for a new global deal to combat climate change, Hedegaard said Beijing was making great strides against global warming.

"The irony is that in the real world outside the negotiation rooms they are just moving," she said of China's efforts to fight global warming. "They are just doing it and they are doing it big scale."

Hedegaard praised the United States for including a cap and trade system for reducing carbon pollution by electric utilities and factories in the new climate bill. She said such a system had worked in Europe and China was also considering such a move.

Negotiators from 194 nations will gather in Cancun at the end of the year to try to build on the Copenhagen accord signed last December with the ultimate aim of reaching a legally-binding treaty that would set the tempo for global CO2 cuts over the next decade.

"There is this feeling now that there is something to build upon," Hedegaard said.

(Editing by Mark Egan and Chris Wilson)


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'Climate dice' now dangerously loaded: leading scientist

Yahoo News 12 May 10;

PARIS (AFP) – Evidence for global warming has mounted but public awareness of the threat has shrunk, due to a cold northern winter and finger-pointing at the UN's climate experts, a top scientist warned Wednesday.

James Hansen, a leading NASA scientist whose testimony to the US Congress in 1988 was a landmark in the history of climate change, said he was worried by "the large gap" in knowledge between specialists and the public, including politicians.

"That gap has increased substantially in the last year," Hansen told a press conference during a visit to Paris.

"While the science was becoming clearer, the public's perception became less clear, in part because of the unusually cold winter in both North America and Europe, and in part because of the inappropriate over-emphasis on small minor errors in IPCC documents and because of the so-called Climategate."

The IPCC -- the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- is under fire for several errors that appeared in a key 2007 report.

Its authors have acknowledged the mistakes, but say the overall conclusions of the report, that man-made greenhouse gases are changing the climate, remain solid.

The "Climategate" affair relates to stolen emails exchanged among British scientists that, sceptics said, showed they had ignored evidence that natural, rather than man-made, causes were to blame for climate change.

The scientists have been cleared by a British parliamentary panel.

"The winter was not cold if you look over the whole world: December, January, February was the second warmest in 130 years," Hansen noted.

"It was cool at mid-latitudes in the northern hemisphere but unusually warm in the Arctic and that has a simple explanation: there is a chaotic variation in the pressure in the Arctic region. But it's just chaotic variation, there is no reason that it will be repeated."

He added: "We have to look at the frequency of events. Seven out of the last 10 winters in Europe have been warmer than the long-term average, and eight out of 10 in the United States.

"So the climate dice are being loaded at a rate which is in very close agreement with what was predicted ago a few decades ago based on the expected global warming."

Hansen is director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, but stressed he was speaking in a private capacity.

He blasted governments for "ignoring... basic scientific facts" by continuing to depend on fossil fuels, build more coal-fired plants and drill for oil in the deep ocean and the Arctic.

And he said that the poor outcome of December's climate summit in Copenhagen was predictable.

"Frankly, there was a realisation that you can't have 180 countries making the initial agreement, it has to be the major players. So, Europe, the US and China, and probably India, need to agree that there needs to be a carbon price and then it's very easy to make that global."


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