Best of our wild blogs: 14 Dec 09


Two notable trees of MacRitchie Reservoir Park
from Flying Fish Friends

The Image of our Landscape
from My Itchy Fingers

Upper Seletar, Mandai Orchid garden
from Singapore Nature

Barn Swallow flocking
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Malayan Night Heron catches an earthworm II
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Myopid
from The annotated budak

Almost (at least) a photo a day
from talfryn.net

Strawberry slugcake
from The annotated budak

Open Field Egret
from Manta Blog

Mighty Marvelous Molluscs
from Just across the Horizon

Monday Morgue: 14th December 2009
from The Lazy Lizard's Tales

Behind the Scene of Yummy, Crunchy Soft-Shell Crabs
from Nature Is Awesome


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How green is your Christmas tree?

Victoria Vaughan, Straits Times 14 Dec 09;

Real Christmas trees on sale at Candy Floriculture in Thomson Road. More people in Singapore are using real trees rather than fake ones for their Christmas decorations. A plastic tree that is reused for three to five years will have lower carbon emissions than a real one. TNP FILE PHOTO -- ST PHOTO: DESMOND LIM

POP quiz: Which leaves a bigger carbon footprint, a real tree shipped from Norway, or a fake made in China?

The answer is the tree produced from plastic, which is made from fossil fuels.

But a plastic tree that is reused for three to five years will have lower carbon emissions than a real one, which is replaced yearly after travelling thousands of kilometres to Singapore.

This year, 12,000 Christmas fir trees travelled from their wintry homes in Northern Europe and the United States to Singapore homes, hotels and malls, where they will impart their woody fragrance.

This is a big leap from the average of 7,000 trees that were brought here each year over the last four years. And more people are hankering after the real thing.

Only a few are left at Ikea, which has been selling real Christmas trees since 1990. It imported 2,100 trees from Sweden and Denmark this year by sea in refrigerated containers. They cost $49 to $159, depending on size.

Deputy store manager Lars Svensson said: 'Christmas came early for Ikea Singapore with demand for the live Christmas trees exceeding expectations...Next year, we will boost our quantities to ensure we can meet the demand, which we expect to be even larger next year.'

Nurseries, such as Candy Floriculture and Far East Flora in Thomson Road, also report an increase in demand for real Christmas trees.

Since the early 1990s, both nurseries have sold about 1,000 real trees - sourced from the US - each year, and expect them to be sold out this time round.

Candy Floriculture director Sharon Goh said: 'More people appreciate a live tree now. They live in small units and don't have space to store an artificial tree. Also real trees give out a nice fragrance.'

The trees cost $40 to $14,000 - which was a record two years ago when a 12m-tall tree was supplied to Pan Pacific Hotel.

Miss Goh said that so far, no customer has expressed concern about the environmental impact of having a real Christmas tree. The plant and flower wholesaler

offers a service that collects used trees for recycling into mulch for planting.

Similarly, Ikea's customers can return trees for recycling into woodchucks and mulch, which are used in parks in the first two weeks of January.

Christmas trees adorn not only private homes - the biggest can be found in hotels and malls.

Of the nine hotels interviewed, three had a real Christmas tree, three had opted for artificial trees, and the rest had a combination of the two.

The real trees, 3m to 7.5m tall, are mostly sourced from the US, brought in by sea and will be recycled after the festive season.

The hotels that had artificial trees said they reused them.

A spokesman for the InterContinental Singapore said: 'Our hotel believes in recycling and being environmentally friendly. We reuse our Christmas tree every year, adding different decorations to jazz it up.'

At malls, efforts to come up with the most impressive Christmas trees often lead to bigger and bigger specimens.

This year, the tallest tree, at 83m, is at the Singapore Flyer. Its spokesman said it will recycle its Christmas decorations and materials for the Chinese New Year.

At VivoCity, a fake tree 'grows' a foot taller every year. Its main structure is made of mild steel and has been reused every year since 2007.

After several years of going without a tree, Tangs will put up a 10m-tall fake tree and use energy-saving fairy lights and baubles made of recycled materials.

The decorations will be reused next year after being touched up in a different colour, said a spokesman.

The tree's leaves are made of a reflective material to catch the sunlight and sparkle during the day, while reflecting light from the surrounding decorations at night. 'This way, we won't need that many fairy lights and need to switch them on only at night,' the spokesman added.

Recycling a real tree can reduce its carbon footprint to a point where owning one does not leave such a negative impact on the environment.

Otherwise, that real tree, though lovely, is hardly green at all when it has to be transported thousands of miles.

Dr Michael Quah, principal fellow at the Energy Studies Institute at the National University Singapore, estimates that if a 10kg tree in a forest in Norway were to be cut down, taken by rail to the capital Oslo, then flown to Singapore, where it is transported by road from Changi and then burned after use - it would emit 0.045 tonnes of carbon - equal to the carbon footprint of a person flying from Singapore to Kuala Lumpur.

If it is brought in by sea, the emission would be cut to a third - 0.016 tonnes.

If all Singapore's 12,000 Christmas trees went through the air freight cycle, they would emit about 550 tonnes of carbon dioxide, the footprint of six return trips to the moon by plane. If they were brought in by sea rather than by air, the carbon cost would shrink to about 200 tonnes.

Dr Quah said the biggest impact would come from burning the trees after use, with 0.015 tonnes of carbon being emitted per tree. 'If the tree is recycled, there would still be carbon emissions as it breaks down, but it would not be as great as burning it,' he said.

There are several places that compost trees into wood chips.

Dr David Kamaraj, a soil scientist at Kiat Lee Landscape and Building in Kranji Crescent, said there is an increase in such business after Christmas.

'Compost acts as a soil conditioner. It retains moisture, acts as mulching material, increases microbial load in soil, loosens the soil and supplies nutrients.'

So Christmas trees can be greener if you keep reusing an artificial tree for three to five years or recycle a real one brought to Singapore by sea, after the festive season is over.

Mr Samuel Wee, 30, who has been buying a real Christmas tree for the past four years, said he may stop.

'Four years ago, I read a Straits Times article on real trees and it spurred my interest. I like the way they look and smell, and they really add to the Christmas mood. When I host parties, it's a talking point,' he said.

The property agent said he became concerned about the environment this year.

'When I bought my tree from Far East Flora, I was told that they take about 10 years to grow. It's not just Singapore that uses Christmas trees, so there must be a lot of trees chopped down,' he said. 'If it becomes a global issue, I may stopping buying real trees for the greater good.'

Additional reporting by Ben Nadarajan

DREAMING OF A GREEN CHRISTMAS is a three-part weekly series leading up to Christmas which looks at how environmentally friendly some of the festive traditions are. In this second part, we look at both real and fake Christmas trees' carbon footprints. Next Monday, we look at how green greeting cards, wrapping paper and gifts can get.

Real Christmas Trees 'Greener' than Fake
Andrea Thompson, LiveScience.com Yahoo News 10 Dec 09;

It may not sound like "tree-hugging," but cutting down a real tree for Christmas is actually greener than going with the artificial kind, one scientist says.

"It is a little counterintuitive to people," said Clint Springer, a biologist at Saint Joseph's University in Philadelphia.

Because of concerns over deforestation around the world, many people naturally worry that buying a real tree might contribute to that problem, Springer says. But most Christmas trees for sale these days are grown not in the forest but on tree farms, for the express purpose of being cut.

Moreover, from a greenhouse gas perspective, real trees are "the obvious choice," Springer told LiveScience.

Live trees actively photosynthesize as they grow from saplings, which removes carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. After they have been cut and Christmas is over, they're usually chipped for mulch. As mulch, the bits of tree very slowly decompose, releasing carbon dioxide back into the atmosphere. So in the end, a real Christmas tree is carbon neutral, putting the same amount of carbon dioxide back into the air as it took out (albeit much more slowly).

The tree farms that grew the trees also replant after the trees are cut.

Artificial trees, on the other hand, don't come out even in the carbon balance. Petroleum is used to make the plastics in the trees and lots of carbon dioxide-creating energy is required to make and transport them.

Because these trees just end up in landfills after a few years' use, "those greenhouse gases are lost forever," Springer said. "There's really no opportunity to recycle those."

Springer said he suspects that artificial trees have become more popular in recent years because they are more convenient.

Adding to incentives to "go real," this Christmas may also be economic concerns, as most artificial trees are produced in China, while real trees tend to be grown on local farms, Springer said.

Where can I find the greenest Christmas tree?
Plastic trees are coated in vinyl, but you still need to tread carefully through the forest of firs
Lucy Siegle The Observer 13 Dec 09;

I was amazed to hear of a potential shortage of normal Christmas trees this year – the unfavourable sterling/euro exchange rate means fewer conventional Scandinavian firs coming our way, apparently. But on planet eco we can hardly see the wood for the amount of "sustainable", "eco" and "charity" trees on offer. Their collective branches present every conceivable do-gooder scenario. There's the tree that goes on giving (www.christmasforest.co.uk, where for every tree you buy, a new tree will be planted by Tree Aid in Ethiopia); and the tree that goes on living (www.culturelabel.com, where an Eco Tree is delivered to your door in its own pot with a built-in "live root system", and is collected at the end of the festivities and replanted). There's also the certified organic tree (the Elveden estate, www.elveden.com, was the first to receive UKWAS certification from the Soil Association) and the tree that strikes a blow against weedy, mass-produced imports (www.realchristmastrees.co.uk hand-grow theirs in Shropshire and promise robust 10-footers and upwards).

Then there's the Austerity Tree. Traditionally, this would have meant a bunch of twigs sprayed silver and gold, but this year the Austerity Tree on sale at John Lewis has sold out (more are expected this week). Is it a better eco proposition than a real tree? Well, from what I can garner it is made in China and sprayed with fake plastic snow, but then it is reusable. This is the argument used to elevate plastic trees above real, but my opinion is that reusability is the only thing a plastic tree has going for it, given that it is likely to be made from polyvinyl chloride. And how much reuse actually goes on? Millions of plastic trees will surely spend this Christmas clogging up lofts and landfills.

Real trees are far from blameless. In common with other mass agricultural products they wreak havoc when produced without any sustainable forethought. By contrast, all of the greener real trees mentioned earlier have an ethical edge, whether it's because they tackle the amount of pesticide used in conventional Christmas tree farming, that too few trees are recycled; or because they give us trees with a smaller carbon footprint from a local source.

But too many green trees are still missing a crucial ethical point: 90% of the seed for Nordmann firs (5m of which are sold here each year) is derived from natural forests in Georgia. The cone pickers harvest by hand for scandalously low wages in equally scandalously dangerous conditions. In 2004 two workers were killed during the harvest, and since then statistics have been difficult to come by. The Danish grower, Bols Forstplanteskole, has brought in a fairtrade scheme which brings a better deal to the Georgian workers as well as safety equipment and regulations. Their trees, on sale through www.fairwindonline.com, are grown from fairly traded seed. Admittedly they represent another import, but this year they should get the gold star.


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Truly eco-friendly market

Letter from Peter Heng
Today Online 14 Dec 09;

I REFER to the report "S'pore's first eco-friendly supermart" (Dec 11).

Most wet markets save on energy use because they are not air-conditioned and operate only during the day. Products sold in a wet market typically require less warehousing, packaging, labelling or manpower (such as cashiers) as the stall owners operate using a highly efficient business model.

I hope that more Singaporeans, especially the young, will give greater recognition to the wet markets as a truly eco-friendly option.


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Greenpeace Rebuffs Offer of Talks by Indonesia's Sinar Mas

Fidelis E. Satriastanti & Arti Ekawati Jakarta Globe 13 Dec 09;

The international environmental group Greenpeace has ruled out any discussion with PT Sinas Mas unless the crude palm oil company publicly declares a moratorium on its natural forests and peatland projects.

“We’ve actually been invited to their discussions several times, however, we conveyed a very strong message at our last meeting [with Sinar Mas], demanding the company show its commitment to stop damaging natural forests and peatlands. But, the destruction continues,” said Joko Arif, a Greenpeace Southeast Asia forest campaigner.

“They know our demands and there will be no discussions until a moratorium [is in place],” he said, without divulging when the last meeting took place.

On Saturday, Sinar Mas said in a press statement that it was ready to open discussions with Greenpeace on its findings concerning accusations of illegal land clearing in Kalimantan, Riau and Papua.

The company also said that it was disappointed with the Greenpeace report which they labeled as one-sided, inaccurate, exaggerated and misleading.

Greenpeace released a report on Thursday alleging that Sinar Mas companies had cleared forested areas in West Kalimantan without securing the necessary permits as required by the 1999 Forestry Law.

On Friday, however, the Ministry of Forestry came to the defense of Sinar Mas, insisting that the company had violated no law in its West Kalimantan project and that clarification was needed in regard to a continuing misunderstanding over existing regulations governing timber plantations.

The Greenpeace report also estimated that in Riau alone the Sinar Mas average annual emissions from peatland degradation due to palm oil concessions was 2.5 million tons of carbon.

Daud Darsono, president director of Sinar Mas subsidiary PT Smart Tbk, said that the company would be ready to discuss anything with Greenpeace, including a possible moratorium.

“We will be ready to discuss anything, including a moratorium, as long as it will be done with exact standards and [using a] fair method,” said Daud.

Following the Greenpeace report, Unilever, the world’s biggest user of palm oil, announced on Friday that it was suspending purchases from Sinar Mas Group until the company proved its plantations weren’t contributing to deforestation in Asia.

Sinar Mas, however, downplayed the impact of Unilever’s decision, saying that the company was one of its smaller buyers.

According to a PT Smart Tbk newsletter, the company had produced 462,356 tons of CPO from Jan. 1 to Sept. 30 2009.

Daud said that Unilever bought “only three percent of our total crude palm oil production.”

However, Joko Supriyono, the secretary general of the Indonesian Palm Oil Producers Association (Gapki), expressed concerns over Unilever’s decision to terminate the contract based on the Greenpeace report.

“They [buyers from the European Union] often threaten to stop buying crude palm oil from us over environmental concerns. Unilever terminating the buying contract from Smart is a serious matter to us,” Joko told the Jakarta Globe in a telephone interview in Jakarta on Sunday.

Joko said that both Smart and Unilever were members of the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil, a multi-stakeholder organization that sets standards and issues environmental certification for sustainable palm oil.

“I really would regret it if Unilever decided to determine its contracts based on standards set by Greenpeace, which is not an RSPO member,” Joko said.


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Tiger sighting forces temporary school closure in Sumatra

The Jakarta Post 12 Dec 09;

The management of a Muslim boarding school in Tanjung Aur village in Bengkulu will relocate all 30 of its students to other villages due to the frequent sightings of a tiger in the school surroundings.

School principal Sudarmin said Saturday a Sumatran tiger was recently spotted around the school’s yard.

He added the students would continue their studies in Islamic boarding schools in neighboring Padang Kempas village in Kaur Selatan district and in Padang Guci Hulu district.

“We do not want to put our students in danger," Sudarmin told Antara news agency.

"So far, tigers have attacked goats, dogs and chickens but we are afraid they may attack our students," Sudarmin said.

Tanjung Aur village head Tusiran said since the appearance of a tiger in the village, the local residents had been living in constant fear of a tiger attack.

Bengkulu Natural Resources Conservation Agency (BKSDA) spokesman Andi Basrah said the village encroaches on the tiger's natural habitat and therefore it would not be feasible to drive away the protected animal.


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Rare mammal may save Okinawa coastline

Airbase plans violate a US preservation act as Henoko is the natural habitat of the endangered dugong
Anthony Rowley, Business Times 14 Dec 09;

AMID signs that the Japanese government may be preparing to compromise on its tough stand against relocation of a US Marine air base within Okinawa, some protesters against a planned new facility there are pinning their hopes on a humble mammal known as the 'dugong' to spare their idyllic coastline from destruction by the move.

They are looking to the San Francisco Federal Court to confirm a preliminary ruling that plans to construct a new US airbase in the Henoko area of Okinawa are 'illegal'.

The ruling, in January 2008, was that the plans violate the US National Historic Preservation Act (NHPA) because Henoko is the natural habitat of one of Japan's 'cultural assets' - the dugong, which is also classified as an 'endangered species' in the US.

This rather bizarre development comes at a time when US and Japanese governments have hit a deadlock in negotiations over where to site a replacement facility for the Futenma air base in Okinawa, which is scheduled to close by 2014.

In 2006, the US administration of president George W Bush and the then Liberal Democratic Party-led government in Japan agreed to relocate the Futenma base to Henoko in Northern Okinawa as part of a wider 'road' map for the future deployment of US forces in the Asia-Pacific region.

But after current Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama's Democratic Party of Japan swept to power in a landslide election victory in August, Mr Hatoyama insisted that negotiations must be reopened on the move to ease the burden on Okinawa of playing host to thousands of US Marines and other forces.

The prime minister's stand earned him approval by many in Okinawa but it also strained ties with the Obama administration quite severely and threw into question the future of US-Japan security ties and political relations.

This week, Japan's Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada said that talks between the US and Japan over the relocation of Futenma could be shelved because of the impact on bilateral ties at a time when broader negotiations aimed at strengthening the alliance are underway, following President Barack Obama's recent visit here.

Mr Hatoyama has said meanwhile that he will present proposals on the Futenma issue to Mr Obama when the two leaders meet at the Copenhagen climate summit this week. He has not elaborated on the proposals but some speculate that the Japanese government will agree broadly to honour the 2006 agreement.

A spanner could yet be thrown into the works, however, by the Okinawa Dugong Lawsuit being brought by the Japan Environmental Lawyers Foundation and the Centre for Biological Diversity in the US, with the support of a host of other environmental bodies including the World Wide Fund for Nature and Greenpeace.

Under its ruling last year, the San Francisco Federal Court ruled that the US Defense Department had failed to adhere to requirements of the NHPA with regard to necessary consultations over the Henoko Plan and its impact on the local environment.

This was the first case of the US law being applied 'extra-territorially', one of the principal lawyers involved in the suit, Takaaki Kagohashi, told the Foreign Correspondents Club of Japan last week.

The ruling in effect acknowledges the 'illegality' of the plan to build a US Marine air base at Henoko and means that the Japanese government, which is responsible for building the new facility under the 2006 agreement, 'cannot begin construction because the US military cannot issue permission'.

'Even if such permission is issued, there is a strong possibility that an application for permission to be suspended will be granted by the US Federal court,' Mr Kagohashi added. The decision is subject to a final ruling by the Federal court, however, and it is possible that the US Defense Department could lodge an appeal before the Supreme Court.

The humble dugong arouses strong passions in Okinawa which is known as the 'Galapagos of the East' because of its rich and unique biological diversity. Okinawan tradition holds that spirits - human and otherwise - can inhabit the dugong, and even that the mammal is a god itself. It can bring great blessings or disasters, according to the way it is treated.

Worldwide, there are said to be only some 50 dugong surviving, with the only ones in Asia outside of Okinawa (where there are said to be only 10) being found at Australia's Great Barrier Reef and in the Philippines.

In a letter to Mr Obama earlier this month from the Centre for Biological Diversity calling for cancellation of the military base expansion at Henoko, the centre's conservation director, Peter Galvin, said that the project would 'destroy some of the best remaining habitat for the highly endangered Okinawa dugong, one of the rarest mammal populations in the world'.


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Here women guard casuarina, mangrove forests

Express News Service 13 Dec 09;

BHUBANESWAR: Necessity is the mother of invention. What had started a few years ago completely out of need has transformed into a fine act of self-initiated coastal conservation.

In a small village of Puri’s Astarang block comes an inspiring story of the women who have taken the concept of coastal conservation to a new level, all on their own.

Gundalba does not boast of a huge population but the 60- odd households were devastated by the 1999 super cyclone.

It is a 6 sq km patch that the women of the village stand guard, basing on a duty chart prepared by the committee they had floated nine years back.

Pir Jehania Jungle Suraksha Mahila Samiti, the allwomen’s committee has its task cut out - conserve the casuarina and mangrove forest patch abutting the village.

In fact, the immediate impact of cyclone and its aftermath were felt on farm produce of the villagers. With the coastal bio-shield gone, crop yield fell.

The villagers realised that they need to conserve the casuarina forest patch as a first step. “It all started as a needdriven initiative by village folks. The women of the 60- odd households took lead and formed the outfit in 2000,” says Sweta Mishra, a researcher on community conservation.

The women members devised a methodology to conserve the forest. Duty charts were chalked out and a common day of the week was identified on which they collected firewood, only dry and fallen branches and twigs. On the rest of the days, they were doing patrolling.

Local youths of Gundalba took a cue and pitched in with support. The village, being close to the Devi river mouth, was also a nesting ground for the Olive Ridley turtles which attracted tourists.

With tourism getting a boost, the villagers who were dependent on fishing reaped benefits.

Though the village had casuarina forest for support, the following years of cyclone saw a surprise regeneration of mangroves which extended till the Devi river mouth.

In fact, regenerated mangroves also mean better spawning ground for fish as well as other aquatic species helping the villagers with livelihood since a ban on fishing remains in force from November to May every year due to Olive Ridley nesting.

Bichitrananda, a local who has been part of the initiative for last several years, says the self-initiated conservation measure has seemingly caught up with another six adjoining coastal villages.

“It is a stretch of about 30 km - from Kadua to Devi river mouth - along the coast which is slowly coming under the protection measures. It works both ways,” he says.

Interestingly, the regeneration of mangroves has drawn the winter migratory birds to the area which were hitherto an uncommon sight for villagers.


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Coral climate crisis puts 250 million at risk: U.N.

David Fogarty, Reuters 12 Dec 09;

COPENHAGEN (Reuters) - More than 250 million people risk losing their livelihoods because of dying tropical coral reefs in what a senior U.N. environmental economist said on Saturday was part of a double climate crisis facing the world.

"We forget that there are two emissions problems. The one that everyone is aware of and is doing something about is climate change," said Pavan Sukhdev of the U.N. Environment Programme on the sidelines of the world's largest climate talks.

"The second emissions problem is the emergency around coral reefs," he said.

"More than 250 million people are at risk seriously of their lifeblood going away because of the lack of fish on tropical coral reefs," he told reporters in Copenhagen.

Negotiators from nearly 200 countries are trying to seal the outlines of a broader climate pact that aims to sharply cut emissions of planet-warming greenhouse gases.

The leaders of more than 100 countries arrive next week hoping to overcome deep differences on who should cut emissions, by how much and who should pay.

Warming seas are causing corals to bleach, scientists say. Normally corals recover from bleaching episodes, but now reefs are dying, destroying fisheries, because oceans are absorbing growing amounts of CO2 and becoming increasingly acidic.

Sukhdev said millions of people in the Caribbean, Indonesia and elsewhere in Asia dependent on fishing risk being forced to move away from the coast -- in addition to people uprooted from coastal areas by rising seas.

Former fishing families who have to move will need food, new livelihoods and housing, he said.

Sukhdev pointed to a report backed by Prince Charles' Rainforest Project that said in October that financing of 15 to 25 billion euros ($22- $37 billion) between 2010-15 could lead to a 25 percent reduction in annual deforestation.

The report said that if payments were made, based on a system that monitored results and helped build up the capacity of developing countries to fight deforestation, the loss of forests could be curbed by about 3 million hectares (7.5 million acres) a year.

That could lead to an annual total emissions reduction of about 7 billion metric tones of carbon-dioxide-equivalent, a sizeable slice of mankind's yearly greenhouse gas emissions.

The U.N. climate panel says deforestation is responsible for about a fifth of mankind's greenhouse gas emissions, though some recent studies say the figure is closer to around 12 percent.

Sukhdev said replanting forests in developing countries was a quick and cheap way to help soak up some of mankind's CO2 emissions. Trees soak up CO2 as they grow and are a major natural carbon "sink" along with oceans.

He said the suggested financing of 15-25 billion euros could lock away or prevent CO2 emissions at a cost of as little as a few euros a tone of carbon dioxide. A tiny sum, he said, compared with the trillions spent on economic rescue packages.


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Mapping the Climate Change and Biodiversity Impacts of REDD

UNEP 14 Dec 09;

New Report Underlines Multiple Benefits but Also new Challenges to Biodiversity-Rich Sites from Possible Copenhagen Climate Deal

Copenhagen, 14 December 2009 - An agreement in Copenhagen to fund reduced emissions from deforestation may generate multiple environmental and economic benefits if investments simultaneously target sites that are both carbon and biodiversity-rich.

But the new report, published today in the journal Conservation Letters, also warns of challenges in countries such as Brazil and parts of East Africa unless safeguards are followed.

This is because funding Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD) might also displace and intensify activities such as agriculture into lower carbon but equally biodiversity-rich locales. Such areas include parts of East Africa and Brazil.

The study has involved a wide range of organizations and institutions including the Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment at the University of East Anglia; the UN Environment Programme's World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC) in Cambridge; the Institute for Global and Applied Environmental Analysis (GAEA)in Rio de Janeiro and Stanford University, California.

It is claimed to be the first map-based analysis of the distribution of carbon and biodiversity and indicates that governments face a series of choices on how best to maximize the benefits and minimize the challenges presented by a possible REDD deal at the UN climate convention this week.

The colour maps allow the identification of areas where these double benefits could be highest, which include many of the global biodiversity hotspots.

For example the maps show that the Amazon hosts very high concentrations of both carbon and overall species richness whereas Sumatra and Borneo represent an opportunity to conserve carbon while conserving a high level of threatened species.

If the aim is to conserve high quantities of carbon while also conserving species found nowhere else in the world - so called endemic species - then the island of New Guinea would be one of the top priorities.

The study also identified areas where carbon funding would not solve the problem by itself, but could provide crucial complementary financing to biodiversity initiatives.

Finally it highlights areas that have high value for biodiversity conservation, but are poor or less rich in carbon and could thus be under increased threat if REDD is implemented including the Brazilian Cerrado or the savannahs of the Rift Valley in East Africa.

Bernardo Strassburg of the University of East Anglia and GAEA and lead author of the study, said: "Overall REDD would have a very positive effect for biodiversity conservation, which makes it a very powerful tool that simultaneously addresses two of the greatest global environmental crises of our age".

"But as these synergies are unevenly distributed, it is crucial on the one hand that they are maximized by taking biodiversity distribution into account when planning and implementing REDD and, on the other, that conservation planning adapts to a post-REDD world where opportunities and challenges would be relocated," he added.

The research supports the collaborative work by the United Nations and the World Bank and others on preparing countries for a possible REDD regime and then scaling up investments in tropically-forested countries.

UNEP, along with the UN Development Programme and the Food and Agricultural Organization are working in over nine countries including Bolivia, Paraguay, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Papua New Guinea and Vietnam. The work compliments that of the World Bank under its Forest Carbon Partnership Facility.

UNEP, with funding from the Global Environment Facility and in partnership with a range of organizations and scientists, is also assessing the potential to 'farm' carbon into landscapes and soils.

The work, initially focusing on western Kenya, Niger, Nigeria and China, aims to generate a universal standard so that investors can know how much carbon is being stored under different farming and land management systems.

This may lead to farmers and landowners being paid for the carbon they store improving the economic value of sustainably farmed and managed land and reducing the risks to biodiversity in landscapes that store lower levels of carbon including those identified in the new report.

News of the study comes as the UN climate convention marks its half way point with Forest Day. Lera Miles, a co-author on the study from UNEP-WCMC, said: "This week's UN climate convention talks will decide how quickly resources will be provided to help developing countries to tackle tropical deforestation. Reducing the loss of natural forest is good for many reasons - it helps to slow global warming by reducing carbon emissions, can conserve threatened species and retain the economically-important ecosystem services upon which forest-dependent people as well as whole economies depend".


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Will Galapagos become the Pacific's Ibiza?

Charles Darwin's wilderness is under pressure from tourism and urban growth. Hugh O'Shaughnessy and Sarah Clark report on Ecuador's fight back
The Independent 13 Dec 09;

A fierce rearguard action is being fought to prevent the Galapagos – the world's most renowned wildlife site – being damaged by development. Hotels, discos, and new townships have sprung up on several of the islands, and the population has doubled in 10 years. Darwin's pristine wilderness is now a permanent home to 30,000 people, plus 173,000 visitors each year.

Although 97 per cent of the islands form a national park in which development is banned, towns outside the park have mushroomed. They have become a Mecca for young Ecuadoreans arriving from the mainland on cheap air tickets. Their demand for discos and beaches could turn parts of the archipelago into the Ibiza of the eastern Pacific. The islands, 600 miles from the mainland, are battling several huge problems at once. There are the hordes of visitors, which have quadrupled since 1990 and more than doubled since 2005. There is environmental pollution and also the introduction of invasive flora and fauna such as goats, rats, dogs and cattle.

Research by the Charles Darwin Foundation, a research organisation based on Santa Cruz, the most populous of the islands, suggests that 60 per cent of 168 endemic plant species are threatened. Feral goats have been a major headache, introduced plant species (748) now outnumber those that are native (about 500). More than 500 non-native insects have been introduced, mainly inadvertently. One, a parasitic fly, is attacking the famed Darwin's finches, according to the UK-based Galapagos Conservation Trust.

Some invasive species are brought in on tourist boats and cargo ships ferrying food and fuel to the burgeoning population. A recent report on the Galapagos by conservation groups claims these ships rarely treat water discharged into the sea. This month the science journal Global Change Biology revealed that, of 43 threatened Galapagos marine species, one in five may already be extinct.

Above all, the islands are struggling to cope with the press of people from the mainland who see their country's Pacific possessions as a brave new boomland. Here, they can find the jobs that are hard to come by in Ecuador and which attract higher wages than at home. Construction workers, for instance, earn $1,200 (£750) a month on the Galapagos, but only $500 in Ecuador. Up to the early 1970s, inhabitants numbered around 4,000. Since then, the population has risen more than sevenfold, although Ecuador has recently "repatriated" 1,000 residents to the mainland.

Small villages have developed into buzzing towns. Nearly 20,000 locals dwell in Puerto Ayora on Santa Cruz. Here, visitors find many restaurants, shops, bars and nightclubs – most of them on Charles Darwin Avenue. Hotels and hostels are also plentiful.

The inhabited islands already groan under a struggling infrastructure which includes 29 schools and three airports. Commercial flights to the Galapagos increased by 193 per cent between 2001 and 2006. The number of vehicles in Santa Cruz alone has increased from 28 in 1980 to 1,276 in 2006. The Charles Darwin Foundation estimates that 9,000 birds have been killed on the highway each year between 2004 and 2006.

These pressures have not gone unnoticed. In 2007, Unesco, the United Nations body that regulates world heritage sites, put the islands on its endangered list, underscoring the critical situation. On Galapagos Day in September this year, Sir David Attenborough warned that they were at a tipping point: "Due to the consequences of human intervention, many species are now threatened with extinction." He said that without prompt action this "natural treasure will be lost for ever."

But, under Ecuador's new government, the Galapagos have been fighting off ruination. In Quito, the Ecuadorean capital, President Rafael Correa is trying to do something about the threats to the islands. "The first thing I did when I came into office in January 2007 was to put a compete ban on people coming to settle in the Galapagos," he told The Independent on Sunday recently.

Mr Correa wants to make a reality of the protection given to the archipelago and its amazing flora and fauna when it was declared a national park 50 years ago. He says he is proud of the fact that he has pushed through the first constitution in the world that puts the natural world in top position. Its first article proclaims: "Nature or Pachamama, where life is started, has the right to exist, last and regenerate its life cycles, its structures, functions and processes of evolution." A vigorous programme has eradicated 64,000 feral goats, donkeys, and pigs from Isabela Island, according to the Galapagos Conservation Trust. Some threatened native species are beginning to recover.

As far as the 20 main islands are concerned, the Ecuadoreans try to keep pollution under strict control and cut down on the imported fuel that provides most power and mobility on the islands. "I'm very keen to promote the generation of electricity in the Galapagos through wind power," says Marcela Aguinaga, Ecuador's environment minister. "But it's not plain sailing. You've got to try to prevent the birds flying into the vanes of the wind turbines. And that's not an easy job."

To some extent, tourism is regulated by the high cost of getting to the islands and subsisting there, combined with the $110 tax levied on foreign tourists. Unesco has asked Ecuador to clamp down on new accommodation in the islands' towns. Hotel and boarding house owners are, however, opposing limits on visitor numbers.

Great care is being lavished on the giant tortoises whose domed shells reminded the Spaniards of the saddles (galapagos) worn by packhorses. In one of the planet's best-observed acts outside Las Vegas, two female giant tortoises, unromantically named Female 106 and 107, resumed laying eggs last year, six and five respectively, overseen by the staff of the Giant Tortoise Reproductive and Nurture Centre on Santa Cruz. At stake was the survival of one particular species.

Female 106 had been the companion of Solitario Jorge (Lonely George) for 16 years. Four of her eggs were kept at 29.5C to encourage, if fertilised, the emergence of females: the other two were maintained at 28C in the hope that they would be males. Female 107 had had a shorter relationship with Solitario Jorge. None of the 11 proved to have been fertilised.

Solitario Jorge is thought to be the last surviving member of his line, Geochelone abingdoni. Being between 60 and 90 years old, and thus still in the prime of life, he clearly retains reproductive powers. Hope springs eternal that his genes will be passed on soon.

In other parts of Ecuador remedial work has come too late. Earlier military regimes allowed American oil companies to ruin stretches of the Amazonian jungle with their drilling. Now President Correa is pushing the idea of getting developed countries to compensate Ecuador for the loss of revenue – say €$350m a year – if it keeps its crude oil in the ground. Germany seems to favour such an environmental deal. But, as far as the rest of the world is concerned, it will be by Mr Correa's curating of the Galapagos that he will be judged.

Galapagos species under threat
University of Tasmania Science Alert 14 Dec 09;

Ocean warming and over-fishing are threatening the coastal wildlife of the Galapagos Islands, a new report by a team of international scientists led by Associate Professor Graham Edgar of the Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute (TAFI) at the University of Tasmania has revealed.

The report shows that the Galapagos Islands – arguably the world’s most celebrated environmental treasure – has suffered major biodiversity losses due to a combination of severe oceanographic heating events and over fishing, with several species of marine plants and animals believed to have become extinct and many others seriously threatened.

The report has been published in the scientific journal Global Change Biology.

The report, which involved an international team of scientists led by, Assoc Prof Edgar outlines the massive impact that the increasing ocean temperatures associated with strong El Nino events have had on the archipelago.

Coupled with fishing, tourism and other human activities, these recent impacts have changed Darwin’s living laboratory forever.

The report follows a major scientific meeting, convened by the Ecuadorian Ministry of Environment, the Galápagos National Park Service, Conservation International, WWF and other organisations, to assess the vulnerability of the Islands to climate change.

Experts established that the El Nino weather cycle, possibly aggravated by global climate change, and combined with other human impacts has systematically impoverished the Galápagos marine environment in just a few decades.

The scientists that co-authored the report hope that the findings will demonstrate the urgency of taking action so that delegates at the international climate conference in Copenhagen later this month make tough commitments to adequately finance both measures to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to urgently address the climate adaptation needs of vulnerable communities and ecosystems.

Assoc Prof Edgar said for a marine biologist, Galapagos is the most remarkable location on the planet.

“It is the only place worldwide with a coexisting mix of tropical species such as corals and hammerhead sharks and cool-water species such as fur seals, kelps and penguins,” he said.

“Despite recent biodiversity losses, this global aquatic treasure remains less disturbed by human activity than most other regions globally, with much hope for the future.

“The Galapagos National Park Service is presently applying innovative management practices that involve local fishers and tourist operators, with decisions informed by findings of collaborating local and international marine scientists, many based at the Charles Darwin Foundation.”


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Be Careful What You Fish For: Invasion of Asian carp

Monica Davey, New York Times 12 Dec 09;

CHICAGO — Alarms are sounding near the edge of the Great Lakes. Genetic evidence of Asian carp — a mammoth, voracious, non-native conqueror among fish, long established in the Mississippi River — has turned up just a few miles from Lake Michigan in the waterway that links the river system to the lake. If such creatures were to swim on into Lake Michigan, some scientists say they fear the fish would ultimately upend the entire ecosystem in the lakes that make up a fifth of the earth’s fresh surface water.

So an urgent search is underway in Chicago for sightings of the silvery-gray fish with low-set eyes, the sort that even a scientist here described, somewhat unscientifically, as “an exceedingly ugly fish.” Advocates for the lakes are demanding emergency closures of a lock to block their arrival. And the attorney general of Michigan says he will sue to stop the fish.

Forgotten in all the fuss now is that these bighead and silver carp — imported in the 1970s to scarf up algae from ponds in the Deep South — are apparently making their way north to the Great Lakes along a route that humans, not nature, dreamed up.

Over a century ago, people built a canal to link the Great Lakes to the Mississippi River system. Historians say early travelers reported they could make their way from the lakes to the river by canoe in the wet season, but faced a portage during dryer periods; hence, the call for a canal. Over the years, it carried fetid sewage away from Chicago and Lake Michigan as part of a remarkable engineering feat that reversed the flow of the Chicago River. Commercial barges traveled up and down the vast, crucial path.

Along the same path came the carp, who had escaped from their southern ponds and spread through the Mississippi River system, by some accounts, thanks to flooding in the 1990s. Scientists have worried for years about the capability of an assortment of other non-native species (the round goby, the zebra mussel) to make their way either north from the Mississippi River system into the Great Lakes or back south on an opposite journey.

“The bottom line is that this canal is a conduit — a highway to environmental havoc — from one of these important watersheds to the other,” said David M. Lodge, a biologist and the director of the center for aquatic conservation at the University of Notre Dame.

It has surely happened before. Dams, levees, flood diversion projects. We redirect water and solve a problem, only to discover some new, unintended consequence.

In California and Oregon, some blame four old dams, which certainly generated electricity, for a decline in salmon in the Klamath River. In Missouri, during flooding along the Mississippi a year ago, residents of towns with low, primitive levees begrudged neighbors with enormous ones, saying the higher walls were directing unnatural amounts of water their way.

In the end, it seems, nature does as it wishes, try as we might to keep the waters in our grasp. For more than a decade, as reports of escaped northbound Asian carp emerged from parts of the Mississippi, civic, environmental and business leaders around the Great Lakes fretted. Asian carp committees were formed, reports were written, and more than $20 million was spent to build elaborate electric fences in the Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal to at least temporarily hold back the carp from Lake Michigan, a measure one expert likened to hand-washing in the face of the H1N1 flu — wise but not a cure. And even as a third electric barrier is under construction, the authorities have reported finding the genetic evidence of the carp beyond the fences, within about six miles of Lake Michigan.

Some here now say that the only guaranteed, permanent way to keep these fish from the Great Lakes may be to put things back where we found them: separate the lakes from the Mississippi River watershed.

Needless to say, the politics, engineering and costs of such a solution could not be more tangled. People, of course, are used to what they built. Interests fight interests, and any one of them can draw an environmental arrow from the quiver. Those opposed to unbuilding the canal, including a barge industry that hauls 16.9 million tons of sand, coal, gravel, cement and salt through it, envision an extraordinary price for overhauling Chicago’s water system and assert that 1.3 million more trucks would be needed each year to handle what the barges carry.

“What is that going to do from an air pollution standpoint?” said Lynn M. Muench of the American Waterways Operators, a trade group that includes barges. “This is a huge environmental issue.”

So are the carp. Despite tests that found Asian carp DNA in the water, no actual silver or bighead carp have been spotted as close to the lake (a recent strategic poisoning turned up one, but farther away), and some here view that as proof that this is a lot of worry about nothing. Maybe a carp fell out of a bait box? Maybe it slipped through some other passage during flooding?

Still, those who know carp best say even a whiff of them is much to worry about, especially for the Great Lakes’ $7-billion-a-year fishing industry. The carp can weigh as much as 100 pounds, and the silver carp has a habit of jumping, seeming to challenge boaters as much as it does other fish. They eat pretty much all the time, vacuuming up the plankton that other fish depend on and crowding the others out.

Then again, most scientists admit they do not know exactly how the Asian carp would behave in the Great Lakes. Though a few have been reported in Lake Erie in the past, biologists have mainly dismissed the discoveries as isolated, and say they leave little precedent for what might happen in such large bodies of water.

Already in these lake waters are the zebra and quagga mussels, more unwanted non-native species. They have devoured plankton throughout the lakes, harming native species that need it too. The mussels are thought to have arrived here in the ballast water of international trade ships, one more unintended consequence.

“It is conceivable that given how much the zebra and quagga mussels have eaten up already, there may not be much left for the Asian carp, and they might struggle to thrive,” Reuben R. Goforth, an assistant professor of aquatic community ecology at Purdue University, offered hopefully.


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Indonesian village's environmental dilemma weighs on the world

Tiny Teluk Meranti, in an area seen as ground zero for climate change, is being wooed from all sides. Loggers want its forests and activists want it to bar the door. Residents just want a better life.

John M. Glionna, Los Angeles Times 13 Dec 09;

Reporting from Teluk Meranti, Indonesia - This isolated Sumatran village, where monkeys frolic in the jungle canopy and residents take easy evening swims in the mud-colored Kampar River, is the unlikely center of a tense international battle of wills.

Logging lobbyists, environmental activists and even foreign diplomats, including the U.S. ambassador to Indonesia, have visited in recent months. Job fairs, door-to-door visits and community meetings have become a constant.

It's a little like the New Hampshire presidential primary season, in an equatorial climate.

What's at stake for villagers, and the rest of the world, is the future of the community's lush and benevolent forest and the environmental consequences of its possible demise.

A Singapore-based firm wants to carve out some of the 1.7 million acres and replace them with an acacia tree plantation to be harvested for pulp and paper.

The company has been granted a permit by the Indonesian government to try to negotiate a land-use deal with villagers. Though the residents of Teluk Meranti don't actually own the land, the government acknowledges their financial interest in the forest, which they and their ancestors have used for generations.

Across Sumatra, scores of villages face similar decisions: whether to make deals that would allow companies to replace residents' beloved virgin and second-growth forests with highly profitable palm oil and acacia plantations.

Since the 1980s, the amount of forest land in Sumatra -- the world's sixth-largest island, which once contained more animal species than the Amazon -- has been slashed more than 70%.

Teluk Meranti, two hours by plane northwest of Jakarta, the capital, is in Riau province, often called ground zero for climate change. As companies log and then burn the remaining forest to create plantations, huge amounts of carbon are released into the atmosphere.

Studies show that the carbon released by logging in Brazil and Indonesia exceeds that of all the buses, planes and cars on the planet. Though Brazil contributes more carbon, Indonesia is clearing its forest at the fastest rate on Earth, and studies done by Greenpeace and other organizations show that Riau's peat lands contain some of the world's highest concentrations of carbon per acre.



A hub for advocates

As the villagers here mull their future, people around the world are watching closely: One-fourth of all greenhouse gas emissions are the direct result of tropical forest clearance, studies show.

At meetings underway in Copenhagen, world leaders are seeking to reach a climate-change accord that in 2012 would replace the Kyoto Protocol and include a framework for compensating countries for protecting their forests.

Proposals include providing developing countries with financial assistance for reducing their emissions from deforestation, and giving such nations credits they could sell on an international market to companies that have exceeded carbon emission caps.

In Teluk Meranti, a panel of two dozen village elders, after consulting with residents, will vote in several months on whether to allow the Singapore firm, Asia Pacific Resources International Ltd., to develop the forest.

The issue has transformed the sleepy, out-of-the-way spot into a hub for company advocates, environmental groups and foreign government officials.

Whisked in by helicopter, lobbyists from Asia Pacific Resources entice villagers with their pitches. They tell residents they don't want to kill the forest, but rather will work with villagers to ensure its preservation by selectively logging land that won't support wildlife.

The outsiders can build new schools and businesses, said Wendy Poon, an Asia Pacific Resources spokeswoman. "We can [also] help them develop alternative livelihoods -- like how to rear cows and farm vegetables for commercial produce, so they won't ruin the forest," she said.

Greenpeace activists have also set up shop, imploring residents not to sell their forest for short-term profit.

"Many communities are wooed into thinking only about the short term, the money-for-land bargain, without fully comprehending the long-term consequences," said Paul Winn, a Greenpeace forest campaigner.

Environmentalists are also trying to show the villagers how pulp and paper plantations disrupt things close to home.

They point to another company's project upriver, where bulldozers carry logs like huge praying mantises and build canals to drain the sodden forest, allowing acidic water to move into rivers, killing fish.

Things came to a head recently when regional police tried to shut down a Greenpeace "climate defenders" camp near a patch of endangered forest near Teluk Meranti. When officers tried to close the camp, according to Greenpeace and village administrator Ali Mursidin, scores of villagers arrived and demanded, successfully, that the camp be left alone.



Conflicted

Mursidin remembers Teluk Meranti before the world cared about it. The farmers, fishermen and loggers might not have known a lot about the outside world, but they were masters of the realm in which they live.

Then the paper company officials came in 2004, talking big dreams and development. Palm oil is a lucrative product, they said, used in items varying from cosmetics to ice cream.

For many here, making a deal looks attractive. Life is a struggle in this Muslim community of sustenance farming and fishing, where wooden shanties overhang the winding river and few outsiders visit.

"If there's a company offering us money, even if it's not a good company, if it can improve the quality of our life, why not do it?" asked Sarkawi, a 35-year-old public health administrator who, like many here, goes by one name.

Yet he's conflicted. The forest has always been a trusted provider, offering rattan, honeybees and wood to build houses.

"It's the only forest we've got -- we want it for our children," he said. "Do we really know what the company will do with it?"

The back-and-forth has resulted in an atmosphere marked by gossip and whispered accusations.

"Ninety-nine percent of people here have absolutely no clue what global warming is," said Mursidin, who fills in for the mayor when he's out of town. "Now people have come to play politics with this village. It has created tensions. Suddenly, neighbors aren't talking."



'Times got tough'

Tears in his eyes, the dark-skinned man wearing a traditional Muslim kopiah hat blurted an appeal to the outside world.

He sat cross-legged in a crowded village center, directly across from Cameron Hume, the U.S. ambassador to Indonesia who, along with an official from the British Embassy in Jakarta, had been invited by Greenpeace activists to come and assess the jungle damage.

It was an unusual visit for a diplomat like Hume, who told villagers he came because he was concerned both about the future of the forest and the residents of Teluk Meranti.

"We know there is a plan to open our forest," the villager told Hume, who was dressed in signature diplomatic jungle-wear -- matching khaki-colored vest and pants. "We don't know much, but we are afraid we are going to lose our livelihoods. You are from a foreign country. Maybe you know how to help us save our sacred forest."

As representatives of the paper company looked on, Hume took a perhaps not-so-diplomatic approach: He urged villagers to fully investigate any claims about how logging would improve their livelihoods.

"When a tree gets cut, the money for that tree does not stay here," Hume said. "It goes to Jakarta and it's gone forever."

Yet, slowly, many people are siding with the loggers.

Mursidin, while personally wary of a deal, says many residents who were initially against it are changing their minds. Even the village chief is now leaning toward the project.

"Times got tough and they promised us a better life," he said. "That's why people are willing to listen."


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Forest communities said key to climate fight

David Fogarty and Sunanda Creagh, Reuters 13 Dec 09;

COPENHAGEN (Reuters) - Saving tropical forests is crucial to fighting climate change but efforts to halt deforestation could go awry without safeguards to protect and compensate local communities, officials and academics said on Sunday.

Forests act like "lungs" of the atmosphere, soaking up large amounts of mankind's greenhouse gas emissions. Billions of people also rely on them for food and livelihoods.

Paying developing nations to preserve forests is a central issue at U.N. climate talks in the Danish capital aimed at securing the outlines of tougher global deal to curb greenhouse gas emissions from 2013.

"Forests and climate issues have never been higher on the political agenda," Gro Harlem Brundtland, U.N. Special Envoy for Climate Change, told a meeting on the sidelines of the talks.

Yet forests were still being destroyed at an alarming rate, with no observable decrease in the pace of destruction since 1987, she said.

"We are still on our way to destroy an area the size of India by 2017," she said.

Tropical forests from equatorial Africa to Brazil and Indonesia contain some of the world's richest reserves of carbon and species but are under increasing threat for their timber and for the land to grow food for an ever-expanding human population.

Indigenous groups in the vast Amazon basin and deep in the jungles of Borneo island fear losing more of their lands to cattle ranchers or to palm and soy oil plantations.

Delegates at the talks are close to finalizing the framework of a U.N.-backed financial scheme that would allow developing countries to earn carbon offsets in return for saving, rehabilitating and improving the management of their forests.

The scheme, called reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation, could potentially earn poorer nations billions of dollars annual in offset sales to rich nations.

It would, for the first time under the United Nations, put a price on the carbon saved from being emitted by keeping forests standing with some of the money flowing back to communities.

CLEAR RIGHTS

Speakers at the conference said enshrining the rights of indigenous people was crucial to the scheme's success, along with a transparent payment scheme that would help fund alternative livelihoods and promote forest protection.

"If local people and indigenous people in the developing world are not recognized and assigned clear rights, we could end up with more deforestation," said Elinor Ostrom of Indiana University and 2009 winner of the Nobel Prize in economics.

There was a risk of violent evictions of communities and corruption in preservation schemes unless safeguards were enforced, she said.

Greens at the conference say the language of the draft REDD text is weak because it does not require nations to comply with the U.N. Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples, although it does refer to the treaty.

Conservationists also say the current draft fails to set a final date or target to halt and reverse forest loss in poor countries and has not finalized a funding amount or timeframe to deliver that money from developed nations.

But it does promote steps to avoid the conversion of natural forests and to enhance social benefits of the scheme.

Brundtland said REDD in practice should not create incentives for converting natural forests into agricultural plantations, such as palm oil estates.

Millions of hectares of forest has been cut down in Indonesia to plant palm oil estates. While providing jobs, the spread of palm oil plantations has also displaced large numbers of people reliant on forests.

She said 1.6 billion people relied heavily on forests for their livelihoods.

(Editing by Angus MacSwan)


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Indian farmers adapt to shifting weather patterns

Nita Bhalla, Reuters 13 Dec 09;

GORAKHPUR, India (Reuters) - As global leaders and top scientists in Copenhagen debate how to deal with climate change, farmers in flood-prone areas of northern India are taking it into their own hands to adapt to shifts in the weather.

For decades, people of Uttar Pradesh, whose population is more than half that of the United States, have been witnessing erratic weather, including increasingly intense rainfall over short periods of time.

The rain, combined with heavy mountain run-off from nearby Nepal, which is also seeing heavier-than-usual rains, has inundated villages, towns and cities in the region.

Such floods have destroyed homes, crops and livestock, highlighting the fact that the poorest in countries such as China and India are most at risk from climate change.

While world leaders in Copenhagen argue over who should cut carbon emissions and who should pay, experts say low-cost adaptation methods, partly based on existing community knowledge, could be used to help vulnerable farmers.

In the fields of Manoharchak village, where terms such as "global warming" are unknown, such experiments are bearing fruit, changing the lives of poor farmers who outsmart nature using simple but effective techniques to deal with rising climate variability.

"For the last three years, we have been trying to change our ways to cope with the changing weather," said Hooblal Chauhan, a farmer whose efforts have included diversifying production from wheat and rice to incorporate a wide variety of vegetables.

"I don't know what those big people in foreign countries can do about the weather, but we are doing what we can to help ourselves," said the 55-year-old from Manoharchak, situated 90 km (55 miles) north of the bustling city of Gorakhpur.

IMPROVISATION

Villagers here have raised the level of their roads, built homes with foundations up to 10 feet above ground, elevated community handpumps and created new drainage channels.

Supported by the Gorakhpur Environmental Action Group -- a research and advocacy group -- farmers are also planting more flood-tolerant rice, giving them two harvests a year where they once had one, and diversifying from traditional crops to vegetables such as peas, spinach, tomatoes, onions and potatoes.

The diversity of crops, they say, is particularly beneficial when their wheat and rice fail. And the vegetables give them not only a more varied and nutritional diet, but also help in earning an income when excesses are sold.

Increasingly, intense rain means farmers in the region also have to contend with silt deposition from long periods of water-logging in their farms.

But 50-year-old widow Sumitra Chauhan, who grows about 15 different vegetables as well as rice and wheat on her two-acre plot, says she has learned ways to overcome the problem.

"We plant our (vegetable) seedlings in the nurseries and then when the water drains, we transfer them to the land so there are no delays," she said, standing in her lush green plot packed with vegetables including mustard, peas, spinach and tomatoes.

CLIMATE REFUGEES

Farmers have also started using "multi-tier cropping" where vegetables like bottle gourd and bitter gourd are grown on platforms raised about 5-6 feet above the ground and supported by a bamboo frame.

Once the water-logged soil drains, farmers can plant the ground beneath the platforms with vegetables and herbs such as spinach, radish and coriander.

Warmer temperatures and an unusual lack of rain during monsoon periods in eastern Uttar Pradesh have also led to dry spells. To cope, villagers have contributed to buying water pumps for irrigation, lowering their dependence on rain.

According to Oxfam, which is supporting the action group's work in Uttar Pradesh, millions of people in India have been affected by climate-related problems.

Some have been forced into debt. Others have migrated to towns and cities to search for manual labor or have had to sell assets such as livestock to cope.

"It is true that developing countries need a lot of investment to adapt to the effects of climate change, but small and marginal farmers, who are some of India's poorest, can make a start by using simple, cheap techniques to help themselves," said Ekta Bartarya of the Gorakhpur Environmental Action Group.

(Editing by Krittivas Mukherjee and Alex Richardson)


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Australia in bid to repair ecological ruin: peat swamps in Kalimantan

Tom Allard, The Age 14 Dec 09;

A BOAT trip down the wide brown waters of the Kapuas River and the canals that flow off it, crisscrossing the hinterland of Central Kalimantan, makes for a depressing tour.

What was once one of the world's great swamp peat forests is a tangle of weeds and burnt trees. The rich peat, one of the world's great stores of carbon, is dry and crumbles at first touch, degraded each dry season by fires lit by local farmers.

The mills along the banks of the Kapuas are testament to the ongoing illegal logging that is denuding the area of what trees remain.

Even a rare sighting of a female orangutan cradling her baby in a small grove of trees by one of the canals fails to enliven the mood. She hollers in distress and throws debris at the passing canoes as if to condemn their human cargo for the destruction.

Amid the ecological ruins of a colossally ill-conceived project by former Indonesian dictator Suharto to convert 1.4 million hectares of wetland forest into an enormous rice farm, the Australian Government has undertaken an ambitious effort to rehabilitate the land.

Moreover, it hopes the project - a joint venture with the Indonesian Government - will provide a template for how a global emissions trading system might work.

It's not quite money growing on trees, but should the $40 million scheme come to fruition, the impoverished locals will get money to grow trees and preserve those that already exist under the UN-backed Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation plan.

REDD, as it is known, is the centre of heated negotiations at the Copenhagen conference. It will allow developing nations like Indonesia to generate income by selling credits for their forests that soak up carbon to richer countries to offset their own carbon emissions.

For its proponents, it's a panacea that could not only save forests and combat climate change, but enrich impoverished communities along the way.

''What we hope to achieve is a form of win-win situation where we achieve emissions reduction targets but also improve local livelihoods through support for improved farming practices and the potential to generate incentive payments through REDD,'' says Neil Scotland, the AusAID officer overseeing the project.

Critics, however, say that it's an attempt by the developed world to gain cut-price credits to offset their own emissions, thereby doing little to reduce overall global warming. Moreover, such schemes are incredibly complex to set up, open to abuse and offer no guarantees the money generated will find its way to the local community.

Muliadi, the secretary general of Central Kalimantan's association of peat land farmers, said he was aware of the AusAID project - which was announced in 2007 - but that neither he or his members had been contacted by organisers.

''We are the people who traditionally keep the forests and the environment and have been living here for generations,'' he said. ''REDD has been talked about everywhere. Climate change is also the topic everywhere. But the local people in Central Kalimantan have never been invited to any discussion or seminar or any occasion like that.''

Mr Scotland says broaching the topic of REDD payments is fraught, not least because the scheme has yet to be agreed as a concept at the Copenhagen conference.

''We have to be able to discuss these issues with subsistence farmers who live very much from day to day. They are uncertain about what they are going to eat that night … it's really a very large gulf you have to bridge and working out ways to bridge that is very important.''

Communication efforts, thus far, are centring on encouraging farmers not to burn the land before planting, and building trust by advocating small scale income generating schemes. Even so, fires are an annual scourge. The peat smoulders for months each dry season, sending plumes of smoke across Kalimantan and up to Singapore and Malaysia. Only the monsoon rains can put out the subsurface fires.

Illegal logging remains an ongoing issue, operating openly along the Kapuas River and fuelled by widespread corruption.

According to a recent report by Human Rights Watch, the rampant graft means it is highly problematic that any REDD scheme could be enforced in Indonesia.

And then there is the incredible complexity of pricing carbon from peatland forests. Scientists are struggling to agree how much carbon is stored in such areas and developing a formula for pricing any carbon credits remains elusive.

If, as appears likely, any emissions reduction undertakings by the developed world are modest at Copenhagen, it will mean there will be less demand for carbon credits, reducing their price and the money flowing to the villagers of Central Kalimantan.


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Sabah can't do without coal plant: SESB

Daily Express 13 Dec 09;

Papar: Sabah needs to have a coal-fired power plant in its east coast region to ensure stable electricity supply statewide and prevent blackouts in east coast districts if the existing supply system fails, according to Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd (SESB).

Currently east coast districts are depending mainly on supply channelled through the West-East Coast Grid from the west coast which the utility company considers as risky.

Because if something happened, for example a lighting strike hits and damages any cable along this grid, the entire east coast districts may face a blackout.

At the moment there is no power plant in the east coast with a capacity enough to support the existing demand there, it stated, adding the coal-fired power plant planned at Felda Sahabat in Lahad Datu would be the first, if it materialises.

Media representatives were told about this at a one-day SESB Media Retreat at Beringgis Beach Resort, Saturday.

SESB Corporate Communication Senior Manager, Chendramata Haji Sinteh, in replying to public suspicion that the coal for this power plant in Lahad Datu would in the end come from coal deposits in the Maliau Basin, assured this will not happen.

She said the coal deposits in Maliau are of high quality and unsuitable for firing the power plant in Lahad Datu. The Lahad Datu coal-fired power plant is designed to operate using coal not of the same quality as in Maliau, she added.

Lahad Datu Energy Sdn Bhd (LDE), the company behind the coal-fired power plant project in Lahad Datu, meanwhile, said the plant is designed to burn about 1.22million tonnes of coal annually with a maximum design ash content of 7 per cent.

This will translate to about 85,400 tonnes of ash annually, said its Project Director Ahmad Farid Yahya.

"The dry ash will be stored in a specially designed ash yard entirely lined with impermeable membrane to prevent ash leachate to the ground. In the later years as the ash yard is filled, the area will be 'soiled' over and landscaped," he said.

He said the ash yard capacity has been designed for 25 years and from the analysis of the coal type to be used for the project, the presence of heavy metal elements is not detectable.

"However it is still a requirement by Department of Environment for the monitoring of heavy metal elements like mercury, lead, cyanide and so on," he said.

There is a positive side benefit of the ashes accumulated, he said, adding about 70 per cent of the ash can be used in the cement industry. "However, this is a separate commercial agreement between LDE and any interested parties."

If all goes according to plan, the Lahad Datu coal-fired power plant would be the seventh in the country. Currently there are six with four in the peninsula and two in Sarawak.

Ahmad said in the long run, after the coal-fired power plant is built and operational, the east coast region will benefit.

"The State Government will be able to attract and set up commercial, business and industrial centres in the region, thus creating economic opportunities for the locals," he said.

He said the standard of living will improve with more reliable electricity supply. Industrial areas will grow just like "what we have in peninsula, such as Penang, Port Kelang and Pasir Gudang."

More maritime based industrial sites means more jobs for Sabahans, he said, adding from being fisherman with incomes of RM500 per month, they can earn RM1,000 to RM1,500 by working in the industrial and manufacturing sectors.

"When a conducive environment is set up, more multinational companies will invest in Sabah. This will create a capital inflow," he said, adding a coal-fired power plant will be in line with the national fuel mix policy.

The Lahad Datu coal-fired power plant has also been designed for a specific coal quality range and operating beyond it will damage the power plant, he said.

Ahmad said the station would not discharge chlorine oxide as the Electro Chlorination Plant uses seawater to produce sodium hypochlorite via the electrolysis process.

"Sodium hypochlorite will be injected into the cooling water at a controlled rate to prevent growth of barnacles inside the piping. The residual sodium hypochlorite discharge is less than 2.0ppm as per the Department of Environment effluent limit," he said.

He said there would be no effect on marine life in the mangrove forests, sea grass beds, the coral reefs and beyond. This process is a widely accepted practice throughout the world for the thermal power plant cooling system.

Based on the Manjung power plant experience, he said the seawater temperature at 500m from the discharge point is reduced to ambient seawater temperature.

"The proposed power plant is facing the Sulu Sea so the head dissipation is expected to be better than Manjung. This will part of the DEIA thermal plume modelling study.

"The plant will be designed so that the seawater discharge will be less than 40 degrees Celsius in compliance with the Department of Environment limit," he said.

On the impact of coal use on the weather and global warming, Ahmad said the DEIA will conduct a computer modelling of the exhaust dispersion.

"The required mitigation factors to comply with the emission standards will be complied with. The DOE study guidelines are site and project specific. It is not required to study the global warming and global weather impacts," he said.

"In fact, LDE is not aware of any projects in the world that conducted their DEIA studies to encompass the whole world! Imagine the impossibly huge data and parameters to include in the computer software, and probably the computer will overload and crash," he said.

Coal-fired plant on track
Ruben Sario The Star 14 Dec 09;

KOTA KINABALU: An unpopular coal-fired plant project in the Sabah east coast Lahad Datu district appears to be a certainty now that the company is awaiting environmental approval for it.

Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd (SESB) senior general manager for operations Abd Razak Sallim said the company was expecting the 300MW coal plant at the Felda Sahabat land scheme to be fully operational by 2014.

He said the coal-fired plant was the only option available to the electricity-deficient east coast as other power generation methods like those using natural gas, biomass, solar and hydro were not feasible.

“We need the power plant now in the east coast, otherwise, consumers there will continue to face blackouts,” he told reporters at a media briefing here.

He said that unlike in the peninsula where there were already four coal-fired plants, or in Sarawak which had two, power supply in Sabah was barely enough to meet the demand with the shortage reaching an acute situation in the east coast.

At the briefing, other SESB officials said the construction of more power plants in the west coast – where natural gas was readily available – with electricity being channelled to the east coast via a east-west grid was also risky.

They said the east coast would suffer a major blackout if anything were to happen to the grid such as a lightning strike or damage to the cables.

Lahad Datu Energy Sdn Bhd, the company behind the coal plant, said the facility was designed to burn 1.22 million tonnes of coal annually. It was initially sited at Silam and then moved to Sandakan before being relocated to the Felda scheme following vocal opposition.

Various concerned groups in the state, including WWF Malaysia, Pacos Trust and the Sabah Environmental Protection Association and even the business community have opposed the coal plant project, arguing that such a project could destroy the state’s natural beauty.


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Asia climate plans to benefit energy efficiency sector

Building efficiency is the segment with the largest potential
Business Times 14 Dec 09;

(HONG KONG) Asia's aggressive emission targets and legislation around carbon and power use are expected to drive demand for energy efficiency products and services, creating lucrative opportunities for investors in the sector.

Ongoing climate talks at Copenhagen and commitments from around the region to slash emissions could help unlock some benefits and potential investments in energy efficiency stymied by information barriers and weak regulatory standards.

'While we may or may not have an agreement in Copenhagen, many nations are setting very aggressive targets to improve energy intensity,' said Clay Nesler, vice-president for Global Energy and Sustainability at Johnson Controls, a US- based company offering automation solutions for buildings and vehicles.

'With that, and concerns about the cost of energy increasing due to limited supply, those are the forces that, in the long term, will give rise to significant investment in energy efficiency,' he said.

An increasing focus on the energy efficiency theme is set to benefit companies such as Taiwan's Epistar Corp, which makes energy- saving light-emitting diodes, and Japan's Daikin Industries, which designs efficient air conditioners, analysts say.

Developing nations need US$90 billion a year in improvements from plugging leaks in building ducts to replacing inefficient household appliances with energy-saving ones to slow estimated demand growth by more than half over the next 12 years, consulting firm McKinsey Global Institute said.

China alone would need to spend about 30 per cent of that to ease power consumption, currently the world's second-largest.

'Global action to fight climate change is expected to create huge opportunities for low-carbon investments,' said Barbara Hon, analyst with China Everbright Securities.

Just like Japan, China is mulling levying a carbon tax which should provide incentive for the deployment of more low-carbon fuels and energy efficient technologies, Ms Hon said.

Efficiency in buildings is the segment in the sector with the largest potential for energy gains, said analysts.

Energy consumption within the residential, commercial and public buildings accounts for about 40 per cent of total global energy use, making it the largest single component of energy use.

China, which is constructing the equivalent of the entire commercial floor plate of Australia every year, is a growth market for efficiency solutions providers including Johnson Controls, Honeywell International, Schneider Electric and Seimens.

But while the development of green buildings and energy-efficient infrastructure is a potentially lucrative investment market, the right incentives are lacking for the industry to gain critical mass.

In India, construction of green buildings remains very scattered among individual projects and small scale development, said Sunita Narain, director of the Centre for Science and Environment in New Delhi. -- Reuters


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Japanese firms take initiative to go green

But government is still silent on what steps it will take to meet emissions target
Kwan Weng Kin, Japan Correspondent Straits Times 14 Dec 09;

TOKYO: Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama heads for Copenhagen this week for the COP15 climate change conference with a pledge to cut greenhouse gas emissions in Japan by 25 per cent from 1990 levels.

But otherwise, the Japanese leader has remained silent on what steps his government will take, and how the burden should be shared between industry and households, to ensure that his country meets that target.

A recent poll by the leading business daily Nikkei has found that many Japanese manufacturers are worried that, on their own, their greenhouse reductions will not meet the 25 per cent target.

Many companies are anxiously waiting for the government to produce a road map to show who should do what and when before they draw up their own carbon dioxide reduction timetables.

Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a main component of greenhouse gases.

'Since 25 per cent is a national objective, we are obliged to try to achieve it,' said Mr Kuniaki Okahara, who heads the environmental affairs division of Japan's leading electronics maker Panasonic. 'But the government has not given us any details as to what it wants to do. So we too cannot say more at this stage.'

Meanwhile, Japanese companies are actively pushing ahead to cut CO2 levels in their products.

At Japan's largest annual exhibition of eco-friendly products here last week, 'CO2 sakugen' (reduction) was the buzzword at the booths of every exhibitor, from carmakers to construction companies.

Panasonic, for instance, highlighted its energy-saving TVs and fridges. Many of the eco-friendly products at the show are innovative, if a little quaint.

Shredder maker Oriental has developed a machine, said to be a world's first, that can turn shredded paper into toilet rolls.

Launched commercially in October, the machine can recycle 40 sheets of A4-sized copy paper into one toilet roll every half an hour.

The system, says the company's brochure, is also the perfect solution for protecting industrial secrets as all confidential documents are safely flushed down the toilet bowl!

Roof tile maker Shinto touted its ecological moss-covered tiles for keeping a house cool in summer and relatively warm in winter, thus saving on air-conditioning costs.

Although the products exhibition targets both businesses and the general public, in recent years, it has also come to play a key role in helping to educate the young about the environment.

Last week, thousands of primary school kids swamped the huge exhibition site at Tokyo's waterfront Odaiba area, busily learning what manufacturers are doing to save the planet.

Since 2006, local chambers of commerce in many Japanese cities have been conducting certification examinations twice a year to raise public awareness about the environment, recycling and other ecological issues.

The test is popular with companies, many of which encourage their staff to take it, and also among housewives and school children. People who have passed the test range so far in age from 11 to 86.

Last year saw a roughly 25 per cent jump in people who sat for the test apparently because the environment topped the agenda of the Group of Eight summit which Japan hosted.

The Japanese people are generally supportive of environmental causes. A poll last month by the leading Yomiuri Shimbun daily found that 75 per cent of the Japanese supported PM Hatoyama's 25 per cent reduction target.


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Clean development a tricky balancing act in Indonesia

Michael Richardson, For The Straits Times 14 Dec 09;

CONSIDER these two recent government announcements in Indonesia, South-east Asia's biggest economy.

A discussion paper released by the country's Finance Ministry and circulated last week at the climate change conference in Copenhagen proposes one of the most extensive plans in the developing world for cutting man-made greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming.

It sets out strategies for reducing deforestation. By some measures, Indonesia is - or has been in recent years - the third largest emitter, after China and the United States, as its forests and peat swamps are cleared for agriculture, releasing huge amounts of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere.

The Finance Ministry's Green Paper outlines measures to constrain future demand for coal and other fossil fuels in Indonesia, while promoting energy efficiency and increased reliance on abundant local sources of renewable geothermal power for generating electricity.

It says the government should prepare to impose a carbon tax on fossil fuels and phase out costly subsidies on these fuels to hasten the transition to a cleaner economy. The carbon tax revenue and savings on energy subsidies would help pay for the transition and offset the costs for the poor.

Meanwhile, as Indonesians were starting to digest the implications of these proposals, the state-owned electricity company Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) was trying to reassure industrial and home consumers fed up with frequent blackouts that several new coal-fired power plants due to start operating in the first half of next year will ease the crisis.

The plants, which will add 1,890 megawatts to PLN's total capacity of around 24,000 MW, are part of a major expansion programme. The first phase is due to be completed in 2013. Much of the programme is based on switching from more expensive oil and diesel to locally-produced coal for generating electricity. As a result, PLN's coal consumption will almost double over the next two years, to around 41 million tonnes in 2011.

This energy and environmental snapshot in Indonesia encapsulates the dilemma facing many Asian countries as they try to balance their development objectives against increasing pressures to join a global battle against climate change.

President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has announced a target for Indonesia to cut emissions by 26 per cent by 2020 - through 'an energy mix policy including land use, land use change and forestry'. He also said a cut of up to 41 per cent was possible with international support, including funding and technology transfer.

He told the G-20 leaders' summit in Pittsburgh in September: 'We must tell the world it is possible to cure the global economy and save the planet at the same time.'

But in the meantime, the fact is that Indonesia and most other South-east Asian economies are heading towards a dirtier future, not a cleaner one.

In a recent overview of energy trends in the region, the International Energy Agency forecast that if Asean countries continue their business-as-usual approach, the region's primary energy demand will surge in the next 20 years at an average growth rate of 2.5 per cent per annum - much faster than the rest of the world.

By 2030, fossil fuels would be meeting 76 per cent of the region's energy demand, slightly more than today, with coal's share rising to 24 per cent, from 15 per cent now.

Coal produces much more carbon dioxide per unit of energy burned than oil or natural gas. So the projected rise in South-east Asia's demand for coal has significant implications both for global warming emissions and for local air pollution, from oxides of sulphur and nitrogen and fine soot particles that harm human health.

The region's energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will almost double by 2030, to nearly 2 billion tonnes a year. This would take South-east Asia's share of these emissions on a worldwide basis to 5 per cent, from around 3.5 per cent at present.

This would be in addition to the region's disproportionately large share of global emissions from deforestation and land use change. Power generation would account for more than half the increase in South-east Asia's energy-related carbon dioxide emissions.

However, there would be some major benefits. The number of people without access to electricity would fall from 160 million now to 63 million in 2030. This would constitute a huge leap forward in living standards, especially for the poor.

Indonesia's Green Paper points the way to a cleaner future for the region. But greater efficiency and lower-carbon sources of energy might not be able to meet demands for widely available and affordable electricity, as well as continued rapid economic growth.

These are very difficult choices for South-east Asian policymakers. Jakarta deserves credit for putting them in the public domain for discussion and debate.

The writer is a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.


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Climate change may open Arctic sea routes

Robert Karniol, Defence Writer Straits Times 14 Dec 09;

THE climate talks being held in Copenhagen have highlighted the fierce debate over global warming - its causes, environmental consequences and severity, and how the international community should respond. That much of Asia looks set to benefit amid the overall gloom is often overlooked.

'Major reductions in transport cost have twice remade the world. First, with the invention of the steamship and then with the introduction of containerisation,' said Mr Stephen Carmel, senior vice-president of maritime services at the world's largest container shipping company, Maersk Line. 'In my view, were the Arctic to open up and become really

viable for shipping, we would see the same. It'll change the world as much as the container did.'

There are three frigid routes with the potential to speed up maritime traffic: the Northwest Passage over North America, the Northern Sea Route over Russia, and the more tentative Polar Route running astride the North Pole.

According to one study, the Arctic ice covering each route has receded by about 20 per cent over the period from 1979 to 2006. This trend is expected to continue, with the Northern Sea Route likely becoming the first to emerge as regularly navigable. Just when this might occur is open to speculation, but Mr Carmel suggests a timeframe of around 2040 to 2050.

The savings in distance can be significant. The route between Yokohama and Rotterdam, for instance, is 20,100km via the Panama Canal or 17,800km via the Suez Canal. The Northern Sea Route would cut this to 11,400km, a reduction of at least 35 per cent. And Yokohama to New York is 15,800km using the Panama Canal but just 12,200km using the Northwest Passage, a reduction by nearly 25 per cent.

China should emerge as the big winner, centred on Shanghai, but not all routes stand to benefit. Maritime travel between Singapore and New York, or between Los Angeles and Rotterdam, are among those that will remain unaffected.

Mr Carmel emphasises that time saved is nevertheless more significant than distance, given daily ship charter rates and ancillary costs. Using that measure and an average speed of 22 knots, the journey from Yokohama to Rotterdam would be cut by about a third to 12 days, and Yokohama to New York by a quarter to 12 days.

However, the cost comparison is considerably more complex. Shipping companies could expect savings in fuel and canal toll charges, the latter worth US$250,000 (S$348,000) to US$300,000 each way for an average-sized container vessel using either the Suez or Panama. However, any threat of ice will require an icebreaker escort, by some estimates costing US$100,000 in each direction, and inclement weather common in the Arctic may cut speed, with a resulting loss in time.

Furthermore, vessels using northern routes may be required to utilise a higher grade of fuel for environmental reasons, and this will add to the cost. Hardened hulls may also need to be factored into shipbuilding costs.

Calculation complexities aside, shipping companies are convinced that substantial savings in the cost of transport can be realised on selected routes between Asia and Europe, and between Asia and the east coast of North America. This will reinforce the globalisation of trade that containerisation so significantly primed, but it will also have a wider impact on trade patterns.

The opening of Arctic sea routes could slash usage of the Suez and Panama canals, with dire consequences on local economies. Egypt earned toll receipts of US$5.38 billion last year, accounting for 1.2 per cent of its gross domestic product.

Italy's largest seaport, Gioia Tauro, is among those in similar danger. It now mainly serves the trans-shipment of containers travelling between Asia or the United States and Central Europe, and much of this traffic could be lost.

With so much at stake, some assume the threat of conflict over issues relating to the control of northern waters. Indeed, Canada has long claimed the Northwest Passage as an internal waterway subject to its sovereignty, though this has yet to gain international recognition.

Countries abutting the Arctic Ocean - Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia and the US - have in recent years intensified their territorial claims to better ensure exclusive access to a suspected wealth of natural resources. Others from further afield - including China, France, Japan and South Korea - have begun eyeing the area's bountiful fisheries.

Speaking at a security conference earlier this month, Canada's chief of defence provided a military perspective on this heightened activity.

'There is no conventional military threat to the Arctic,' General Walter Natyncyk firmly stated. 'If someone were to invade the Canadian Arctic, my first task would be to rescue them. The Arctic is a very harsh environment. It is actually more difficult for me to support operations in the (Canadian) Arctic than it is to support operations in Afghanistan.'

All this suggests that the public debate over global warming has so far largely neglected a critical issue: the potentially dramatic reduction in transportation cost, and what this means for trade.


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