Best of our wild blogs: 9 Jan 09


St John's southern shore
on the wonderful creation blog

Birds of Marsiling Secondary School!
on the Brandon Photography blog

Siberian Stonechat
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

A male Crimson Sunbird and the torch ginger flowers
on the Bird Ecology Study Group blog

A look at one of the world's rarest starfish!
on the Echinoblog

Nature Explorers’ Programme
on the Raffles Museum News blog

Finding out plans for reclamation and coastal development
not for the faint hearted on the wild shores of singapore blog


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Gory death in Penang waters

New Straits Times 9 Jan 09;

GEORGE TOWN: A dolphin's carcass was washed ashore at the Bayu Senja beach in Batu Ferringhi.

Boestamam Ismail said he and his friend were shocked by the condition of the two-metre-long, 45kg dolphin.The carcass was disembowelled, its skin had turned white and it emanated a foul smell.


He believed the dolphin had died several days ago.

"I think the dolphin might have lost its way and entered Penang waters. It's weird... so many sea animals seem to be turning up dead."
Last Friday, beach-goers at Teluk Bahang were surprised to see the carcass of a rare giant whale shark.

The majestic seven-metre-long, two-tonne mammal was trapped in the net of a trawler about 18km off Pulau Kendi.

It was still alive when it was towed ashore at 5.30am, but died shortly afterwards.

On Dec 14, the carcass of a two-metre-long dolphin was spotted floating off the Esplanade seafront.

It was later pulled out of the water by a local television channel cameraman, who happened to be at the spot.

The dolphin had suffered a deep cut on the head, believed to have been caused by the propeller of a boat about two or three days earlier.


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Tianjin eco-city: Making green dollars and sense

Straits Times 9 Jan 09;

IF THERE is one thing that Mr Goh Chye Boon wants to achieve with the Tianjin eco-city, it is to create a good living environment for residents of all income groups, and not just the rich.

Its 30 sq km plot of land is 40km from Tianjin's city centre, 150km from the capital Beijing, and surrounded by manufacturing activity from various industrial zones.

Its location allows it to attract not only executives and workers from nearby factories as residents, but also those living in congested areas in the Tianjin city centre and Beijing, explains the CEO of the Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-City Investment and Development Company.

The target: to build all types of housing for 350,000 residents over the next 15 years, with good public transport connections such as a light rail link to the Tianjin city centre.

Mr Goh explains: 'We are most focused on creating homes where people can put down roots and not just for investment. Hence, you must have the whole spectrum of the population because different parts of the population perform different roles in a city.'

To put the 'eco' in 'eco-city', the various types of public housing and private homes will be designed according to building codes similar to Singapore's green-mark rating system, which encourages developers to incorporate environmentally friendly and energy-saving features in buildings.

Singapore agencies like the Housing and Development Board and the Building and Construction Authority are working with their counterparts in China to develop such green housing.

Other eco-city projects being developed elsewhere in China and the world - like the one in Dongtan off Shanghai - have touted cutting-edge ecological features such as a zero-emissions building design.

But Mr Goh feels such solutions are not practical for a rapidly urbanising China that has to solve the problem of how to house large numbers of people.

'All of us are thinking the same thing - how to develop cities in a sustainable way, reduce carbon, make better use of water and renewable energy - but you can go to the extremes of pushing for all these and then create a high-cost city that very few people can afford,' he argues.

This is where he thinks Singaporean pragmatism gives the Tianjin eco-city an advantage. 'We put in place down-to-earth, practical ideas because we believe these ideas can make it affordable for Chinese residents.'

Apart from building homes, the Tianjin eco-city is also seeking to develop its own economic activity in the form of business parks, and hopes to attract companies in environmental services such as waste management and the provision of clean water.

Next year, it will start building its first business park on 30ha of land, which when ready could create 10,000 to 15,000 jobs and become another compelling reason for Chinese urbanites to move to the eco-city, says Mr Goh.

Construction of the eco-city will be in stages, with an initial start-up area of 4 sq km to be completed in three to five years.

In the next few months, developers will start work on the first one-third (around 100ha) of this start-up area. Another 100ha of development projects have either been secured or are being negotiated.

While the global financial crisis has seen many multinational companies shutting down factories and slowing production in China's export-driven regions, he does not think that Tianjin will be hard hit as much of its production is for domestic consumption.

Nor does he think potential investors in the eco-city will be put off by a slump in the business cycle as environmentally sustainable economic development is a 'longer-term priority that developing countries, especially China, cannot afford not to invest in'.

The Qatar Investment Authority is planning to take a minority stake in the Singapore half of the eco-city joint venture.

Beijing recently announced a 4 trillion yuan (S$868 billion) fiscal stimulus package for its economy, and one of the key thrusts of this package is public housing. That will lead to the building of more such housing to meet demand, which can only help the eco-city, says Mr Goh.

CLARISSA OON

Mr Eco-city goes the extra mile
Straits Times 9 Jan 09;

Mr Goh Chye Boon, chief executive officer of the China-Singapore joint-venture company set up to develop an eco-city in Tianjin, China, talks about the project's aims and how it will incorporate high environmental standards
By Clarissa Oon
TWO years ago, Mr Goh Chye Boon set about convincing four million Singaporeans to smile in a campaign leading up to the International Monetary Fund (IMF)-World Bank meetings.

No challenge was too great for the then-executive director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), who pulled out all the stops to host and impress top finance officials from around the world during their week-long pow-wow here in September 2006.

Now deputy secretary in charge of special projects at the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI), the 38-year-old has established himself as the civil service's point man on high-stakes commercial projects. Singapore's first Formula One (F1) race last year was also his baby.

These days, you will not find him at his desk at MTI, but deep in the industrial heartland of China - specifically, in the northern manufacturing city of Tianjin, where he is working with Chinese and international partners to build a flagship 30sq km eco-city.

But whether in China or on home turf, the same principle applies for the energetic civil servant: Make a 'personal effort to connect' with every stakeholder and get him involved.

'Definitely, you need everybody on board and you must be able to convince people that the shared goals are the same before you can get there,' says the freshly minted chief executive officer of the China-Singapore joint-venture company behind the eco-city.

Mr Goh's office in Tianjin looks out onto a barren, frost-covered site - northern China is facing one of its harshest winters in years.

With the first flush of spring, pile drivers will move in to build the eco-city's first residences and offices. Over the next 15 to 20 years, affordable housing, public transport and services, all built and run according to high environmental standards, are expected to take shape.

The goal is to develop a model of environmental sustainability for future Chinese cities, as the downside of China's economic miracle has been smoggy skies, waste-choked rivers and way too many cars on the road.

In for the long haul

In keeping with his hands-on style of management, Mr Goh has insisted that he and his 30-strong Singaporean team make Tianjin, rather than Singapore, their base.

At some point, he is prepared to uproot his wife, a finance professional, and their two young sons, aged three and six. The family will personally test out the eco-city by becoming one of its first residents.

'I will likely invest in one home because I think the best way to get to the heart of (the development's effectiveness) is if you feel comfortable when you stay there,' he tells Insight, looking excited at the prospect.

The eco-city is a 50-50 joint venture between a Chinese consortium and a Singapore consortium.

The Chinese consortium is led by Tianjin Teda Investment Holding Company - a large Chinese company responsible for a major high-tech industrial zone just minutes away from the eco-city - while the Singapore consortium is led by Keppel Group.

Interviewed at his office here at Keppel Bay Tower during a recent visit home, Mr Goh was looking a little under the weather - which he attributed to the change from Tianjin's sub-zero temperature to tropical Singapore.

Yet this did not stop his mind from going in all directions - his train of thought is like a web rather than a straight line. His words tumble out spontaneously in an effort to keep up with his thoughts.

An economist by training, he appears to thrive on complicated, long-haul projects, despite the personal sacrifices that come with them.

Prior to the eco-city, he had spent six years of his life preparing for the 2006 IMF-World Bank meetings.

He spearheaded Singapore's bid to host the event for the first time, and as chairman of the organising committee, marshalled thousands of public service officers to host finance ministers and central bank governors from more than 180 countries.

For him, the global event was a 'platform to give a lasting impression that everything you want to do in Singapore, you can get done, which means we really had to create the atmosphere for it'.

This was why he personally pushed very hard for the 'Four Million Smiles' campaign to encourage Singaporeans to smile when greeting visitors attending the IMF and World Bank meetings.

Otherwise, the meeting would just 'be (something) very exclusive for a small group of people. How would the rest of Singapore be involved?', he had wondered.

For F1's first-ever night race last September, he had much less time to get the Team Singapore engine firing - just 16 months.

To transform the streets of Marina Bay into a floodlit, racing-car circuit ready for the world's television cameras, his team worked closely with the private sector and planned for all sorts of contingencies.

He was all prepared for a wet-weather F1 because 'the week before we were doing our final touches, it was raining cats and dogs'. Fortunately, the weather stayed clear during the race.

Though building a northern Chinese township from scratch would seem a world away from the bright lights of his earlier projects, he jokes that all three had one common 'curse': bad weather.

'For the IMF-World Bank meetings, it wasn't the demonstrators that caused me the biggest headache, it was the rain,' he quips.

Mr Goh does have one natural advantage going into a project with China: He comes from a Chinese-speaking family, speaks Hokkien, Cantonese and Teochew, and aced Chinese in school.

He also had ample experience dealing with China when he was with the Finance Ministry seven years ago, and then later at both MAS and MTI.

Closing the gap with China

While language and cultural familiarity count for a lot with the Chinese, 'beyond language, you know, it really is the personal effort to try to connect, it's the same whether you are in China or India or Singapore', he says.

Mr Goh had no hand in the development of south-eastern China's Suzhou Industrial Park. China and Singapore's first bilateral project, launched in 1994, was riddled with misunderstanding during its early years.

Among them: Chinese officials reportedly found their Singaporean counterparts arrogant in insisting on doing things the way they were done in Singapore, while the Singapore side found that promises made by the central government did not translate into action by city officials.

Both sides eventually learnt from the experience and Suzhou is now a textbook example of a business-friendly industrial park management in China.

When Mr Goh arrived in Tianjin, he found that 'the Chinese knew so much about Suzhou, they had studied it so much that the first thing I did when I came back to Singapore was to ask MTI for the Suzhou file, to try to catch up'.

Chinese officials, he believes, have come a long way in terms of management know-how. In particular, younger Chinese leaders, many of whom trained in the West, have closed the gap with their Singapore counterparts.

All levels of Chinese government have put their stamp of approval on the Tianjin eco-city project. Premier Wen Jiabao signed the framework agreement to develop the city in November 2007 and officiated at the ground-breaking ceremony last September.

The Tianjin municipal government recently pledged to invest $3.6 billion in eco-city infrastructure over the next three years.

The Chinese side has projected the total cost of the project over its 15 years of development at around $10 billion.

Mr Goh's approach in dealing with his Chinese colleagues in the joint-venture company is simple: 'We're there to build this new city together; there's no sense of whether this is a Singapore export or Singapore-managed'.

On a personal note, missing out on milestones in his children's lives because of his pressure-cooker job has proven tougher than dealing with cultural differences.

'The three-year-old - one fine day, I saw him walking and I asked my wife, 'How did he walk?''

As for his older son who has just started primary school, 'I don't even remember when he started to talk', he says ruefully, crediting his wife for holding the fort at home.

Supportive family aside, what has kept him going is the memory of his humble beginnings: his father was an odd-job labourer and he was the only one of six children who was English-educated.

As a boy, Mr Goh knew he had to work harder than his peers to get anywhere in life - which he did, winning a government scholarship to study at the London School of Economics and bagging a first-class honours degree in econometrics.

Sitting on the 18th floor of Keppel Bay Tower with a spectacular view of the luxury waterfront district below, he muses: 'It's already a very satisfying journey to come here from where I started out, from the days of not even knowing my ABCs when I started primary school.'


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Indonesian Fishermen Slam Trawling Resumption

Jakarta Globe 8 Jan 09;

The government’s decision to lift a ban on trawling by commercial fishing vessels will further deplete the country’s fish resources and hurt the thousands of traditional, small-scale fishermen who depend on the sea for a living, said an organization representing the workers.

Riza Damanik, the general secretary of the People’s Coalition for Justice in Fishing, or Kiara, said on Wednesday that the decision by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries to once again allow the use of trawl nets in designated areas was a retrograde step for the industry. Instead of stimulating economic growth, he said, the legalization of trawling could reduce the incomes of fishermen by up to 60 percent.

He said the economic circumstances of traditional fishermen were worrisome. According to ministry figures, fishermen earned an average of Rp 519,000 ($48.27) per month in 2008. Meanwhile, more than 70 percent of the national fish catch was landed by small-scale fishermen using boats weighing less than three gross tons.

“It is completely unacceptable for the government to permit trawling again, even if it is to be confined to designated areas,” Riza said.

The use of trawl nets in Indonesian waters was prohibited by a 1980 presidential decree. However, the maritime affairs and fisheries minister issued a regulation in April authorizing the granting of permits for the use of trawl nets.

According to the regulation, trawling will only be allowed in designated areas off East Kalimantan Province, with all of the waters involved being within the maritime boundaries of Nunukan, Bulungan, Nunukan, Tana Tidung, and Kota Tarakan districts.

The use of trawl nets is frequently criticized by environmentalists because of the damage they cause to the sea floor and the fact that they snare both marketable and non-marketable fish, with the latter being dumped. The practice can also lead to overfishing.

Damanik argued that the minister had no power to overrule the presidential decree, which has been on the statute books for more than 20 years.

Originally, the ministerial regulation was due to come into effect on Jan. 1, but this has been pushed back as the ministry is still working on quotas for the number of vessels that will be allowed to use trawl nets.

Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Minister Freddy Numberi said trawling would only be allowed in waters off East Kalimantan. He said a licensing system was needed to counter illegal fishing in Indonesian waters by large Malaysian vessels.

“The Malaysian vessels have an advantage in fishing our waters off East Kalimantan because they are equipped with trawl nets for deep-sea fishing. By contrast, our vessels aren’t equipped with these nets as our regulations prohibit trawling,” Numberi said.

Due to this situation, he said, the ministry had decided to issue trawling licenses to help boost the earnings of local fishermen.

Numberi said the issuing of trawling licenses also had a bearing on national territory. “The more Indonesian vessels there are in one area, the clearer it will be that it is our territory. So the Malaysians won’t be so easily able to exploit it,” he said.

According to ministry figures, the traditional fisheries sector landed 5.17 million tons of fish in 2008, worth Rp 43.9 trillion, compared with 5.04 tons the year before.


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Rare Javanese gibbon faces extinction

The Jakarta Post 9 Jan 09;

The Indonesian Primatological Association warned Thursday that Indonesian could lose the unique Owa Jawa (Javanese Gibbon) in less than a decade unless serious action is taken to protect the species.

A 2008 survey found only 2,000 Javanese Gibbons (Hylobates moloch) still lived in Java’s forests, mainly in Ujung Kulon National Park, Tangkuban Perahu Mountain, Ciremai Mountain and Papandayan Mountain, almost half as many as the 4,500 reported in 2004.

“The threats to the Javanese Gibbon include habitat degradation and fragmentation, and the trapping oftheir young to be kept as pets,” Made Wedana from the Indonesian Primatological Association told The Jakarta Post on Thursday.

The survey was conducted in December 2008 in 63 areas throughout West and Central Java.

The study found only 300 Javanese Gibbons in Ujung Kulon National Park and said the species stands a 50 percent chance of extinction within the next 10 years, or three generations.

The survey blamed dwindling forest areas in Java for the drastic decrease in the gibbon population, and said surveyors found animal traps and Javanese Gibbons being kept illegally for sale.

Only 5 percent of the Javanese Gibbon’s former habitat now remains due to progressive and vast deforestation.

Made said the grey-colored primate, which has a loud and distinctive voice and eats fruit bugs and leaves, requires the safety of a heavy forest canopy for survival.

“The current scarcity of this gibbon demonstrates the critical condition of Java’s forest,” Made said.

“I think we have to be more concerned about our forests, not only to save the Javanese Gibbons but to ensure human survival,” Made said.

“The Javanese Gibbon is not as popular as the Orangutan, but we have to protect them or these creatures will entirely disappear.”

The Javanese Gibbon is one of 10 high priority animal species in Indonesia that need special treatment. Besides Javanese Gibbons, Orangutans (Pongo abeii) and Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) are also on the critically endangered list. (naf)


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Seized pangolins might have returned to illegal market

WWF 9 Jan 09;

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia - Wildlife trade monitors say they are alarmed by the possibility that seized pangolins and pangolin scales went back on the illegal market soon after they were auctioned in Vietnam.

In December, Vietnamese customs officials in Cai Lan seaport, Quang Ninh, Vietnam seized 4,400kg of frozen pangolins and 900kg of pangolin scales in similar packaging to pangolins seized early last year that went up for auction in October.

Pangolins – also known as Scaly Anteaters – are the most commonly seized illegally trafficked mammals in east and south-east Asia with an estimated 100,000 a year required to satisfy Chinese demand for scales for traditional medicinal uses. Last October, pangolins were elevated from a near threatened to an endangered status in the International Union for the Conservation of Nature’s (IUCN) Red List assessment.

“Selling off the seized pangolins sent out entirely the wrong message,” said Sulma Warne, Greater Mekong Programme Co-ordinator of TRAFFIC, the IUCN and WWF wildlife trade monitoring network.

“While it was permissible under Vietnamese law, it undermined the very enforcement efforts that led to the seizure, for which the government received much-deserved praise.

“This latest seizure in Quang Ninh re-affirms the need to destroy all seized wildlife products, as sell-offs such as the one in October only help to increase demand for pangolins in the region. We call on the authorities to think carefully about how they deal with the seized pangolins in this case.”

At the time of their initial seizure, pangolins had been shipped from Indonesiaand were en route to China. TRAFFIC expressed concern at the plans to auction the seizure, drawing attention to Indonesia’s destruction of meat and scales from a July 2000 raid on a warehouse that resulted in the seizure of nearly 14 tonnes of frozen pangolin and the arrest of 14 suspects.

A lack of transparency on the auction outcome has hampered inquiries into where the pangolins had gone, although it is understood they had been transferred to the winning bidder.

“With this new seizure, Viet Nam has another chance to make good on their progress towards protecting pangolins by following the positive example from Indonesia,” said Chris Shepherd, Senior Programme Officer for TRAFFIC Southeast Asia.

Commercial international trade in pangolins is banned under CITES (the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora). The illegal trade sees pangolins harvested mostly in Malaysiaand Indonesiaand trafficked through the Greater Mekong region for consumption mostly in China, but also increasingly in Viet Nam.

Viet Namand Indonesiaare members of ASEAN Wildlife Enforcement Network (ASEAN-WEN), a partnership that seeks to end illegal cross-border wildlife trade in the region.

Local hunters throughout Southeast Asiareport that pangolins are becoming increasingly scarce.

“There is a crucial need to move pangolin conservation up the political agenda,” said Shepherd. “It’s now or never for pangolins.”

Watchdog urges Vietnam to destroy, not sell, seized illegal wildlife
Yahoo News 9 Jan 09;

HANOI (AFP) – Wildlife trade monitors urged Vietnam on Friday to destroy rather than sell on seized illegal animals.

The TRAFFIC network said a China-bound shipment of pangolins, or scaly anteaters, from Indonesia seized by Vietnamese customs early last year may have re-entered the market after authorities auctioned the smuggled goods.

Two months after the October auction in the northern port of Haiphong, Vietnamese customs officials last month seized a similar five-tonne (ton) shipment in another port close to the Chinese border, said TRAFFIC.

"The proximity of the two events, as well as the similarity in the size and packaging, has called into question the origin of the newly seized pangolins, with some speculating the shipment may have at least partially been sourced from the pangolins auctioned in October 2008," said the group.

The latest seizure "reaffirms the need to destroy all seized wildlife products, as sell-offs such as the one in October only help increase demand for pangolins in the region", said TRAFFIC Mekong region coordinator Sulma Warne.

At least 100,000 pangolins, mostly from Malaysia and Indonesia, are smuggled into China every year for use in traditional medicine, said the group.

Pangolins -- listed as endangered since last year by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) -- are the most frequently seized mammals in the illegal Asian wildlife trade, said TRAFFIC.


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Medicinal plants in danger of dying out

The decimation of wild medicinal plants could threaten the health of millions of people around the world who rely on traditional medicine to treat serious illness, according to scientists.

Louise Gray, The Telegraph 7 Jan 09;

Plantlife, the conservation charity, point out that traditional medicine is the primary source of health care for more people worldwide than western medicine – often because it is the only affordable treatment available. For example plants in east Africa are used to treat malaria and opportunistic infections caused by HIV Aids.

However around 15,000 species are under threat from pollution, over-harvesting and habitat loss, including Himalayan Yew, known as a source of anti-cancer drugs. The decimation of the plants is not only leading to a loss of traditional knowledge but could prevent a breakthrough in treating conditions like migraines, fever and even cancer.

Plantlife have compiled a report on the best way to protect plants for the future, following a three-year study of projects around the world involving medicinal plants. Projects included developing medicinal first aid kits in Uganda, establishing China's first ever community nature reserve for wild medicinal plants and promoting the cultivation of medicinal plants by local farmers in Nepal.

Alan Hamilton, the author of the report, said protecting medicinal plants is not only important for human health but for the surrounding ecosystem.

He said: "Focusing on medicinal plants has the potential to be a major motivating force behind nature conservation. Improving health, earning an income and maintaining cultural traditions are important to us all – wherever we live – and all three are involved in motivating people to conserve medicinal plants, and thus the habitats where they grow."


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Billions could go hungry from global warming by 2100

Catherine Brahic, New Scientist 9 Jan 09;

There is a 90% chance that 3 billion people will have to choose between going hungry and moving their families to milder climes because of climate change within 100 years, says new research.

The study forecasts that temperatures at the close of this century are likely to be above those that crippled food supplies on at least three occasions since 1900.

These maps show the likelihood that future average summer temperatures will be higher than the highest on record for 1900 to 2006 (Image: Science/AAAS)

David Battisti, a climatologist at the University of Washington, used 23 models vetted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to calculate how temperatures will vary with climate change.

Unlike previous studies, his team focused on temperatures during growing seasons around the world. This allowed them to determine the effect on food supplies.

Their results show there is a 90% chance that average temperatures in the tropics and subtropics will be higher than the hottest heat waves of the past century. With more than 3 billion people living in those areas, most of whom rely heavily on locally produced crops for both food and income, the effects could be catastrophic.
Expanding desert

In the Sahel, the belt of semi-arid land that lies just south of the Sahara, average temperatures between 2080 and 2100 are predicted to be a couple of degrees higher than the hottest temperatures experienced in that region between 1900 and 2006.

This is a region that resembles a desert during the dry season, and where crops can only grow if monsoon rains are sufficient. From the late 1960s to the early 1990s, the Sahel suffered one of the worst droughts in living memory. Although the seasonal monsoon rains have since returned to some parts, temperatures can still be so high that rainwater evaporates before it hits the ground.

"The Sahel might not be a region that can support agriculture in future," says Battisti's colleague Rosamund Naylor, of Stanford University's programme on food security and the environment. Farming currently employs 60% of the population and supplies 40% of the GDP. "It is likely that there will be migration out of agricultural areas into rural areas or other countries," says Naylor. "We need to prepare for this."
Crops hit hard

Poor countries will not be the only ones to suffer. The models suggest that the heat wave which struck Europe in 2003, killing 52,000 people, will become the norm by 2080.

Not only did the 2003 heatwave take lives, it also had long-lasting effects on European food supplies. The highest temperatures hit at the height of the summer growing season. It Italy, maize yields dropped by 36% in one year; in France, fruit harvests were cut by one quarter.

In the summer of 1972, temperatures in southeast Ukraine and southwest Russia were between 2 and 4 °C higher than the long-term average at the time.

The region represented the former-USSR's main breadbasket. The heatwave caused grain production across the USSR to drop by 13%. Instead of dealing with the losses domestically, as it had done previously, the government unexpectedly decided to enter the global market. As a result, global grain prices were affected.
Scientific solution?

"What our study shows is that temperatures over land for seasons where the main crops are grown will be way out of norm," says Naylor. "That is what we have to prepare for." She adds that if shortages happen at the same time around the world, global food markets will not be able to come to the rescue.

For many agricultural scientists, the solution lies in crops that are either genetically modified or bred to be more heat-resistant.

"For new varieties to be developed, tested, [and] released, and for seed to become available to farms in significant quantities, it takes more than a decade, in spite of modern tools," says Marianne Banziger, director of the Global Maize Program at the agricultural research institute CIMMYT.

"We need to change our investment strategy now, or we are headed towards major food insecurities," she says.

Journal reference: Science (DOI: 10.1126/science.1164363)

Heat may spark world food crisis
James Morgan, BBC News 8 Jan 09;

Half the world's population could face climate-induced food crisis by 2100, a new report by US scientists warns.

Rapid warming is likely to reduce crop yields in the tropics and subtropics, according to Prof David Battisti of Washington University in Seattle.

The most extreme summers of the last century will become the norm, he calculates, using 23 climate models.

We must urgently create crops tolerant to heat and drought if we are to adapt in time, he writes in Science journal.

"The stresses on global food production from temperature alone are going to be huge," said Mr Battisti, a professor of atmospheric sciences.

"And that doesn't take into account water supplies stressed by the higher temperatures."

He collaborated with Professor Rosamond Naylor, director of Stanford University's Program on Food Security and the Environment, to examine the impact of climate change on the world's food security.

Beyond extreme

The duo combined direct observations with projections from 23 global climate models that contributed to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) 2007 global assessment.

They calculate there is greater than 90% probability that by 2100, the average growing-season temperatures in the tropics and subtropics will be higher than any temperatures recorded there to date.

"We are taking the worst of what we've seen historically and saying that in the future it is going to be a lot worse unless there is some kind of adaptation," said Professor Naylor.

"This is a compelling reason for us to invest in adaptation, because it is clear that this is the direction we are going in terms of temperature and it will take decades to develop new food crop varieties that can better withstand a warmer climate."

In the tropics, the higher temperatures can be expected to cut yields of the primary food crops, maize and rice, by 20-40%, the researchers said.

Rising temperatures also are likely to reduce soil moisture, cutting yields even further.

Currently three billion people live in the tropics and subtropics, and their number is expected nearly to double by the end of the century.

"You are talking about hundreds of millions of additional people looking for food because they won't be able to find it where they find it now," said Professor Battisti.

Crop failures will not be limited to the tropics, the scientists conclude.

As an example, they cite record temperatures that struck Western Europe in June, July and August of 2003, killing an estimated 52,000 people.

In France and Italy, the heatwave cut wheat yields and fodder production by one-third.

Scientists say such temperatures could be normal for France by 2100.

"I think what startled me the most is that when we looked at our historic examples there were ways to address the problem within a given year. People could always turn somewhere else to find food," Professor Naylor said.

"But in the future there's not going to be any place to turn unless we rethink our food supplies."

"You can let it happen and painfully adapt, or you can plan for it," said Professor Battisti.

"You could also mitigate it and not let it happen in the first place, but we're not doing a very good job of that."

Uncertain future

"This is a very important report," said Dr Geoff Hawtin, director general of the International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) and a former executive secretary of the Global Crop Diversity Trust.

"What worries me is the uncertainty about the speed at which the growing season temperatures will rise.

"We do have long enough to adjust to these kinds of temperature increases - they are well within our capabilities. But it requires a huge effort - much bigger than we are making currently - and it requires us to start now," he told BBC News.

"We don't know where the tipping points are - they could come quite quickly."

Along with some other experts, Dr Hawtin believes that maintaining the maximum level of genetic diversity in crops and seedbanks is a good insurance policy, providing options for developing future strains.

"We are not doing enough," he said.

"We've done a fairly good job on cereal crops, but we have a long way to go on minor crops that could turn out to be of major importance in the future.

"We need to understand more about the physiology of drought and heat resistance in plants - maize, beans, legumes, sorghum, millet - anything which grows in an environment subject to drought.

"We need to take genes for heat tolerance, for example, and put them together in crops.

"And we have to start now."

Harsh reality

As the summers get hotter, said Dr Hawtin: "We can't just move all our crops north (or south) because a lot of crops are photosensitive. Flowering is triggered by day length - so you would run into all sorts of problems if you tried that.

"And even if Russia and Canada turn out to be the world's bread baskets, the cost of transporting the food to Africa will be too much. People in these areas can't afford food now."

Researchers at CIAT are part of the global Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) network, aiming to create new, improved crop varieties able to survive the extreme growing seasons predicted throughout the coming century.

Approaches range from conventional crop breeding to genetic modification.

A number of other public research institutions and commercial companies are also working on drought- and heat-tolerant varieties. Agrichemical giant Monsanto said this week it had made a "significant step" in creating a drought-tolerant maize which could be available as early as 2010.

The genetically modified (GM) corn, which Monsanto claims will "reset the bar" in farming productivity, has moved to the final stage of development and could reach commercial usage within two years, the company said.

However, the claims were dismissed as "hype and misinformation," by Bill Freese, a science analyst at the Centre for Food Safety in Washington DC.


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Hong Kong residents have twice footprint of China's

WWF 8 Jan 09;

Hong Kong - Hong Kong residents are using nearly twice the resources of citizens of mainland China, according to an ecological footprint assessment by WWF Hong Kong and the Global Footprint Network (GFN).

Hong Kong’s ecological footprint per person is more than double the sustainable level, and the carbon component has increased approximately seven-fold since 1965 according to the first Ecological Footprint Report for Hong Kong, released late last year.

According to the report, Hong Kong residents require an area of land and sea greater than the size of 250 Hong Kongs to produce the natural resources it consumes, and to absorb the carbon dioxide it is responsible for emitting.

To reduce Hong Kong's ecological deficit, WWF is urging Hong Kong to put the concept of "Low Carbon Economy” into real action immediately and develop a comprehensive energy strategy.

"Hong Kong is fortunate in having financial resources to transform into a truly modern city where we can live well on a modest ecological footprint,” said Dr Andy Cornish, Director of Conservation WWF Hong Kong.

“In doing so, Hong Kong can lead by example, providing a sustainability blueprint for other cities in China and around the world. However, our current ecological footprint is far beyond the sustainable level. Hong Kong needs to reduce our footprint by increasing efficiency and reducing consumption.”

Hong Kong covers its significant ecological deficit mostly by importing natural resources from other nations. As resource demand around the world continues to grow and resources become increasingly scarce, the report suggests that Hong Kong’s dependency on imported resources poses considerable risk.

"Although small geographically, Hong Kong not only has significant resource demands, but it also has an over-proportional influence on the world," said Global Footprint Network Executive Director Mathis Wackernagel.

"In an era of increasingly limited resources, it will be in Hong Kong's self-interest to take its ecological balance sheet seriously and limit its resource dependence if it wants to stay prosperous and competitive."

The Hong Kong Ecological Footprint Report will be produced by WWF-Hong Kong every two years. "To move towards a more sustainable Hong Kong, we should reduce our footprint to a sustainable level,” said Dr Cornish.

“We already know where to start. The biggest contributor to Hong Kong's footprint is the way in which we generate and use energy: carbon emissions make up 80 per cent of our overall footprint. Reducing carbon emissions is therefore essential to reducing Hong Kong's overall ecological overshoot.”


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China aims to increase coal production 30 pct by 2015: govt

Yahoo News 7 Jan 09;

BEIJING (AFP) – China is aiming to increase its coal production by about 30 percent by 2015 to meet its energy needs, the government has announced, in a move likely to fuel concerns over global warming.

Beijing plans to increase annual output to more than 3.3 billion tonnes by 2015, said Hu Cunzhi, chief planner of the land and resources ministry, said on Wednesday.

That is up from the 2.54 billion tonnes in produced 2007, according to the ministry.

Figures for 2008 have not yet been released.

Annual production of natural gas will more than double to 160 billion cubic metres (5.6 billion cubic feet) by 2015, while that of crude oil will increase by seven percent to more than 200 billion tonnes, according to Hu.

The government will set up reserves of oil and coal as part of its efforts to ensure national energy security, added Hu at a press conference.

China began building four strategic oil reserve facilities on its east coast this decade, and two of these are now in operation.

The country's energy consumption expanded by an average annual rate of 5.4 percent between 1979 and 2007, the official Xinhua news agency said Thursday, which fuelled average annual economic growth of 9.8 percent.

China is dependent on coal for about 70 percent of its energy and because of its thundering growth the country has become one of the two biggest emmitters of greenhouse gases alongside the United States.

Beijing has said that coal, the cheapest and most plentiful source of fuel in China, will remain its major energy source, despite the impact global warming, which is blamed on greenhouse gases, has already had on the country.

However China has repeatedly defended its use of coal, pointing to its efforts to develop renewable energies while blaming industrialised countries for the bulk of the greenhouse gases that are already doing the damage.

It also emphasises that the per capita emissions of greenhouse gases of China, the world's most populous country with more than 1.3 billion people, are far lower than those of the United States and other developed nations.


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Electronics industry trio launches US gadget recycling program

Yahoo News 8 Jan 09;

LAS VEGAS (AFP) – Consumer electronics titans Panasonic, Sharp and Toshiba on Wednesday announced a program to recycle the televisions and other gadgets they sell in the United States.

The global firms on January 15 will begin using an Electronic Manufacturers Recycling Management (MRM) network of 280 locations as collection centers for their products.

MRM is a joint venture that Panasonic, Sharp and Toshiba launched in 2007 and is now coming to fruition.

"We continuously seek ways to reduce impact on the environment," said Sharp chief executive Doug Koshima.

"Together, we have created an electronics recycling program that achieves the dual objectives of being easy and convenient for consumers, while offering the industry a path to efficient, environmentally sound recycling."

MRM will have at least one recycling center in each US state and intends to expand to at least 800 drop-off points. A list of recycle spots is available online at MRMrecycling.com.

"With the establishment of the nationwide recycling program, one of most comprehensive in the industry, we have proven that collaborative effort is the most effective way to provide consumers with convenient recycling opportunities," said MRM president David Thompson.

The companies announced the recycling program on the eve of the start of a premier Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas at which some 2,700 gadget makers will tout their innovations.


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