Best of our wild blogs: 22 Sep 09


29 Sep (Tue): Prof Peter Ng on "Climate Change and Marine Biodiversity - Lessons from a Small Red Dot" from wild shores of singapore

Our mystery conch identified!
from wild shores of singapore and Psychedelic Nature

Another encounter with Banded Leaf Monkeys
from Urban Forest

They are cute, but they need a better home too
from Psychedelic Nature

Kusu Island - Gymnodoris on a desolate beach
from Singapore Nature and wild shores of singapore

St John's Island Guided walk
from wonderful creation

Yellow-vented Bulbuls’ rain dance
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Gold-whiskered Barbet feeding on morinda
from Bird Ecology Study Group

Going Cuckoo Over A Cuckoo
from Life's Indulgences

Orange-bellied Flowerpecker and pulasan
from Bird Ecology Study Group


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Fresh calls for release of whale shark in Dubai hotel aquarium

Vesela Todorova, The National 20 Sep 09;

DUBAI: A juvenile whale shark caught in August last year has now spent more than 12 months in a Dubai hotel aquarium, triggering renewed calls for its release.

The world’s largest living species of fish, whale sharks are listed as vulnerable to extinction in the Red List of Threatened Species, a publication of the International Union for Conservation of Nature. It is a free-roaming ocean fish, travelling vast distances each year and known to dive to depths as great as 1,000 metres.

The animal was caught on August 27 last year in what the Atlantis hotel and resort described as a rescue – a move that was heavily criticised by conservationists asking how an aquarium could accommodate the whale shark’s needs. It was even given a name – Sammy.

However, the controversy died down after a few months and the whale shark has continued living at the Ambassador Lagoon, an 11-million-litre fish tank at the resort where it pulls in large crowds of tourists and UAE residents alike.

Nevertheless, wildlife experts still insist that the animal, which measured four metres at the time of the capture, would be better off at sea where she could enjoy a longer life and reproduce.

Many argue that a day close to the first anniversary of her capture would be an ideal time for release.

“Whale sharks do not survive in captivity; even in the very best aquaria they die, as it is difficult to replicate the diet and environment that a pelagic [open sea] filter-feeding shark requires,” said Dr David Rowat, the chairman of the Marine Conservation Society in the Seychelles.

A study of 16 whale sharks kept at the Okinawa Churaumi Aquarium in Japan, one of the few facilities where the rare fish are exhibited, showed their average life expectancy was less than two years.

In the wild, whale sharks are known to grow to up to 20 metres during a life that can last 60 years.

“If the animal is healthy it should have no problem surviving in the wild,” said Dr Rowat, who has spent years studying whale sharks.

“I have recently put satellite tags on two sharks that were captured off China and kept in captivity in sea-pens for a year; both are apparently doing fine some 10 weeks after release, according to the satellite transmissions.”

The Dubai whale shark’s future, however, remains obscure. Despite repeated attempts by The National over the past seven days, officials at Atlantis, The Palm, could not be reached for comment. While it remains uncertain that the captive will ever be freed, Dr Rowat said there were factors that favoured it happening around the anniversary of its capture.

“The release should be during the season when whale sharks frequent the area. As this is a year later, it is likely that this is the season when the sharks are found here and so is the optimal time.”

Another group that has been campaigning for the shark’s release is the Emirates Wildlife Society in association with the World Wide Fund for Nature (EWS-WWF), which sent an open letter to Atlantis decision-makers in February this year.

“The Atlantis confirmed during an interview with the Business Breakfast on September 24 2008 that they would release the whale shark in due course, but has not yet acted upon its promise,” said Lisa Perry, the programme manager at EWS-WWF.

“We will keep urging the Atlantis to reconsider their rationale for keeping the whale shark and release it back into its natural habitat as soon as possible. Keeping the whale shark at a hotel, which is not an educational or scientific institution, does not increase the potential for conservation of the wild population.”

Jonathan Ali Khan, a filmmaker who is preparing a documentary on Arabia’s shark populations, listed additional reasons in favour of release.

“Releasing her from a tank such as Atlantis is nothing but a good thing. Animals such as whale sharks and sharks in general are genetically imprinted with amazing instincts that have enabled them to survive for over 400 million years,” said Mr Khan, who is the founder and director of the Dubai-based Ocean World Production. “It wouldn’t take long for her to revert to her normal patterns and behaviour.

“She may need a deworming treatment before being released as it is not sure what she might have picked up while in the tank. Certainly her tail fin has deteriorated since [it was] injured during her capture. The biggest problem she is facing now is from the overcrowding in the tank. The number of fish that have sustained collision or bite injuries is noticeable.”

Apart from welfare considerations, the animal should be released as it would eventually be capable of reproducing, added Mr Khan, who is currently organising the UAE’s first whale shark conference and workshop in December.

“Each pregnancy can result in her pupping over 300 babies at a time. We don’t know how many times females bear young, but we do know that each time she does makes the whole species a little more secure from becoming extinct.

“There are far too many unanswered questions to risk the fate of a young female endangered animal by keeping her in captivity without any specific scientific basis of research. Questions such as where are the breeding grounds? Are our waters a principle nursery for the entire Indian Ocean population?

“For that purpose alone, Sammy needs to be released immediately,” said Mr Khan.

“And to make it all worthwhile, Atlantis should release her with a satellite tag and fund the basis of a research project”.

While the hotel management would not comment, many visitors to the aquarium seemed unaware of the whale shark’s plight.

“This aquarium is really nice and it has a lot of variety. I like it more than the one at the Dubai Mall. I like the sting rays and the sharks,” said Kirti, 25, a resident of Ajman.

But Rasourl, a businessman from Iran, said: “This aquarium is too small for the whale shark.”


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Something fishy going on at Ipoh wetlands: largest heronry in Malaysia threatened

Foong Thim Leng and Chan Li Leen, The Star 22 Sep 09;

IPOH: The Kinta Royal Wetlands in Batu Gajah is under threat and will lose the largest heronry in the country if illegal and incompatible activities continue.

A recent check by the Malaysian Nature Society (MNS) revealed that someone had fenced up the whole lake where the heronry, with five breeding species of 2,000 waterbirds, is located.

MNS Perak Bird Group coordinator Lim Kim Chye believes that the fence was put up by parties interested to use the pond for commercial fish farming.

Such an activity could lead to the farmer trying to get rid of the birds on the heronry to prevent them from feeding on the fishes reared.

Lim, an ornithologist from MNS, had helped set up the park popularly known as the Kinta Nature Park (KNP) in 2001 with the Kinta Barat District Council then.

KNP consists of 14 ex-mining ponds and is home to at least 130 bird species, with almost 60% of them listed as totally protected or protected under the Protection of Wild Life Act 1976.

“Several pristine mining pools at the southern end of the KNP have been taken over by duck farms.

“Incursions such as these have increased recently, with the expansion of sand extraction activities and the establishment of more duck farms and also the cutting down of trees,” said Lim.

The lack of a management body had resulted in damage and disrepair to the infrastructure in the parks.

Lim urged that immediate action be taken to save the KNP before its objective as a site for conservation, recreation, tourism and education is destroyed.

He suggested the dormant KNP Technical Committee, set up in 2001 but which had only met once, be revived again.

“All sand-mining activities, whether licensed or not should cease and there should not be any more approval for duck farms and fish ponds in the park,” he said.

Lim said 10 years had passed since former mentri besar Datuk Seri Tajol Rosli Ghazali announced the park was in the process of being gazetted as a wildlife sanctuary.

State executive councillor Datuk Hamidah Osman said the tarred road leading to the park was damaged by lorries transporting sand. Repairs would cost about RM500,000.

She said facilities in the park were managed by Perhilitan.

“I want the management of the park handed to the district council as most tourism products are being looked after by the local authorities.

“The state government will discuss the matter first, but we will still seek advice from Perhilitan to tackle issues relating to birds and wildlife,” she said when contacted.

Hamidah said she had also received a complaint about the fence and would look into the matter.


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Thai rice region under climate threat: Greenpeace

Yahoo News 21 Sep 09;

BANGKOK (AFP) – Part of Thailand's main rice growing region is under severe economic and environmental threat from climate change which must be addressed by world leaders at a UN summit, Greenpeace said Monday.

A study by the activist group revealed the dangers faced by the Bangpakong River Basin, which supports around 1.25 million people who rely heavily on the region's fertile soils for crops, especially rice, fruit and fishing.

The study was released days before Bangkok holds another major meeting on climate change.

The 7,900 square-kilometre (3050 square mile) area in eastern Thailand is "one of the most productive river basins the world" and a prominent source of jasmine rice, Greenpeace Southeast Asia campaign manager Tara Buakamsri said.

But the basin, which empties into the Gulf of Thailand, "is threatened with severe economic and environmental impacts due to flooding, drought, saltwater intrusion and coastal erosion caused by climate change", Greenpeace said.

"Local rural communities stand to suffer most from climate change impacts," said Ply Pirom, a campaigner for the group, adding that the "worst impacts are yet to come".

Greenpeace said Southeast Asia as a whole was "among the most vulnerable and least prepared to cope with the impacts of climate change" and called on heads of state converging in New York this week "to expedite climate action".

World leaders at the summit should make 140 billion US dollars available annually to help those who are most vulnerable across the world, the group said.

Opened by UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon Monday, the pivotal summit is part of the two-year effort by climate negotiators to remake global climate rules, with success far from assured.

They are working towards a make-or-break summit in Copenhagen this December, which is expected to ink new targets for global emissions beyond 2012, when the Kyoto Protocol expires.

From September 28, Bangkok will hold the penultimate negotiating session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change before the Copenhagen meeting.


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Oil spill off Orissa coast endangers sea turtles and dolphins

Soumyajit Pattnaik, Hindustan Times 22 Sep 09;

A sunken Mongolian ship, which had docked at Paradip port in the Bay of Bengal allegedly without valid documents, has been spilling huge amounts of furnace oil 3 nautical miles (5.5 km) from the port since Monday.

The ship sank within India’s maritime border, which extends to 12 nautical miles (22 km) from the coast.

MV Black Rose, owned by a Singapore-based company, sank after 24,000 tonnes of iron ore were loaded on it at Paradip on September 9. The vessel was carrying 920 tonnes of furnace oil. The Paradip Port Trust (PPT) has not been able to retrieve the oil and has contacted national and international firms to clean up the mess.

The oil slick is endangering Olive Ridley turtles and dolphins at the Garimatha marine sanctuary and other flora and fauna.

A thick film of black crude oil is clearly visible on the sea near Paradip, 80 km from Bhuba-neswar, and several dead fish lie scattered on the shore.

The oil could not be pumped out over the past 12 days despite hectic efforts by the Orissa government’s environment department, the state’s pollution control board and the PPT.

Oil spill from sunken ship raises pollution concerns
Bhubaneswar Business Standard 22 Sep 09;

Oil has started leaking from MV Black Rose, the ill-fated vessel which sank near Paradip port two weeks back, raising serious concerns of sea pollution among the fishermen communities and the environmentalists.

The environmentalists had earlier sounded caution about marine pollution due to oil spill from the vessel.

Local fishermen witnessed oil floating on the seashore this morning. They alleged that hundreds of marine fishes have been killed due to oil spill and dead fishes were floating on the sea shore.

Paradeep Port Trust's (PPT) pollution response tugs and the Coast Guard vessels which are monitoring the area regularly traced the escape of little amounts of grease and diesel from the sunken vessel today.

On thorough inspection, it has been ascertained that the spill is from the service tank of the engine room and is negligible. On hearing the news of the oil spill, two officials from the Orissa State Pollution Control Board (OSPCB) have rushed to the spot and have directed the PPT authorities to take immediate steps to check the leakage of oil from the wreck. Even after 12 days of the sinking of the vessel, the authorities of Paradeep Port Trust (PPT) were unable to evacuate oil from the vessel due to infrastructure constraints and also lack of cooperation from the company owning the vessel. Apart from carrying 23, 847 tonnes of iron ore fines the vessel was also loaded with 924 tonnes of furnace oil, 50 tonnes of diesel and 40 tonnes of grease. The possible leakage of oil posed threat to both human being and marine species.

The officials of Black Rose Maritime Shipping Ltd, the Singapore-based company owing the sunken vessel, is yet to reach Paradeep as the vessel did not have legal document or insurance papers.

Due to lack of infrastructure and equipment to evacuate oil from the wreck, the port authorities had sought the intervention of national and international experts for pumping out the oil from the sunken vessel.


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Pacific coral reef destruction continues unabated, says researcher

By Rachna Lal and Kalpana Prasad, pacific.scoop.co.nz 22 Sep 09;

The “tremendous” decline of Pacific coral reefs in the past two decades is continuing unabated, says a researcher.

Joan Koven of Astrolabe Incorporated, a non-profit organisation that promotes coral reef conservation, has called for immediate action.

She said governments and individuals and should do everything possible to curb greenhouse gas emissions, the principle cause of warming sea surface temperatures and ocean acidification that will destroy coral reefs.

“Coral reefs are an important resource and need to be preserved as more than 100 countries rely on them for sustenance, fisheries and tourism,” Koven told Wansolwara.

Fiji Prime Minister Commodore Voreqe Bainimarama is attending the 64th United Nations session opening in New York today, which has climate change as one of the main items on the agenda.

As part of global activities, the USP journalism division released the latest issue of the student journalism training newspaper, Wansolwara, yesterday. The paper carried a special four-page insight report on climate change, and this front-page story on coral degradation in the Pacific.

It was printed and distributed nationwide as an insert by the Fiji Sun, a local daily.

Koven, who gave a lecture on climate change and coral reefs at the USP, said she doubted any country was fully aware of what it would lose if it had no coral reefs.

Climate refugees

“The majority of the world’s people live within 50 km of a coastline. As the sea level rises due to the melting of Greenland and western Antarctic ice sheets, the world will face environmental refugee populations on a scale never seen before.”

Leading scientists believe that coral reef ecosystems, which act as nurseries for many marine species, could be destroyed beyond repair due to human activities.

Such concerns have increased since the release of a report this month saying that Australia’s Great Barrier Reef could disappear in 20 years.

The Australian government-commissioned report said the damage could be irreversible and is expected to cost the Australian economy AUD$37.7 billion over the next century.

Koven says it is impossible to predict when the last of the coral reefs will die. But she says that she has seen a tremendous decline in the Pacific over the past 20 years.

A 2000 report by World Wildlife Fund South Pacific says 12 percent of the corals in Fiji’s Beqa Lagoon had died as a result of bleaching.

The WWF project coordinator in the Cook Islands, Jacqui Evans, said she had observed complete bleaching of about 30 percent of corals in Rarotonga Lagoon.

Furthermore, after the sea temperature in Papua New Guinea’s famous dive spot, Kimbe Bay, reached 32 degrees C, at least 10 percent of the corals in the area were bleached.

Bleaching hits reefs

The report said that over the past decade, bleaching had hit reefs in Polynesia (Tahiti), Micronesia (Palau) and parts of Melanesia (PNG and Solomon Islands).

James Comly, a USP-based British researcher, said corals took millions of years to grow, and they were the food and habitat of millions of sea species. Due to climate change and human activities, the coral reefs were dying, said Comly.

This could pose a great risk to the low-lying islands since corals protect the shores of such islands from surges of giant waves.

A coral reef ecologist at the USP’s Institute of Marine Resources, Edward Lovell, said around one-third of corals around the globe were under threat of extinction.

“This is not a light matter,” he said.

Lovell added that reports about the extinction of the Australian Barrier Reef must be taken seriously as the research was carried out by one of the best people in the field.

“We must now work towards protecting our own corals.”

Lovell added that while authorities were aware of the impact of climate change on reef systems, there was confusion, and no direct path had been set to address this issue.

Professor Randolph Thaman, head of the School of Islands and Oceans at USP, said that while Pacific people and governments were aware of the impacts of climate change, they did not understand the complexities.

“Governments must address climate change and other variables which contribute to coral loss,” said Dr Thaman.

Not enough funding
He said currently there was not enough funding given for the protection and rehabilitation of reefs.

Money to help communities to protect resources and adapt to changes was not forthcoming either, he said.

Dr Aalbersberg, director of USP’s institute of Applied Sciences (IAS), has experts working on coral reef research. He said coral reefs already under threat from human activities were suffering from increased seawater temperature, resulting in coral bleaching and acidification.

Apart from being a haven for a multitude of sea creatures on which Pacific people rely for sustenance, coral reefs form a barrier against higher and stronger storm surges.

Because such surges are expected to worsen due to climate change, it has become all the more important to protect reefs.

Koven said that localised village or town efforts should be encouraged with education and ways of lessening greenhouse gas emissions to address coral reef damage.

“All schools in Pacific island and rim countries should include marine science in their curricula,” she said.

“It should also be offered to all tertiary students to encourage better understanding of the coral reef ecosystem by future Pacific leaders.”

USP anticipates funding from AusAid and the European Union for research, investigation and mitigation of climate change impact on coral reefs.

* In a seminar at USP yesterday, journalism students were told that the poorest and the most marginalised people would be the ones most adversely affected by the effects of climate change.

The students were told to educate themselves about climate change issues and to work with scientists to understand the complexities of these issues.

The event was part of a “1500-event global climate wake up” organised by Avaaz, an independent, not-for-profit global campaigning organisation.

Rachna Lal and Kalpana Prasad in Suva are student journalists at the University of the South Pacific. Lal is editor of Wansolwara and Prasad is also on the newspaper team.


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Environmental groups to use Web to save rainforest

Martinne Geller, Reuters 20 Sep 09;

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Environmental activists are taking to the Internet in a new bid to help save the world's rainforests with the help of major corporations including Starbucks Corp and Dell Inc.

Campaigners plan to announce on Monday the formation of "Team Earth," a social network that includes businesses, nongovernmental organizations, students and politicians with the hope of battling tropical deforestation.

Team Earth will launch in November, but its organizers wanted to spread the word this week, as world leaders gather in New York for the United Nations General Assembly.

"This is a moment when leaders around the world need to take action. We cannot afford for our representatives ... not to take action, so we're mobilizing the public," said Peter Seligmann, chief executive of Conservation International, which is spearheading the effort.

Starbucks Chief Executive Howard Schultz said he joined forces with Conservation International over shared concerns over "divergent efforts of many separate parties -- NGOs, corporations, politicians and individuals -- trying to do something in which perhaps the sum of the parts could be greater if there was collective action."

Schultz said it makes business sense for companies to take serious action against social and environmental issues because it is important to employees and customers.

"In order to make a sustainable enduring business that's profitable, you're also going to have to create a balance between profitability and a social conscience," Schultz said in an interview.

Some of Starbucks' existing environmental targets include having all of its new company-operated stores meeting green building standards starting in 2010 and having all of its cups recyclable by 2012.

Actor Harrison Ford, a Conservation International board member best known as the star of the "Indiana Jones" films, is supporting the effort, and told Reuters that large-scale cooperation was best.

"Our individual efforts have been fruitful but history shows that real change is not accomplished through individual efforts but through movements," Ford said, noting that governments and corporations must also be involved.

Team Earth will use social networking websites like Facebook and Twitter, along with its own site, to gather support for its causes, which also include climate change, water conservation and health.

(Reporting by Martinne Geller; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Starbucks, Dell to aid online effort to save rainforest
Martinne Geller, Reuters 21 Sep 09;

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Environmental activists are taking to the Internet in a new bid to help save the world's rainforests with the help of major corporations including Starbucks Corp and Dell Inc.

Campaigners plan to announce on Monday the formation of "Team Earth," a social network that includes businesses, nongovernmental organizations, students and politicians with the hope of battling tropical deforestation.

Team Earth will launch in November, but its organizers wanted to spread the word this week, as world leaders gather in New York for the United Nations General Assembly.

"This is a moment when leaders around the world need to take action. We cannot afford for our representatives ... not to take action, so we're mobilizing the public," said Peter Seligmann, chief executive of Conservation International, which is spearheading the effort.

Starbucks Chief Executive Howard Schultz said he joined forces with Conservation International over shared concerns over "divergent efforts of many separate parties -- NGOs, corporations, politicians and individuals -- trying to do something in which perhaps the sum of the parts could be greater if there was collective action."

Schultz said it makes business sense for companies to take serious action against social and environmental issues because it is important to employees and customers.

"In order to make a sustainable enduring business that's profitable, you're also going to have to create a balance between profitability and a social conscience," Schultz said in an interview.

Some of Starbucks' existing environmental targets include having all of its new company-operated stores meeting green building standards starting in 2010 and having all of its cups recyclable by 2012.

Actor Harrison Ford, a Conservation International board member best known as the star of the "Indiana Jones" films, is supporting the effort, and told Reuters that large-scale cooperation was best.

"Our individual efforts have been fruitful but history shows that real change is not accomplished through individual efforts but through movements," Ford said, noting that governments and corporations must also be involved.

Team Earth will use social networking websites like Facebook and Twitter, along with its own site, to gather support for its causes, which also include climate change, water conservation and health.

(Reporting by Martinne Geller; Editing by Marguerita Choy)


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Meeting India's tree planting guru

Amarnath Tewary, BBC News 19 Sep 09;

An Indian civil servant, SM Raju, has come up with a novel way of providing employment to millions of poor in the eastern state of Bihar.

His campaign to encourage people to plant trees effectively addresses two burning issues of the world: global warming and shrinking job opportunities.

Evidence of Mr Raju's success could clearly be seen on 30 August, when he organised 300,000 villagers from over 7,500 villages in northern Bihar to engage in a mass tree planting ceremony.

In doing so the agriculture graduate from Bangalore has provided "sustainable employment" to people living below the poverty line in Bihar.

'Lack of awareness'

Mr Raju has linked his "social forestry" programme to the central government's National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA) which is also designed to provide employment to poor people.

Under NREGA - initiated in February 2006 as the government's most ambitious employment generation scheme for poor people - the authorities are bound by law to provide a minimum of 100 days of employment a year to members of families living below the poverty line.

About 44% of Bihar's population fall into this category.

"The scheme has brought benefits to thousands of families since its implementation," said a recent International Labour Organisation report.

But Mr Raju says that Bihar - being the poorest and most lawless state of India - has not been able to spend the allocated NREGA funds.

"This is because of a lack of awareness among officials about the scheme," he said.

The poor monsoon this year has led to lower agricultural outputs, while flash floods in some northern districts has made the situation even worse, he said.

"So the idea struck to my mind, why not involve families below the poverty line in social forestry and give them employment under this scheme for 100 days?

"Under the scheme, each family can earn a minimum of 10,200 rupees ($210)."

Target

The civil servant immediately made a blueprint of his idea and got the support of senior state officials.

In June Mr Raju released a comprehensive booklet of "dos and don'ts" and distributed it to village heads and district officials.

His initiative meant that NREGA funds were fully utilised - in the past this has not always been the case.

"I told the villagers that they would get 100 days employment in a year simply by planting trees and protecting them. The old, handicapped and widows would be given preference," he explained.

Every village council has now been given a target of planting 50,000 saplings - a group of four families has to plant 200 seedlings and they must protect them for three years till the plants grow more sturdy.

"They would get the full payment if they can ensure the survival of 90% of the plants under their care. For a 75-80% survival rate, they will be paid only half the wage. If the survival rate is less than 75%, the families in the group will be replaced," the guidelines say.

Under NREGA rules, each worker has to be paid 100 rupees ($2) per day for 100 days in a year.

Increase in funds

Mr Raju even came close to planting one billion saplings on a single day.

"I started preparing for this and motivating villagers by announcing the date as 30 August," he said.

"The target for every village panchayat (council) was to plant 6,000 saplings from 6am to 6pm to achieve the target of one billion. At the end of the day, we found out that we were just just short of the target, but it was still a world record," the beaming civil servant said.

Significantly, his scheme has even stopped the migration of poor labourers from the area in search of employment elsewhere during monsoon time.

"We never thought we would get employment for planting trees and protecting them," said Paigambarpur village head Indra Bhusan, whose community - like many others - planted over 30,000 saplings mostly on both flanks of the 14km embankment which criss-crosses their village.

The saplings planted are both fruit and non-fruit trees. The non-fruit seedlings have been planted on the banks of the embankment and on state and national highways - while fruit bearing trees are planted inside the villages.

This year the central government has given more money to the scheme.

Meanwhile, the Bihar civil servant is busy collecting the facts and figures to get his feat listed by Guinness World Records.

"Bihar has edged out Pakistan from the record book," he said flashing a confident smile.

"Its all become possible due to villagers. I owe them a lot."


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Last chance to see the aye-aye?

Mark Carwardine, BBC News 21 Sep 09;

One of the many repercussions of Madagascar's coup, which took place in March 2009, has been a dramatic rise in criminal networks plundering the country's protected areas for precious hardwoods and wildlife.

I was filming in Madagascar, with Stephen Fry, just a few months before it happened.

We were on the third of six shoots for the BBC2 series Last Chance to See, for which we travelled around the world in search of a motley collection of endangered animals.

The idea was to retrace the steps I'd taken in the 1980s with Douglas Adams (author of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy) and our mission in Madagascar was to look for a remarkable nocturnal lemur called the aye-aye.

I've been to Madagascar several times since my first visit with Douglas, which was way back in 1985.

While it is among the poorest countries in the world, it has always struck me as a happy place. Call me a gullible westerner, but the Malagasy are certainly some of the friendliest people I have encountered anywhere.

But the recent breakdown in law and order, and the unwise withdrawal of foreign aid agencies, has wiped the smile from many faces.

From a wildlife point of view, in particular, it has resulted in huge numbers of lemurs, including several endangered species, being captured for the pet trade or butchered for sale to restaurants.

There's a huge amount at stake, because Madagascar is crucially important from a wildlife point of view.

When it decided to slip away from the ancient megacontinent of Gondwana, millions of years ago, it made a good tactical move.

The new island, roughly the size of France and escorted by a flotilla of isles and islets, travelled several hundred kilometres east before settling off the coast of southern Africa.

The wildlife castaways that went with it had the fourth-largest island all to themselves and evolved into some of the weirdest and most wonderful creatures imaginable.

And this is the point: virtually everything that lives there doesn't exist anywhere else.

Visiting this chip off the old Gondwana block is rather like landing on another planet.

The plants and animals are vaguely familiar, they resemble monkeys, hedgehogs and civets, for example, yet they are actually lemurs, tenrecs and fanalokas.

And, indeed, there is no better example of this uniqueness than the aye-aye itself.

It is the kind of weird and wonderful animal that a humorous science fiction writer might dream up on a really good day.

Stephen Fry described it as looking "as if someone has tried to turn a bat into a cat… and then stuck a few extra gadgets on it for good measure".

But the good times came to an abrupt end when people showed up from distant nations skirting the Indian Ocean.

Elephant birds, false aardvarks, dwarf hippos, giant lemurs and many other Malagasy specialities quickly became extinct.

Nowadays, they live on only in scientists' notebooks, museums and Malagasy legend.

Madagascar is still stuffed full of wildlife goodies, but the destruction continues and what's left is disappearing fast.

In the two and a half decades since Douglas and I arrived to look for aye-ayes ( Daubentonia madagascariensis ), the country's human population has doubled from roughly 10 million to more than 20 million, and that means more and more pressure on its natural resources.

In particular, the forest that once clothed this mini continent like a protective coat has virtually gone.

Madagascar was already one of the world's highest conservation priorities.

But the recent troubles will impoverish it still further.

Without urgent action, it faces an ecological disaster that could wipe out some of the most wonderful animals and plants on earth.


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Elephants, Other Iconic Animals Dying in Kenya Drought

Nick Wadhams, National Geographic News 21 Sep 09;

More than sixty African elephants and hundreds of other animals have died so far in Kenya amid the worst drought to hit the country in over a decade, conservationists announced.

So-called "long rains" that usually fall in March and April failed this year, and some areas have now been in drought conditions for almost three years. No one knows why the drought has been so bad. Many attribute it to global warming, but others say it is simply part of the long-term weather cycle in East Africa.

Since January at least 38 dead elephants have been found in the area around the Laikipia highlands and Samburu National Reserve, officials said.

In addition 30 baby elephants have been reported dead so far this year in Amboseli National Park, farther south

Some of the animals died of thirst, while others starved due to lack of vegetation or succumbed to diseases or infections due to weakened immune systems, according to wildlife officials

Many of Kenya's other iconic species—including lions, crocodiles, zebra, and wildebeests—are also suffering in drought conditions and could start dying at worrisome rates, wildlife officials say.

"The elephants are very smart animals," said Iain Douglas-Hamilton, founder of the Nairobi-based nonprofit Save The Elephants. "But I think they are going to die in large numbers, and that goes for the other grazers and browsers, too."

Helping Hands

Conservation officials have been working to protect some animals from the effects of the drought by feeding or relocating them.

At Mzima Springs in Tsavo West National Park, rangers have been laying out hay for hippopotamuses to eat.

The Kenya Wildlife Service has moved ten white rhinoceroses from Lake Nakuru to Nairobi National Park, in part because the parched land can't support the large animals.

And the Nairobi-based David Sheldrick Wildlife Trust reports that recently it has been bringing an average of seven baby elephants a month to its orphanage. Normally the facility receives seven elephants in a year.

Crops and Cattle

The drought has exacerbated a long-standing conflict between wildlife and the people who live near Kenya's protected lands.

Crop harvests were already expected to be low, because post-election violence in early 2008 prevented many farmers from planting in time.

The United Nations recently estimated that a million people in Kenya are under threat of famine.

Meanwhile, cattle herders have been illegally driving their animals deep into Kenya's parks and reserves in search of water and grazing land.

From the air, massive cattle tracks can be seen leading deep into the Masai Mara National Reserve, and the Kenya Wildlife Service reported that rangers recently pushed ten thousand cattle out of Tsavo West.

"We have been negotiating with the communities to allow wildlife to have a bit of peace in the parks where there is a little water, but there aren't hard and fast measures we can take," wildlife service spokesperson Paul Udoto said.

"It's really been a body blow to our animals."

Wildlife Attacks

Some conservationists fear that cattle herders might even start killing wildlife if they continue to be denied access to water and grazing land inside national parks.

"People are asking why should they not be allowed to go into the park in case of unusual circumstances like now?" said Dickson Kaelo, a program officer at BaseCamp Foundation, a community conservation group outside Masai Mara.

"If they aren't allowed to, why should they allow wildlife to come into their land just for the benefit of the tourism industry?"

Any wildlife attacks would be more bad news for species that have already seen drastic declines.

One recent study, for example, found that wildlife numbers both inside and outside Kenya's parks have fallen by 40 percent since the 1970s.

People in Kenya are now waiting for October, when the shorter rainy season normally begins. But some experts worry that Kenya's water woes aren't likely to end anytime soon.

"I think it's probably the worst drought we've seen for quite a long time," Douglas-Hamilton said. "And it's not over, not by a long chalk."

Kenya hit by killer drought
Peter Greste, BBC News 21 Sep 09;

It was not hard to find the dead elephant.

The stench of the rotting carcass made it easy to track down in the sparse bush. A young male - barely four years old and still an infant by elephant standards - lay on its side in the sand by a river.

Around its feet, the sand had been cleared in small arcs - signs of the animal's thrashing as it struggled to stand and survive.

But there was nothing to eat. Nothing. On the ground, not a blade of grass existed, every green shoot had been stripped from the trees.

For Iain Douglas Hamilton, from the conservation organisation Save The Elephants, it was a heartbreaking sight.

"In all my 12 years here, I've never seen anything as bad as this," he said.

"The last long rains [in April] failed completely, and we haven't had a proper wet season for at least three years. If the rains fail in October and November, we'll go into total crisis. I can't even begin to imagine how awful that would be."

Left rotting

In all, Mr Hamilton's organisation has counted at least 24 elephants that have died over the past two months across Samburu alone.

And like most droughts, it is the old and the young that go first.

That is a worrying trend for the conservationists.

The losses on their own would not have much of an impact on the region's elephant populations, but when the old matriarchs die it is potentially devastating.

"If you get a large-scale mortality, and you get a lot of old matriarchs going, you lose the memory banks. That's the lessons the matriarchs have learned from their own mothers about things like where to go for water," Mr Hamilton said.

"If a matriarch dies before those lessons have been handed down, and the new head of the family makes a mistake in a drought like this, its potentially very serious for the entire group."

This drought, of course, is not just about elephants. But they are an indicator species.

What happens to them points to trouble right across the spectrum.

Other less drought-resistant animals like buffalo, warthog, hippopotami and certain species of antelope have been hit hard.

Crocodiles have been forced to migrate sometimes many kilometres in search of water.

Only the predators and scavengers are doing well. In good times, any dead animal would be surrounded by hungry lions, hyenas and vultures. Now most are simply left to rot in the sun. The scavengers simply cannot consume all the meat littering the bush.

Ominous warning

A few kilometres from the first elephant carcass, David Daballen, a researcher with Save the Elephants, found another dead male. This one was the victim of poaching.

The carcass lay on its chest, its legs spread like a spatchcocked chicken - clear evidence, according to Mr Daballen, that it had been shot.

"It was probably killed with a couple of bullets in its head. It would have collapsed where it stood," he said.

The ivory had been hacked out of the 10-year-old male, but more disturbingly, each of its feet and its trunk had been removed - clear signs that it had been butchered for meat.

"Normally you only find poaching much further from where it is now, and it looks like people are desperate and going for anything, including the meat. This is not quite normal for people to hunt for elephant meat," Mr Daballen said.

The clash between elephants and humans also now extends more broadly than it might otherwise have done in better times.

The Ewasa Nyiro river runs along the Samburu National Park boundary.

The park rangers say it is only ever dry for a few weeks or perhaps a month out of every year. Now, it is a sea of bleached sand, and it has been that way for most of the past six months.

Each day, the elephants listlessly amble their way to a series of waterholes on a bend in the river.

Local herders dug the wells - perhaps two metres deep - for themselves and their livestock. But as long as the elephants are there, the herders have to wait their turn.

An old lady is philosophical: "We have to live with the elephants out here. When they come, they destroy the wells and fill them with sand, but what can we do? We all share this place."

But she also gave an ominous warning.

"If the rains fail, we are all in trouble. It's not just going to be the animals dying. We'll die too, and it's not going to take long."


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Protected birds killed in Malta

BBC News 21 Sep 09;

The dead bodies of 150 protected birds have been found on the Mediterranean island of Malta as activists search what they call a "major crime scene".

Conservation groups have criticised the Maltese government for failing to halt illegal hunting of protected birds during the island's autumn season.

Malta's government has previously said it would take action against anyone found to be killing protected species.

Malta lies along a major bird migratory route between Europe and Africa.

BirdLife Malta has called on the government to start treating the illegal hunting as a political priority.

'Bird cemetery'

The bodies of 150 protected birds - including falcons, marsh harriers, night herons, honey buzzards and a nightingale - have been found hidden in small stashes under stones and woodland scrub since Sunday, conservationists said.

While many were clearly killed some time ago, others had reportedly been shot as recently as the weekend.

BirdLife Malta said it was disappointed police had not taken more action to limit the hunt.

"This is a major crime scene and the police have not even cordoned it off," said Dr Andre Raine, conservation manager for BirdLife Malta.

"It's an embarrassment to have one of the main hunting areas littered with dead bodies... This place is literally a bird cemetery."

The group has called on Malta's government to give the island's police force more resources to combat illegal hunting.

Many more carcasses of protected birds were expected to be found as only one-third of the hunting area in the Mizieb woodland had been searched, Dr Raine told the BBC.

Protect wild birds

Malta's autumn hunting season lasts for five months from 1 September.

Traditionally, the Maltese government has allowed hunters to shoot migratory quails and turtle doves for limited periods during the spring and autumn.

The spring hunting season was halted early in 2007 after a flock of honey buzzards was shot dead, and was not reopened in either 2008 or 2009.

Although the autumn hunt remains legal, the EU Birds Directive rules that member states are obliged to protect wild birds as well as their eggs, nests and habitat.

Malta, which joined the EU in 2004, has since been warned by the European Commission for breaching the directive and allowing hunters to shoot migrating birds during the prohibited period.

BirdLife Malta had invited birdwatchers from across Europe to visit the island during the annual shoot to monitor hunting activity.

The Federation for Hunting and Conservation on Malta (FKNK) has previously condemned the illegal killing of birds, warning that it would disqualify any members convicted of any "serious crime".

Neither the FKNK, nor the Maltese government, were available for comment on Monday.


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U.S. grizzly bears still threatened

Matthew Brown, Associated Press Yahoo News 22 Sep 09;

BILLINGS, Mont. – Facing the combined pressures of habitat loss, hunters and climate change, 600 grizzly bears in and around Yellowstone National Park are going back on the threatened species list under a federal court order issued Monday.

The ruling highlighted climate change's devastation to whitebark pine forests, which produce nuts that some grizzlies rely upon as a mainstay.

With hundreds of thousands of the trees dead or dying over the last two decades, bears striking out in search of new food sources increasingly are being shot in conflicts with humans.

"There is a connection between whitebark pine and grizzly survival," U.S. District Judge Donald Molloy wrote in Monday's ruling.

Hunting for grizzlies is illegal. But at least 20 were killed last year by hunters acting in self-defense or after mistaking them for other animals.

The greater Yellowstone area of Montana, Idaho and Wyoming has one of the densest concentrations of grizzlies in the lower 48 states. The animals were declared recovered in March 2007 after bouncing back from near-extermination last century.

At the time, the grizzly bear program was touted by the Bush administration as a model framework for restoring at-risk species, successfully balancing conservation and the pressures of human development.

But in his ruling, Molloy sharply criticized the rationale behind the decision and ordered the Obama administration to immediately restore the animal's threatened status.

The 46-page ruling resolves a lawsuit brought by the Greater Yellowstone Coalition, a Bozeman, Mont., group that had argued the bruins' recovery remained tenuous. A separate lawsuit in federal court in Idaho still is pending.

Molloy cited as a key factor in his decision the decline of whitebark pine, which has suffered widespread damage from forest fires, pine beetles and other factors that researchers say are exacerbated by a warming climate.

Government researchers have made similar links. However, those results were downplayed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service in its 2007 decision.

"There is a disconnect between the studies the agency relies on here and its conclusions," Molloy wrote.

Molloy also said that state and federal conservation plans meant to protect Yellowstone-area grizzlies were inadequate. He said the government relied too heavily on population monitoring and failed to spell out what steps would be taken if grizzly numbers started to fall.

A Fish and Wildlife spokesman said Monday that Molloy's ruling was under review. Grizzlies were first listed as endangered in 1975. The government has spent more than $20 million on its effort to restore the species.

"We're going to take some time with this ruling because it's so significant," Fish and Wildlife spokesman Matt Kales said. "This is obviously a pretty big policy matter for us. Our first and foremost concern remains with the status of the bear."

Wyoming U.S. Rep. Cynthia Lummis called Molloy's ruling an "abuse" of the Endangered Species Act.

"Subverting the Endangered Species Act through judicial activism under the auspice of climate change would be laughable if the impacts weren't so dire for Wyoming's public land users," she said.

The conservation director for the Greater Yellowstone Coalition, Craig Kenworthy, said threats to grizzlies "are likely to accelerate" as climate change intensifies and more tree-killing beetles survive milder winters.

It's unknown how many of Yellowstone's grizzlies are heavily dependent on whitebark pine, said Gregg Losinski with Idaho Fish and Game.

"Yes it was a concern, but as far as a food source it never was found universally across the ecosystem for all the bears," said Losinski, member of a federal-states coordinating committee that oversees the region's grizzlies.

Four other groups totaling about 900 grizzlies — all in the Northwest __ have never lost their threatened status.

Full grown male grizzlies can weigh 800 pounds and stand 8 feet tall. Most are omnivores, meaning they eat both plants and animals.

As many as 50,000 of the animals once ranged the western half of the United States — striking terror in early European settlers who routinely shot, poisoned and trapped grizzlies until they were reduced to less than 2 percent of their historic range.

The Yellowstone-area population has grown from an estimated 200 animals in 1981 to more than 600 today.

Environmentalists said Monday's ruling underscored the need for government agencies to pay more heed to the damage climate change can cause.

"The decline of the whitebark pine is one more wake-up call that we urgently need to address the cause of many species' impending extinctions," said Michael Robinson with the Center for Biological Diversity. Robinson's group is a plaintiff in the Idaho grizzly lawsuit that remains pending.

Climate change was cited in the 2008 listing of polar bears as a threatened species, because warmer temperatures has melted sea ice that the bears depend on. And in 2006, concerns over climate change led to the listing of two species of coral, staghorn and elkhorn.


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Europe against bluefin tuna fishing ban: EU source

Yahoo News 21 Sep 09;

BRUSSELS (AFP) – European Commission plans to bring about a temporary worldwide ban on bluefish tuna fishing were voted down on Monday, a European Union source said.

"All the countries around the Mediterranean came out against" any ban on trade in the fish, prized by Japanese sushi lovers, said the source.

Supporters of a bid launched by Monaco want to see the fish placed on a United Nations-produced list of the world's most endangered species.

But while the Commission provisionally backed a temporary ban earlier this month, opponents preferred to wait for the latest evaluation of levels of stocks by scientists due next month.

Results will be analysed at a meeting of the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas in November.

According to a proposal put to CITES, the UN agency against illegal wildlife trade, tuna stocks are so fragile that the species should be classified as being under threat of extinction.

Some 80 percent of Atlantic bluefin tuna fished out of the Mediterranean ends up in the Japanese market.

Under the EU's qualified majority voting system, comfortably more than half of all votes, weighted according to countries' size, are required for issues to pass.

A fishermen's association grouping fleets from Cyprus, France, Greece, Italy, Malta and Spain had termed the plans "nonsense."

EU drops demand for ban on commercial bluefin tuna fishing
Lewis Smith, The Independent 22 Sep 09;

Attempts to save the bluefin tuna from extinction suffered a serious setback yesterday when the European Union dropped its demand for commercial fishing of the species to be banned.

A rearguard action by Mediterranean fishing nations, including Spain, Italy and France, blocked moves to get the European Union to support a worldwide ban.

Conservationists backed by celebrities including Stephen Fry have called for a trading ban to give the species a chance to recover. Yesterday's setback was met with dismay.

Lobbying by Japan, whose sushi trade is heavily dependent on Europe's bluefin exports, is thought to have played a vital role in the conservationists' defeat.

Stavros Dimas, the European Commissioner for the environment, was among those dismayed by the failure to conserve bluefin tuna. He is now pinning his hopes on a meeting in November of the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas to introduce tough measures to protect the fish.

One of Mr Dimas's officials said: "They need to come up with conservation protection measures that live up to the scientific evidence – which so far they have failed to do."

Bluefin tuna numbers have slumped to 18 per cent of what they were less than 40 years ago, and individual fish are smaller than they once were.

Officials from EU member states met yesterday to consider a recommendation by the European Commission to support a ban on trade in the species. Britain had backed an official proposal by Monaco to champion efforts to place bluefin tuna on Appendix I of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species.

The proposal had been expected to be adopted until Mediterranean members – notably France, Spain, Italy, Malta, Greece, and Cyprus – joined forces to block it despite both France and Malta having earlier pledged to support it.

The Environment Secretary, Hilary Benn, said: "I'm very disappointed the European Union has not agreed at this stage to support the proposal. We believe that full protection for bluefin tuna is urgent and necessary."

Greenpeace was particularly angered by France's decision to block the ban despite President Nicolas Sarkozy's promise two months ago to support a trading ban.


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Escalating hunger in Eastern Africa

Drought spells grim outlook for 2009 crops - El Niño could compound crisis
FAO 21 Sep 09;

21 September 2009, Rome - Poor 2009 crop prospects in the Horn of Africa following below-average rains, combined with conflict and displacement are aggravating an already serious food insecurity situation in the region, FAO said today.

Nearly 20 million people currently depend on food assistance in the region, and this number may increase as the hunger season progresses, particularly among marginal farmers, pastoralists and low-income urban dwellers.

The effects of El Niño, which usually brings heavy rains towards the end of the year, could make matters worse, resulting in floods and mudslides, destroying crops both in the field and in stores, increasing livestock losses and damaging infrastructure and housing.

Low purchasing power

Across Eastern Africa prices of maize, a major staple, have shown a declining trend since the beginning of the year, but remain higher than they were two years ago.

In Uganda and Kenya, for instance, prices of maize in June 2009 were almost double their level 24 months earlier. In Khartoum, Sudan, June 2009 prices of sorghum, another staple crop, were more than double their levels in June 2007. Similarly, prices in Mogadishu, Somalia, still remain higher than the pre-crisis period, despite declining since mid-2008.

Given low household purchasing power, a worsening of the overall food security situation can be expected. For pastoralists, lack of adequate pasture has worsened livestock conditions and reduced market prospects, impacting their incomes and ability to access staple foods. Moreover, reproduction rates of livestock have suffered from successive poor seasonal rains since 2007, making the recovery of the pastoral livelihood systems more difficult and worsening long-term food insecurity.

Successive poor harvests

In Uganda, production of 2009 first season crops, completed in early August, is forecast at well below average levels, representing the fourth successive poor harvest. In the Acholi region of northern Uganda, first season cereal and pulse production is estimated about 50 percent below the average. This limits households' ability to replenish food stocks and improve their food security situation following several years of displacement due to civil insecurity. More than one million people are estimated to be food insecure. This number may increase as the hunger season progresses until mid-November.

In Kenya, the poor performance of the 2009 "long rains" maize crop, combined with already depleted national cereal stocks, exports bans in neighbouring countries and persistent high cereal prices, has reduced food access. The maize crop, which accounts for 80 percent of total annual production, is estimated at 1.84 million tonnes, about 28 percent below normal levels.

Forced migrations in search of water supplies and pasture have worsened livestock conditions, increased disease outbreaks and exacerbated resource-based conflicts among pastoralists.

In Ethiopia, production of the secondary "belg" season crop is also estimated at levels well below average. Scarce rains have resulted in crop losses of up to 75 percent in some of the hardest hit areas.

With the partial failure of the "belg" season crop, the number of people in need of emergency assistance is expected to increase by 1.3 million to 6.2 million, FAO said. "Kremti" season crop prospects are also poor in Eritrea.

According to FAO's Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit, Somalia is facing the worst humanitarian crisis in 18 years, with approximately half the population - an estimated 3.6 million people-- in need of emergency livelihood and life-saving assistance. This includes 1.4 million rural people affected by the severe drought, about 655 000 urban poor facing high food and non-food prices, and 1.3 million internally displaced people, a result of escalating fighting and conflict.


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Population growth driving climate change, poverty: experts

Marlowe Hood Yahoo News 21 Sep 09;

PARIS (AFP) – Unchecked population growth is speeding climate change, damaging life-nurturing ecosystems and dooming many countries to poverty, experts concluded in a conference report released Monday.

Unless birth rates are lowered sharply through voluntary family-planning programmes and easy access to contraceptives, the tally of humans on Earth could swell to an unsustainable 11 billion by 2050, they warned.

The UN currently projects that global population will rise from 6.8 billion today to between 8.0 and 10.5 billion by mid-century.

The researchers said that with one and a half million more humans climbing aboard the planet every week, a recipe is looming for ecological overload, famine and broken states.

"Continued rapid population growth in many of the least developed countries could lead to hunger, a failure of education and conflict," said Malcolm Potts at the University of California in Berkeley, which hosted the conference in February.

The papers, authored by 42 specialists in environmental science, economics and demography, are published by the Royal Society, Britain's de-facto academy of sciences.

"There is no doubt that the current rate of human population growth is unsustainable," summarised Roger Short, a professor at the University of Melbourne in Australia.

"The inexorable increase in human numbers is exhausting conventional energy supplies, accelerating environmental pollution and global warming and providing an increasing number of failed states where civil unrest prevails."

Ninety-eight percent of the expected population growth will occur in developing countries, especially in Africa, where numbers are set to double to almost two billion by 2050.

"How Niger is going to feed a population growing from 11 million today to 50 million in 2050 in a semi-arid country that may be facing adverse climate (change) is unclear," said Adair Turner, a member of Britain's House of Lords.

The population of Uganda was five million in 1950, is 25 million today and could reach 127 million by 2050, Turner said.

Concern about population growth is not new.

It was most famously articulated by a British mathematician, Thomas Malthus, who in 1798 -- when Earth was home to about one billion -- calculated that exponential growth would inevitably lead to famine.

Malthus's dire warning was widely taken seriously until the advent of mechanised farming. The surge in food productivity, helped by the Green Revolution of the 1960s, gave the impression that Earth's bounty was limitless.

But relentlessly rising demand, diminishing farmland, depleted fish stocks, falling water tables and the threat of climate change have in recent years placed the Malthusian dilemma back on the table.

In their overview, the authors say that even though the burden of excess population is clear, controversy and taboo stalk the question of how to tackle it.

Some objections, such as the Roman Catholic Church's ban on birth control, are religious.

But the question has been ignored or sidelined in the secular arena too, the authors said.

Population control, for example, did not figure among the UN's eight Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in 2000, though it was added later "as an afterthought," said Short.

One reason has been the family planning programmes in China and India that critics say veered into forced sterilisations and coercive abortions, breaching human rights.

The researchers acknowledged these problems but also pointed out that without its "one-child" policy, China would have an extra 300 to 400 million mouths to feed today.

There would be double the number of young people, from 20 to 40 million, who enter the Chinese job market each year.

The researchers agreed with the widely held belief that improving economic conditions generally lead to lower birth rates.

But, they argue, smaller families also lead to greater prosperity, and this can be helped by programmes that are voluntary and inexpensive.

Some 80 million pregnancies -- nearly 40 percent of the total each year -- are unplanned. More than half of those unwanted pregnancies will result in abortion, with five million women suffering severe complications or death.

"Much more emphasis need to be given to meeting the need for family planning -- all women should be protected from unintended childbirth," they said in a collective editorial.


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Carbon emissions fall with global downturn: report

Yahoo News 21 Sep 09;

LONDON (AFP) – Greenhouse gas emissions have fallen thanks to the global downturn, handing the world a chance to move away from high-carbon growth, a report said Monday, citing an International Energy Agency study.

The unpublished IEA study found carbon emissions from burning fossil fuels had dropped significantly this year -- further than in any year in the past four decades.

Falling industrial output is largely responsible for the plunge in emissions, but other factors also played a role, including shelving plans for new coal-fired power stations because of falling demand and lack of financing.

The fall will exceed the drop in the 1981 recession that followed a crisis in the oil markets, according to the results of study published in the Financial Times newspaper.

"We have a new situation, with the changes in energy demand and the postponement of many energy investments," said Fatih Birol, the IEA's chief economist.

"But this only has meaning if we can make use of this unique window of opportunity. (That means) a deal in Copenhagen."

The December meeting in Copenhagen, under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, aims to set down action for tackling heat-trapping carbon emissions beyond 2012, when the current provisions of the Kyoto Protocol run out.

Government policies to cut emissions have also had an impact on emission levels, with the IEA estimating that about a quarter of the reduction is the result of regulation.

The study is an excerpt from the Paris-based IEA's annual World Energy Outlook, which will be published in November. The excerpt will be released early next month ahead of the Copenhagen meeting, according to the FT.

The report also comes as world leaders converge on New York and Pittsburgh this week for pivotal talks in the two-year effort to remake global climate rules, ahead of Copenhagen.

Birol said a global agreement was needed in Copenhagen to encourage companies to cut emissions.

"We hope that an agreement in Copenhagen would give a signal for new investments to go in (an environmentally) sustainable direction," he said.

"If we miss this opportunity, it will be much more expensive and therefore harder than ever to bring the world's energy system on to a sustainable path."

Emissions of CO2 Set for Best Drop in 40 Years
Jad Mouawad, The New York Times 21 Sep 09;

Global carbon emissions are expected to post their biggest drop in more than 40 years this year as the global recession froze economic activity and slashed energy use around the world.

The decline comes as political leaders are struggling to come up with a common approach to dealing with climate change.

The main factor behind this year’s drop in emissions is the slowdown in industrial activity and trade around the world, according to a study due to be released in November by the International Energy Agency.

But the energy agency, which provides policy advice and research to industrialized nations, found that government actions had also contributed to the drop in emissions. The agency said it expected to see global carbon emissions fall 2.6 percent this year.

The projected decline was first reported Monday by The Financial Times.

World leaders will meet at the United Nations on Tuesday for a one-day summit meeting to pursue a new agreement to fight global warming. The talks are expected to conclude with a climate treaty in Copenhagen in December.

The negotiations are stalled amid disagreements between developed and developing countries on how to share reductions in carbon emissions.

Even if temporary, a global reduction in emissions could allow advocates of stringent new limits on carbon dioxide to argue that continued progress is available using existing technology and switching to cleaner fuels, like natural gas.

The forecast should also make it easier for most nations to meet emissions reduction targets in the near and medium term and could give a lift toward a new global warming treaty, said Paul W. Bledsoe of the National Commission on Energy Policy, a bipartisan advisory group.

“Because many countries are using 2005 as a baseline year, this will give them some breathing room when economic activity picks up again,” Mr. Bledsoe said.

The projection from the International Energy Agency tracks other forecasts from government agencies, including the Department of Energy, which found that greenhouse gas emissions in the United States fell 3.8 percent in 2008 compared with 2007; they are estimated to be down another 6 percent this year.

However, an improving economy is expected to increase domestic carbon dioxide emissions 0.7 percent next year, according to the Energy Information Administration, an arm of the Department of Energy.

Carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of energy sources account for 80 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States.

John M. Broder contributed reporting from Washington.


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Climate myths: Any cooling disproves global warming

Michael Le Page, New Scientist 21 Sep 09;

In fact, even if the world does cool over the next few years as some predict, it in no way undermines the certainty about long-term warming due to greenhouse gas emissions.

Let's start with a thought experiment. Suppose you managed to find some children who knew nothing about the oceans, handed them a long measuring stick and sent them off to the seaside find out whether sea level is rising or falling.

As soon they saw the waves crashing on the shore, the children would realise they had been set a tricky task: how do you measure sea level when it is constantly changing?

If they were smart, the kids would try to find a quiet cove or harbour where there were no waves and start measuring. After an hour or so they would come running up to you. "The sea is going down! The sea is going down!" they'd shout in excitement.

"Not so fast," you'd reply. "Keep going." After a day or two, the children would realise the sea rises and falls at least once a day. If they were really dedicated and kept going for several days, they'd soon come running back to you.

"The high water mark is getting lower," they'd declare triumphantly. "That means sea level is falling." And once again you'd have to tell them to keep at it.

The moral of this story is that it is very difficult to detect underlying trends that are small compared with short-term changes.
Short and long term

We know, thanks to measurements taken all over the world over many years, that in the last decade of the 20th century sea level rose about 3 millimetres per year. That's the equivalent of 30 centimetres over a century, which would be more than enough to cause serious problems for many low-lying areas.

But a rise in sea level of less than 0.01 millimetres per day is very hard to detect when the sea rises and falls several metres every day, influenced by the moon, sun and winds. A bunch of children equipped with a ruler would have no chance of detecting the "real" change in sea level even if they kept going for weeks.

People who claim we can stop worrying about global warming on the basis of a cooler year or a cooler decade – or just predictions of cooling – are as naive as a child mistaking a falling tide, or a spring low tide, for a real long-term fall in sea level. Just as the underlying change in sea level is swamped by the daily and monthly changes, so the annual variation in global temperature masks any underlying trends.

The up and down of waves can be compared with the day-night difference in temperature, the coming and going of the tides to summer and winter. Only when one stands back and looks at the changes over decades does the long-term trend become clear.

(This, by the way, is why model predictions for 2050 or 2100 are more reliable than those for 2015 or 2020 – the longer the timescale, the more the "signal" stands out from the noise.)
The confounding sea

Of course, while short-term changes in sea level can be predicted fairly accurately based on the motions of the moon and sun, it is a lot harder predicting the ups and downs of the average global surface temperature – there is a lot of noise, or natural variation, in the system. It's becoming clear that changes in the oceans underlie much of this variation.

For instance, the reason 1998 was so hot (since surpassed by 2005) was because there was a very strong El Niño that year, during which the Pacific pumped huge amounts of heat into the atmosphere.

Predictions of global cooling in the short term are partly based on the idea that sea surface temperatures will fall in the northern Atlantic, due to slow, irregular swings in conditions known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.

The bottom line is that, just as a few hot years do not prove global warming is real, neither do a few cool years prove it is not. Models suggest that it is perfectly possible for a decade or two of cooling to occur even when there is a long-term warming trend.

The strongest evidence for global warming comes from physics and chemistry, not from records of past temperatures, which is why scientists were predicting warming long before the rise in temperature over the 20th century was obvious.

Read more: Climate change: A guide for the perplexed on the New Scientist website.


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Global businesses demand ambitious new climate deal

Peter Griffiths, Reuters 21 Sep 09;

LONDON (Reuters) - A coalition of more than 500 international companies on Tuesday urged rich countries to commit to "immediate and deep" cuts in greenhouse gas emissions at U.N. climate talks to help combat global warming.

The group of some of the world's biggest energy companies, retailers and manufacturers said a failure to agree a strong new climate deal at U.N. talks in Copenhagen in December would erode confidence and cut investment in low-carbon technology.

In a statement issued as nations met for a climate summit at the United Nations in New York, the coalition said economic development will be impossible without a stable climate.

"These are difficult and challenging times for the international business community and a poor outcome from...Copenhagen will only make them more so," it said.

"If a sufficiently ambitious, effective and globally equitable deal can be agreed, it will...deliver the economic signals that companies need if they are to invest billions of dollars in low carbon products, services, technologies and infrastructure."

The statement was issued by companies who back a campaign by Britain's Prince Charles, heir to the throne and environmental campaigner, to press for new government policies on climate change and "to grasp the business opportunities created by moving to a low climate-risk economy."

Members of the prince's Corporate Leaders Group on Climate Change include Britain's largest retailer Tesco, German insurer Allianz and Royal Dutch Shell, Europe's largest oil company by market value. Launched in 2005, it is managed for the prince by the University of Cambridge.

Disagreements between rich and poor countries over emissions caps and how much money emerging economies should receive to cope with climate change have hampered preliminary talks before the U.N. negotiations in the Danish capital.

The business group urged nations to set aside their differences and confront climate change with the same urgent, joint approach they took during the economic crisis.

"Developed countries need to take on immediate and deep emission reduction commitments that are much higher than the global average," the statement added.

(Editing by Jon Boyle)

Global business chiefs urge 'robust' climate deal
Yahoo News 22 Sep 09;

LONDON (AFP) – The chiefs of more than 500 global companies called Tuesday for an "ambitious, robust and equitable" climate change deal, in the spotlight in New York ahead of a landmark meeting in Copenhagen.

The business leaders from over 50 countries including Brazil, Britain, China, Japan, Russia and the United States said measures to spur recovery from the global downturn must be environmentally sustainable.

"Economic development will not be sustained in the longer term unless the climate is stabilised," they said in a Copenhagen Communique, organised as part of a project based at Britain's Cambridge University and backed by Prince Charles.

"It is critical that we exit this recession in a way that lays the foundation for low-carbon growth and avoids locking us into a high-carbon future," they added, calling for "an ambitious, robust and equitable global deal on climate change that responds credibly to the scale and urgency of the crises facing the world today".

The call came as some 100 world leaders gathered in New York trying to breathe new life into deadlocked negotiations, 100 days before the December Copenhagen meeting aiming to seal a successor to the landmark Kyoto Protocol.

Kyoto was signed in 1997 and came into force in 2005, but has been hobbled by the refusal of president George W. Bush's US administration to back it as it would be too costly for US business and the American economy.

Signatories of the Copenhagen Communique include Willie Walsh of British Airways, Richard Branson of Virgin, Nike boss Mark Parker, Shiro Kondo of Japan's Ricoh Company and Naguib Sawiris of Egypt-based Orascom Telecom.

"As a business leader I can only achieve my ambition if my actions are underpinned by the foundation of political intent and robust law. The bolder the political ambition the bolder I can be," said Branson.

Cameron Clyne of the National Australia Bank said he had signed "because it is vital to play a meaningful part in shaping effective global and local responses and solutions to climate change."


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