Best of our wild blogs: 19 Oct 09


Semakau with TeamSeagrass
from teamseagrass and wonderful creation and isn't it a wonder, how life came to be

What a load of rubbish
from wild shores of singapore

A Hot Afternoon on MacRitchie Nature Trail
from Beauty of Fauna and Flora in Nature

Lower Peirce - Just another bug hunt
from Singapore Nature

Whiskered Treeswift mating
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Juvenile Laced Woodpecker
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Monday Morgue: 19th October 2009
from The Lazy Lizard's Tales

Mondays skink
from The annotated budak


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Aussie kids' war on climate change already under way

Arron Wood, Science Alert 19 Oct 09

I applaud Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in identifying on the international stage that our young people are a significant resource in the fight against climate change. His comments made recently in New York, issuing a challenge to American university students to devote their talents to solving climate change, are timely but I wonder if he realises how far ahead of the game Australian students are?

It is often said that young people are less than 20 per cent of the population, but are 100 per cent of our future. From my work over ten years involving 15,000 students and their teachers across Australia in environment education and action, I know that young people in Australia are very active already when it comes to solving environmental issues.

Ten years ago Australian youth environment conferences started with “kids teaching kids” about environment issues and action. Since then, students have delivered over 2,600 workshops on energy, water, agriculture, waste, biodiversity and climate change which has resulted in on-ground projects across Australia with communities united behind kids and schools around an environment issue of concern to them.

However, we only have to pick up any paper in Australia to read about national debates or the complex negotiations going on in the lead up to Copenhagen to realise that it isn’t a simple issue politically because there are so many different levels of understanding. Ultimately it comes down to how we are educated on the issue and what base level knowledge we have on the implications of NOT acting on climate change. Something that most of the decision-makers can hopefully agree on if they think about it is that education is the key to a sustainable future.

In around three week’s time, 2,500 students from every Australian State and Territory and New Zealand will converge on Canberra for the International River Health Conference from October 18-20. Over three days students from years 5 to 11 will teach each other about the environment issues we face and the potential solutions we need to help solve them.

Given the conference has been scheduled in a sitting week for Parliament I invite any Government Minister, regardless of portfolio, to come and witness Australia’s best environmental succession plan in action. At this stage we have the Shadow Minister for the Environment Greg Hunt, Greens Senator Christine Milne, Senators Bob Brown and Nick Xenophon dropping down during the event, and we certainly hope to hear from many government representatives too, including those that have been formally invited some time ago.

For a student to know a subject well enough to teach their peers, they know it really well. And to present it in imaginative ways such as drama, comedy, song, poems and interactive workshops means their peers are more engaged.

It’s been working for ten years and the Canberra event is a celebration of that 10-year history.

The power of this concept is revealed by the successful outcomes, both for the environment and the children. For the former, the benefits are clearly substantial. Trees have been planted, weeds cleared, water-saving devices installed, animals, fish and birds saved, and the list goes on. The program has also built many partnerships with environmental organisations, local and state government, Landcare groups and the business community.

For the children, the positive results are similarly tangible. The philosophy focuses on developing behaviours like responsiveness, empathy, caring, communication skills and a sense of humour in children of all ages. Problem-solving skills are also part of the program, along with abstract and reflective thinking, flexibility and a sense of purpose. It promotes empowerment through connection with like-minded students, the ability to self manage by being engaged in peer teaching and the opportunity for students from extremely varied backgrounds to come together around what is a very worrying issue for youth - the health of our environment and the impact of climate change.

It is clear that something powerful happens when students teach students.

The Prime Minister may have another way to engage our children in environmental education at a young age so they will have the necessary base level understanding and the motivation to answer his challenge to solve the looming climate crisis. We are ready and willing to continue to assist the Australian Government to engage our young people to secure a bright and compelling future for our nation.


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Catch of the day - a supermarket trolley

Straits Times 19 Oct 09;

DEPUTY Prime Minister Teo Chee Hean hardly broke into a sweat as he paddled upstream on the Sungei Api Api river in Pasir Ris yesterday morning.

He was leading a group of 100 students from Nanyang Polytechnic on a kayaking expedition to clean up the river.

Named after the species of mangrove tree lining the river, Sungei Api Api is known for good fishing and its wildlife.

Yesterday's expedition was the third such clean-up exercise.

DPM Teo has led it ever since he came up with the idea five years ago. The clean-up is not a yearly affair.

Yesterday, he joined the volunteers in clearing plastic bags and bottles caught on the mangrove roots along the river banks.

Mr Teo netted himself a big catch.

'Wah, jin tua,' he said as he dragged a supermarket trolley out of the mud. Jin tua means 'so big' in Hokkien.

As a volunteer pulled the trolley onto a boat, Mr Teo referred to the $1 deposit usually inserted into such trolleys and said:

'Anyone want to get a dollar for that?'

The trolley was in addition to 60 bags of garbage - including parts of a park bench and another trolley - that the volunteers collected.

Student Luqman Rahmad, 19, said he found the event 'fun and educational'.

'I don't think I was very environmentally-conscious until this event. When I saw the kinds of things people throw into our rivers, I was very surprised,' he said.

Mr Teo said he had found the river to be cleaner than it had been three years ago, the last time the clean-up was held - a sign that Singaporeans are becoming more conscientious in keeping their environment clean.

But there is still some way to go.

'There are still some very irresponsible people.

'I hope that people who make use of the river will keep it clean as well.

Let's make our waterways something we are proud of,' he said.

Youths kayak down Sungei Api Api to clean up mangrove area
Hoe Yeen Nie, Channel NewsAsia 18 Oct 09;

SINGAPORE : Over 100 students and grassroots volunteers rowed down Sungei Api Api at Pasir Ris on Sunday morning, with the aim of cleaning up the mangrove.

Led by Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Teo Chee Hean, who is also MP for the area, the volunteers formed an impressive army of eco-warriors.

Plastic bags account for nearly half of all rubbish found in the river.

Organisers of the kayak clean-up hope to spread the green message and get eco-conscious youths to walk the talk. - CNA/ms


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Fourth attempt planned to fix Timor Sea oil spill

Warwick Stanley Brisbane Times 19 Oct 09;

AAP : The operator of an offshore well that has leaked millions of litres of oil into the Timor Sea will make a fourth attempt to stop the spill this week.

After PTTEP Australasia announced on Saturday that its third attempt to plug the Montara field well had failed, the Thai-based company said on Sunday another attempt would be made on Thursday morning.

The well-head platform of the West Atlas rig, more than 200km off the Kimberley coast, has been leaking oil into the Timor Sea for more than eight weeks.

The West Triton drilling rig, which reached the site five weeks ago after being towed from Singapore, is being used in attempts to intercept the leaking well, 2.6km under the seabed, and pump in heavy mud to block the leak.

It has to intersect a 25cm diameter casing, which is detected by sophisticated electro-magnetic ranging tools, before the plugging operation can proceed.

A spokesman for the company said on Sunday the further delay in attempts to intersect the leaking well was necessary to calculate the last drill pass's distance and direction from the casing.

The company also has to ensure all safety procedures and equipment checks are carried out between each attempt to reach the leak, the spokesman said.

The spill at the well-head platform, which began on August 21 at an estimated rate of 400 barrels a day, could have leaked more than 3.7 million litres of oil into the Timor Sea before it is plugged.

The spokesman said while the company had agreed to pay the federal government's costs of monitoring the spill, it was making no comment on that aspect of the operation.

The oil slick has so far been carried north and has not reached the West Australian coast, but the federal Department of Environment says more than a dozen seabirds have died as a result of coming into contact with the slick.

Fishermen in West Timor say the spill is responsible for mass fish deaths and is threatening their livelihood.

They have also claimed people have become sick after eating dead fish found on the Indonesian province's beaches.

The PTTEP spokesman said if Thursday's well interception was successful, heavy mud to plug the leak will be immediately pumped in to displace the oil, gas and water in the well.

A 24-hour safety stand-off period will be declared before the troubleshooting team from ALERT Well Control can board the well-head platform.

While the leak would have already been stopped, two plugs would be sunk into the previously leaking well bore in an operation expected to take about another week, the spokesman said.

PTTEP has refused to comment on the possible cost of the spill to the company, other than to say it is "substantial".

Industry estimates have put it in the tens of millions of dollars, and as high as $100 million.


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Arabian Gulf offers safe haven for whale sharks

Research continues on the ocean's biggest yet most elusive fish, but it is believed the Arabian Gulf serves as a nursing and feeding ground for female whale sharks.
Emmanuelle Landais, Gulf News 19 Oct 09;

Dubai: Whale shark sightings in the Arabian Gulf and, increasingly, in man-made marinas can reveal important information about the gentle giants, and making sure they stay here could mean the survival of the species, says a Dubai-based marine-film producer.

Research continues on the ocean's biggest yet most elusive fish, but it is believed the Arabian Gulf serves as a nursing and feeding ground for female whale sharks, said Jonathan Ali Khan, Wild Planet Productions' producer and researcher.

Sightings are likely to increase as whale sharks have historically travelled to the northern parts of the Arabian Gulf to give birth, as these waters used to provide a safe haven for pups, said Khan, who is currently working on two films on sharks of Arabia, one of which explores the underwater world of whale sharks, specifically in the Arabian Sea.

"For centuries these were safe waters but since the advent of the oil industry the changes have been dramatic and marine life is adapting," he said.

Safety element

The Gulf provides nutrient-rich waters in which whale sharks continue to come and feed.

"The safety element has been removed with breakwaters and marinas but it will become extremely common to see them. It would be great to know if they are male or female as well," he said.

Emerging research shows that male whale sharks congregate mostly towards Djibouti and the Maldives, where sightings of hundreds of whale sharks are frequently tracked. Khan, meanwhile, believes the females could be travelling up the Arabian Gulf to deep waters to give birth.

Each female can have up to 300 pups but the mortality rate is high.

"Even if 50 per cent of them survive, you could have up to 100 in the area so they will be sighted from time to time. The ideal location for whale sharks is off Ningaloo Reef in Australia where you'll see fully grown adults, 50 feet long" he said.

"Juveniles come into the Gulf for sanctuary and to feed so it is of critical importance to the survival of the whale shark."

Deep history: Previous sightings

- August 28, 2008: A four-metre whale shark found struggling in Jebel Ali waters is shipped to large tanks at Atlantis, The Palm.

- May 26, 2007: A shark is spotted near the rocks at Al Mamzar beach.

- February 7, 2007: A four-metre-long whale shark is spotted along the quay at Port Zayed in Abu Dhabi.

- June 25, 2006: Residents and workers at Dubai Marina spot a whale shark swimming through the bay.

- January 19, 2006: A 12-metre-long baleen whale is found dead on Al Mamzar beach with its belly ripped open.

- July 15, 2005: A stranded whale shark attracts more than a thousand onlookers at Dubai Marina.


Curious intruder
7Days 19 Oct 09;

As a whale shark was spotted swimming freely in Dubai Marina yesterday, the Atlantis hotel still refuses to comment on when it will release the one it netted a year ago.

Eyewitnesses told 7DAYS they saw the mammal, which was more than 3m long at around 7.45am in the marina.

“A lot of people from surrounding buildings gathered to take pictures of the shark. It appeared for a short time and then vanished suddenly. It was a lovely creature swimming and diving freely,” Reynoldo, who saw the creature said.

This is the second whale shark to be spotted in the last few days in UAE waters. A few days ago, one was found swimming at a marina under construction near the luxurious Emirates Palace hotel in Abu Dhabi.

The freeness of the creatures is in stark contrast to that of the whale shark which was captured in Dubai waters in August 2008 and continues to remain in captivity at the Atlantis hotel despite dem-ands for its release from environmentalists and animal rights groups.

Last year the UAE Minister for the Environment and Water Dr Rashid Ahmed bin Fahad said he supported the release of the whale shark but no action to free it has been taken.

Atlantis still refuses to comment when contacted by 7DAYS about the whale shark.

Mohammad Abdul Rahman Hassan, head of Marine Environment and Wildlife section at Dubai Municipality said that whale sharks have a tendency to follow boats and ships and stray into waters.

“We have had reports of whale shark sightings in Dubai Marina and Dubai Creek,” he said.


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Parks and gardens 'help cut depression'

People who have plenty of greenery near their homes suffer far less depression and ill health than those who live in heavily built -up areas, a study suggests.
The Telegrah 15 Oct 09;

Better air quality as well as the opportunity to relax in an open park is likely to cut stress and boost exercise, say researchers.

People living in a residential area containing 10 per cent of green space within a one kilometre (0.62 mile) radius were a third more likely to suffer depression than those whose surroundings were 90 per cent gardens and parks.

The study also showed fifteen of twenty-four different "disease clusters" including heart disease, musculoskeletal disorders, respiratory illness, neurological problems, digestive disease and miscellaneous complaints were also significantly lower among those living close to extensive areas of green space.

Dr Jolanda Maas, of VU University Medical Centre in Amsterdam, said councils should introduce more greenery to improve wellbeing.

She said: "This study shows the role of green space in the living environment for health should not be underestimated."

Dr Maas said: "Many of the diseases and disorders on which green space seems to exert a positive influence are common and costly to treat."

The change was particularly clear in areas such as heart disease and stroke - supporting the idea the presence of green spaces encourages people to be more active.

The researchers based their study, published in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, on the health records of people registered with 195 family doctors in 95 practices across the Netherlands.

Living By Green Spaces Can Boost Body And Soul: Study
Amy Norton from Reuters Health, PlanetArk 22 Oct 09;

NEW YORK - People who live near green spaces may be less likely than those surrounded by concrete to suffer a range of health problems, particularly depression and anxiety, according to a Dutch study.

Researchers from the VU University Medical Center in Amsterdam found that among more than 300,000 Dutch adults and children, those living near more "green spaces" tended to have lower rates of 15 different health conditions.

They found the link was especially strong when it came to depression and anxiety, suggesting that respite from stress and the hustle and bustle of urban life may be an important for reason for the benefits of green.

Past studies have found that people who live in greener environments tend to report better subjective health.

But this study, published in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, is the first to use objective data on specific mental and physical health diagnoses, researcher Dr. Jolanda Maas told Reuters Health.

The findings build on evidence that green space has a positive effect on health and is "more than just a luxury good," Maas said.

She and her colleagues gathered their information from the electronic medical records of 345,143 patients of about 200 general practitioners.

They used an environmental database on land use to gauge the percentage of green space in the patients' neighborhoods.

Overall, the study found, greater amounts of green space within one kilometer -- or 0.6 miles -- of people's homes was related to small reductions in the risks of health problems like heart disease, diabetes, chronic neck and back pain, asthma and migraine.

The strongest connection was seen with depression and anxiety.

Among people who lived in areas with 90 percent green space, for example, just over 2 percent had been diagnosed with depression, compared with just over 3 percent of those living in areas with 10 percent green space.

Maas and her colleagues point out that greener environs could potentially have positive affects on health through a number of pathways, including better air quality and more opportunities for exercise.

But, the researchers added, the link with depression and anxiety suggests that stress reduction and a lesser likelihood of "attention fatigue" could be especially important. The study also found that the relationship between green space and health was particularly strong among children and lower-income groups, which, the researchers speculate, could be because they tend to spend much of their time close to home.

(Editing by Belinda Goldsmith)


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Australians to fortify coast homes against climate

Reuters 19 Oct 09;

CANBERRA (Reuters) - Australians living beside some of the country's finest beaches will be allowed to fortify their beachfront homes against rising seas and storms, as climate change increasingly threatens the heavily-populated east coast.

Many Australians live within a short car-ride of the coast and are feeling the impact of more frequent storms blamed in part on global warming, prompting national soul-searching over whether to adopt a "retreat or defend" approach to beach living.

Environmentalists fear widespread coastal defenses could scar beaches and cause massive erosion, as the movement of sand is blocked by concrete and stone barriers.

But the government in New South Wales (NSW) state, home to a third of the country's 22 million population, said it would override local planning and allow coastal fortification, with appropriate environmental safeguards.

"It's not just, 'I'll build a wall', it'll protect me and I'll be right mate," Simon Smith, the Deputy Director of the NSW Department of Environment and Climate Change, told the Sydney Morning Herald newspaper.

Scientists say Australia is experiencing "accelerated climate change" because of its dry climate, resulting in more frequent storms, droughts and estimated average temperature rises of between 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius by 2100.

It is estimated that over 700,000 coastal properties in Australia are threatened by rising sea levels, with coastal flooding and erosion costing NSW A$200 million a year.

The NSW government said it would list 19 "hot spot" beaches where waterfront homes were at risk from rising sea levels, including several along Sydney's upmarket northern coast, where the popular television series "Home and Away" was largely filmed.

Property owners in those areas would be given more rights to construct sea walls and barriers, with the state government appointing itself as final judge over any barrier plans rejected by local councils.

The plan would also target the famous resort town of Byron Bay and the nearby international surfing mecca of Lennox Head, after legal wrangles between coastal homeowners and the council.

(Reporting by Jehane Sharah; Editing by Rob Taylor and Bill Tarrant)

Councils warn house protection will be at the expense of beaches
Marian Wilkinson, Sydney Morning Herald 20 Oct 09;

THE Environment Minister, John Robertson, is defending newly unveiled plans to deal with erosion and rising sea levels in the face of a barrage of criticism from councils claiming the Government is putting the rights of beachfront property owners ahead of protecting some of the state's best known beaches.

Included in the new plans is a proposal for beachfront property owners to be allowed to appeal to the State Government if local councils refuse them permission to build sea walls and barriers. The owners will also have to pay for beachfront defences of their properties and any impact on other residents.

"Will the NSW State Government ensure that the building of protection works will not result in the loss of beaches?" said the Mayor of Byron Bay, Jan Barham, who is in a legal battle with property owners at Belongil beach over the building of a protection wall.

"The beach is an intrinsic part of our lifestyle in Byron Shire. To lose a beach, to not be able to walk along the coastline, is a concern of coastal councils".

Mr Robertson insisted yesterday the State Government would allow the construction of barriers only if they were "environmentally sustainable".

But a coastal erosion expert, Professor Andy Short, said it was extremely difficult for residents to build a sea wall defence without affecting the beach and other properties.

"We faced this issue in Narrabeen when the council proposed to build a sea wall along Collaroy beach and the community came out in their thousands and protested against a wall that would have severely degraded the amenity of one of Sydney's most popular beaches," he said.

Mr Robertson said the state faced a serious problem with coastal erosion compounded by the threat from rising sea levels and it was important to act now.

"These changes are about making sure taxpayers aren't required to foot the bill for coastal erosion and properties being eroded away by sea level rise," he said.

The minister identified 27 houses at Wooli beach on the North Coast at risk from erosion along with properties on the Central Coast and at Collaroy and Narrabeen. As reported in yesterday's Herald, the Government named 19 coastal erosion "hot spots" from Batemans Bay to Belongil beach.

The president of the Local Government Association, Genia McCaffery, warned the minister not to ride roughshod over the local councils.

Geoff Withycombe, of the Sydney Coastal Councils Group, said he believed the plan would come at a cost to the beaches. "Allowing beachfront property owners to defend their properties at their cost will only result in the transfer of the real costs of such an intervention to the community, tourism and the environment resulting in the loss of beach amenity and public access to the coast, to the [short-term] benefit of a few property owners."


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Dutch, making peace with water, tackle overcrowding

Martine Pauwels Yahoo News 18 Oct 09;

AMSTERDAM (AFP) – About a hundred houses float on a lake in the Amsterdam neighbourhood of Ijburg --a testament to how the Dutch are trying to turn their traditional enemy, water, into an ally against overcrowding.

"There is a lot of water in the Netherlands, it is used for navigation and recreation. We want to see if it can also be inhabited," Ton van Namen, director of real estate company Monteflore, told AFP.

Monteflore built more than half the floating homes off the western shore of the Ijmeer lake, a dozen kilometres from the Amsterdam city centre.

The homes are cubic, with walls of plastic and untreated wood in neutral colours, built entirely with non-polluting materials. They take a few months to construct.

The first inhabitants of Ijburg's floating houses arrived in 2008.

"We are in the experimental phase, but this may be the beginning of the solution to residential overcrowding," said Igor Roovers, director of a grouping created by the Amsterdam city council to manage the Ijburg development -- the biggest of its kind in Europe.

The Netherlands, with 16.5 million inhabitants, is the second most densely populated country in Europe with 400 people per square kilometre (0.4 square mile).

Roovers believes floating homes may also provide the solution to another growing problem: the risk of residential flooding from rising sea levels caused by global warming.

Nine million people in the Netherlands live in inland areas directly sheltered from the sea and rivers by dykes and dunes, and 65 percent of the national production capacity lies in flood-prone areas.

The Ijburg houses rest on floating, concrete bases fixed to two solidly planted pillars to keep them stable, all the while allowing them to adjust to the water level.

They are linked to dry land by wharfs, through which they receive gas, electricity and running water.

"To live in this house gives me a sense of freedom. I have the feeling of being permanently on holiday," 43-year-old pilot Rik Uijlenhoet said of his 175 square-metre (218 square-yard) dwelling, its large windows looking out on a vast expanse of greyish lake water.

"One doesn't realise that one is on the water: you only really notice it when you see the chandelier in the lounge sway slightly," he said, adding that the biggest difference between his home and a more traditional one was that "the water is my garden".

"It is useful to know how to swim," added van Namen.

Uijlenhoet, who lives on the water with his wife and three children, said it would have been "practically impossible" to build a house of a similar size on dry ground: "the price of land is much higher than that for a parcel of water."

His house had cost some 600,000 euros (890,000 dollars) at 3,500 euros per square metre. In downtown Amsterdam, this cost could be as high as 7,000 euros, said van Namen.

The price Uijlenhoet paid included 130,000 euros for a leasehold on a 160-square-metre patch of water on the Ijmeer, renewable with the city council every 50 years.

Eventually, the Ijburg development will have about 170 floating houses surrounded by 18,000 new lodgings being built on artificial islands.

The Ijmeer lake and the bordering Markermeer have a combined 68,508 hectare (169,000-acre) surface, which could potentially hold thousands more floating homes, said Roovers. But current technology did not yet make this possible.

"If we float too many houses here, the sunlight will no longer be able to reach the water and the water life will disappear. Dead water gives off a terrible smell," he said.

"We have not yet been able to find a long-term solution to that."

Other Dutch municipalities, like Almere on a river just east of the Ijmeer, and Leeuwarden, in the north, have also launched experimental floating house projects.


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Asia underinsured against disasters: Munich Re

Region lost US$118b from natural hazards last year
Emilyn Yap Business Times 19 Oct 09;

ASIA remains underinsured against natural catastrophes even though the region suffers huge losses from them.

According to data from Munich Re, natural catastrophes triggered global losses of some US$200 billion last year, and Asia had to swallow more than half of that, or US$118 billion.

Insurance covered only US$45 billion of the global losses, and Asia's share of that was just 5 per cent or US$2.25 billion.

China in particular was hit by several large-scale disasters. The Sichuan earthquake led to overall losses of US$85 billion, and it was considered the world's costliest natural catastrophe last year. The snowstorms which befell several Chinese provinces ranked third, precipitating overall losses of US$21.1 billion.

More recently, earthquakes in Indonesia and floods in Taiwan and the Philippines have also led to shocking damages.

Despite these losses, there has been little increase in the take-up of insurance against natural catastrophes in Asia, said Munich Re's Greater China and South-east Asia chief executive Tobias Farny in an interview with BT.

There can be big risks in insuring against such hazards, he noted. 'For large natural catastrophes, the risks are not for one single player to take up,' Mr Farny said.

A possible solution is for governments and private insurers to pool their resources together to provide the insurance. 'There are different ways of doing this - the base cover can be provided by the government and the excess cover by the private insurance industry, or the other way round,' Mr Farny explained.

He added that Munich Re is in talks with governments on public-private partnerships. According to a report from an Asian Development Bank-supported conference in November last year, Indonesia is the only country in South-east Asia with a catastrophe pool for earthquakes.

Singapore can help promote such projects given its strong position as a reinsurance centre, Mr Farny said. 'Its role can be to moderate these initiatives and bring together the market players. It also has the universities and academia which can bring in the modelling knowledge.'


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'Climate refugees' in Bangladesh capital

Julie Clothier Yahoo News 17 Oct 09;

DHAKA (AFP) – When a cyclone destroyed her home two years ago, Shahana Begum joined the swelling ranks of Bangladeshi "climate refugees" who, experts say, could one day overwhelm the capital Dhaka.

Shahana's family, like more than half a million people in the impoverished nation, lost her shanty home and all her belongings when cyclone Sidr slammed into southern Bangladesh in November 2007, claiming more than 3,500 lives.

"I moved to Dhaka because there was nowhere else to go," said Shahana, for whom home is now a slum on the dry banks of the capital's biggest river.

"My husband now works a little as a fisherman up here but we want to take our two daughters back to the south. There's no home for us there and no real work," the 25-year-old said.

Almost two years after the cyclone, the United Nations and aid groups say thousands of families like Shahana's have yet to receive assistance to rebuild their lives.

In May this year, another cyclone, which killed 300 people and left 375,000 people homeless, also destroyed 4,000 kilometres (2,500 miles) of roads and embankments.

The country's leading climate change scientist says it is a sign of things to come.

"It used to be that we would have a big cyclone every 15 to 20 years. We are getting a big one now every two or three years," said Atiq Rahman, who was on the UN's Inter-government Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The Nobel Prize-winning IPCC predicts 20 million Bangladeshis will be displaced by 2050 because of sea level rises and an increase of natural disasters caused by changing weather patterns.

The vast majority will be extremely poor and will likely end up in Dhaka's growing slums, according to Rahman, who has repeatedly called for rich nations to start opening their doors to those displaced by climate change.

"There's no question about whether it's going to happen, it's a question of how we respond," Rahman said, with an eye on the UN climate change summit in Copenhagen in December.

Dhaka's population was 177,000 in 1974. Now, with more than 12 million inhabitants, it is one of the most densely populated cities on earth and its infrastructure is buckling under the strain.

The World Bank estimates that the city will be home to more than 20 million by 2020.

"At the end of the day people will have to move out of the country. No one wants to leave their home but at the end of the day it will happen. Dhaka is already under tremendous pressure," Rahman said.

A 2006 study found that three million -- or one in four -- of Dhaka's population live in the city's slums, up from 1.6 million people in 1996.

"We need better warning systems, better preparedness, better disaster management systems and we need to develop other cities. Dhaka is simply not coping under the strain of rapid urbanisation," said Rahman.

The Bangladeshi government says the country needs five billion dollars in the next five years to offset problems created by climate change, including helping its bursting capital cope.

It wants rich countries to help as part of any deal that emerges from the Copenhagen summit, which will try to hammer out a global warming treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol that expires in 2012.

In June this year, the Economist Intelligence Unit's liveability poll ranked Dhaka as the 138th worst city in the world to live, with only Harare in Zimbabwe ranked lower.

The poll cited frequent water shortages in Dhaka, power outages and severe traffic jams, as well as the city's dense population.

Bangladesh's second largest city, Chittagong, is home to just three million people and Sweden's ambassador to Dhaka, Britt Hagstroem, said new urban centres were urgently needed.

"There must be other centres developed. Everything cannot be only Dhaka. The city is already huge," she said.

Rabab Fatima, of the International Organization for Migration in Dhaka, said Bangladesh had always had a migratory population, because of river erosion, cyclones and flooding.

But, as effects of climate change worsened, an already fragile situation was becoming dire.

"If you look at Dhaka, its unplanned and rapid urbanisation is one of the main, direct consequences of environmental degradation," she said.

"Bangladesh is going to see this more and more. It's not going to be a situation that ends."


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Pacific El Nino equals Atlantic hurricane calm: experts

Juan Castro Olivera Yahoo News 18 Oct 09;

MIAMI (AFP) – The Pacific's El Nino ocean-warming phenomenon has resulted in an especially calm Atlantic hurricane season -- a welcome respite for Caribbean and southeastern US residents still smarting from a 2008 pounding.

There have only been two hurricanes in the 2009 Atlantic season, which runs from June 1 to late November 30, but normally peaks in September and October.

Hurricane Bill reached powerful Category Four intensity on the five-point Saffir-Simpson scale in mid-August. It bypassed most of the Caribbean and the US east coast, making landfall in southeastern Canada and causing modest damage.

Hurricane Fred formed in the Atlantic in early September, but petered out over the ocean before making landfall.

"We were expecting very little activity this season," said Lixion Avila, a weather expert at the Miami-based National Hurricane Center.

"This happens when the El Nino phenomenon is present in the Pacific, the water warms up there, and that leads to hurricanes forming there and not in the Atlantic."

Every three to six years, water currents shift along the equator in the Pacific and the ocean warms a few degrees, a phenomenon dubbed El Nino -- Spanish for "the boy," a reference to Christ the infant because the warming is usually noticed around Christmas.

The El Nino effect was powerfully demonstrated on Saturday after warm waters prompted Hurricane Rick to roar to top Category Five status as it barreled up Mexico's Pacific coast.

This hurricane season "could end with no impact against the US nor the Caribbean," noted William Gray, a hurricane expert at Colorado State University who has been forecasting hurricanes for 25 years.

El Nino conditions in the Pacific "result in a higher vertical wind shear over the Atlantic region, which is considered to be unfavorable to hurricane formation and intensification," said Shuyi Chen, a meteorology and oceanography professor at the University of Miami.

Less Atlantic hurricanes however do not necessarily mean weaker hurricanes that stay in the ocean, Chen warned.

"In 1992, we had a strong El Nino condition," said Chen. "Although there were less hurricanes overall, Andrew was a Cat-5 major hurricane that made landfall in Florida and near New Orleans," she said.

Hurricane Andrew, which ripped across southern Florida in 1992 before slamming into Louisiana, was blamed for 65 deaths and caused more than 30 billion dollars in damage, including massive wreckage to Homestead Air Force Base.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast in May said there could be between four and seven hurricanes, and between nine and 14 tropical storms in the 2009 season.

There have been eight tropical storms and two hurricanes so far.

The calm weather is a godsend for Cuba and Haiti, two countries that suffered mightily from the effects of the 2008 storms.

Three hurricanes and a tropical storm tore through Cuba last year, killing people, flooding buildings and destroying crops.

Two hurricanes and two tropical storms struck Haiti, already the poorest country in the Americas. Landslides and flooding killed some 1,000 Haitians, and widespread flooding caused millions of dollars in damage.

In the United States last year, Tropical Storm Fay ravaged Florida, while hurricanes Gustav and Ike slammed the coasts of Louisiana and Texas, killing 60 people and causing some 20 billion dollars in damage.


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U.S., Britain say global climate deal possible

Gerard Wynn, Reuters 18 Oct 09;

LONDON (Reuters) - The world can still agree a deal in December to curb greenhouse gas emissions and prepare for a warmer world, co-chairs of a meeting of major polluters in London -- Britain and the United States -- said on Sunday.

Skeptics argue a U.N. December deadline is now too tight as negotiators have so far failed to agree targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions and funds to help developing countries prepare for more extreme weather and rising seas.

But Britain and the United States pointed to moves from both developed and developing countries including India, Indonesia, Japan and China.

"You can look at that and conclude, as I do, there's a deal to be had," said Washington's top climate envoy Todd Stern, at the start of the October 18-19 talks among major polluters.

"I think a deal is quite possible. There are difficulties, but on the other hand not that many elements to put together a basic deal," he said, adding he was still aiming for December.

The London meeting is the latest in a series of U.S.-initiated "major economies forum" (MEF) sessions, meant to support U.N. talks to agree a new pact to extend or replace the existing Kyoto Protocol at a December 7-18 meeting in Copenhagen.

Among proposed action, last month Indonesia said it would cut greenhouse gases by a quarter compared with current trends by 2020. Chinese premier Hu Jintao said Beijing would curb carbon emissions growth.

Japan's new government committed to a far more ambitious climate target than the previous administration.

"There are good straws in the wind," British energy and climate secretary Ed Miliband told the BBC on Sunday.

But Miliband also pointed to the two biggest obstacles to a deal -- agreeing targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions by rich nations by 2020, and funds to help developing countries.

"There are also some big obstacles that have to be overcome. We need a (emissions target) number from the United States."

"NO MYSTERY"

Co-chair of the London meeting, Stern told reporters the U.S. 2020 emissions target was "pretty clear," and added a deal would "undoubtedly" include numbers on climate finance for developing countries.

But he could not confirm that the United States would offer concrete numbers for either in Copenhagen.

Under a domestic legislative process, the U.S. House of Representatives had approved a 2020 target to curb U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 17 percent compared with 2005 levels, and the Senate was considering 20 percent, he said.

U.S. President Barack Obama had previously supported 14 percent, said Stern, who acknowledged his country had to wait for Congress to establish a firm position.

"The range we're talking about is pretty clear but I'm not going to speculate, I am hopeful that things move pretty far down the track, we'll just have to see where we are when December comes around. It isn't a huge big mystery, the number."

Analysts doubt Obama will sign a domestic bill by December. The U.S. offer on climate finance was also "wrapped up" in the domestic climate bill process, Stern said.

Indian environment minister Jairam Ramesh told Reuters on Friday a deal may miss the December deadline by several months. The chair of a U.N. panel of climate scientists, Rajendra Pachauri, said last week the world had the option of meeting again in mid-2010.

(Additional reporting by Muriel Boselli in Paris; Editing by Janet Lawrence)

World economies hold climate talks in London
Yahoo News 18 Oct 09;

LONDON (AFP) – Representatives of the world's biggest carbon polluters began two days of informal talks in London on Sunday to map out common ground 50 days before a key UN climate conference in Copenhagen.

The 17 powers that make up the so-called Major Economies Forum (MEF), along with developing nations and UN representatives, will try to iron out some of their differences before the crunch summit in December.

"We represent about 90 percent of global emissions, so if we can get a way forward and narrow some of the differences between the... countries that represent the lion's share of the problem, then it might make those UN talks easier," British Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband told the BBC.

He said the Copenhagen talks, when nations will try to agree a new global climate treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol which expires in 2012, were unlikely to succeed if left to the summit itself.

"The truth is that if this is left to the negotiators in the formal negotiations, I think we'll fail," he said.

The MEF was launched by US President Barack Obama earlier this year on the back of an initiative by his predecessor, George W. Bush, to speed up the search for common ground among the most polluting world economies.

It then intends to hand this consensus for approval by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the sprawling 192-nation global arena.

The London talks will focus on emissions cuts, the protection of forests and climate finance -- British Prime Minister Gordon Brown has said 100 billion dollars a year is needed to help developing countries tackle climate change.

Brown will address the MEF meeting on Monday and warn of the consequences of failing to reach a deal in December, but Miliband highlighted recent shifts in policy by India and China among other countries.

India said last month it was ready to set itself non-binding targets for cutting carbon emissions, while China said it would curb the growth of its emissions by a "notable margin" by 2020, although it did not specify further.

The US special envoy for climate change, Todd Stern, told British television on Saturday that developing economies must boost their efforts, warning it was "certainly possible" that no deal would be agreed in Copenhagen.

"What we need to have happen is for China and India and Brazil and South Africa and others to be willing to take what they're doing, boost it up some, and then be willing to put it into an international agreement," he said.

But climate campaigners Friends of the Earth said it was up to the rich countries in the MEF to "face up to their legal and moral responsibility by agreeing to cut their emissions first and fastest".

Miliband said: "I hope everyone is feeling the pressure at the moment because we've all got to respond to make the deal happen."

The MEF comprises Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, the European Union, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Britain, and United States.

Meanwhile, climate activists gathered for a second day at one of Britain's biggest coal-fired power stations, which they want to shut down in protest against the huge levels of carbon emissions it produces.

At least 52 people have been arrested during the action at the Ratcliffe-on-Soar power station near Nottingham, central England, which is owned by German energy giant E.ON.

Biggest economies try again to strike climate deal
Robert Barr, Associated Press Yahoo News 18 Oct 09;

LONDON – Representatives of the world's 17 biggest and most polluting nations were holding talks Sunday to search for a breakthrough on financing efforts to contain climate change and reduce gas emissions causing global warming.

Pressure has been mounting for the United States to finalize its position before a decisive December conference in Denmark meant to cap two years of negotiations on a global climate change treaty.

"With only 50 more days to go before the final talks at Copenhagen, we have to up our game. Britain is determined to throw everything at this because the stakes are so high," British Environment Minister Ed Miliband said in a statement released Sunday.

Earlier Miliband had said it was "important that the U.S. makes as much progress as possible" at the two-day meeting of the Major Economies Forum.

The Obama administration said it was tied to action by U.S. Congress, where climate bills were making their slow way toward legislation — an argument which cut little ice with other negotiators.

"The rich countries of the Major Economies Forum must urgently put new money on the table to ensure the developing world can grow cleanly and adapt to the effects of climate change, which are already putting millions of lives at risk," said Asad Rehman of Friends of the Earth.

Miliband said there had been some progress, pointing to recent commitments by Japan and China aimed at reducing emissions.

"There are some good straws in the wind, but there are also some big obstacles to overcome," Miliband told the BBC, speaking ahead of the talks opening.

He insisted that the meeting in London could tackle differences between developed and developing nations outside the formal U.N. negotiating process.

"The truth is if this is left to the negotiators ... I think we'll fail," Miliband said. "If we can get a way forward, narrow some of the differences between the countries which represent the lion's share of the problem, then it might make those U.N. talks a bit easier."

Sweden's environment minister Andreas Carlgren, representing the European Union, will hold separate talks with representatives from China and India during the meeting, his spokesman Lennart Boden said.

"All the important components that need solving ahead of Copenhagen will be up for discussion here," Boden said. "By tomorrow afternoon we should know if there have been any changes to positions."

One further negotiating session is set for November in Barcelona, Spain.

But pessimism was mounting that a deal can be struck without policy changes at the highest level.

"In recent months, the prospects that states will actually agree to anything in Copenhagen are starting to look worse and worse," Rajendra Pachauri, head of the U.N. scientific panel studying climate change, wrote in a Friday post on the Newsweek Web site.

President Barack Obama initiated the Major Economies Forum earlier this year as an informal caucus to quietly deal with the toughest problems. Participants agree to keep the talks confidential.

A key issue is helping poor countries adapt to changes in the earth's climate that threaten to flood coastal regions, make farming unpredictable and spread diseases. They also need funds and technologies to develop their economies without overly increasing pollution.

Estimates range in the hundreds of billions of dollars needed every year, but a formula for raising, administering and distributing the funds has proved elusive.

Rapidly growing nations like India, China, Brazil and Mexico have agreed to draw up national strategies for slowing the growth of greenhouse gas emissions, but resist making those limits binding and subject to international monitoring in a treaty.

Industrial countries agree to reduce their own emissions, but not to the levels scientists say are required to avert climate catastrophes.

___

Associated Press Writer Malin Rising in Stockholm, Sweden, contributed to this report


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The world's future is being decided this weekend: Nicholas Stern

We must agree to halt deforestation and curtail air travel now if the Copenhagen summit is to succeed
Nicholas Stern, The Observer, The Guardian 18 Oct 09;

Energy and environment ministers from the world's major economies are meeting in London today to try to accelerate crucial negotiations over an international treaty on climate change.

Strong progress has been made in the past few weeks, with Japan, for example, announcing that it will cut its emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases by 25% by 2020 relative to levels in 1990.

But there are still major obstacles and some doubt whether a strong global deal can be hammered out in time for the United Nations's conference on climate change in Copenhagen, now just seven weeks away.

Agreement can be reached if governments now focus on the key issue: the required overall reduction in emissions, with rich countries taking the lead through strong, binding targets and financial support for developing countries. Numbers are important to this, so let me explain why.

Global emissions of greenhouse gases in 2010 are likely to be about 47bn tonnes of carbon-dioxide-equivalent (they may have exceeded 50bn tonnes without the global economic slowdown). Countries around the world have been designing programmes that could reduce annual emissions to about 49bn tonnes of carbon-dioxide-equivalent in 2020, compared with 55 to 60bn tonnes under "business as usual".

However, to have a reasonable chance of cost-effectively limiting a rise in global average temperature to no more than 2˚C, beyond which scientists regard as "dangerous" to go, annual emissions must be reduced to below 44bn tonnes by 2020, well below 35bn tonnes in 2030 and well below 20bn tonnes by 2050.

Put another way, today's average world emissions per capita are nearly 7 tonnes of carbon-dioxide-equivalent each year, with big variations between countries: for instance, the United States emits about 24 tonnes per head while the figure for India is below 2 tonnes.

By 2050, the global population is projected to rise to 9 billion, so average per head emissions will have to be lower than 2 tonnes per year on average. For rich countries, this will require a cut in annual emissions by at least 80% by 2050.

But given that China's emissions are 6 tonnes per head and growing, and that today's developing countries will be home to 8 billion people in 2050, it is clear that they must also be at the heart of the action on climate change.

So we must find a further cut of 5bn tonnes on top of current intentions for 2020. This is achievable. For example, greater efforts on tackling deforestation could reduce emissions cost-effectively by at least another 2.5bn tonnes. International shipping and aviation could further reduce the global total by at least half a billion tonnes.

The rich countries could also reduce the global total by more than a billion tonnes if they implement their conditional "high-ambition" commitments – the European Union, for instance, will increase its cuts by 2020, relative to 1990 levels, from 20% to 30% if there is a strong global deal.

Developing countries could also make a similar contribution through finding improved ways of achieving economic growth while lowering their emissions per unit of output. In both rich and poor countries, there is great potential both from energy efficiency and new low-emissions technologies.

All of this can be achieved in the next decade with carefully designed policies. Indeed, if we set out strongly on this road we will create a new era of prosperity and growth. Innovators are full of ideas and investors see the opportunities. They now need confidence in strong international policy.

Many developing countries have already drawn up detailed plans for making the transition to a low-carbon economy and have taken significant steps forward in the last few weeks.

For instance, Hu Jintao, the Chinese president, announced last month at a United Nations summit in New York that his country will cut carbon dioxide emissions per unit of gross domestic product by a "notable margin" by 2020 compared with levels in 2005.

Jairam Ramesh, the Indian environment minister, last weekend outlined a series of important measures that his country intends to take across a wide range of sectors, including the goal of obtaining a fifth of its energy from solar, wind and hydro sources by 2020.

Rich countries must give their backing to these plans by providing developing countries with $100bn a year by the early 2020s, for measures to reduce emissions (much of which could be delivered by the operation of carbon markets), and a further $100bn to help them adapt to the effects of climate change that cannot now be avoided. Developing countries are likely to doubt the credibility of such commitments unless the rich countries also set an intermediate target of $50bn per year by 2015.

These sums must be over and above current commitments on official development assistance. They may appear large, but $200bn represents around 0.5% of the current gross domestic product of the rich countries, and is tiny compared to the risks that can be avoided by an international agreement. And it will not be possible to overcome poverty in poor countries without also tackling the threat of climate change: the global deal must be founded on a clear understanding that these two issues are closely bound together.

An ambitious deal on climate change that is effective, efficient and equitable is within our grasp, but only if our political leaders remain focused on the core common goals and maintain their determination to reach agreement.

Lord Stern is chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment and IG Patel professor of economics and government at the London School of Economics and Political Science


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